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Sep 17, 2022 · Fishersville, VA

augusta invitational meet 2022

Wilson Memorial HS XC Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2024 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 165.9), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
C

89 of 89 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +60.3 s course and conditions +34.4 s in-season fitness +25.9 sCourse constant 507.63 (508)Race constant 514.75 (515)

86 used anchors± 6.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 86 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 86, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kiera Lowman · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Abby Lane · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Aylin Yirmibesoglu · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL 5A Region D Championships (Nov 3) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 5 more
  4. 4 Trinity Neff · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Quinn Franklin · Wilson Memorial: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Cassidy Plautz · Wilson Memorial: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Macyn Cash · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Georgia Babish · Grace Christian School (S): Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Gracie Barron · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Bethany Lang · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Thea Franklin · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24)
  12. 12 Lydia Kimmell · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Jessica Dryer · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Thea Branscom · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Briana Plum · Luray: Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  16. 16 Carolina Wood · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Niav Murphy · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL 5A Region D Championships (Nov 3) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Brook Loar · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  19. 19 Erika Cronk · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Veronica Nibitanga · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL 5A Region D Championships (Nov 3) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Mary Bradley Howlett · Norfolk Collegiate: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · TCIS XC Championships (Nov 4) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Josalyn Matthews · Staunton: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  23. 23 Sydney Hill · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  24. 24 Eliza Braby · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL 5A Region D Championships (Nov 3) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  26. 26 Avery Brown · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  27. 27 Lucy Nicely · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Jadyn Foster · Stonewall Jackson: Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  29. 29 Ellie Shank · Blue Ridge Christian School: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15)
  30. 30 Bryce Leitch · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Mia McLaughlin · Fort Defiance: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Haven Cranford · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  33. 33 Naomi Blair · Waynesboro: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  34. 34 Emma Carver · Waynesboro: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  35. 35 Bella Whittle · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  36. 36 Audrey Wallace · Riverheads: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  37. 37 Taylor Cubbage · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  38. 38 Kierstin Doyne · Riverheads: Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  39. 39 Sierra Back · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Group 1A Region B Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Jordyn Foster · Stonewall Jackson: Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  41. 41 Gillian Matherly · Waynesboro: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  42. 42 Skylar Fox · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  43. 43 Meredith Minter · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  44. 44 Sydney Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Keeley Boone · Norfolk Collegiate: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · TCIS XC Championships (Nov 4) · and 3 more
  46. 46 Alivia Hoover · Alleghany: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  47. 47 Becca Miller · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  48. 48 Marta Milam · Page County: Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26)
  49. 49 Sierra Sloat · Waynesboro: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  50. 50 Meghan Miller · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 89 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kiera LowmanAlleghany · FRFinish 19:56.619:56.619:05.7110.6
2Abby LaneFort Defiance · JRFinish 20:45.420:45.419:52.495.0
3Aylin YirmibesogluPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SRFinish 21:15.521:15.520:21.285.4
4Trinity NeffFort Defiance · SRFinish 21:22.221:22.220:27.683.3
5Quinn FranklinWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:36.621:36.620:41.478.7
6Cassidy PlautzWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:47.421:47.420:51.875.2
7Macyn CashAlleghany · JRFinish 21:54.021:54.020:58.173.1
8Georgia BabishGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 21:59.721:59.721:03.571.3
9Gracie BarronAlleghany · SRFinish 22:19.722:19.721:22.764.9
10Bethany LangFort Defiance · JRFinish 22:20.822:20.821:23.764.5
11Thea FranklinWilson Memorial · FRFinish 22:23.522:23.521:26.363.7
12Lydia KimmellWaynesboro · SOFinish 22:38.322:38.321:40.559.0
13Jessica DryerGrace Christian School (S) · JRFinish 22:43.122:43.121:45.157.4
14Thea BranscomPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SRFinish 22:45.422:45.421:47.356.7
15Briana PlumLuray · FRFinish 22:53.822:53.821:55.354.0
16Carolina WoodLuray · FRFinish 23:15.423:15.422:16.047.1
17Niav MurphyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 23:23.423:23.422:23.744.6
18Brook LoarStaunton · SOFinish 23:30.423:30.422:30.442.3
19Erika CronkWilson Memorial · FRFinish 23:37.623:37.622:37.340.0
20Veronica NibitangaPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 23:41.323:41.322:40.838.9
21Mary Bradley HowlettNorfolk Collegiate · SRFinish 23:48.823:48.822:48.036.5
22Josalyn MatthewsStaunton · SOFinish 23:53.323:53.322:52.335.0
23Sydney HillWaynesboro · JRFinish 24:02.024:02.023:00.632.3
24Eliza BrabyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 24:02.324:02.323:00.932.2
25Madison ConnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 24:05.624:05.623:04.131.1
26Avery BrownFort Defiance · FRFinish 24:12.024:12.023:10.229.1
27Lucy NicelyAlleghany · SRFinish 24:18.224:18.223:16.127.1
28Jadyn FosterStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 24:22.824:22.823:20.625.6
29Ellie ShankBlue Ridge Christian School · SRFinish 24:31.324:31.323:28.722.9
30Bryce LeitchAlleghany · JRFinish 24:33.024:33.023:30.322.4
31Mia McLaughlinFort Defiance · SOFinish 24:34.224:34.223:31.522.0
32Haven CranfordWilson Memorial · FRFinish 24:39.324:39.323:36.420.3
33Naomi BlairWaynesboro · JRFinish 24:53.724:53.723:50.115.8
34Emma CarverWaynesboro · FRFinish 24:58.724:58.723:54.914.2
35Bella WhittlePatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 25:03.425:03.423:59.412.7
36Audrey WallaceRiverheads · JRFinish 25:06.825:06.824:02.711.6
37Taylor CubbageFort Defiance · FRFinish 25:13.725:13.724:09.39.4
38Kierstin DoyneRiverheads · FRFinish 25:19.825:19.824:15.17.4
39Sierra BackRiverheads · JRFinish 25:24.725:24.724:19.85.9
40Jordyn FosterStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 25:26.725:26.724:21.75.2
41Gillian MatherlyWaynesboro · JRFinish 25:59.025:59.024:52.7—
42Skylar FoxPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 26:00.626:00.624:54.2—
43Meredith MinterAlleghany · FRFinish 26:00.726:00.724:54.3—
44Sydney TroxellWilson Memorial · FRFinish 26:03.726:03.724:57.2—
45Keeley BooneNorfolk Collegiate · 8Finish 26:11.226:11.225:04.3—
46Alivia HooverAlleghany · SRFinish 26:27.926:27.925:20.3—
47Becca MillerWilson Memorial · SRFinish 26:31.626:31.625:23.9—
48Marta MilamPage County · SRFinish 26:45.126:45.125:36.8—
49Sierra SloatWaynesboro · SOFinish 26:51.226:51.225:42.6—
50Meghan MillerWilson Memorial · FRFinish 26:57.826:57.825:49.0—
Show all 89 results (39 more)Showing all 89 results · hide rows 51–89
Girls results, rows 51 to 89 of 89
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Eleanor LittlePatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SRFinish 27:07.227:07.225:58.0—
52Jasmine RediferWaynesboro · JRFinish 27:11.127:11.126:01.7—
53Kate HarmanWaynesboro · SRFinish 27:22.127:22.126:12.2—
54Aislyn HulakNorfolk Collegiate · SOFinish 28:00.828:00.826:49.3—
55Emma RinacaPage County · JRFinish 28:12.928:12.927:00.9—
56Erin SavedgeLuray · JRFinish 28:14.228:14.227:02.1—
57Kendal BrownStaunton · JRFinish 28:30.428:30.427:17.6—
58Georgia Grande StatonStaunton · JRFinish 28:35.828:35.827:22.8—
59Madeline YowellRiverheads · JRFinish 28:38.128:38.127:25.0—
60Trinity StanleyStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 28:43.428:43.427:30.1—
61Victoria Race-WallerJames River (Buchanan) · SOFinish 28:47.828:47.827:34.3—
62Maryn CavePage County · FRFinish 28:51.428:51.427:37.7—
63Kaisa BonillaPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 29:16.329:16.328:01.6—
64Anna DavidsonJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 29:30.029:30.028:14.7—
65Haley HarmonAlleghany · SOFinish 29:42.929:42.928:27.0—
66Rachelle AndersonStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 29:48.529:48.528:32.4—
67Joowon ChungAlleghany · FRFinish 29:58.829:58.828:42.3—
68Madeline RutledgeJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 30:04.430:04.428:47.6—
69Alayna RoyLuray · SOFinish 30:18.530:18.529:01.1—
70Charlotte MintonNorfolk Collegiate · FRFinish 30:29.030:29.029:11.2—
71Averee StevensWilson Memorial · SOFinish 30:31.330:31.329:13.4—
72Lauren AdamsGrace Christian School (S) · JRFinish 30:33.930:33.929:15.9—
73Elena BrownLuray · FRFinish 30:39.230:39.229:20.9—
74Khloe CastilloStaunton · FRFinish 30:42.130:42.129:23.7—
75Sadie MoyeAlleghany · JRFinish 31:04.731:04.729:45.4—
76Alexa ButlerNorfolk Collegiate · FRFinish 31:28.931:28.930:08.5—
77Rose GuttermanStaunton · SRFinish 32:04.432:04.430:42.5—
78Mia HansenStaunton · JRFinish 32:30.132:30.131:07.1—
79Mara CypherRiverheads · SOFinish 32:40.932:40.931:17.5—
80Addison SnowWilson Memorial · SOFinish 32:49.632:49.631:25.8—
81Cecilia MassieRiverheads · FRFinish 33:05.433:05.431:40.9—
82Elian SconyersBlue Ridge Christian School · SOFinish 33:09.333:09.331:44.6—
83Yazim Lopez-CapoJames River (Buchanan) · SRFinish 33:14.733:14.731:49.8—
84Alyson ShoresLuray · SOFinish 33:59.333:59.332:32.5—
85Ella FryeStaunton · SOFinish 34:13.234:13.232:45.8—
86Emina SatiWaynesboro · FRFinish 34:37.234:37.233:08.8—
87Kendra StrotherStaunton · FRFinish 37:45.437:45.436:09.0—
88Emmy O'SheaStaunton · FRFinish 38:02.238:02.236:25.1—
89Rosa Martin FonsecaStonewall Jackson · SRFinish 38:43.538:43.537:04.6—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

Developmental Girls 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Girls JV
D

9 of 10 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +67.5 s course and conditions +41.4 s in-season fitness +26.0 sCourse constant 512.96 (513)Race constant 521.11 (521)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 10 of 10 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Riley HepnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 25:36.525:36.524:22.84.9
2Olivia NewmanFort Defiance · SOFinish 25:57.225:57.224:42.5—
3Molly O'BrienFort Defiance · FRFinish 26:22.526:22.525:06.6—
4Karina ClarkFort Defiance · SOFinish 27:50.927:50.926:30.7—
5Dani SommerfieldFort Defiance · SRFinish 29:51.329:51.328:25.4—
6Cora HodgesAlleghany · FRFinish 32:30.932:30.930:57.3—
7Kayla Veney RediferWaynesboro · JRFinish 32:51.432:51.431:16.8—
8Adilee StevensWilson Memorial · SOFinish 35:34.335:34.333:51.9—
9Gabriella MaddoxFort Defiance · SOFinish 36:11.036:11.034:26.9—
10Reid TrybusStaunton · JRFinish 48:15.148:15.1UnavailableUnavailable

1 row: time outside the rated range.

augusta invitational meet 2022, Sep 17, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.