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Sep 16, 2023 · Fishersville, VA

Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet

Wilson Memorial HS XC Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 163.2), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

75 of 75 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +29.3 s course and conditions +1.6 s in-season fitness +27.8 sCourse constant 494.81 (495)Race constant 503.04 (503)

73 used anchors± 6.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 73 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 73, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Abby Lane · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Cassidy Plautz · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Niav Murphy · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  4. 4 Magdalena Lantz-Trissel · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Georgia Babish · Grace Christian School (S): VACA State XC Meet (Oct 21) · Grace Christian Staunton Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Quinn Franklin · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Bethany Lang · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Summer Kite · Page County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Jessica Dryer · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · VACA State XC Meet (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Annah Wood · Luray: 10th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 26)
  12. 12 Skylar Fox · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Erika Cronk · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Thea Franklin · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Taylor Cubbage · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Eliza Braby · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 7 more
  17. 17 Kierstin Doyne · Riverheads: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Brinna Seidel · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 1) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Jordyn Foster · Stonewall Jackson: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25)
  20. 20 Alexis Austin · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Alison Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Carolina Wood · Luray: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Catherine Hinegardner · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Jadyn Foster · Stonewall Jackson: Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25)
  25. 25 Georgia Miller · James River (Buchanan): VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  26. 26 Avery Brown · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Drew Whitson · James River (Buchanan): VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Maya Jenkins · Luray: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  29. 29 Maddie Harper · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · VACA State XC Meet (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  30. 30 Kaitlyn Harper · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · VACA State XC Meet (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Angela Hibshman · Stuarts Draft: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Verity Jordan · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Lydia Kimmell · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  34. 34 Sierra Back · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Amelia Kimmell · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Cora McCombe · Turner Ashby: 10th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 26)
  37. 37 Mia McLaughlin · Fort Defiance: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  38. 38 Maryn Cave · Page County: Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · 10th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 26)
  39. 39 Emma Carver · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Asia Knight · Wilson Memorial: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  41. 41 August Beatty · Page County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25)
  42. 42 Emma Rinaca · Page County: Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25)
  43. 43 Linley Corbett · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  44. 44 Lydia Goad · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 6 more
  45. 45 Brook Loar · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  46. 46 Sydney Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25)
  47. 47 Alexandra Barragan · Stuarts Draft: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  48. 48 Claira Venuto · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  49. 49 Rachelle Anderson · Stonewall Jackson: Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · 10th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 26)
  50. 50 Molly O'Brien · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 75 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Abby LaneFort Defiance · SRFinish 19:39.119:39.119:18.2108.1
2Cassidy PlautzWilson Memorial · SRFinish 21:17.421:17.420:54.875.9
3Niav MurphyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 21:21.821:21.820:59.174.5
4Magdalena Lantz-TrisselTurner Ashby · JRFinish 21:42.021:42.021:18.967.8
5Georgia BabishGrace Christian School (S) · SOFinish 21:47.021:47.021:23.966.2
6Quinn FranklinWilson Memorial · SRFinish 21:56.221:56.221:32.963.2
7Bethany LangFort Defiance · SRFinish 22:02.222:02.221:38.861.2
8Summer KitePage County · SRFinish 22:04.822:04.821:41.360.4
9Madison ConnerFort Defiance · SOFinish 22:08.022:08.021:44.559.3
10Jessica DryerGrace Christian School (S) · SRFinish 22:21.622:21.621:57.854.9
11Annah WoodLuray · JRFinish 22:48.322:48.322:24.146.1
12Skylar FoxPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 22:52.522:52.522:28.244.8
13Erika CronkWilson Memorial · SOFinish 22:53.222:53.222:28.944.5
14Thea FranklinWilson Memorial · SOFinish 22:57.722:57.722:33.343.1
15Taylor CubbageFort Defiance · SOFinish 23:12.123:12.122:47.438.3
16Eliza BrabyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 23:38.623:38.623:13.529.7
17Kierstin DoyneRiverheads · SOFinish 23:39.523:39.523:14.429.4
18Brinna SeidelPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 23:42.723:42.723:17.528.3
19Jordyn FosterStonewall Jackson · SRFinish 23:47.423:47.423:22.126.8
20Alexis AustinWaynesboro · FRFinish 23:49.123:49.123:23.826.2
21Alison TroxellWilson Memorial · SOFinish 23:50.923:50.923:25.625.6
22Carolina WoodLuray · SOFinish 23:58.523:58.523:33.023.2
23Catherine HinegardnerTurner Ashby · FRFinish 24:15.624:15.623:49.817.6
24Jadyn FosterStonewall Jackson · SRFinish 24:18.224:18.223:52.416.7
25Georgia MillerJames River (Buchanan) · SOFinish 24:18.324:18.323:52.516.7
26Avery BrownFort Defiance · SOFinish 24:18.924:18.923:53.116.5
27Drew WhitsonJames River (Buchanan) · SRFinish 24:21.924:21.923:56.015.5
28Maya JenkinsLuray · FRFinish 24:30.224:30.224:04.212.8
29Maddie HarperGrace Christian School (S) · SRFinish 24:30.324:30.324:04.312.7
30Kaitlyn HarperGrace Christian School (S) · JRFinish 24:34.024:34.024:07.911.5
31Angela HibshmanStuarts Draft · FRFinish 24:34.924:34.924:08.811.2
32Verity JordanRiverheads · FRFinish 24:41.324:41.324:15.19.1
33Lydia KimmellWaynesboro · JRFinish 24:44.024:44.024:17.78.3
34Sierra BackRiverheads · SRFinish 24:44.224:44.224:17.98.2
35Amelia KimmellWaynesboro · FRFinish 24:49.324:49.324:22.96.5
36Cora McCombeTurner Ashby · FRFinish 24:57.224:57.224:30.73.9
37Mia McLaughlinFort Defiance · JRFinish 24:59.624:59.624:33.03.1
38Maryn CavePage County · SOFinish 25:04.125:04.124:37.51.7
39Emma CarverWaynesboro · SOFinish 25:13.525:13.524:46.7—
40Asia KnightWilson Memorial · JRFinish 25:14.525:14.524:47.7—
41August BeattyPage County · FRFinish 25:15.225:15.224:48.4—
42Emma RinacaPage County · SRFinish 25:19.425:19.424:52.5—
43Linley CorbettWilson Memorial · FRFinish 25:25.925:25.924:58.9—
44Lydia GoadPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 25:32.825:32.825:05.7—
45Brook LoarStaunton · JRFinish 25:33.025:33.025:05.9—
46Sydney TroxellWilson Memorial · SOFinish 25:44.325:44.325:17.0—
47Alexandra BarraganStuarts Draft · SRFinish 25:49.125:49.125:21.7—
48Claira VenutoTurner Ashby · SOFinish 25:51.025:51.025:23.5—
49Rachelle AndersonStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 25:53.625:53.625:26.1—
50Molly O'BrienFort Defiance · SOFinish 25:56.525:56.525:28.9—
Show all 75 results (25 more)Showing all 75 results · hide rows 51–75
Girls results, rows 51 to 75 of 75
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Reece KiracofeTurner Ashby · FRFinish 25:58.125:58.125:30.5—
52Laurel FitzgeraldTurner Ashby · SOFinish 25:58.925:58.925:31.3—
53Alayna RoyLuray · JRFinish 26:04.626:04.625:36.9—
54Kylee RoesGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 26:05.826:05.825:38.1—
55Skylar SloatWaynesboro · FRFinish 26:08.526:08.525:40.7—
56Isabel MisickStuarts Draft · JRFinish 26:44.226:44.226:15.8—
57Madeline YowellRiverheads · SRFinish 27:09.427:09.426:40.5—
58Lainey ForbusWilson Memorial · JRFinish 27:21.327:21.326:52.2—
59Ella FryeStaunton · JRFinish 27:43.427:43.427:13.9—
60Meghan MillerWilson Memorial · SOFinish 28:04.328:04.327:34.5—
61Grace RobinsonRiverheads · SOFinish 28:12.728:12.727:42.7—
62Naomi BlairWaynesboro · SRFinish 28:33.928:33.928:03.5—
63McKenna TalghadarLuray · SOFinish 28:38.428:38.428:08.0—
64Jacmyn RinehartJames River (Buchanan) · SOFinish 28:47.328:47.328:16.7—
65Cecilia MassieRiverheads · SOFinish 28:49.128:49.128:18.5—
66Aleah ChildressTurner Ashby · SOFinish 28:50.128:50.128:19.5—
67Chloe CypherRiverheads · FRFinish 28:54.828:54.828:24.1—
68Riley PersingerJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 29:09.229:09.228:38.2—
69Blanca QuinteroStuarts Draft · FRFinish 29:10.029:10.028:39.0—
70Georgia Grande StatonStaunton · SRFinish 29:16.429:16.428:45.3—
71Natalie JohnstonTurner Ashby · SOFinish 29:25.729:25.728:54.4—
72Rhaya KittJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 29:34.529:34.529:03.1—
73Emma DeanPage County · 3Finish 30:05.930:05.929:33.9—
74Mia HansenStaunton · SRFinish 31:05.731:05.730:32.7—
75Faith BagleyGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 33:39.933:39.933:04.1—

Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet, Sep 16, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.