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Sep 14, 2024 · Fishersville, VA

Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet

Wilson Memorial HS XC Course · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2023 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 160.9), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

75 of 75 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +24.7 s course and conditions −3.5 s in-season fitness +28.3 sCourse constant 493.45 (493)Race constant 498.45 (498)

74 used anchors± 4.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 74 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 74, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Macy Rowe · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Georgia Babish · Grace Christian School (S): Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · Griffin Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Niav Murphy · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Annabella Saunders · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Magdalena Lantz-Trissel · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Alison Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Annah Wood · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Madelyn Hylton · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Meghan Miller · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  10. 10 Henley Ann Coffman · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Lydia Kimmell · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Camila Cruz · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Brynne Wiegard · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  14. 14 Eliza Braby · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Brooke Eichelberger · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Karina Clark · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Elisabeth Reckley · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  19. 19 Emma Carver · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Catherine Hinegardner · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Chloe Cypher · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 1 more
  22. 22 Lacey Keagy · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  23. 23 Alexis Austin · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  24. 24 Claira Venuto · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Violet Bast · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Reece Kiracofe · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  27. 27 Amelia Kimmell · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  28. 28 Thea Franklin · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Kaitlyn Keagy · Waynesboro: East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
  30. 30 Verity Jordan · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
  31. 31 Riley Birt · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Averee Stevens · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Reagan Allen · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  34. 34 August Beatty · Page County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Molly O'Brien · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  36. 36 Isabela Rizek · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 2 more
  37. 37 Kierstin Doyne · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Evelyn McClung · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 3 more
  39. 39 Lydia Goad · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  40. 40 Sydney Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Kelsey Lambert · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Evie Hobbs · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Charlotte Carbajal · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30)
  44. 44 Sarah Obrien · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 18) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Amalie Kramer · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  46. 46 Natalie Lazaro-Luna · Stonewall Jackson: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28)
  47. 47 Beth Vogan · Grace Christian School (S): Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  48. 48 Kylie Martin · Turner Ashby: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Sierra Sloat · Waynesboro: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  50. 50 Finn Tuttle · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 75 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Macy RoweWaynesboro · FRFinish 19:30.319:30.319:15.5106.9
2Georgia BabishGrace Christian School (S) · JRFinish 20:48.720:48.720:32.981.1
3Niav MurphyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 20:53.020:53.020:37.279.7
4Annabella SaundersWilson Memorial · FRFinish 21:18.321:18.321:02.271.3
5Magdalena Lantz-TrisselTurner Ashby · SRFinish 21:24.321:24.321:08.169.4
6Alison TroxellWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:31.521:31.521:15.267.0
7Annah WoodLuray · SRFinish 21:33.821:33.821:17.566.2
8Madelyn HyltonTurner Ashby · FRFinish 21:45.921:45.921:29.462.3
9Meghan MillerWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:53.521:53.521:36.959.8
10Henley Ann CoffmanFort Defiance · FRFinish 22:14.022:14.021:57.253.0
11Lydia KimmellWaynesboro · SRFinish 22:20.122:20.122:03.251.0
12Camila CruzFort Defiance · SOFinish 22:21.322:21.322:04.450.6
13Brynne WiegardPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 22:29.022:29.022:12.048.1
14Eliza BrabyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 22:29.522:29.522:12.547.9
15Madison ConnerFort Defiance · JRFinish 22:46.222:46.222:29.042.4
16Brooke EichelbergerRockbridge County · SRFinish 22:53.422:53.422:36.140.0
17Karina ClarkFort Defiance · SRFinish 22:56.222:56.222:38.839.1
18Elisabeth ReckleyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 22:58.322:58.322:40.938.4
19Emma CarverWaynesboro · JRFinish 23:16.923:16.922:59.332.3
20Catherine HinegardnerTurner Ashby · SOFinish 23:23.523:23.523:05.830.1
21Chloe CypherRiverheads · SOFinish 23:29.023:29.023:11.228.3
22Lacey KeagyWaynesboro · FRFinish 23:34.723:34.723:16.826.4
23Alexis AustinWaynesboro · SOFinish 23:34.923:34.923:17.026.4
24Claira VenutoTurner Ashby · JRFinish 23:44.623:44.623:26.623.2
25Violet BastFort Defiance · SOFinish 24:02.724:02.723:44.517.2
26Reece KiracofeTurner Ashby · SOFinish 24:03.024:03.023:44.817.1
27Amelia KimmellWaynesboro · SOFinish 24:14.824:14.823:56.413.2
28Thea FranklinWilson Memorial · JRFinish 24:19.724:19.724:01.311.6
29Kaitlyn KeagyWaynesboro · FRFinish 24:20.624:20.624:02.211.3
30Verity JordanRiverheads · SOFinish 24:23.124:23.124:04.610.5
31Riley BirtFort Defiance · SOFinish 24:24.124:24.124:05.610.2
32Averee StevensWilson Memorial · SRFinish 24:24.424:24.424:05.910.1
33Reagan AllenWaynesboro · FRFinish 24:29.324:29.324:10.88.5
34August BeattyPage County · SOFinish 24:33.624:33.624:15.07.1
35Molly O'BrienFort Defiance · JRFinish 24:35.424:35.424:16.86.5
36Isabela RizekLuray · SOFinish 24:59.524:59.524:40.6—
37Kierstin DoyneRiverheads · JRFinish 25:16.725:16.724:57.6—
38Evelyn McClungRockbridge County · JRFinish 25:19.425:19.425:00.2—
39Lydia GoadPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 25:20.925:20.925:01.7—
40Sydney TroxellWilson Memorial · JRFinish 25:21.925:21.925:02.7—
41Kelsey LambertFort Defiance · FRFinish 25:28.725:28.725:09.4—
42Evie HobbsGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 25:30.325:30.325:11.0—
43Charlotte CarbajalStaunton · SOFinish 25:51.425:51.425:31.8—
44Sarah ObrienPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 25:59.425:59.425:39.7—
45Amalie KramerLuray · SRFinish 26:05.626:05.625:45.8—
46Natalie Lazaro-LunaStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 26:08.326:08.325:48.5—
47Beth VoganGrace Christian School (S) · SOFinish 26:20.226:20.226:00.3—
48Kylie MartinTurner Ashby · FRFinish 26:37.926:37.926:17.7—
49Sierra SloatWaynesboro · SRFinish 27:05.127:05.126:44.6—
50Finn TuttleStaunton · SOFinish 27:14.627:14.626:54.0—
Show all 75 results (25 more)Showing all 75 results · hide rows 51–75
Girls results, rows 51 to 75 of 75
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Maryn CavePage County · JRFinish 27:17.227:17.226:56.5—
52Hailey WilliamsLuray · SRFinish 27:34.327:34.327:13.4—
53Hannah IvinsRockbridge County · SOFinish 27:39.327:39.327:18.4—
54Sarah LaughridgeJames River (Buchanan) · SRFinish 27:44.927:44.927:23.9—
55Alayna RoyLuray · SRFinish 28:08.528:08.527:47.2—
56Natalie JohnstonTurner Ashby · JRFinish 28:23.928:23.928:02.4—
57Reagan GwaltneyBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 29:07.329:07.328:45.2—
58Alia RhinehartPage County · JRFinish 29:07.829:07.828:45.7—
59Kaylee DunbarJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 29:13.629:13.628:51.5—
60Lilly HallWilson Memorial · FRFinish 29:23.629:23.629:01.3—
61Cecilia MassieRiverheads · JRFinish 29:31.529:31.529:09.1—
62Naomi NavarroStuarts Draft · SOFinish 29:54.929:54.929:32.2—
63Kaydance StevensStuarts Draft · SOFinish 30:03.130:03.129:40.3—
64Alice GreshamRockbridge County · JRFinish 30:18.530:18.529:55.6—
65Faith BagleyGrace Christian School (S) · SOFinish 30:37.530:37.530:14.3—
66Anaydet HernandezPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 30:49.430:49.430:26.1—
67Deysi MonterrosoStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 31:13.431:13.430:49.8—
68Elena BrownLuray · JRFinish 31:41.931:41.931:17.9—
69Holly WeddleJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 32:38.232:38.232:13.5—
70Jordyn IvesJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 32:53.532:53.532:28.6—
71Cate SkaggsRockbridge County · SOFinish 33:01.133:01.132:36.1—
72Gemma BatisRockbridge County · SOFinish 33:14.933:14.932:49.7—
73Jacey WalkerJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 33:20.733:20.732:55.5—
74Adria ErvinRiverheads · FRFinish 33:45.133:45.133:19.5—
75Maria TrujilloRegents School of Charlottesville · JRFinish 36:31.236:31.236:03.5—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

Developmental Girls 5000 Meter Run

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D

14 of 14 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +31.7 s course and conditions +3.3 s in-season fitness +28.4 sCourse constant 496.76 (497)Race constant 504.15 (504)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 14 of 14 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kathryn GardnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 25:11.225:11.224:43.7—
2Rowan MorrisWaynesboro · FRFinish 26:49.126:49.126:19.8—
3Rachel AllenWaynesboro · FRFinish 28:23.028:23.027:52.0—
4Emily WardWaynesboro · FRFinish 29:02.929:02.928:31.2—
5Katelyn LutzStonewall Jackson · FRFinish 29:25.129:25.128:53.0—
6Yoly CespedesStaunton · SOFinish 31:23.631:23.630:49.3—
7Aubrey DellingerStonewall Jackson · 8Finish 32:25.132:25.131:49.7—
8Sarah YoderFort Defiance · FRFinish 33:57.633:57.633:20.5—
9Grace QuinbyFort Defiance · JRFinish 34:06.234:06.233:28.9—
10Veronica YorroPage County · SOFinish 34:57.034:57.034:18.8—
11Charlotte JonesWaynesboro · FRFinish 35:35.135:35.134:56.2—
12Barrera CeciliaStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 37:23.137:23.136:42.3—
13Brielle-Danae TuniaStaunton · SOFinish 38:10.738:10.737:29.0—
14Lillian GroveStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 40:24.940:24.939:40.7—

Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet, Sep 14, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.