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Oct 30, 2024 · Fishersville, VA

Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships

Wilson Memorial HS XC Course · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships Wilson Memorial HS XC Course, Augusta, VA - 10/30/2024 Boys Varsity 5k

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B

49 of 50 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +27.2 s course and conditions +51.8 s in-season fitness −24.6 sCourse constant 506.68 (507)Race constant 503.21 (503)

47 used anchors± 4.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 47 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 47, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Grayson Norris · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Parker Blosser · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Liam McMahon · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Dylan Colander · Waynesboro: Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  5. 5 Julian Galiano · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  6. 7 Gavin Fortune · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  7. 8 Landon McNorton · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  8. 9 Evan Bishop · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  9. 10 Easton Nice · Stuarts Draft: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  10. 11 Maddox Wickline · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  11. 12 Brenden Thomas · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  12. 13 Nick Powell · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  13. 14 Ross Williamson · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  14. 15 James Ross · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  15. 16 Oliver Lolandes · Stuarts Draft: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  16. 17 Owen Morningstar · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28)
  17. 18 Ryan Briggs · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6)
  18. 19 Ethan Fitzgerald · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
  19. 20 Sam Ashby · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  20. 21 Cooper Patterson · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  21. 22 Stevie Wright · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  22. 23 Peyton McCray · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  23. 24 Trevor Jonas · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  24. 25 Nolan Nicely · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  25. 26 Nelson Armstrong · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  26. 27 Tyler Austin · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  27. 28 ZiJian Liu · Riverheads: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  28. 29 Logan Dolan · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  29. 30 Cy Jarvis · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  30. 31 Nathaniel Missal · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  31. 32 Zeke Downey · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  32. 34 Liam Welch · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  33. 35 Gavin Hepner · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  34. 36 Noah Lilly · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  35. 37 Kaiden Brown · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  36. 38 Nolan Ward · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  37. 39 Andrew Berry · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  38. 40 Zyler Kite · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  39. 41 Matthew Berry · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  40. 42 Jackson Wyant · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  41. 43 Liam Murphy · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 6) · Griffin Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  42. 44 Christian Hoke · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern Mennonite School XC Kick-Off Race (Aug 30)
  43. 45 Landon Ervin · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  44. 46 Wes King · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 6) · Griffin Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  45. 47 Zach Ketchum · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
  46. 48 Sebastian Chou · Staunton: Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  47. 49 Callan Leonard · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 50 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Grayson NorrisWaynesboro · JRFinish 17:00.417:00.416:24.1160.7
2Parker BlosserFort Defiance · SRFinish 17:42.517:42.517:04.7147.1
3Liam McMahonWilson Memorial · SOFinish 17:54.017:54.017:15.8143.4
4Dylan ColanderWaynesboro · SRFinish 18:05.218:05.217:26.6139.8
5Julian GalianoWilson Memorial · FRFinish 18:29.318:29.317:49.8132.1
6BASURTO-CACHO, JRRiverheads · SRFinish 18:44.618:44.618:04.6127.2
7Gavin FortuneWilson Memorial · FRFinish 18:47.518:47.518:07.4126.2
8Landon McNortonWilson Memorial · JRFinish 18:49.818:49.818:09.6125.5
9Evan BishopAlleghany · JRFinish 18:52.518:52.518:12.2124.6
10Easton NiceStuarts Draft · FRFinish 18:54.118:54.118:13.7124.1
11Maddox WicklineAlleghany · JRFinish 19:03.319:03.318:22.6121.2
12Brenden ThomasWilson Memorial · SRFinish 19:07.519:07.518:26.7119.8
13Nick PowellAlleghany · SOFinish 19:15.119:15.118:34.0117.4
14Ross WilliamsonWaynesboro · JRFinish 19:18.919:18.918:37.6116.1
15James RossAlleghany · SRFinish 19:27.219:27.218:45.7113.5
16Oliver LolandesStuarts Draft · SOFinish 19:30.619:30.618:48.9112.4
17Owen MorningstarWaynesboro · JRFinish 19:36.319:36.318:54.4110.6
18Ryan BriggsWaynesboro · SOFinish 19:39.719:39.718:57.7109.5
19Ethan FitzgeraldRiverheads · SRFinish 19:48.119:48.119:05.8106.8
20Sam AshbyRiverheads · FRFinish 19:54.619:54.619:12.1104.7
21Cooper PattersonFort Defiance · SOFinish 20:03.920:03.919:21.0101.7
22Stevie WrightFort Defiance · SOFinish 20:07.320:07.319:24.3100.6
23Peyton McCrayFort Defiance · SOFinish 20:07.820:07.819:24.8100.4
24Trevor JonasAlleghany · SOFinish 20:11.220:11.219:28.199.3
25Nolan NicelyAlleghany · JRFinish 20:21.420:21.419:37.996.1
26Nelson ArmstrongWilson Memorial · SRFinish 20:25.620:25.619:42.094.7
27Tyler AustinStuarts Draft · JRFinish 20:27.020:27.019:43.394.3
28ZiJian LiuRiverheads · JRFinish 20:29.420:29.419:45.693.5
29Logan DolanFort Defiance · SOFinish 20:33.020:33.019:49.192.3
30Cy JarvisRiverheads · SOFinish 20:52.120:52.120:07.586.2
31Nathaniel MissalWaynesboro · SRFinish 21:00.521:00.520:15.683.5
32Zeke DowneyAlleghany · SRFinish 21:01.421:01.420:16.583.2
33Benjamin McHenryStaunton · FRFinish 21:06.321:06.320:21.281.6
34Liam WelchFort Defiance · SOFinish 21:06.521:06.520:21.481.6
35Gavin HepnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 21:07.121:07.120:22.081.4
36Noah LillyBuffalo Gap · FRFinish 21:08.621:08.620:23.480.9
37Kaiden BrownRiverheads · SOFinish 21:25.321:25.320:39.575.5
38Nolan WardBuffalo Gap · FRFinish 21:28.621:28.620:42.774.5
39Andrew BerryStuarts Draft · JRFinish 21:36.421:36.420:50.371.9
40Zyler KiteWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:36.721:36.720:50.571.8
41Matthew BerryStuarts Draft · FRFinish 21:41.421:41.420:55.170.3
42Jackson WyantStuarts Draft · JRFinish 21:48.221:48.221:01.668.1
43Liam MurphyBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 21:50.821:50.821:04.167.3
44Christian HokeStuarts Draft · SRFinish 22:39.122:39.121:50.751.8
45Landon ErvinRiverheads · JRFinish 23:36.723:36.722:46.333.3
46Wes KingBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 24:14.324:14.323:22.521.2
47Zach KetchumWaynesboro · JRFinish 24:15.324:15.323:23.520.9
48Sebastian ChouStaunton · SOFinish 27:25.427:25.426:26.8—
49Callan LeonardStaunton · SOFinish 28:22.228:22.227:21.6—
DNFWARD, DougieFort Defiance · FRFinish UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

42 of 42 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +42.3 s course and conditions +69.2 s in-season fitness −26.9 sCourse constant 522.39 (522)Race constant 516.28 (516)

40 used anchors± 5.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 40 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 40, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kiera Lowman · Alleghany: New Balance RunningLane XC Championships (Dec 7) · Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · and 6 more
  2. 2 Macy Rowe · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Annabella Saunders · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Faith Barron · Alleghany: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Alison Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Lacey Keagy · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  7. 7 Henley Ann Coffman · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Camila Cruz · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Lydia Kimmell · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Alexis Austin · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Sydney Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Charlotte Taylor · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Madilyn Via · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Maggie Hensley · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Thea Franklin · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Amelia Kimmell · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Molly O'Brien · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Verity Jordan · Riverheads: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  20. 20 Kierstin Doyne · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Karina Clark · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Violet Bast · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Averee Stevens · Wilson Memorial: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Reagan Allen · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  25. 25 Emma Carver · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 3 more
  26. 26 Brook Loar · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6)
  27. 27 Finn Tuttle · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  28. 28 Hannah Hipes · Alleghany: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Charlotte Carbajal · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  30. 30 Riley Birt · Fort Defiance: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Chloe Cypher · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Elin Heck · Alleghany: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Reagan Gwaltney · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 6) · and 2 more
  34. 34 Yoly Cespedes · Staunton: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6)
  35. 35 Emily Aguirre- Jimenez · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 6)
  36. 36 Emma McCarthy · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern Mennonite School XC Kick-Off Race (Aug 30)
  37. 37 Cecilia Massie · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Adria Ervin · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Kaydance Stevens · Stuarts Draft: James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14) · and 1 more
  40. 41 Catherine Schooley · Riverheads: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 6) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 42 of 42 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kiera LowmanAlleghany · JRFinish 19:03.519:03.518:08.5129.2
2Macy RoweWaynesboro · FRFinish 19:52.019:52.018:54.7113.8
3Annabella SaundersWilson Memorial · FRFinish 20:53.120:53.119:52.894.5
4Faith BarronAlleghany · SOFinish 21:09.021:09.020:08.089.4
5Alison TroxellWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:37.721:37.720:35.380.3
6Lacey KeagyWaynesboro · FRFinish 22:08.122:08.121:04.270.7
7Henley Ann CoffmanFort Defiance · FRFinish 22:11.822:11.821:07.769.5
8Camila CruzFort Defiance · SOFinish 22:17.022:17.021:12.767.8
9Lydia KimmellWaynesboro · SRFinish 22:43.622:43.621:38.059.4
10Alexis AustinWaynesboro · SOFinish 22:54.322:54.321:48.256.0
11Madison ConnerFort Defiance · JRFinish 23:07.223:07.222:00.551.9
12Sydney TroxellWilson Memorial · JRFinish 23:18.923:18.922:11.648.2
13Charlotte TaylorAlleghany · FRFinish 23:28.123:28.122:20.445.3
14Madilyn ViaAlleghany · FRFinish 23:39.523:39.522:31.241.7
15Maggie HensleyAlleghany · SOFinish 23:51.123:51.122:42.338.0
16Thea FranklinWilson Memorial · JRFinish 24:02.024:02.022:52.634.5
17Amelia KimmellWaynesboro · SOFinish 24:19.124:19.123:08.929.1
18Molly O'BrienFort Defiance · JRFinish 24:37.724:37.723:26.623.2
19Verity JordanRiverheads · SOFinish 24:51.224:51.223:39.518.9
20Kierstin DoyneRiverheads · JRFinish 24:57.224:57.223:45.217.0
21Karina ClarkFort Defiance · SRFinish 25:09.725:09.723:57.113.0
22Violet BastFort Defiance · SOFinish 25:11.425:11.423:58.712.5
23Averee StevensWilson Memorial · SRFinish 25:30.125:30.124:16.56.6
24Reagan AllenWaynesboro · FRFinish 25:48.725:48.724:34.20.7
25Emma CarverWaynesboro · JRFinish 25:51.325:51.324:36.7—
26Brook LoarStaunton · SRFinish 25:59.525:59.524:44.5—
27Finn TuttleStaunton · SOFinish 26:27.926:27.925:11.5—
28Hannah HipesAlleghany · SOFinish 26:42.126:42.125:25.0—
29Charlotte CarbajalStaunton · SOFinish 26:46.326:46.325:29.0—
30Riley BirtFort Defiance · SOFinish 27:05.527:05.525:47.3—
31Chloe CypherRiverheads · SOFinish 27:15.627:15.625:56.9—
32Elin HeckAlleghany · FRFinish 27:44.227:44.226:24.1—
33Reagan GwaltneyBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 27:59.627:59.626:38.8—
34Yoly CespedesStaunton · SOFinish 28:25.628:25.627:03.6—
35Emily Aguirre- JimenezBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 28:32.628:32.627:10.2—
36Emma McCarthyStuarts Draft · SRFinish 28:34.528:34.527:12.0—
37Cecilia MassieRiverheads · JRFinish 30:16.730:16.728:49.3—
38Adria ErvinRiverheads · FRFinish 30:21.330:21.328:53.7—
39Kaydance StevensStuarts Draft · SOFinish 31:41.131:41.130:09.6—
40Ella FryeStaunton · SRFinish 33:04.033:04.031:28.6—
41Catherine SchooleyRiverheads · SRFinish 33:34.133:34.131:57.2—
42Mara CypherRiverheads · SRFinish 36:36.036:36.034:50.4—

Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships, Oct 30, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.