NovaRunners
All meets

Nov 6, 2024 · Crimora, VA

VHSL 2A Region B Championship 2024

Fort Defiance HS XC Course · Historical 2024 results

Report a problem with this meet

Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

VHSL 2A Region B Championship Fort Defiance HS XC Course, Fort Defiance, VA - 11/6/2024 Varsity Boys 5k

Copy link to Boys varsity
C

49 of 50 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +56.1 s course and conditions +81.3 s in-season fitness −25.2 sCourse constant 515.42 (515)Race constant 512.03 (512)

35 used anchors± 9.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 35 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 35, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 2 James Casey · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  2. 3 Jackson Ellis · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  3. 4 Marcus Bowley · Stonewall Jackson: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 2 more
  4. 5 Aaron Hensley · Page County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  5. 7 Parker Blosser · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  6. 8 Davey Johnson · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  7. 10 Aidan Kreeb · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  8. 11 Landon Horton · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  9. 12 Easton Nice · Stuarts Draft: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  10. 15 Jeremy Morris · Madison County: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  11. 16 Matthew Lisk · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  12. 18 Cooper Patterson · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  13. 20 Nehemiah Thomas · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  14. 21 Sam Ashby · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  15. 23 Ethan Fitzgerald · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
  16. 24 Oliver Lolandes · Stuarts Draft: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · James River Knights Hsms Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  17. 25 Kyle Layman · Stonewall Jackson: 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  18. 26 Jaxon Staples · Page County: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  19. 28 Stevie Wright · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  20. 30 Cy Jarvis · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  21. 31 Peyton McCray · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  22. 33 Paxton Andrews · Central (Woodstock): Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  23. 35 Liam Welch · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  24. 36 Max Banks · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14) · and 2 more
  25. 38 Landon Good · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14) · and 2 more
  26. 39 Jacob Bowers · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  27. 40 Kaiden Brown · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  28. 41 Logan Dolan · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Judges Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  29. 42 Cooper Boyd · Riverheads: Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  30. 43 Gavin Hepner · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  31. 44 Landon Ervin · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  32. 46 Grant Baugher · Page County: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  33. 47 AJ Bosley · Page County: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  34. 48 Elliott Montana · Page County: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  35. 49 Landon Bosley · Page County: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 50 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Evan *Q-Indiv RobertsMadison County · JRFinish 17:34.817:34.816:33.8157.4
2James CaseyClarke County · SRFinish 17:37.517:37.516:36.4156.6
3Jackson EllisClarke County · SRFinish 17:41.817:41.816:40.4155.2
4Marcus BowleyStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 17:52.717:52.716:50.7151.8
5Aaron HensleyPage County · JRFinish 18:08.518:08.517:05.6146.8
6Wyatt *Q-Team SealLuray · SRFinish 18:09.618:09.617:06.6146.5
7Parker BlosserFort Defiance · SRFinish 18:09.818:09.817:06.8146.4
8Davey JohnsonLuray · SRFinish 18:15.718:15.717:12.4144.6
9Asher *Q-Indiv KitePage County · JRFinish 18:20.318:20.317:16.7143.1
10Aidan KreebClarke County · SRFinish 18:23.318:23.317:19.5142.2
11Landon HortonClarke County · SOFinish 18:38.518:38.517:33.8137.4
12Easton NiceStuarts Draft · FRFinish 18:45.518:45.517:40.4135.2
13Charlie *Q-Team HooverStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 18:50.118:50.117:44.8133.8
14JR., Gui Basurto-CachoRiverheads · SRFinish 18:56.418:56.417:50.7131.8
15Jeremy MorrisMadison County · FRFinish 19:12.919:12.918:06.3126.6
16Matthew LiskClarke County · SOFinish 19:18.119:18.118:11.2125.0
17Cade *Q-Team BelyeaStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 19:22.219:22.218:15.0123.7
18Cooper PattersonFort Defiance · SOFinish 19:35.319:35.318:27.4119.6
19Penn *Q-Team WatkinsonStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 19:36.419:36.418:28.4119.2
20Nehemiah ThomasStrasburg · JRFinish 19:40.519:40.518:32.3117.9
21Sam AshbyRiverheads · FRFinish 19:55.519:55.518:46.4113.2
22Brody *Q-Team EllisClarke County · SOFinish 19:58.119:58.118:48.8112.4
23Ethan FitzgeraldRiverheads · SRFinish 20:04.320:04.318:54.7110.5
24Oliver LolandesStuarts Draft · SOFinish 20:07.320:07.318:57.5109.5
25Kyle LaymanStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 20:11.020:11.019:01.0108.4
26Jaxon StaplesPage County · SOFinish 20:11.120:11.119:01.1108.3
27Haden *Q-Team RichardsStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 20:14.220:14.219:04.0107.4
28Stevie WrightFort Defiance · SOFinish 20:32.720:32.719:21.4101.5
29Riley *Q-Team CubbageLuray · FRFinish 20:35.220:35.219:23.8100.8
30Cy JarvisRiverheads · SOFinish 20:50.820:50.819:38.595.9
31Peyton McCrayFort Defiance · SOFinish 21:05.421:05.419:52.291.3
32Fletcher *Q-Tea MoyersStonewall Jackson · JRFinish 21:09.621:09.619:56.290.0
33Paxton AndrewsCentral (Woodstock) · FRFinish 21:10.321:10.319:56.989.7
34Warren *Q-Te MaibergerClarke County · JRFinish 21:12.921:12.919:59.388.9
35Liam WelchFort Defiance · SOFinish 21:17.121:17.120:03.387.6
36Max BanksLuray · FRFinish 21:23.421:23.420:09.285.6
37Ernst *Q-Team MichaelLuray · SOFinish 21:26.621:26.620:12.284.6
38Landon GoodLuray · SOFinish 21:39.021:39.020:23.980.7
39Jacob BowersStrasburg · JRFinish 21:50.521:50.520:34.777.1
40Kaiden BrownRiverheads · SOFinish 21:56.621:56.620:40.575.2
41Logan DolanFort Defiance · SOFinish 22:00.022:00.020:43.774.1
42Cooper BoydRiverheads · FRFinish 22:28.022:28.021:10.165.3
43Gavin HepnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 22:45.922:45.921:26.959.7
44Landon ErvinRiverheads · JRFinish 23:02.123:02.121:42.254.6
45Tatum *Q-Team BarnesLuray · SOFinish 23:15.423:15.421:54.750.4
46Grant BaugherPage County · SOFinish 23:27.923:27.922:06.546.5
47AJ BosleyPage County · SRFinish 24:16.924:16.922:52.731.1
48Elliott MontanaPage County · SRFinish 27:45.027:45.026:08.7—
49Landon BosleyPage County · FRFinish 27:56.027:56.026:19.1—
DNFESTEP, LukeStonewall Jackson · SOFinish UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
C

52 of 52 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +65.8 s course and conditions +93.3 s in-season fitness −27.4 sCourse constant 532.34 (532)Race constant 526.19 (526)

36 used anchors± 10.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 36 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 36, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 2 Molly Husted · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  2. 3 Annah Wood · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  3. 5 Camila Cruz · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  4. 6 Henley Ann Coffman · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  5. 7 Ashley Moran · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  6. 10 Carolina Wood · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  7. 11 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  8. 12 Emma Husted · Clarke County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  9. 13 Hannah Logan · Strasburg: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  10. 15 Isla Lang · Central (Woodstock): VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  11. 16 Addison Jones · Strasburg: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  12. 17 Molly O'Brien · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  13. 18 August Beatty · Page County: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  14. 19 Lily Smoot · Madison County: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  15. 20 Isabela Rizek · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14) · and 2 more
  16. 21 Karina Clark · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  17. 22 Maya Jenkins · Luray: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  18. 25 Ally Cave · Madison County: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  19. 26 Emily Gorrell · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  20. 27 Kierstin Doyne · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  21. 28 Alexie McGowan · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
  22. 29 Chloe Cypher · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  23. 30 Reese Jenkins · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  24. 31 Riley Birt · Fort Defiance: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · and 2 more
  25. 33 Lillia Bauserman · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Great Meadow Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  26. 34 Bailey Walker · Strasburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  27. 35 Tori Gilbert · Madison County: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  28. 36 Natalie Lazaro-Luna · Stonewall Jackson: East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14)
  29. 37 Lucie Erickson · Central (Woodstock): 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  30. 38 Abigail Rhodes · Central (Woodstock): Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  31. 40 Grace Bushong · Central (Woodstock): Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  32. 46 Katherine George · Central (Woodstock): Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  33. 47 Kelsey Lambert · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 14) · and 1 more
  34. 48 Cecilia Massie · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  35. 50 Adria Ervin · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  36. 51 Catherine Schooley · Riverheads: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 30) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 52 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Teya *Q-Team StarleyClarke County · Grade not recordedFinish 21:17.021:17.019:52.994.4
2Molly HustedClarke County · SRFinish 21:53.921:53.920:27.482.9
3Annah WoodLuray · SRFinish 22:34.122:34.121:05.070.4
4Elena *Q-Team StrootClarke County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:45.922:45.921:16.066.7
5Camila CruzFort Defiance · SOFinish 22:59.122:59.121:28.362.6
6Henley Ann CoffmanFort Defiance · FRFinish 23:13.723:13.721:42.058.1
7Ashley MoranClarke County · SOFinish 23:17.823:17.821:45.856.8
8Abigail *Q-Tea CochranClarke County · SRFinish 23:21.823:21.821:49.555.6
9Ava *Q-Indiv PulizziCentral (Woodstock) · Grade not recordedFinish 23:35.323:35.322:02.151.4
10Carolina WoodLuray · JRFinish 23:38.623:38.622:05.250.3
11Madison ConnerFort Defiance · JRFinish 23:41.623:41.622:08.049.4
12Emma HustedClarke County · SOFinish 23:44.023:44.022:10.348.6
13Hannah LoganStrasburg · SOFinish 23:53.123:53.122:18.845.8
14Verity *Q-Indiv JordanRiverheads · Grade not recordedFinish 24:11.524:11.522:35.940.1
15Isla LangCentral (Woodstock) · FRFinish 24:16.824:16.822:40.938.4
16Addison JonesStrasburg · JRFinish 24:18.724:18.722:42.737.8
17Molly O'BrienFort Defiance · JRFinish 24:41.524:41.523:04.030.7
18August BeattyPage County · SOFinish 24:45.724:45.723:07.929.4
19Lily SmootMadison County · SOFinish 24:49.824:49.823:11.728.2
20Isabela RizekLuray · SOFinish 24:57.124:57.123:18.525.9
21Karina ClarkFort Defiance · SRFinish 25:07.725:07.723:28.422.6
22Maya JenkinsLuray · SOFinish 25:17.825:17.823:37.919.4
23Anika PerryCentral (Woodstock) · SRFinish 25:30.425:30.423:49.715.5
24Ava ShumakerBuckingham County · FRFinish 25:40.825:40.823:59.412.3
25Ally CaveMadison County · SOFinish 25:50.425:50.424:08.39.3
26Emily GorrellStrasburg · JRFinish 25:54.525:54.524:12.28.0
27Kierstin DoyneRiverheads · JRFinish 25:56.225:56.224:13.87.5
28Alexie McGowanStrasburg · SOFinish 26:17.426:17.424:33.60.9
29Chloe CypherRiverheads · SOFinish 26:24.626:24.624:40.3—
30Reese JenkinsStrasburg · SOFinish 26:42.026:42.024:56.5—
31Riley BirtFort Defiance · SOFinish 26:49.126:49.125:03.2—
32Amalie *Q-Team KramerLuray · Grade not recordedFinish 27:02.227:02.225:15.4—
33Lillia BausermanStrasburg · SOFinish 27:09.527:09.525:22.2—
34Bailey WalkerStrasburg · JRFinish 27:15.027:15.025:27.4—
35Tori GilbertMadison County · JRFinish 27:30.027:30.025:41.4—
36Natalie Lazaro-LunaStonewall Jackson · SOFinish 27:38.327:38.325:49.1—
37Lucie EricksonCentral (Woodstock) · SRFinish 27:47.427:47.425:57.6—
38Abigail RhodesCentral (Woodstock) · SOFinish 27:52.927:52.926:02.8—
39Chasity HernandezBuckingham County · SRFinish 27:59.827:59.826:09.2—
40Grace BushongCentral (Woodstock) · FRFinish 28:50.028:50.026:56.1—
41Alayna *Q-Team RoyLuray · Grade not recordedFinish 29:02.429:02.427:07.7—
42Adele SayerBuckingham County · JRFinish 29:13.929:13.927:18.4—
43Peyten BeamBuckingham County · FRFinish 29:54.829:54.827:56.6—
44Maira PortilloBuckingham County · JRFinish 29:57.329:57.327:59.0—
45Rylynn MorrisBuckingham County · SRFinish 29:59.429:59.428:00.9—
46Katherine GeorgeCentral (Woodstock) · JRFinish 30:10.730:10.728:11.5—
47Kelsey LambertFort Defiance · FRFinish 31:07.031:07.029:04.1—
48Cecilia MassieRiverheads · JRFinish 32:07.632:07.630:00.7—
49Bonnie BrowningBuckingham County · FRFinish 34:17.634:17.632:02.1—
50Adria ErvinRiverheads · FRFinish 34:22.234:22.232:06.4—
Show all 52 results (2 more)Showing all 52 results · hide rows 51–52
Girls results, rows 51 to 52 of 52
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Catherine SchooleyRiverheads · SRFinish 35:32.235:32.233:11.8—
52Elena *Q-Team BrownLuray · Grade not recordedFinish 36:15.436:15.433:52.2—

VHSL 2A Region B Championship 2024, Nov 6, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.