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Oct 18, 2023 · Blacksburg, VA

Metro XC Championships

Blacksburg HS XC Course · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 167.9), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000m Run

C

116 of 116 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +25.2 s course and conditions +48.7 s in-season fitness −23.6 sCourse constant 513.68 (514)Race constant 511.57 (512)

116 used anchors± 8.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 116 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 116, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kerrigan Chaney · North Cross School: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · and 7 more
  2. 2 Deena Ludtke · Rockbridge County: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Reese Bradbury · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Sadie Martin · Patrick County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  5. 5 Lauren Niday · Cave Spring: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Claire Glover · William Byrd: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  7. 7 Cameron Lee · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Tess Dickhans · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Addyson Funk · Salem (Salem): VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Ainsley Myles · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  11. 11 Reagan Bryant · Radford: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Eliza Conaway · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  13. 13 Aija McHone · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Mickie O'Herron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  15. 15 Natalie White · Bath County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  16. 16 Ruby Griggs · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  17. 17 Tess Somervell · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  18. 18 Jordan Wetzel · Cave Spring: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Allie McDonald · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  20. 20 Anna Nye · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  21. 21 Annaliese Miller · Giles: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  22. 22 Valeria Castillo · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  23. 23 Everly Shanks · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  24. 24 Aubrey Aaron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  25. 25 Dorothy Lewis · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  26. 26 Nicole Black · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 4 more
  27. 27 Amelia Dietrich · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  28. 28 Heidi Wienke · William Byrd: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  29. 29 Brooke Eichelberger · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  30. 30 Ele Norton · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Ruby Bills · Cave Spring: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  32. 32 Penny Griggs · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Peyton Sloane · Cave Spring: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  34. 34 Lucy Whitenack · William Byrd: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Ella Light · Cave Spring: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  36. 36 Elise Grieme · Cave Spring: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  37. 37 Erna Dietrich · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 24) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Harper Rocovich · Salem (Salem): Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Addison Purser · Lord Botetourt: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 24) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Grace Woodcock · William Byrd: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Cougar Clash Invitational (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  41. 41 Jocelyn Parks · Bland County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  42. 42 Olivia Wilbon · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 6 more
  43. 43 Lauren Murray · Hidden Valley: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 6 more
  44. 44 Eva Coniglione · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  45. 45 Ellie Loschner · Cave Spring: adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  46. 46 Madeleine Gantzhorn · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  47. 47 Sophia Bradley · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  48. 48 Callie Conner · Salem (Salem): Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Lily Hyatt · Radford: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  50. 50 Anna Hall · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 116 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kerrigan ChaneyNorth Cross School · JRFinish 18:22.118:22.117:43.7139.6
2Deena LudtkeRockbridge County · SRFinish 20:14.620:14.619:32.3103.4
3Reese BradburyBlacksburg · SRFinish 20:31.620:31.619:48.797.9
4Sadie MartinPatrick County · JRFinish 20:48.120:48.120:04.692.6
5Lauren NidayCave Spring · SRFinish 21:27.221:27.220:42.480.0
6Claire GloverWilliam Byrd · SRFinish 21:28.321:28.320:43.479.7
7Cameron LeeBlacksburg · SRFinish 21:30.721:30.720:45.878.9
8Tess DickhansBlacksburg · SOFinish 21:35.521:35.520:50.477.4
9Addyson FunkSalem (Salem) · JRFinish 21:35.621:35.620:50.577.3
10Ainsley MylesNorth Cross School · FRFinish 21:39.921:39.920:54.675.9
11Reagan BryantRadford · JRFinish 21:41.221:41.220:55.975.5
12Eliza ConawayBlacksburg · FRFinish 21:44.821:44.820:59.474.4
13Aija McHoneEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 21:47.321:47.321:01.873.6
14Mickie O'HerronRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 21:48.021:48.021:02.573.3
15Natalie WhiteBath County · SRFinish 21:55.621:55.621:09.870.9
16Ruby GriggsBlacksburg · JRFinish 22:09.722:09.721:23.466.4
17Tess SomervellChilhowie · SRFinish 22:14.722:14.721:28.264.8
18Jordan WetzelCave Spring · SRFinish 22:17.622:17.621:31.063.8
19Allie McDonaldBlacksburg · SRFinish 22:18.322:18.321:31.763.6
20Anna NyeRockbridge County · FRFinish 22:20.222:20.221:33.563.0
21Annaliese MillerGiles · JRFinish 22:21.522:21.521:34.862.6
22Valeria CastilloGlenvar · JRFinish 22:23.322:23.321:36.562.0
23Everly ShanksGlenvar · SOFinish 22:29.822:29.821:42.859.9
24Aubrey AaronRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 22:34.122:34.121:47.058.5
25Dorothy LewisRockbridge County · SOFinish 22:34.422:34.421:47.258.4
26Nicole BlackRockbridge County · SRFinish 22:41.422:41.421:54.056.2
27Amelia DietrichLord Botetourt · SRFinish 22:53.522:53.522:05.752.3
28Heidi WienkeWilliam Byrd · FRFinish 22:53.822:53.822:06.052.2
29Brooke EichelbergerRockbridge County · JRFinish 22:56.422:56.422:08.551.3
30Ele NortonBlacksburg · SRFinish 22:57.422:57.422:09.451.0
31Ruby BillsCave Spring · FRFinish 22:58.922:58.922:10.950.5
32Penny GriggsBlacksburg · FRFinish 23:02.923:02.922:14.749.2
33Peyton SloaneCave Spring · JRFinish 23:06.123:06.122:17.848.2
34Lucy WhitenackWilliam Byrd · SOFinish 23:07.423:07.422:19.147.8
35Ella LightCave Spring · JRFinish 23:10.323:10.322:21.946.9
36Elise GriemeCave Spring · SRFinish 23:10.923:10.922:22.546.7
37Erna DietrichLord Botetourt · SRFinish 23:12.523:12.522:24.046.2
38Harper RocovichSalem (Salem) · FRFinish 23:28.123:28.122:39.141.1
39Addison PurserLord Botetourt · FRFinish 23:40.823:40.822:51.337.1
40Grace WoodcockWilliam Byrd · JRFinish 23:41.223:41.222:51.736.9
41Jocelyn ParksBland County · FRFinish 23:48.823:48.822:59.134.5
42Olivia WilbonEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 23:49.323:49.322:59.534.3
43Lauren MurrayHidden Valley · SRFinish 23:52.623:52.623:02.733.3
44Eva ConiglioneRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 23:55.423:55.423:05.432.4
45Ellie LoschnerCave Spring · SOFinish 23:55.923:55.923:05.932.2
46Madeleine GantzhornLord Botetourt · FRFinish 24:03.924:03.923:13.629.6
47Sophia BradleyRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 24:04.624:04.623:14.329.4
48Callie ConnerSalem (Salem) · JRFinish 24:15.524:15.523:24.825.9
49Lily HyattRadford · FRFinish 24:17.524:17.523:26.825.2
50Anna HallGlenvar · SOFinish 24:20.924:20.923:30.024.2
Show all 116 results (66 more)Showing all 116 results · hide rows 51–116
Girls results, rows 51 to 116 of 116
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Skylar FoxPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 24:27.024:27.023:35.922.2
52Eliza BrabyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 24:27.824:27.823:36.721.9
53Addie TappRadford · SRFinish 24:29.224:29.223:38.021.5
54Alexia AllenGiles · JRFinish 24:34.524:34.523:43.219.8
55Heidi SwartzwelderBlacksburg · FRFinish 24:35.824:35.823:44.419.4
56Brooke BowersSalem (Salem) · SRFinish 24:45.724:45.723:54.016.2
57Joanna KilleenGlenvar · SRFinish 24:47.724:47.723:55.915.5
58Leila RameyHidden Valley · JRFinish 24:59.224:59.224:07.011.8
59Kate HolstonRockbridge County · SOFinish 25:00.525:00.524:08.311.4
60Maggie BryantHidden Valley · FRFinish 25:00.525:00.524:08.311.4
61Claire RawlinsSalem (Salem) · JRFinish 25:01.025:01.024:08.711.2
62Sadie AlphinBath County · SRFinish 25:01.525:01.524:09.211.1
63Ella JohnstonLord Botetourt · SRFinish 25:04.525:04.524:12.110.1
64Ava AshleyNorthside · JRFinish 25:05.425:05.424:13.09.8
65Lyndsye RothkopfSalem (Salem) · SRFinish 25:06.025:06.024:13.69.6
66Ellianna MontgomeryPatrick County · SOFinish 25:15.125:15.124:22.36.7
67Gabby HolohanCave Spring · SRFinish 25:17.525:17.524:24.75.9
68Lacy DavisEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 25:20.025:20.024:27.15.1
69Mackenzie WilliamsPatrick County · JRFinish 25:21.525:21.524:28.54.7
70Fiona RameyHidden Valley · FRFinish 25:23.625:23.624:30.54.0
71Addison BeckerRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 25:33.025:33.024:39.61.0
72Molly MurdockRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 25:34.925:34.924:41.50.3
73Alexandra BonillaWilliam Byrd · SRFinish 25:38.425:38.424:44.8—
74Kassidy GillenwaterAuburn · SOFinish 25:39.925:39.924:46.3—
75Abigail CastleberryRadford · FRFinish 25:42.125:42.124:48.4—
76Georgia MillerJames River (Buchanan) · SOFinish 25:42.225:42.224:48.5—
77Pikea Reynolds-SaintHidden Valley · SRFinish 25:44.725:44.724:50.9—
78Aliza SchopfCave Spring · FRFinish 25:51.025:51.024:57.0—
79Lydia NovickHidden Valley · FRFinish 25:52.225:52.224:58.2—
80Anna BuskillRadford · SRFinish 26:10.926:10.925:16.2—
81Kora EpperlyRadford · SRFinish 26:11.126:11.125:16.4—
82Cassandra SilverRockbridge County · SOFinish 26:23.726:23.725:28.6—
83Jadelynn LaneGiles · SOFinish 26:29.326:29.325:34.0—
84Lydia GoadPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 26:30.826:30.825:35.4—
85Allison BrundrettRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 26:31.226:31.225:35.8—
86Lillian KesslerRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 26:31.626:31.625:36.2—
87Tori BlackwellChilhowie · SOFinish 26:45.026:45.025:49.1—
88Maggie HowardEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 26:45.426:45.425:49.5—
89Elizabeth DixonWilliam Byrd · SRFinish 26:53.726:53.725:57.5—
90Camille HidalgoRadford · FRFinish 26:58.026:58.026:01.7—
91Hannah IvinsRockbridge County · FRFinish 27:07.527:07.526:10.8—
92Alice GreshamRockbridge County · SOFinish 27:18.027:18.026:21.0—
93Aliyah AllenGlenvar · FRFinish 27:21.827:21.826:24.6—
94Elena MullenWilliam Byrd · FRFinish 27:31.527:31.526:34.0—
95Grace KinzieHidden Valley · JRFinish 27:34.327:34.326:36.7—
96Ember WileyLord Botetourt · FRFinish 27:47.427:47.426:49.3—
97Annie GeorgeGlenvar · FRFinish 27:53.127:53.126:54.8—
98Elizabeth MeadowsLord Botetourt · JRFinish 27:56.327:56.326:57.9—
99Kendyl GrossChilhowie · SOFinish 28:01.828:01.827:03.2—
100Olivia CloseRadford · FRFinish 28:02.928:02.927:04.3—
101Caroline LovedaySalem (Salem) · JRFinish 28:32.628:32.627:33.0—
102Leah JohnsonSalem (Salem) · FRFinish 29:00.029:00.027:59.4—
103Kayliana BautistaWilliam Fleming · JRFinish 29:05.429:05.428:04.6—
104Meghan KidwellEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 29:06.429:06.428:05.6—
105WIllow HyltonPatrick County · FRFinish 29:06.529:06.528:05.7—
106Digna Dubon RapaloWilliam Fleming · JRFinish 29:15.929:15.928:14.8—
107Diana Sanchez-DiazWilliam Fleming · JRFinish 29:56.529:56.528:53.9—
108Jillian HarrisLord Botetourt · JRFinish 30:04.030:04.029:01.2—
109Bailey CundiffRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 30:04.130:04.129:01.3—
110Ishani PinnamarajuCave Spring · FRFinish 31:44.031:44.030:37.7—
111Lexus OwenPatrick County · SOFinish 33:00.333:00.331:51.3—
112Riley PersingerJames River (Buchanan) · FRFinish 33:11.133:11.132:01.8—
113Madison GwinnChilhowie · SOFinish 33:26.333:26.332:16.4—
114Barrett CundiffRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 34:15.734:15.733:04.1—
115Marilyn Campos-MartinezWilliam Fleming · 8Finish 37:09.437:09.435:51.8—
116Abbey PhillipsBath County · SRFinish 37:30.537:30.536:12.1—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.