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Nov 1, 2023 · Winchester, VA

Region 4D Championships

Kernstown Battlefield XC Course · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Qualifying - Teams: 3 Individuals: 5 Boys 5000m Run

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B

96 of 96 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +21.7 s course and conditions +43.6 s in-season fitness −21.9 sCourse constant 503.88 (504)Race constant 502.07 (502)

95 used anchors± 4.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 95 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 95, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 2 Alex Jordan · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  2. 3 Dylan McGraw · Sherando: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 6 more
  3. 4 Henry Strahm · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  4. 5 Macon Smith · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  5. 6 Nathaniel McKee · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  6. 7 Nathaniel Orban · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  7. 8 Ryan Bagchi · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  8. 9 Luke Gaylor · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 2 more
  9. 10 Zander Krisch · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  10. 11 Eli Clark · James Wood: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  11. 12 Samson Palmer · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  12. 13 Jack Helmke · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  13. 14 Jordan Chorbaji · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  14. 15 Benjamin Bailey · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  15. 16 Harrison Whitfield · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  16. 17 Will Thomas · Handley: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 4 more
  17. 18 Andrew Johnson · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 2 more
  18. 19 Graham Goodale · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  19. 20 Zane Easter · Salem (Salem): VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  20. 21 Miles Ermann · Blacksburg: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  21. 22 Emerson Bryant · Amherst: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 2) · and 1 more
  22. 23 Ethan Havran · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 2 more
  23. 24 Mark Bridgham · Orange County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  24. 25 Ryan Maki · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 3 more
  25. 26 David Hiss · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  26. 27 Jake Laneve · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  27. 28 Asher Roach · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  28. 29 Aidan Neidich · Liberty (Bealeton): NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22)
  29. 30 Brock Smith · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 3 more
  30. 31 Grayson West · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  31. 32 Carson Tucker · Salem (Salem): Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  32. 33 Finn Slaughter · Handley: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 4 more
  33. 34 Austin Prosser · Salem (Salem): Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  34. 35 Peter Warner · Millbrook (VA): Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  35. 36 Liam Hunt · E. C. Glass: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  36. 37 Thomas Newman · James Wood: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  37. 38 Halston Wright · Handley: 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  38. 39 Zachary Harrington · James Wood: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  39. 40 Jed Bell · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 3 more
  40. 41 Avery Miller · Handley: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 4 more
  41. 42 Noah Meleason · Handley: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  42. 43 Carrick Amerine · James Wood: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  43. 44 Ward Heffern · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  44. 45 Sebastian Berrios · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 3 more
  45. 46 Caden Treiber · Millbrook (VA): Judges Classic (Sep 30) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  46. 47 Elijah Mcgee · Millbrook (VA): Judges Classic (Sep 30)
  47. 48 Nicholas Williams · Orange County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  48. 49 Andrew Ahrens · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  49. 50 Rick Rawlins · Salem (Salem): Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  50. 51 Sebastian Ploch · E. C. Glass: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 96 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
2Alex JordanJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 16:01.816:01.815:31.7179.4
3Dylan McGrawSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 16:07.816:07.815:37.5177.4
4Henry StrahmBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 16:29.316:29.315:58.3170.5
5Macon SmithJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 16:31.316:31.316:00.3169.8
6Nathaniel McKeeCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:32.916:32.916:01.8169.3
7Nathaniel OrbanCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.316:33.316:02.2169.2
8Ryan BagchiBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 16:41.316:41.316:10.0166.6
9Luke GaylorJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 16:45.916:45.916:14.4165.1
10Zander KrischBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 16:52.516:52.516:20.8163.0
11Eli ClarkJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 16:54.616:54.616:22.9162.3
12Samson PalmerCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:00.717:00.716:28.8160.3
13Jack HelmkeCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:00.817:00.816:28.9160.3
14Jordan ChorbajiCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:06.217:06.216:34.1158.6
15Benjamin BaileyBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 17:07.417:07.416:35.3158.2
16Harrison WhitfieldBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 17:12.017:12.016:39.7156.7
17Will ThomasHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:20.017:20.016:47.5154.1
18Andrew JohnsonJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 17:21.317:21.316:48.7153.7
19Graham GoodaleCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.217:24.216:51.5152.8
20Zane EasterSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.817:24.816:52.1152.6
21Miles ErmannBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 17:42.917:42.917:09.6146.7
22Emerson BryantAmherst · Grade not recordedFinish 17:46.217:46.217:12.8145.7
23Ethan HavranCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:50.817:50.817:17.3144.2
24Mark BridghamOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 17:54.117:54.117:20.5143.1
25Ryan MakiSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 17:54.917:54.917:21.3142.8
26David HissJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 17:56.617:56.617:22.9142.3
27Jake LaneveJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 17:57.917:57.917:24.2141.9
28Asher RoachBlacksburg · Grade not recordedFinish 18:00.318:00.317:26.5141.1
29Aidan NeidichLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 18:03.818:03.817:29.9140.0
30Brock SmithSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 18:17.018:17.017:42.7135.7
31Grayson WestJefferson Forest · Grade not recordedFinish 18:17.218:17.217:42.9135.6
32Carson TuckerSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 18:17.618:17.617:43.3135.5
33Finn SlaughterHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 18:17.918:17.917:43.5135.4
34Austin ProsserSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 18:24.118:24.117:49.6133.4
35Peter WarnerMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 18:26.918:26.917:52.3132.5
36Liam HuntE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 18:48.818:48.818:13.5125.4
37Thomas NewmanJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 18:52.118:52.118:16.7124.4
38Halston WrightHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 18:53.718:53.718:18.2123.9
39Zachary HarringtonJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 18:54.918:54.918:19.4123.5
40Jed BellSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 18:57.418:57.418:21.8122.7
41Avery MillerHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 19:02.619:02.618:26.8121.0
42Noah MeleasonHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 19:12.119:12.118:36.1117.9
43Carrick AmerineJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 19:12.119:12.118:36.1117.9
44Ward HeffernSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 19:13.719:13.718:37.6117.4
45Sebastian BerriosSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 19:15.119:15.118:39.0116.9
46Caden TreiberMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:15.819:15.818:39.6116.7
47Elijah McgeeMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:21.119:21.118:44.8115.0
48Nicholas WilliamsOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 19:21.819:21.818:45.4114.8
49Andrew AhrensSherando · Grade not recordedFinish 19:24.619:24.618:48.2113.9
50Rick RawlinsSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:25.219:25.218:48.7113.7
51Sebastian PlochE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 19:27.219:27.218:50.7113.0
Show all 96 results (46 more)Showing all 96 results · hide rows 51–96
Boys results, rows 51 to 96 of 96
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
52Teague MendezMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:31.419:31.418:54.7111.7
53Bryce WallAmherst · Grade not recordedFinish 19:32.419:32.418:55.7111.4
54John-Paul MancierE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 19:34.519:34.518:57.7110.7
55Charles Harrison IIOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 19:37.119:37.119:00.3109.8
56Sam WilliamsAmherst · Grade not recordedFinish 19:40.119:40.119:03.2108.9
57Will SimkoJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 19:43.019:43.019:06.0107.9
58Matthew DoranHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 19:44.119:44.119:07.0107.6
59Grant HornerSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:53.619:53.619:16.3104.5
60Isaac SnowSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:56.619:56.619:19.2103.5
61Aayden Zbinden-BrassardOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 19:57.119:57.119:19.6103.4
62Lane SniderOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 19:57.319:57.319:19.8103.3
63Jude ShaughnessyHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:00.420:00.419:22.8102.3
64Yuvraj SinghSalem (Salem) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:05.820:05.819:28.1100.6
65Tyler DeWarfJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 20:06.720:06.719:28.9100.3
66Bennett WiessMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:10.520:10.519:32.699.1
67Brennan HuntHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:17.920:17.919:39.896.7
68Sean CampbellHandley · Grade not recordedFinish 20:20.120:20.119:41.996.0
69Atsawin KraiwanLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:30.120:30.119:51.692.7
70Tommy CarmodyOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:40.820:40.820:02.089.3
71Apollo GuanzonE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 20:45.620:45.620:06.687.7
72Graham DavidsonMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:54.620:54.620:15.384.8
73Nicholas HudsonHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:55.620:55.620:16.384.5
74Rafferty LeeMecklenburg County · Grade not recordedFinish 21:30.921:30.920:50.573.1
75James BellAmherst · Grade not recordedFinish 21:33.321:33.320:52.872.3
76Michael RasnickLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 21:49.721:49.721:08.767.0
77Joel LayneHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 21:50.621:50.621:09.666.7
78Jackson CarrMillbrook (VA) · Grade not recordedFinish 21:52.921:52.921:11.866.0
79Cameron WestLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 22:10.722:10.721:29.160.2
80Henry MidkiffHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:15.822:15.821:34.058.6
81Luke McKinneyHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:18.522:18.521:36.657.7
82Isaiah QuezadaLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 22:23.622:23.621:41.656.1
83Iago NepsE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 22:29.622:29.621:47.454.1
84Zander MaysAmherst · Grade not recordedFinish 22:38.122:38.121:55.651.4
85Spencer PateHalifax County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:50.622:50.622:07.747.4
86Reid BlackwellMecklenburg County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:53.322:53.322:10.346.5
87Cyris RoldanOrange County · Grade not recordedFinish 23:07.723:07.722:24.341.8
88Jason CruzLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 23:21.423:21.422:37.537.4
89Logan WidnerMecklenburg County · Grade not recordedFinish 23:21.623:21.622:37.737.4
90Reed StoneE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 23:31.523:31.522:47.334.2
91Isaiah ChaviesMecklenburg County · Grade not recordedFinish 24:30.324:30.323:44.315.2
92Conner MaloneMecklenburg County · Grade not recordedFinish 24:58.324:58.324:11.46.1
93Warren YorkMecklenburg County · Grade not recordedFinish 25:24.225:24.224:36.5—
94Antwon ClineLiberty (Bealeton) · Grade not recordedFinish 25:45.725:45.724:57.3—
95Henry PrattE. C. Glass · Grade not recordedFinish 26:08.626:08.625:19.5—
96Isaiah HigginbothamAmherst · Grade not recordedFinish 27:25.927:25.926:34.4—
OKEthan Pratt-PerezJames Wood · Grade not recordedFinish 15:59.915:59.915:29.9180.0

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Overall Girls 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
B

81 of 81 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +11.3 s course and conditions +34.6 s in-season fitness −23.3 sCourse constant 507.71 (508)Race constant 505.64 (506)

76 used anchors± 3.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 76 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 76, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Zoie Lamanna · Jefferson Forest: Foot Locker Nationals Presented By HOKA (Dec 9) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Elaina Pierce · Charlottesville: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Kate Konyar · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  4. 4 Reese Bradbury · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Ruby Ostrander · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Alina Kieffer · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Tess Dickhans · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Allie McDonald · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  9. 9 Cameron Lee · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Ruby Griggs · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  11. 11 Katelyn Palmer · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  12. 12 Eliza Conaway · Blacksburg: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  13. 13 Penny Griggs · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Evelyn Mullins · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Ella Warren · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  16. 16 Addy Wallin · Sherando: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Caroline Allen · Jefferson Forest: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Sarah Moss · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  19. 19 Addyson Funk · Salem (Salem): VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  20. 21 Kaitlin Combs · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 4 more
  21. 22 Cassie Currin · Mecklenburg County: Piedmont District XC Championships (Oct 25) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  22. 23 Lauren Thompson · James Wood: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 5 more
  23. 24 Mia Adams · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  24. 25 Seneca Welpott · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  25. 26 Caroline McCurry · Millbrook (VA): Judges Classic (Sep 30)
  26. 27 Avery Ryan · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  27. 28 Audrey Rinker · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · and 6 more
  28. 29 Isabel Doran · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · and 6 more
  29. 30 Gracie Defibaugh · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
  30. 32 Eva Francis · Jefferson Forest: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  31. 33 Isabella Balio · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · and 6 more
  32. 34 Ashlyn Davis · Salem (Salem): East Mont Invitational (Oct 4) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23) · and 1 more
  33. 35 Sophie Brissett · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  34. 36 Alexandra Petty · E. C. Glass: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  35. 37 Natalie Adams · Mecklenburg County: Piedmont District XC Championships (Oct 25) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  36. 39 Ella Lane · E. C. Glass: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  37. 40 Ellie Bessette · Handley: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 5 more
  38. 41 Olivia Lee · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Judges Classic (Sep 30) · and 3 more
  39. 42 Mira Masri · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  40. 43 Claire Ramsey · E. C. Glass: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  41. 44 Allyson Boerger · Orange County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  42. 45 Eden Hays · Charlottesville: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  43. 46 Lillian Beatty · Mecklenburg County: Piedmont District XC Championships (Oct 25) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  44. 47 Ella Wagner · Jefferson Forest: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  45. 48 Ramsey Edwards · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  46. 49 Jane Friesen · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 24) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  47. 50 McKenzie Duncan · Jefferson Forest: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  48. 51 Ariela Rivera · Sherando: NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 23) · and 1 more
  49. 52 Allie Murphy · Millbrook (VA): NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25)
  50. 53 Jacinta Washington · Liberty (Bealeton): NWD Cross Country Championship (Oct 25)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 81 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Zoie LamannaJefferson Forest · SRFinish 18:13.018:13.017:47.1138.5
2Elaina PierceCharlottesville · SOFinish 18:41.518:41.518:14.9129.2
3Kate KonyarJames Wood · SOFinish 19:29.819:29.819:02.0113.5
4Reese BradburyBlacksburg · SRFinish 19:48.919:48.919:20.7107.3
5Ruby OstranderJames Wood · JRFinish 20:06.620:06.619:38.0101.5
6Alina KiefferJames Wood · SOFinish 20:21.220:21.219:52.296.8
7Tess DickhansBlacksburg · SOFinish 20:27.020:27.019:57.994.9
8Allie McDonaldBlacksburg · SRFinish 20:30.020:30.020:00.893.9
9Cameron LeeBlacksburg · SRFinish 20:30.620:30.620:01.493.7
10Ruby GriggsBlacksburg · JRFinish 20:34.820:34.820:05.592.3
11Katelyn PalmerJames Wood · SOFinish 20:38.520:38.520:09.191.1
12Eliza ConawayBlacksburg · FRFinish 20:48.120:48.120:18.588.0
13Penny GriggsBlacksburg · FRFinish 20:53.020:53.020:23.386.4
14Evelyn MullinsHandley · FRFinish 20:56.820:56.820:27.085.2
15Ella WarrenHandley · SOFinish 21:18.221:18.220:47.978.2
16Addy WallinSherando · SRFinish 21:25.021:25.020:54.576.0
17Caroline AllenJefferson Forest · SRFinish 21:30.221:30.220:59.674.3
18Sarah MossJames Wood · SRFinish 21:39.321:39.321:08.571.3
19Addyson FunkSalem (Salem) · JRFinish 21:47.321:47.321:16.368.7
20Erika MilhornJefferson Forest · SRFinish 21:51.221:51.221:20.167.5
21Kaitlin CombsJames Wood · JRFinish 21:52.021:52.021:20.967.2
22Cassie CurrinMecklenburg County · JRFinish 22:00.822:00.821:29.464.3
23Lauren ThompsonJames Wood · SOFinish 22:07.622:07.621:36.162.1
24Mia AdamsSherando · FRFinish 22:21.022:21.021:49.257.8
25Seneca WelpottHandley · FRFinish 22:39.322:39.322:07.051.8
26Caroline McCurryMillbrook (VA) · JRFinish 22:48.222:48.222:15.748.9
27Avery RyanSherando · FRFinish 23:09.223:09.222:36.242.1
28Audrey RinkerHandley · FRFinish 23:11.623:11.622:38.641.3
29Isabel DoranHandley · JRFinish 23:12.223:12.222:39.141.1
30Gracie DefibaughSherando · JRFinish 23:20.123:20.122:46.938.5
31Addison StoverMillbrook (VA) · FRFinish 23:24.323:24.322:51.037.2
32Eva FrancisJefferson Forest · JRFinish 23:28.123:28.122:54.735.9
33Isabella BalioHandley · SRFinish 23:32.123:32.122:58.634.6
34Ashlyn DavisSalem (Salem) · FRFinish 23:39.423:39.423:05.732.3
35Sophie BrissettCharlottesville · SRFinish 23:47.323:47.323:13.429.7
36Alexandra PettyE. C. Glass · SOFinish 23:50.423:50.423:16.428.7
37Natalie AdamsMecklenburg County · FRFinish 23:51.223:51.223:17.228.4
38Emma GressleyMillbrook (VA) · SRFinish 24:00.524:00.523:26.325.4
39Ella LaneE. C. Glass · SRFinish 24:02.424:02.423:28.224.8
40Ellie BessetteHandley · JRFinish 24:03.924:03.923:29.624.3
41Olivia LeeSherando · SOFinish 24:10.524:10.523:36.122.1
42Mira MasriCharlottesville · SOFinish 24:14.124:14.123:39.621.0
43Claire RamseyE. C. Glass · SOFinish 24:26.824:26.823:52.016.8
44Allyson BoergerOrange County · SRFinish 24:29.924:29.923:55.015.8
45Eden HaysCharlottesville · FRFinish 24:32.124:32.123:57.215.1
46Lillian BeattyMecklenburg County · FRFinish 24:32.424:32.423:57.415.0
47Ella WagnerJefferson Forest · FRFinish 24:32.624:32.623:57.614.9
48Ramsey EdwardsCharlottesville · SOFinish 24:35.724:35.724:00.713.9
49Jane FriesenCharlottesville · FRFinish 24:36.124:36.124:01.113.8
50McKenzie DuncanJefferson Forest · SOFinish 24:36.324:36.324:01.313.7
Show all 81 results (31 more)Showing all 81 results · hide rows 51–81
Girls results, rows 51 to 81 of 81
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Ariela RiveraSherando · FRFinish 24:40.124:40.124:05.012.5
52Allie MurphyMillbrook (VA) · SOFinish 24:50.024:50.024:14.69.3
53Jacinta WashingtonLiberty (Bealeton) · JRFinish 24:52.724:52.724:17.38.4
54Callie ConnerSalem (Salem) · JRFinish 24:53.324:53.324:17.88.2
55Helen PetersMecklenburg County · FRFinish 25:10.125:10.124:34.22.7
56Lyndsye RothkopfSalem (Salem) · SRFinish 25:11.725:11.724:35.82.2
57Olivia HayesMecklenburg County · JRFinish 25:15.225:15.224:39.21.1
58Brooklynn JacksonMecklenburg County · FRFinish 25:22.125:22.124:46.0—
59Isabella BeattyMecklenburg County · SRFinish 25:29.825:29.824:53.5—
60Natalie ClarkSherando · SOFinish 25:32.525:32.524:56.1—
61Brooke BowersSalem (Salem) · SRFinish 25:35.825:35.824:59.3—
62Julianne GibbsJefferson Forest · SOFinish 25:57.625:57.625:20.6—
63Lydia BloorCharlottesville · SRFinish 26:01.826:01.825:24.7—
64Anna SnyderLiberty (Bealeton) · FRFinish 26:19.026:19.025:41.5—
65Anna WaterworthE. C. Glass · JRFinish 26:21.526:21.525:44.0—
66Claire RawlinsSalem (Salem) · JRFinish 26:33.126:33.125:55.3—
67Elyssa WashingtonLiberty (Bealeton) · FRFinish 26:38.426:38.426:00.5—
68Harper RocovichSalem (Salem) · FRFinish 27:00.827:00.826:22.3—
69Lily HuntE. C. Glass · FRFinish 27:01.727:01.726:23.2—
70Althea HuntE. C. Glass · SOFinish 27:02.227:02.226:23.7—
71Molly RitchieLiberty (Bealeton) · SRFinish 27:11.727:11.726:33.0—
72Carrie WarnerMillbrook (VA) · SRFinish 27:13.227:13.226:34.4—
73Eden ShaughnessyHalifax County · FRFinish 27:47.427:47.427:07.8—
74Jaidyn BoogadesE. C. Glass · FRFinish 27:58.127:58.127:18.3—
75Layne MendezMillbrook (VA) · SOFinish 28:02.428:02.427:22.5—
76Nalayna StanleyAmherst · SOFinish 28:53.528:53.528:12.3—
77Ava OwenAmherst · FRFinish 28:53.928:53.928:12.7—
78Sydney VolkmanMillbrook (VA) · FRFinish 29:19.229:19.228:37.4—
79Katinka AndringaLiberty (Bealeton) · SRFinish 29:33.929:33.928:51.8—
80Ally DowneyLiberty (Bealeton) · FRFinish 29:44.629:44.629:02.2—
81Emma McKinneyHalifax County · SOFinish 30:52.530:52.530:08.5—

Region 4D Championships, Nov 1, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.