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Dec 9, 2023 · San Diego, CA

Foot Locker Nationals Presented By HOKA

Balboa Park · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys Championship 5000m

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C

40 of 40 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +52.4 s course and conditions +74.8 s in-season fitness −22.4 sCourse constant 508.79 (509)Race constant 507.28 (507)

15 used anchors± 8.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 15 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 15, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Drew Griffith · Butler: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  2. 4 Berkley Nance · Mills Godwin: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · and 4 more
  3. 5 Brayden Marshall · Winfield: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 1 more
  4. 6 Ty Steorts · Hurricane: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  5. 8 Cameron Todd · Brebeuf Jesuit Prep School: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2)
  6. 10 Juan Gonzalez · Fremont: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2)
  7. 11 Jake Liebert · Wando: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6)
  8. 12 Colin Eckerman · Webb School of Knoxville: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · and 1 more
  9. 15 Patrick Koon · Leon: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25)
  10. 16 Gabriel Schmid · Orange: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 2 more
  11. 18 Riku Sugie · Thomas Nelson: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25)
  12. 22 Raghav Gopalakrishnan · Ardrey Kell: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · and 2 more
  13. 37 Colin Whitaker · Lampeter Strasbu: adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  14. 39 Matt Ryan · Nease: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  15. 40 Isaac Rivera · Lincoln College Prep.: RunningLane Cross Country Championships (Dec 2)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 40 of 40 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Drew GriffithButler · SRFinish 15:06.915:06.914:17.0204.3
2Ryan PajakRinggold · SRFinish 15:12.115:12.114:22.0202.6
3Tamrat GavenasPhillips Academy Andover · JRFinish 15:16.615:16.614:26.2201.2
4Berkley NanceMills Godwin · SRFinish 15:17.515:17.514:27.1200.9
5Brayden MarshallWinfield · SRFinish 15:18.415:18.414:27.9200.6
6Ty SteortsHurricane · JRFinish 15:21.215:21.214:30.6199.7
7Paul BergeronWestford Academy · SRFinish 15:25.315:25.314:34.4198.5
8Cameron ToddBrebeuf Jesuit Prep School · SRFinish 15:30.015:30.014:38.9197.0
9Benji AndersonMountain Vista · JRFinish 15:32.115:32.114:40.9196.3
10Juan GonzalezFremont · JRFinish 15:32.415:32.414:41.1196.2
11Jake LiebertWando · SRFinish 15:34.115:34.114:42.8195.7
12Colin EckermanWebb School of Knoxville · SRFinish 15:35.115:35.114:43.7195.4
13Micah BlomkerShawnee Mission North · SRFinish 15:36.215:36.214:44.7195.0
14Anthony ProvenzanoCarmel · SRFinish 15:37.515:37.514:46.0194.6
15Patrick KoonLeon · SRFinish 15:38.815:38.814:47.2194.2
16Gabriel SchmidOrange · SRFinish 15:41.615:41.614:49.8193.3
17Connell AlfordChelsea · SRFinish 15:43.915:43.914:52.0192.6
18Riku SugieThomas Nelson · JRFinish 15:44.815:44.814:52.9192.3
19Jack SheesleyBoise · JRFinish 15:44.915:44.914:53.0192.3
20Zach HillhousePleasant Grove · SRFinish 15:45.015:45.014:53.1192.2
21Grant MorgenfeldPalo Alto · SRFinish 15:48.115:48.114:56.0191.3
22Raghav GopalakrishnanArdrey Kell · SRFinish 15:48.515:48.514:56.4191.1
23Josh ChuPonderosa · SRFinish 15:49.715:49.714:57.5190.8
24Ben CraneNew Trier · JRFinish 15:50.115:50.114:57.9190.6
25Trey CaldwellDe La Salle · JRFinish 15:51.915:51.914:59.6190.1
26Grayson MilneCorner Canyon · SRFinish 15:53.315:53.315:00.9189.6
27Jack BertramNorth Allegheny · JRFinish 15:54.615:54.615:02.1189.2
28Davis RydmanLayton · SRFinish 15:56.115:56.115:03.5188.8
29Matthew EdwardsThe Classical Academy · SRFinish 15:56.315:56.315:03.7188.7
30Jack GraffeoWestford Academy · JRFinish 15:59.915:59.915:07.1187.6
31Thomas WestphalAnchor Bay · SRFinish 16:03.516:03.515:10.5186.4
32Peyton ShuteWoodbury · SRFinish 16:03.916:03.915:10.9186.3
33Devin IbarraEl Diamante · SRFinish 16:06.116:06.115:13.0185.6
34Alex FisherThe Loomis Chaffee School · SOFinish 16:06.416:06.415:13.3185.5
35Soheib DissaNewtown · JRFinish 16:07.216:07.215:14.0185.3
36Carter SpradlingClovis East · SRFinish 16:07.716:07.715:14.5185.1
37Colin WhitakerLampeter Strasbu · SRFinish 16:13.416:13.415:19.9183.3
38Kade BrownellMt. Spokane · JRFinish 16:15.616:15.615:22.0182.6
39Matt RyanNease · SRFinish 16:24.316:24.315:30.2179.9
40Isaac RiveraLincoln College Prep. · SRFinish 16:28.516:28.515:34.2178.5

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Championship Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

38 of 38 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +29.9 s course and conditions +53.6 s in-season fitness −23.7 sCourse constant 509.81 (510)Race constant 508.27 (508)

17 used anchors± 8.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 17 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 17, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Elizabeth Leachman · Unattached - TX: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25)
  2. 2 Allie Zealand · Pacers Homeschool: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · and 5 more
  3. 3 Rachel Forsyth · Ann Arbor Pioneer: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2)
  4. 4 Mary Bonner Dalton · Myers Park: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25)
  5. 5 Addison Knoblauch · Homestead: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2)
  6. 7 Jayne Halterman · Independence: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25)
  7. 8 Samantha Humphries · Flower Mound: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25)
  8. 12 Reese Dalton · The Covenant School: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · and 7 more
  9. 13 Abby Faith Cheeseman · The Webb School Of Bell Buckle: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6)
  10. 15 Maddie Gardiner · The Covenant School: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2) · Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · and 7 more
  11. 16 Payton Meineke · Riverdale Ridge: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2)
  12. 17 Addison Dorenkamp · Valley: RunningLane Cross Country Championships (Dec 2)
  13. 19 Libby Dowty · Indian Creek: Nike Cross Nationals (Dec 2)
  14. 27 Nicki Southerland · Delta: RunningLane Cross Country Championships (Dec 2)
  15. 30 Zoie Lamanna · Jefferson Forest: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 4 more
  16. 33 Liliah Gordon · Northern Burlington Reg.: Great American XC Festival (Oct 6)
  17. 34 Logan St. John Kletter · Mount Lebanon 07: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 38 of 38 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Elizabeth LeachmanUnattached - TX · SOFinish 16:50.716:50.716:11.7170.2
2Allie ZealandPacers Homeschool · SRFinish 17:04.517:04.516:25.0165.8
3Rachel ForsythAnn Arbor Pioneer · SRFinish 17:08.317:08.316:28.7164.6
4Mary Bonner DaltonMyers Park · SRFinish 17:28.117:28.116:47.7158.3
5Addison KnoblauchHomestead · SRFinish 17:43.017:43.017:02.0153.5
6Ruth WhiteOrono · SRFinish 17:43.117:43.117:02.1153.5
7Jayne HaltermanIndependence · SRFinish 17:43.417:43.417:02.4153.4
8Samantha HumphriesFlower Mound · SRFinish 17:44.517:44.517:03.5153.0
9Jessie JazwinskiHart · JRFinish 17:45.917:45.917:04.8152.6
10Zariel MacchiaWilliam Floyd · JRFinish 17:49.317:49.317:08.1151.5
11Chiara DaileyLa Jolla (SD) · SOFinish 17:53.117:53.117:11.7150.2
12Reese DaltonThe Covenant School · SRFinish 17:55.417:55.417:13.9149.5
13Abby Faith CheesemanThe Webb School Of Bell Buckle · JRFinish 17:56.317:56.317:14.8149.2
14Ellie SheaBelmont · SRFinish 17:56.517:56.517:15.0149.2
15Maddie GardinerThe Covenant School · SRFinish 18:05.618:05.617:23.8146.2
16Payton MeinekeRiverdale Ridge · SOFinish 18:08.418:08.417:26.4145.3
17Addison DorenkampValley · SRFinish 18:09.118:09.117:27.1145.1
18Sophia RodriguezMercer Island · FRFinish 18:15.018:15.017:32.8143.2
19Libby DowtyIndian Creek · SOFinish 18:17.518:17.517:35.2142.4
20Victoria GarcesMidland Dow · JRFinish 18:18.518:18.517:36.2142.1
21Katherine BohlkeNewington · SRFinish 18:21.518:21.517:39.0141.1
22Emily CohenCherry Creek · SOFinish 18:22.118:22.117:39.6141.0
23Ruby IhmelsTimberline (Boise) · FRFinish 18:26.418:26.417:43.8139.6
24Maya De BrouwerLa Canada (SS) · JRFinish 18:26.718:26.717:44.0139.5
25Shea VolkmerCampolindo (NC) · SRFinish 18:30.118:30.117:47.3138.4
26Melisse Djomby EnyaweCorona del Mar (SS) · SRFinish 18:32.718:32.717:49.8137.6
27Nicki SoutherlandDelta · SRFinish 18:33.618:33.617:50.7137.3
28Reena HsiehArcadia (SS) · 1Finish 18:34.318:34.317:51.3137.0
29Cailey BrackenMountain Ridge · SRFinish 18:34.618:34.617:51.6136.9
30Zoie LamannaJefferson Forest · SRFinish 18:40.318:40.317:57.1135.1
31Dylan McElhinneyHunter College Campus Schools · JRFinish 18:44.518:44.518:01.2133.8
32Aoife ShovlinCambridge Rindge and Latin · JRFinish 18:49.718:49.718:06.2132.1
33Liliah GordonNorthern Burlington Reg. · JRFinish 18:49.818:49.818:06.3132.1
34Logan St. John KletterMount Lebanon 07 · SRFinish 18:54.518:54.518:10.8130.6
35Eleanor RakerGalena · JRFinish 18:57.218:57.218:13.4129.7
36Liv PhillipsNaperville (Central) · SRFinish 19:08.519:08.518:24.2126.1
37Lily LyonsGreenwich Academy · SOFinish 19:13.419:13.418:28.9124.5
38Olivia WilliamsAcalanes (NC) · SRFinish 19:24.919:24.918:40.0120.8

Foot Locker Nationals Presented By HOKA, Dec 9, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.