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Oct 25, 2023 · Martinsville, VA

2023 Piedmont District XC Championships

Smith River Sports Complex · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

2023 Piedmont District XC Championships - 10/25/2023 Smith River Sports Complex, Martinsville , VA High School Girls 5000 Meter Run

C

32 of 32 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −15.9 s course and conditions +6.9 s in-season fitness −22.8 sCourse constant 497.28 (497)Race constant 494.89 (495)

30 used anchors± 8.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 30 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 30, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Sienna Bailey · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Cassie Currin · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Natalie Adams · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Olivia Hayes · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Lillian Beatty · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Kayleigh Spencer · Bassett: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Brooklynn Jackson · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Clarissa Martinez-Olguin · Bassett: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Helen Peters · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Crystal Lopez · Bassett: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Jasmine Espana · Bassett: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Isabella Beatty · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Cherish Adkins · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Kira Thomas · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Brittany Cruz · Bassett: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  16. 17 April Jordan · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  17. 18 Harper Lovelace · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  18. 19 Eden Shaughnessy · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  19. 20 Avalyn Emerson · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  20. 21 Kayleigh Durham · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  21. 22 Lidia Peralta Marte · George Washington: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18)
  22. 23 Madison Walton · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  23. 24 Katie Miner · Bassett: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  24. 25 Emma McKinney · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  25. 26 Janetzy Rodriguez · Martinsville: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  26. 27 Fernanda Castellanos Sanchez · George Washington: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  27. 28 Emeline Smith · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1)
  28. 29 Emma Parker · Magna Vista: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  29. 30 Cheyenne Geramita · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1)
  30. 31 Elizabeth Maxwell · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 32 of 32 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Sienna BaileyBassett · SRFinish 19:57.419:57.419:55.895.6
2Cassie CurrinMecklenburg County · JRFinish 22:11.022:11.022:09.251.1
3Natalie AdamsMecklenburg County · FRFinish 23:04.723:04.723:02.933.2
4Olivia HayesMecklenburg County · JRFinish 23:55.823:55.823:53.916.2
5Lillian BeattyMecklenburg County · FRFinish 23:57.123:57.123:55.215.8
6Kayleigh SpencerBassett · SOFinish 23:59.223:59.223:57.315.1
7Brooklynn JacksonMecklenburg County · FRFinish 24:14.024:14.024:12.010.2
8Clarissa Martinez-OlguinBassett · SRFinish 24:29.524:29.524:27.65.0
9Helen PetersMecklenburg County · FRFinish 24:38.524:38.524:36.62.0
10Crystal LopezBassett · SRFinish 25:05.325:05.325:03.3—
11Jasmine EspanaBassett · JRFinish 25:06.825:06.825:04.8—
12Isabella BeattyMecklenburg County · SRFinish 25:46.425:46.425:44.3—
13Cherish AdkinsTunstall · SOFinish 26:07.326:07.326:05.2—
14Kira ThomasTunstall · JRFinish 26:47.826:47.826:45.7—
15Brittany CruzBassett · JRFinish 26:57.026:57.026:54.9—
16Tiffany DennisMagna Vista · FRFinish 27:19.727:19.727:17.5—
17April JordanTunstall · SOFinish 27:23.627:23.627:21.4—
18Harper LovelaceTunstall · FRFinish 27:44.227:44.227:42.0—
19Eden ShaughnessyHalifax County · FRFinish 27:50.427:50.427:48.1—
20Avalyn EmersonTunstall · SOFinish 27:52.727:52.727:50.5—
21Kayleigh DurhamTunstall · SOFinish 28:20.828:20.828:18.6—
22Lidia Peralta MarteGeorge Washington · SOFinish 28:46.528:46.528:44.2—
23Madison WaltonTunstall · SRFinish 29:17.629:17.629:15.3—
24Katie MinerBassett · JRFinish 29:28.029:28.029:25.6—
25Emma McKinneyHalifax County · SOFinish 30:48.830:48.830:46.4—
26Janetzy RodriguezMartinsville · SOFinish 33:16.933:16.933:14.3—
27Fernanda Castellanos SanchezGeorge Washington · SOFinish 33:34.133:34.133:31.4—
28Emeline SmithMagna Vista · FRFinish 34:14.134:14.134:11.4—
29Emma ParkerMagna Vista · SOFinish 35:00.335:00.334:57.5—
30Cheyenne GeramitaMagna Vista · SOFinish 35:42.435:42.435:39.5—
31Elizabeth MaxwellMagna Vista · SOFinish 40:17.540:17.540:14.3—
32Johanna MaxieMagna Vista · FRFinish 41:43.441:43.441:40.1—

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

High School Boys 5000 Meter Run

C

43 of 43 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −35.3 s course and conditions −14.4 s in-season fitness −20.9 sCourse constant 484.95 (485)Race constant 482.86 (483)

41 used anchors± 10.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 41 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 41, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Thomas Fulcher · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Michael Foley · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  3. 3 Tyress Wiltz · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  4. 4 Chase Smith · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Jaime Lopez · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Jackson Snow · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Brennan Hunt · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Jude Shaughnessy · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Edwin Diaz · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Daniel Howell · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  11. 11 Nicholas Hudson · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Omari Johnson · George Washington: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18)
  13. 13 David Berent · Bassett: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  14. 14 Joel Layne · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Henry Midkiff · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Ethan Howell · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Luke McKinney · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Spencer Pate · Halifax County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Reid Blackwell · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Xavier Christian · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Charlie Hungerland · George Washington: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  22. 22 Chasen Newcomb · Mecklenburg County: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  23. 23 Alejandro Balderrama · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Logan Widner · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18)
  25. 25 Skyler Spence · Martinsville: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1)
  26. 26 Jailyn Reynolds · Martinsville: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1)
  27. 27 Rafferty Lee · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1)
  28. 28 Naun Andrade · Martinsville: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1)
  29. 29 Nathan Gregory · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Chris Draper · Tunstall: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Conner Malone · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  32. 32 Isaiah Chavies · Mecklenburg County: Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Bryson Broadnax · Magna Vista: 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  34. 34 Jarrel Chavies-Maldonado · Mecklenburg County: 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  35. 35 Kaden Mellott · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  36. 36 Malachi Conway · George Washington: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  37. 37 Steven Morales · Martinsville: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  38. 38 Ethan Hall · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1)
  39. 39 Weston Moxley · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1)
  40. 40 Rosbel Ruiz · Magna Vista: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1)
  41. 43 Jordan Elmahmoud · Magna Vista: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 43 of 43 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Thomas FulcherBassett · FRFinish 17:32.217:32.217:49.2133.5
2Michael FoleyBassett · JRFinish 17:39.217:39.217:56.3131.2
3Tyress WiltzBassett · JRFinish 18:00.118:00.118:17.5124.1
4Chase SmithBassett · SRFinish 18:10.718:10.718:28.3120.5
5Jaime LopezBassett · SRFinish 18:33.418:33.418:51.4112.8
6Jackson SnowTunstall · SRFinish 18:39.418:39.418:57.5110.8
7Brennan HuntHalifax County · SOFinish 18:59.018:59.019:17.4104.1
8Jude ShaughnessyHalifax County · JRFinish 19:07.419:07.419:26.0101.3
9Edwin DiazTunstall · SRFinish 19:08.719:08.719:27.2100.9
10Daniel HowellBassett · SOFinish 19:10.019:10.019:28.6100.4
11Nicholas HudsonHalifax County · JRFinish 19:10.319:10.319:28.9100.3
12Omari JohnsonGeorge Washington · JRFinish 19:28.719:28.719:47.694.1
13David BerentBassett · FRFinish 20:04.720:04.720:24.181.9
14Joel LayneHalifax County · SOFinish 20:14.220:14.220:33.878.7
15Henry MidkiffHalifax County · SRFinish 20:32.320:32.320:52.272.5
16Ethan HowellTunstall · JRFinish 20:37.320:37.320:57.370.8
17Luke McKinneyHalifax County · JRFinish 20:40.520:40.521:00.569.8
18Spencer PateHalifax County · SOFinish 20:58.920:58.921:19.263.5
19Reid BlackwellMecklenburg County · SOFinish 21:08.921:08.921:29.460.1
20Xavier ChristianTunstall · JRFinish 21:34.921:34.921:55.851.3
21Charlie HungerlandGeorge Washington · JRFinish 21:35.221:35.221:56.151.2
22Chasen NewcombMecklenburg County · SOFinish 21:54.121:54.122:15.444.8
23Alejandro BalderramaTunstall · SOFinish 22:10.522:10.522:32.039.3
24Logan WidnerMecklenburg County · SRFinish 22:10.822:10.822:32.339.2
25Skyler SpenceMartinsville · SRFinish 22:21.222:21.222:42.935.6
26Jailyn ReynoldsMartinsville · SOFinish 22:22.722:22.722:44.435.1
27Rafferty LeeMecklenburg County · SRFinish 22:51.922:51.923:14.125.2
28Naun AndradeMartinsville · JRFinish 23:07.523:07.523:29.920.0
29Nathan GregoryTunstall · FRFinish 23:23.223:23.223:45.814.7
30Chris DraperTunstall · FRFinish 23:27.223:27.223:49.913.3
31Conner MaloneMecklenburg County · JRFinish 23:51.923:51.924:15.04.9
32Isaiah ChaviesMecklenburg County · FRFinish 24:13.124:13.124:36.6—
33Bryson BroadnaxMagna Vista · JRFinish 25:47.125:47.126:12.1—
34Jarrel Chavies-MaldonadoMecklenburg County · SRFinish 25:52.625:52.626:17.6—
35Kaden MellottMagna Vista · SOFinish 26:03.726:03.726:28.9—
36Malachi ConwayGeorge Washington · SOFinish 26:10.226:10.226:35.6—
37Steven MoralesMartinsville · SOFinish 26:18.626:18.626:44.1—
38Ethan HallMagna Vista · SOFinish 27:17.427:17.427:43.8—
39Weston MoxleyMagna Vista · JRFinish 28:14.028:14.028:41.4—
40Rosbel RuizMagna Vista · SRFinish 29:42.029:42.030:10.8—
41John HundleyMartinsville · FRFinish 32:08.632:08.632:39.8—
42Darius TuckerMagna Vista · JRFinish 32:31.432:31.433:02.9—
43Jordan ElmahmoudMagna Vista · FRFinish 34:40.734:40.735:14.3—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.