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Oct 25, 2023 · Grottoes, VA

Valley District Championships

Town Park · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2026 · 2025 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

4 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Valley District Championships 2023 Town Park, Grottoes, VA - 10/25/2023 Varsity Girls 5000m Run

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B

38 of 38 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +6.9 s course and conditions +30.1 s in-season fitness −23.2 sCourse constant 505.29 (505)Race constant 503.34 (503)

37 used anchors± 3.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 37 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 37, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Samantha Nitzsche · William Monroe: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Taylor Myers · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Deena Ludtke · Rockbridge County: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Ashland Dickel · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Marika Dickel · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Brooke Saunders · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Lena Blagg · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Peyton Joyner · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  9. 9 Kate Ruebke · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Elizabeth Kelpe · William Monroe: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Magdalena Lantz-Trissel · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Annie Poirot · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Sophie Kauffman · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Abby Gibson · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Ellison Pursel · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Nicole Black · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Anna Nye · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  18. 18 Brooke Eichelberger · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  19. 19 Sydney Orange · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Dorothy Lewis · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  21. 21 Catherine Hinegardner · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Matilda Bunn · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Haley Givens · East Rockingham: 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4)
  24. 24 Claira Venuto · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 16) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Marley VanDoren · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  26. 26 Shiloh Thompson · William Monroe: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Ruth Rascoe · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  28. 28 Reece Kiracofe · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  29. 29 Anna Campillo · Harrisonburg: 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  30. 30 Laurel Fitzgerald · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Kate Holston · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  32. 32 Carla Argueta-Romero · Spotswood: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Hannah Ivins · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  34. 34 Aleah Childress · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Seanna Sutton · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  36. 37 Hannah Showman · Broadway: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  37. 38 Isabella Parker · Broadway: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 38 of 38 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Samantha NitzscheWilliam Monroe · FRFinish 19:15.819:15.818:52.5116.7
2Taylor MyersSpotswood · SRFinish 19:27.019:27.019:03.4113.0
3Deena LudtkeRockbridge County · SRFinish 19:37.719:37.719:13.9109.5
4Ashland DickelSpotswood · JRFinish 19:37.819:37.819:14.0109.5
5Marika DickelSpotswood · JRFinish 19:38.119:38.119:14.3109.4
6Brooke SaundersHarrisonburg · FRFinish 19:42.019:42.019:18.1108.1
7Lena BlaggHarrisonburg · SRFinish 20:37.820:37.820:12.889.9
8Peyton JoynerSpotswood · FRFinish 20:44.920:44.920:19.887.6
9Kate RuebkeSpotswood · SRFinish 20:55.220:55.220:29.984.2
10Elizabeth KelpeWilliam Monroe · FRFinish 20:59.720:59.720:34.382.7
11Magdalena Lantz-TrisselTurner Ashby · JRFinish 21:18.021:18.020:52.276.8
12Annie PoirotHarrisonburg · SRFinish 21:48.921:48.921:22.566.7
13Sophie KauffmanHarrisonburg · SOFinish 21:53.521:53.521:27.065.2
14Abby GibsonHarrisonburg · SOFinish 22:05.922:05.921:39.161.1
15Ellison PurselWilliam Monroe · SRFinish 22:09.622:09.621:42.859.9
16Nicole BlackRockbridge County · SRFinish 22:17.722:17.721:50.757.3
17Anna NyeRockbridge County · FRFinish 22:18.222:18.221:51.257.1
18Brooke EichelbergerRockbridge County · JRFinish 22:36.122:36.122:08.751.3
19Sydney OrangeWilliam Monroe · JRFinish 22:40.022:40.022:12.550.0
20Dorothy LewisRockbridge County · SOFinish 22:47.122:47.122:19.547.7
21Catherine HinegardnerTurner Ashby · FRFinish 23:19.523:19.522:51.237.1
22Matilda BunnHarrisonburg · SOFinish 23:26.823:26.822:58.434.7
23Haley GivensEast Rockingham · FRFinish 23:38.723:38.723:10.130.8
24Claira VenutoTurner Ashby · SOFinish 24:40.424:40.424:10.510.7
25Marley VanDorenWilliam Monroe · SOFinish 24:46.824:46.824:16.88.6
26Shiloh ThompsonWilliam Monroe · JRFinish 25:10.225:10.224:39.70.9
27Ruth RascoeSpotswood · SOFinish 25:20.325:20.324:49.6—
28Reece KiracofeTurner Ashby · FRFinish 25:25.925:25.924:55.1—
29Anna CampilloHarrisonburg · SRFinish 25:27.725:27.724:56.9—
30Laurel FitzgeraldTurner Ashby · SOFinish 25:39.925:39.925:08.8—
31Kate HolstonRockbridge County · SOFinish 26:16.926:16.925:45.1—
32Carla Argueta-RomeroSpotswood · SOFinish 26:29.926:29.925:57.8—
33Hannah IvinsRockbridge County · FRFinish 26:53.226:53.226:20.6—
34Aleah ChildressTurner Ashby · SOFinish 27:05.727:05.726:32.9—
35Seanna SuttonWilliam Monroe · SRFinish 28:03.728:03.727:29.7—
36Brynna Micheal-LeeTurner Ashby · FRFinish 28:47.028:47.028:12.1—
37Hannah ShowmanBroadway · SOFinish 29:36.629:36.629:00.7—
38Isabella ParkerBroadway · FRFinish 31:28.131:28.130:50.0—

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000m Run

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C

49 of 49 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −9.0 s course and conditions +12.3 s in-season fitness −21.3 sCourse constant 494.08 (494)Race constant 492.28 (492)

49 used anchors± 6.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 49 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 49, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Tristan Yoder · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  2. 2 Preston Spangler · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Peyton Kenee · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Hayden Fox · East Rockingham: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Andrew McMichael · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Kaedon Howley · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Sem Mussie · Turner Ashby: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Eiler Yancey · East Rockingham: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  9. 9 CJ Hulleman · Harrisonburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Cade Yancey · East Rockingham: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Peyton Allen · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  12. 12 Jaiden Santos Nguyen · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  13. 13 Caleb Wyant · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  14. 14 Schuyler Nitzsche · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Samuel Shifflett · East Rockingham: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Aiden Dumas · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Malakai Wettig · Harrisonburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Matthew Rush · Harrisonburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4)
  19. 19 Cooper Bair · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  20. 20 Donovan Eanes · Harrisonburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Aiden Morgan · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  22. 22 Nate Whiting · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Declan Young · Harrisonburg: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 23) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Troy Kramer · Spotswood: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 5 more
  25. 25 Christian Souders · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Alexander Miller · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 3 more
  27. 27 Gavin Diehl · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  28. 28 Trenten Cash · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Asher Ryan · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  30. 30 Bunte Kite · Spotswood: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 4 more
  31. 31 Tyler Ludtke · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Kiernan Sheahan · Spotswood: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Sammy Eastwood · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 4 more
  34. 34 Rhett Armentrout · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  35. 35 Alistair Hogge · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  36. 36 Isaac Bradshaw · Spotswood: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Fisher Howald · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 3 more
  38. 38 Oscar McClung · Rockbridge County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 2 more
  39. 39 Varick Nitzsche · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  40. 40 Kenneth Salmeron · Spotswood: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Mukund Marri · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Eric Venuto · Turner Ashby: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 16) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Eric Basel · William Monroe: VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  44. 44 Gavin Knopp · Turner Ashby: Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 16) · 10th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 26)
  45. 45 Cade Prough · William Monroe: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Adrian Garcia · East Rockingham: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  47. 47 Quadir Husam-Lewis · Spotswood: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  48. 48 Jake Dibb · East Rockingham: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Tanner Breeden · East Rockingham: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 49 of 49 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Tristan YoderBroadway · JRFinish 16:16.416:16.416:10.3166.5
2Preston SpanglerRockbridge County · FRFinish 16:18.716:18.716:12.6165.7
3Peyton KeneeSpotswood · JRFinish 16:29.616:29.616:23.4162.1
4Hayden FoxEast Rockingham · JRFinish 16:47.116:47.116:40.8156.3
5Andrew McMichaelHarrisonburg · SRFinish 17:00.717:00.716:54.3151.8
6Kaedon HowleyHarrisonburg · JRFinish 17:06.317:06.316:59.9150.0
7Sem MussieTurner Ashby · JRFinish 17:12.817:12.817:06.4147.8
8Eiler YanceyEast Rockingham · SRFinish 17:16.317:16.317:09.8146.7
9CJ HullemanHarrisonburg · SRFinish 17:24.117:24.117:17.6144.1
10Cade YanceyEast Rockingham · SOFinish 17:31.517:31.517:24.9141.6
11Peyton AllenBroadway · FRFinish 17:35.117:35.117:28.5140.4
12Jaiden Santos NguyenBroadway · JRFinish 17:37.217:37.217:30.6139.7
13Caleb WyantBroadway · JRFinish 17:42.817:42.817:36.2137.9
14Schuyler NitzscheWilliam Monroe · SRFinish 17:44.317:44.317:37.7137.4
15Samuel ShifflettEast Rockingham · JRFinish 17:45.417:45.417:38.7137.0
16Aiden DumasWilliam Monroe · JRFinish 17:46.517:46.517:39.8136.7
17Malakai WettigHarrisonburg · SRFinish 17:49.417:49.417:42.7135.7
18Matthew RushHarrisonburg · SRFinish 17:52.917:52.917:46.2134.5
19Cooper BairTurner Ashby · JRFinish 17:58.417:58.417:51.7132.7
20Donovan EanesHarrisonburg · JRFinish 18:07.518:07.518:00.7129.7
21Aiden MorganTurner Ashby · JRFinish 18:13.618:13.618:06.8127.7
22Nate WhitingTurner Ashby · SOFinish 18:22.518:22.518:15.6124.7
23Declan YoungHarrisonburg · FRFinish 18:32.018:32.018:25.1121.6
24Troy KramerSpotswood · JRFinish 18:41.118:41.118:34.1118.6
25Christian SoudersTurner Ashby · SRFinish 18:45.118:45.118:38.1117.2
26Alexander MillerRockbridge County · JRFinish 18:48.318:48.318:41.3116.2
27Gavin DiehlBroadway · JRFinish 18:51.418:51.418:44.3115.2
28Trenten CashRockbridge County · SOFinish 18:52.118:52.118:45.0114.9
29Asher RyanBroadway · JRFinish 18:52.818:52.818:45.7114.7
30Bunte KiteSpotswood · SRFinish 18:54.118:54.118:47.0114.3
31Tyler LudtkeRockbridge County · FRFinish 18:57.518:57.518:50.4113.1
32Kiernan SheahanSpotswood · SOFinish 19:02.319:02.318:55.2111.5
33Sammy EastwoodRockbridge County · FRFinish 19:05.819:05.818:58.6110.4
34Rhett ArmentroutBroadway · SRFinish 19:14.619:14.619:07.4107.5
35Alistair HoggeWilliam Monroe · FRFinish 19:19.019:19.019:11.8106.0
36Isaac BradshawSpotswood · SOFinish 19:24.419:24.419:17.1104.2
37Fisher HowaldRockbridge County · SOFinish 19:35.719:35.719:28.4100.5
38Oscar McClungRockbridge County · FRFinish 19:38.419:38.419:31.099.6
39Varick NitzscheWilliam Monroe · JRFinish 19:41.319:41.319:33.998.6
40Kenneth SalmeronSpotswood · SRFinish 20:01.720:01.719:54.291.9
41Mukund MarriWilliam Monroe · FRFinish 20:22.620:22.620:15.084.9
42Eric VenutoTurner Ashby · FRFinish 20:30.020:30.020:22.382.5
43Eric BaselWilliam Monroe · FRFinish 20:30.520:30.520:22.882.3
44Gavin KnoppTurner Ashby · FRFinish 20:33.620:33.620:25.981.3
45Cade ProughWilliam Monroe · SOFinish 20:47.720:47.720:39.976.6
46Adrian GarciaEast Rockingham · SOFinish 21:27.521:27.521:19.563.4
47Quadir Husam-LewisSpotswood · FRFinish 21:42.121:42.121:34.058.6
48Jake DibbEast Rockingham · JRFinish 22:34.022:34.022:25.541.4
49Tanner BreedenEast Rockingham · SRFinish 23:50.223:50.223:41.316.2

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Girls 5000m Run

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D

14 of 14 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +13.7 s course and conditions +37.1 s in-season fitness −23.4 sCourse constant 510.81 (511)Race constant 508.44 (508)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 14 of 14 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Bethany RushHarrisonburg · FRFinish 23:30.723:30.722:54.436.0
2Janelly AguilarHarrisonburg · JRFinish 25:39.725:39.725:00.1—
3Elizabeth KilbyWilliam Monroe · SRFinish 25:51.825:51.825:11.9—
4Meghan LammSpotswood · SRFinish 26:09.426:09.425:29.0—
5Jaidy Maradiaga ReyesHarrisonburg · SRFinish 26:37.226:37.225:56.1—
6Kathryn LandesTurner Ashby · SOFinish 26:45.726:45.726:04.4—
7Pria DuaSpotswood · SRFinish 27:36.927:36.926:54.3—
8Alice GreshamRockbridge County · SOFinish 27:52.127:52.127:09.1—
9Natalie JohnstonTurner Ashby · SOFinish 28:23.928:23.927:40.0—
10Emily CarrollRockbridge County · FRFinish 29:14.829:14.828:29.6—
11Gemma BatisRockbridge County · FRFinish 30:49.730:49.730:02.1—
12Danna GiosaHarrisonburg · JRFinish 31:07.931:07.930:19.8—
13Abigail HardingRockbridge County · FRFinish 33:39.633:39.632:47.6—
14Alison DewyeaWilliam Monroe · SRFinish 35:55.635:55.635:00.1—

BOYS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Boys 5000m Run

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D

32 of 32 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −2.3 s course and conditions +19.2 s in-season fitness −21.5 sCourse constant 497.08 (497)Race constant 495.06 (495)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Boys results, places shown 1 to 32 of 32 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Elijah FoxHarrisonburg · FRFinish 18:48.818:48.818:35.4118.1
2Lucas MaynardHarrisonburg · FRFinish 19:05.719:05.718:52.1112.6
3Tommy BillHarrisonburg · SOFinish 19:11.419:11.418:57.7110.7
4Aaron GrahamHarrisonburg · FRFinish 19:18.619:18.619:04.8108.3
5Felix YoungHarrisonburg · SRFinish 19:18.719:18.719:04.9108.3
6Brady HaggertyWilliam Monroe · FRFinish 19:43.719:43.719:29.7100.1
7Joah Newcomer-MillerHarrisonburg · 8Finish 19:52.019:52.019:37.997.3
8Mason GeorgeHarrisonburg · 8Finish 19:52.119:52.119:38.097.3
9Saylor ArmentroutBroadway · SOFinish 20:29.820:29.820:15.284.9
10Zach TrostBroadway · FRFinish 21:00.421:00.420:45.474.8
11Brendan SharpWilliam Monroe · SOFinish 21:07.721:07.720:52.772.4
12Max MissalTurner Ashby · JRFinish 21:09.321:09.320:54.271.9
13Caleb LandesTurner Ashby · SRFinish 21:12.521:12.520:57.470.8
14William ViolettHarrisonburg · SRFinish 21:16.121:16.121:01.069.6
15Graham NieburRockbridge County · SOFinish 21:17.421:17.421:02.269.2
16Jack St. JohnTurner Ashby · SOFinish 21:31.321:31.321:16.064.6
17Ryan LarsonTurner Ashby · SRFinish 21:40.521:40.521:25.161.6
18Chase PotterRockbridge County · FRFinish 21:47.221:47.221:31.759.4
19Evan LillyTurner Ashby · SRFinish 21:58.621:58.621:42.955.6
20Jordan ImlerRockbridge County · SRFinish 22:22.722:22.722:06.847.7
21Chase LowneyRockbridge County · SRFinish 23:11.923:11.922:55.431.5
22Parker FountainRockbridge County · FRFinish 23:12.023:12.022:55.531.4
23Tristan RipaniRockbridge County · FRFinish 23:32.423:32.423:15.624.7
24Tommy LambWilliam Monroe · JRFinish 23:38.923:38.923:22.122.6
25Duman AbdurakhmanulyRockbridge County · JRFinish 24:23.424:23.424:06.07.9
26William RamosHarrisonburg · JRFinish 24:38.624:38.624:21.12.9
27Kaleb KerrBroadway · FRFinish 25:00.925:00.924:43.1—
28Wyatt JonesWilliam Monroe · JRFinish 26:29.826:29.826:10.9—
29Konner OrebaughRockbridge County · SRFinish 26:44.226:44.226:25.2—
30Liam StillwellRockbridge County · SOFinish 27:33.127:33.127:13.5—
31Henry GrahamHarrisonburg · SRFinish 28:05.128:05.127:45.1—
32Logan SteeleEast Rockingham · JRFinish 30:09.930:09.929:48.4—

Valley District Championships, Oct 25, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.