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Oct 15, 2022 · Waynesboro, VA

Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational

Coyner Springs Park · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

100 of 100 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +77.7 s course and conditions +102.3 s in-season fitness −24.5 sCourse constant 528.47 (528)Race constant 524.39 (524)

80 used anchors± 9.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 80 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 80, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Adam Groves · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Bryson Barnett · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 2 more
  3. 3 James Stalnaker · Jefferson Christian Academy: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Eric Duncan · Roanoke Valley Christian: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  5. 5 Miles Jolin · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Grayson Norris · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  7. 8 Tony Trout · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  8. 9 Joey John · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  9. 10 Dietrich Larson · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · BRAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  10. 11 Jed Derrick · Grace Christian School (S): CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  11. 12 Nate Reid · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  12. 13 Chase Arrington · Christian Heritage Academy: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  13. 14 Dylan Colander · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  14. 15 Cade Yancey · East Rockingham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  15. 16 Gage Groves · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  16. 17 Hayden Fox · East Rockingham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  17. 18 Spencer Thacker · Roanoke Valley Christian: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  18. 19 Jake Bowden · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  19. 20 Jude Lagarde · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 2 more
  20. 21 Jonathan Stalnaker · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  21. 22 Eiler Yancey · East Rockingham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  22. 23 Patrick Philbin · Chelsea Academy: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  23. 24 Jude Randall · East Rockingham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  24. 25 Joe Schueckler · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 2 more
  25. 26 Mason Ruger · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  26. 27 Thomas Phlegar · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  27. 28 Ross Williamson · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  28. 29 Hudson Flanders · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  29. 30 Phoenix Johnson · Hargrave Military Academy: BRAC Championships (Oct 29) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 3)
  30. 31 Canon Reid · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  31. 33 Griffin Quinones-Partain · Heritage (Lynchburg): Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · 9th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  32. 34 Brady Bowles · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  33. 35 Gerard Groves · Waynesboro: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  34. 36 William Weatherman · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  35. 38 Joey Neudorf · Grace Christian School: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24)
  36. 39 Matthew Boniface · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24)
  37. 40 Andrew Francis · Hargrave Military Academy: BRAC Championships (Oct 29) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 3)
  38. 41 Alex Duquette · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Group 1A Region B Championships (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  39. 42 Wyatt Bowker · Southwest Virginia Academy: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 3)
  40. 43 Nate Bowles · Southwest Virginia Academy: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 3)
  41. 44 Caleb Cashion · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  42. 45 Jakhari Porter · Waynesboro: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  43. 46 Gabe Bettendorf · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  44. 47 Aran Jothi · Heritage (Lynchburg): Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  45. 48 Cole Reed · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Group 1A Region B Championships (Nov 2) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  46. 49 Jimmy Stanford · Chelsea Academy: Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  47. 50 Isaiah Maxwell · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  48. 51 Charles Martin · Blue Ridge Christian School: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  49. 52 Isaiah Howdyshell · Blue Ridge Christian School: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  50. 55 James Goalder · Waynesboro: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 100 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Adam GrovesWaynesboro · SRFinish 17:09.217:09.215:53.3172.2
2Bryson BarnettChelsea Academy · JRFinish 17:34.017:34.016:16.3164.5
3James StalnakerJefferson Christian Academy · JRFinish 18:13.318:13.316:52.7152.4
4Eric DuncanRoanoke Valley Christian · FRFinish 18:17.918:17.916:56.9151.0
5Miles JolinWaynesboro · FRFinish 18:30.418:30.417:08.6147.1
6Grayson NorrisWaynesboro · FRFinish 18:44.918:44.917:22.0142.6
7Cade CockrellSouthwest Virginia Academy · SRFinish 18:49.118:49.117:25.8141.4
8Tony TroutJefferson Christian Academy · JRFinish 18:57.118:57.117:33.3138.9
9Joey JohnSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 19:00.519:00.517:36.4137.8
10Dietrich LarsonMiller School of Albemarle · SOFinish 19:06.219:06.217:41.7136.1
11Jed DerrickGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 19:06.719:06.717:42.1135.9
12Nate ReidGrace Christian School (S) · SRFinish 19:22.319:22.317:56.6131.1
13Chase ArringtonChristian Heritage Academy · FRFinish 19:23.919:23.917:58.1130.6
14Dylan ColanderWaynesboro · SOFinish 19:30.419:30.418:04.1128.6
15Cade YanceyEast Rockingham · FRFinish 19:34.319:34.318:07.7127.4
16Gage GrovesWaynesboro · SRFinish 19:39.319:39.318:12.4125.8
17Hayden FoxEast Rockingham · SOFinish 19:39.919:39.918:12.9125.7
18Spencer ThackerRoanoke Valley Christian · SOFinish 19:44.719:44.718:17.3124.2
19Jake BowdenJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 19:46.119:46.118:18.7123.7
20Jude LagardeChelsea Academy · SRFinish 19:46.819:46.818:19.3123.5
21Jonathan StalnakerJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 20:00.520:00.518:32.0119.3
22Eiler YanceyEast Rockingham · JRFinish 20:00.720:00.718:32.2119.3
23Patrick PhilbinChelsea Academy · SRFinish 20:04.720:04.718:35.9118.0
24Jude RandallEast Rockingham · SOFinish 20:10.420:10.418:41.2116.2
25Joe SchuecklerChelsea Academy · FRFinish 20:38.620:38.619:07.3107.6
26Mason RugerChelsea Academy · SOFinish 20:43.420:43.419:11.7106.1
27Thomas PhlegarJefferson Christian Academy · SRFinish 20:46.520:46.519:14.6105.1
28Ross WilliamsonWaynesboro · FRFinish 20:48.520:48.519:16.5104.5
29Hudson FlandersSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 20:54.720:54.719:22.2102.6
30Phoenix JohnsonHargrave Military Academy · JRFinish 20:55.820:55.819:23.2102.3
31Canon ReidGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 21:29.621:29.619:54.591.8
32Elijah LorsonRedeemer Classical School · SOFinish 21:40.621:40.620:04.788.4
33Griffin Quinones-PartainHeritage (Lynchburg) · SOFinish 21:40.821:40.820:04.888.4
34Brady BowlesSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 21:41.921:41.920:06.088.0
35Gerard GrovesWaynesboro · SRFinish 21:57.821:57.820:20.783.1
36William WeathermanGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 21:58.021:58.020:20.983.0
37David KeppelRegents School of Charlottesville · JRFinish 21:59.421:59.420:22.282.6
38Joey NeudorfGrace Christian School · JRFinish 22:03.622:03.620:26.081.3
39Matthew BonifaceSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 22:05.522:05.520:27.880.7
40Andrew FrancisHargrave Military Academy · SRFinish 22:21.022:21.020:42.175.9
41Alex DuquetteBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 22:24.322:24.320:45.274.9
42Wyatt BowkerSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 22:27.022:27.020:47.774.1
43Nate BowlesSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 22:30.622:30.620:51.073.0
44Caleb CashionGrace Christian School (S) · SOFinish 22:32.622:32.620:52.972.3
45Jakhari PorterWaynesboro · SOFinish 22:44.722:44.721:04.068.6
46Gabe BettendorfChelsea Academy · SRFinish 22:58.522:58.521:16.864.4
47Aran JothiHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 23:07.123:07.121:24.861.7
48Cole ReedBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 23:12.123:12.121:29.560.1
49Jimmy StanfordChelsea Academy · SOFinish 23:13.223:13.221:30.459.8
50Isaiah MaxwellJefferson Christian Academy · SRFinish 23:18.823:18.821:35.658.1
Show all 100 results (50 more)Showing all 100 results · hide rows 51–100
Boys results, rows 51 to 100 of 100
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Charles MartinBlue Ridge Christian School · FRFinish 23:22.223:22.221:38.957.0
52Isaiah HowdyshellBlue Ridge Christian School · FRFinish 23:23.123:23.121:39.756.7
53Luke TrivetteRegents School of Charlottesville · 8Finish 23:36.323:36.321:51.952.7
54Caden JacksonChelsea Academy · FRFinish 23:39.623:39.621:54.951.7
55James GoalderWaynesboro · SRFinish 23:39.823:39.821:55.151.6
56Sawyer RenfroeJames River (Midlothian) · SOFinish 23:44.323:44.321:59.350.2
57Landon BarnettChelsea Academy · SOFinish 23:51.523:51.522:06.048.0
58David McShurleyChelsea Academy · SOFinish 23:54.723:54.722:09.047.0
59Tahir ThomasHargrave Military Academy · 8Finish 24:11.924:11.922:24.841.7
60Aidan HippChelsea Academy · SRFinish 24:37.024:37.022:48.133.9
61Jonathan FlandersSouthwest Virginia Academy · SOFinish 24:37.624:37.622:48.733.7
62Patrick MartinBlue Ridge Christian School · SOFinish 24:39.624:39.622:50.533.1
63Owen JonesHargrave Military Academy · SRFinish 24:44.624:44.622:55.131.6
64James LamBuffalo Gap · JRFinish 24:46.324:46.322:56.731.1
65Lewis EatonRoanoke Valley Christian · SOFinish 24:48.424:48.422:58.730.4
66Joseph OxfordWaynesboro · FRFinish 24:53.324:53.323:03.228.9
67Charlie LoucksRedeemer Classical School · SOFinish 25:02.525:02.523:11.726.1
68Brycen AlexanderEast Rockingham · FRFinish 25:03.425:03.423:12.625.8
69Jackson SkipperMiller School of Albemarle · SOFinish 25:20.725:20.723:28.520.5
70Elijah Anokye-GyambrahRegents School of Charlottesville · FRFinish 25:27.825:27.823:35.218.2
71Aidan WalkerSouthwest Virginia · JRFinish 25:34.925:34.923:41.816.0
72Aidan StarcherBuffalo Gap · JRFinish 25:37.325:37.323:43.915.3
73Jacob StarkRoanoke Valley Christian · JRFinish 25:40.925:40.923:47.314.2
74Maverick JohnstonSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 25:44.325:44.323:50.413.2
75Hank ChenMiller School of Albemarle · SOFinish 25:57.525:57.524:02.79.1
76David DuleyMount Carmel Christian Academy · 4Finish 26:03.326:03.324:08.07.3
77Aidan WolfgangJames River Eagles Home School Athletics · SRFinish 26:03.926:03.924:08.67.1
78Kaleb DavisMount Carmel Christian Academy · 4Finish 26:05.326:05.324:09.96.7
79David Braxton KoenigWaynesboro · FRFinish 26:21.726:21.724:25.11.6
80Ava CoffmanMount Carmel Christian Academy · 5Finish 26:34.826:34.824:37.2—
81Abram LapicGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 26:47.526:47.524:49.0—
82Zach PayneSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 27:14.427:14.425:13.9—
83Adrian GarciaEast Rockingham · FRFinish 27:20.527:20.525:19.5—
84Samuel XiongMiller School of Albemarle · SRFinish 27:37.827:37.825:35.6—
85Caleb RugerChelsea Academy · SRFinish 27:50.527:50.525:47.3—
86Henry BrewsterRegents School of Charlottesville · FRFinish 27:57.927:57.925:54.2—
87Trevor BonhamSouthwest Virginia · FRFinish 28:00.228:00.225:56.4—
88Ben EscaleraSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 28:04.528:04.526:00.3—
89Elijah WilletteHargrave Military Academy · SOFinish 28:08.828:08.826:04.3—
90Nate SnyderChelsea Academy · SOFinish 28:14.528:14.526:09.6—
91John TurnerSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 28:20.528:20.526:15.1—
92Tyler FergusonRoanoke Valley Christian · SOFinish 28:47.628:47.626:40.2—
93Noah SweeneyGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 28:52.528:52.526:44.8—
94Jacob RiddleJames River (Midlothian) · FRFinish 29:38.529:38.527:27.4—
95Owen ShankBlue Ridge Christian School · FRFinish 29:50.829:50.827:38.7—
96Daniel HeetderksRegents School of Charlottesville · FRFinish 31:31.231:31.229:11.8—
97Madox AlexanderEast Rockingham · FRFinish 31:41.931:41.929:21.6—
98Logan SteeleEast Rockingham · SOFinish 33:42.933:42.931:13.8—
99Calvin RhodesChelsea Academy · SOFinish 36:07.136:07.133:27.4—
100Henry VolodinAppalachian Christian School · SOFinish 38:11.438:11.435:22.5—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

35 of 36 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +88.3 s course and conditions +113.9 s in-season fitness −25.6 sCourse constant 536.22 (536)Race constant 533.37 (533)

33 used anchors± 7.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 33 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 33, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Violet Wall · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Priscilla Keller · Roanoke Valley Christian: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  3. 3 Emma Shirey · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Isabelah Cauley · Christian Heritage Academy: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  5. 5 Georgia Babish · Grace Christian School (S): Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Jessica Dryer · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Lydia Kimmell · Waynesboro: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Maddie Harper · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Katelyn Martin · East Rockingham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Annie Miller · Jefferson Christian Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Jesela Cooper · East Rockingham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  12. 13 Jasliene Flanders · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  13. 14 Molly Hayden · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  14. 15 Kaitlyn Harper · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  15. 16 Helena Akers · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  16. 17 Eileen Peppiatt · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29)
  17. 18 Anna Reeves · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  18. 19 Stevie Klubertanz · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  19. 20 Ellie Shank · Blue Ridge Christian School: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17)
  20. 21 Anna John · Southwest Virginia Academy: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  21. 22 Savannah Jones · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  22. 23 Eve Patrice · Chelsea Academy: Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  23. 24 Vivian Eanes · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  24. 25 Ana Marie Eriksson · Chelsea Academy: Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  25. 26 Gretchen Klubertanz · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  26. 27 Stephanie Estrada · Heritage (Lynchburg): Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · 9th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  27. 28 Meg DeJak · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  28. 29 Lillian Amos · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · BRAC Championships (Oct 29)
  29. 30 Mary Klucinec · Chelsea Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Spire Invitational and NVIAC Championships (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  30. 31 Jenna Fleming · Grace Christian School (S): VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  31. 32 Gabby Lee · Roanoke Valley Christian: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  32. 33 Dannia Gomez · East Rockingham: Bull Run District Championship (Oct 26) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  33. 34 Elian Sconyers · Blue Ridge Christian School: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 36 of 36 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Violet WallJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 19:50.319:50.318:12.5128.3
2Priscilla KellerRoanoke Valley Christian · SRFinish 21:45.121:45.119:57.993.2
3Emma ShireyJefferson Christian Academy · FRFinish 22:38.722:38.720:47.176.8
4Isabelah CauleyChristian Heritage Academy · JRFinish 22:58.722:58.721:05.570.6
5Georgia BabishGrace Christian School (S) · FRFinish 23:00.023:00.021:06.770.2
6Jessica DryerGrace Christian School (S) · JRFinish 23:01.123:01.121:07.769.9
7Lydia KimmellWaynesboro · SOFinish 23:01.623:01.621:08.169.7
8Maddie HarperGrace Christian School (S) · JRFinish 23:08.223:08.221:14.267.7
9Katelyn MartinEast Rockingham · JRFinish 23:23.023:23.021:27.863.2
10Annie MillerJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 23:54.123:54.121:56.353.7
11Jesela CooperEast Rockingham · SRFinish 24:13.324:13.322:13.947.8
12Reagan JonesRegents School of Charlottesville · SRFinish 24:18.224:18.222:18.446.3
13Jasliene FlandersSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 24:22.224:22.222:22.145.1
14Molly HaydenSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 24:25.724:25.722:25.344.0
15Kaitlyn HarperGrace Christian School (S) · SOFinish 24:41.424:41.422:39.739.2
16Helena AkersChelsea Academy · SRFinish 24:43.924:43.922:42.038.5
17Eileen PeppiattChelsea Academy · FRFinish 24:44.024:44.022:42.138.4
18Anna ReevesChelsea Academy · FRFinish 24:54.124:54.122:51.335.4
19Stevie KlubertanzChelsea Academy · FRFinish 24:59.224:59.222:56.133.8
20Ellie ShankBlue Ridge Christian School · SRFinish 25:28.625:28.623:23.124.8
21Anna JohnSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 28:01.728:01.725:43.5—
22Savannah JonesGrace Christian School (S) · SRFinish 28:46.728:46.726:24.9—
23Eve PatriceChelsea Academy · JRFinish 29:18.829:18.826:54.3—
24Vivian EanesMiller School of Albemarle · SRFinish 29:55.529:55.527:28.0—
25Ana Marie ErikssonChelsea Academy · JRFinish 29:59.629:59.627:31.8—
26Gretchen KlubertanzChelsea Academy · JRFinish 30:19.630:19.627:50.1—
27Stephanie EstradaHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 30:59.830:59.828:27.1—
28Meg DeJakChelsea Academy · FRFinish 31:04.531:04.528:31.4—
29Lillian AmosMiller School of Albemarle · FRFinish 31:09.531:09.528:35.9—
30Mary KlucinecChelsea Academy · JRFinish 31:51.831:51.829:14.8—
31Jenna FlemingGrace Christian School (S) · SRFinish 33:25.433:25.430:40.6—
32Gabby LeeRoanoke Valley Christian · JRFinish 33:30.833:30.830:45.6—
33Dannia GomezEast Rockingham · SRFinish 33:36.433:36.430:50.8—
34Elian SconyersBlue Ridge Christian School · SOFinish 35:35.935:35.932:40.4—
35Autum TooleJames River Eagles Home School Athletics · JRFinish 36:06.836:06.833:08.8—
36Samantha WolfgangJames River Eagles Home School Athletics · SOFinish 45:52.545:52.5UnavailableUnavailable

1 row: time outside the rated range.

Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational, Oct 15, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.