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Oct 29, 2022 · Earlysville, VA

brac championships 2022

Panorama Farms · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2025

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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B

58 of 58 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −41.0 s course and conditions −18.8 s in-season fitness −22.3 sCourse constant 485.41 (485)Race constant 481.44 (481)

55 used anchors± 6.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 55 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 55, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Alex Dickenson · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  2. 2 William Charlton · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Finton Chaney · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24)
  4. 4 Harry Anderson · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Kyle Thomson · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Dylan White · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Price Lineweaver · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Dietrich Larson · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  9. 9 David Herbert · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  10. 10 Isaac Ott · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Jedrek Sneary · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Drew Holland · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Davis Hottle · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  14. 14 Cohen Lemcke · Blue Ridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24)
  15. 15 Konur Onufer · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Bennett Atienza · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Phoenix Johnson · Hargrave Military Academy: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 3)
  18. 18 Fisher Zhang · Virginia Episcopal School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  19. 19 Sam Castaneda · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Lucas Wang · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  21. 21 Nicholas Foster · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Luke Libbey · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  23. 23 Matt Fittro · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Thomas Stadnyk · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Padraic Wasinger · Blue Ridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24)
  26. 26 Hudson Moore · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Isaiah Goode · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  28. 28 Ben Huyard · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Noah Loker · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Patrick Dirom · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  31. 31 Bauer Adkins · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Sean O'Herron · Roanoke Catholic School: CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  33. 33 Adam Drapac · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Andrew Francis · Hargrave Military Academy: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Vikings XC Invitational (Sep 3)
  35. 35 Nathan Moak · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Caleb Beale · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  37. 38 William Marks · Blue Ridge School: VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24)
  38. 39 Josh Schindler · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  39. 40 Logan Howland · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  40. 41 Ethan Edwards · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  41. 42 Thomas Fenton · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  42. 43 Noah McCormick · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  43. 44 Ryan Chen · Blue Ridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24)
  44. 45 Caleb McCormick · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  45. 46 Junius Gardner · Fishburne Military School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  46. 47 Jackson Skipper · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  47. 48 Owen Jones · Hargrave Military Academy: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15)
  48. 50 Andre Frenchick · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  49. 51 Haowen Wang · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  50. 52 Hank Chen · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 58 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Alex DickensonNorth Cross School · JRFinish 17:07.017:07.017:28.7140.4
2William CharltonThe Covenant School · FRFinish 17:24.117:24.117:46.2134.6
3Finton ChaneyNorth Cross School · 8Finish 17:28.717:28.717:50.9133.0
4Harry AndersonNorth Cross School · SOFinish 17:29.417:29.417:51.6132.8
5Kyle ThomsonNorth Cross School · SRFinish 17:36.117:36.117:58.4130.5
6Dylan WhiteNorth Cross School · JRFinish 17:38.117:38.118:00.5129.8
7Price LineweaverThe Covenant School · FRFinish 17:52.817:52.818:15.5124.8
8Dietrich LarsonMiller School of Albemarle · SOFinish 17:53.617:53.618:16.3124.5
9David HerbertVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 18:02.418:02.418:25.3121.5
10Isaac OttEastern Mennonite School · SOFinish 18:07.018:07.018:30.0120.0
11Jedrek SnearyEastern Mennonite School · SOFinish 18:14.518:14.518:37.7117.4
12Drew HollandEastern Mennonite School · JRFinish 18:28.018:28.018:51.4112.8
13Davis HottleVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 18:44.518:44.519:08.3107.2
14Cohen LemckeBlue Ridge School · FRFinish 18:46.318:46.319:10.1106.6
15Konur OnuferNorth Cross School · JRFinish 18:57.918:57.919:22.0102.6
16Bennett AtienzaRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 19:04.119:04.119:28.3100.5
17Phoenix JohnsonHargrave Military Academy · JRFinish 19:05.319:05.319:29.6100.1
18Fisher ZhangVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 19:18.519:18.519:43.095.6
19Sam CastanedaEastern Mennonite School · SOFinish 19:24.519:24.519:49.293.6
20Lucas WangVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 19:24.719:24.719:49.493.5
21Nicholas FosterRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 19:37.619:37.620:02.689.1
22Luke LibbeyNew Covenant Schools · JRFinish 19:49.119:49.120:14.385.2
23Matt FittroThe Covenant School · SRFinish 19:49.419:49.420:14.685.1
24Thomas StadnykRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 19:51.419:51.420:16.684.4
25Padraic WasingerBlue Ridge School · JRFinish 19:53.919:53.920:19.283.6
26Hudson MooreThe Covenant School · FRFinish 19:54.919:54.920:20.283.2
27Isaiah GoodeThe Covenant School · 8Finish 20:02.620:02.620:28.080.6
28Ben HuyardEastern Mennonite School · SRFinish 20:05.220:05.220:30.779.7
29Noah LokerEastern Mennonite School · SOFinish 20:07.220:07.220:32.879.0
30Patrick DiromVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 20:11.120:11.120:36.777.7
31Bauer AdkinsRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 20:20.720:20.720:46.674.4
32Sean O'HerronRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 20:26.920:26.920:52.972.3
33Adam DrapacRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 20:35.720:35.721:01.869.4
34Andrew FrancisHargrave Military Academy · SRFinish 20:39.720:39.721:05.968.0
35Nathan MoakRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 20:53.220:53.221:19.863.4
36Caleb BealeThe Covenant School · SRFinish 21:02.321:02.321:29.060.3
37Min KooBlue Ridge School · SOFinish 21:04.121:04.121:30.859.7
38William MarksBlue Ridge School · JRFinish 21:11.221:11.221:38.157.3
39Josh SchindlerVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 21:23.221:23.221:50.353.2
40Logan HowlandNorth Cross School · 8Finish 21:35.121:35.122:02.549.2
41Ethan EdwardsNew Covenant Schools · SRFinish 21:38.421:38.422:05.848.0
42Thomas FentonVirginia Episcopal School · JRFinish 21:45.821:45.822:13.445.5
43Noah McCormickNew Covenant Schools · SOFinish 21:59.021:59.022:26.941.0
44Ryan ChenBlue Ridge School · SRFinish 22:04.822:04.822:32.839.0
45Caleb McCormickNew Covenant Schools · JRFinish 22:30.022:30.022:58.530.5
46Junius GardnerFishburne Military School · JRFinish 22:45.322:45.323:14.225.2
47Jackson SkipperMiller School of Albemarle · SOFinish 22:52.922:52.923:21.922.7
48Owen JonesHargrave Military Academy · SRFinish 22:57.322:57.323:26.521.2
49Ben GilroyFishburne Military School · SOFinish 22:59.922:59.923:29.120.3
50Andre FrenchickNew Covenant Schools · FRFinish 23:08.223:08.223:37.617.5
Show all 58 results (8 more)Showing all 58 results · hide rows 51–58
Boys results, rows 51 to 58 of 58
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Haowen WangMiller School of Albemarle · SRFinish 23:16.523:16.523:46.014.6
52Hank ChenMiller School of Albemarle · SOFinish 23:23.923:23.923:53.612.1
53Brody BurrellBlue Ridge School · SRFinish 23:32.023:32.024:01.89.4
54Ricky Cortines RamaBlue Ridge School · SRFinish 24:24.224:24.224:55.2—
55Elijah WilletteHargrave Military Academy · SOFinish 24:28.624:28.624:59.7—
56Enoch TanNew Covenant Schools · FRFinish 24:58.324:58.325:30.0—
57Ivan GrayFishburne Military School · SOFinish 27:31.527:31.528:06.5—
58Abdoulie ChamFishburne Military School · JRFinish 34:30.034:30.035:13.8—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

42 of 42 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −27.3 s course and conditions −3.9 s in-season fitness −23.3 sCourse constant 491.44 (491)Race constant 488.45 (488)

37 used anchors± 6.2 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 37 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 37, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kerrigan Chaney · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Maddie Gardiner · The Covenant School: Champs National Cross Country Championships (Dec 10) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Reese Dalton · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Erin Loker · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Savannah Wood · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Ainsley Myles · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24)
  7. 7 Kate Flippin · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  8. 8 Morgan Lynn · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Gia Barlow · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  10. 10 Alexis Teter · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Ana Brown · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  12. 12 Mickie O'Herron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Frances Fenton · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  14. 14 Paige Hutchinson · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Orla Bradley · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Angela Drapac · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Ava Clark · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  18. 18 Laina Landseadel · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  19. 19 Melia Leitner · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  20. 20 Lily McKee · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  21. 22 Paige Hutcheson · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  22. 23 Addison Becker · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  23. 24 Kaitlyn Bauer · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  24. 25 Kate Piper · Eastern Mennonite School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  25. 27 Mo Scott · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  26. 28 Sophia Strycharz · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  27. 29 Molly Murdock · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · CHARCS Private School Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  28. 30 Elizabeth Matney · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  29. 31 Sophia Hurst · Chatham Hall: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 19)
  30. 32 Lydia Horner · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  31. 34 Alicia Kenny · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10)
  32. 35 Abigail Rose · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  33. 36 Jael Brenning · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  34. 37 Luciana Tritel · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  35. 38 Lillian Amos · Miller School of Albemarle: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15)
  36. 39 Elizabeth Bryant · New Covenant Schools: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Eastern Mennonite Invitational (Sep 10)
  37. 40 Marilyn Mack · Chatham Hall: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 19)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 42 of 42 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kerrigan ChaneyNorth Cross School · SOFinish 17:57.517:57.518:06.5130.3
2Maddie GardinerThe Covenant School · JRFinish 18:03.718:03.718:12.7128.2
3Reese DaltonThe Covenant School · JRFinish 18:46.518:46.518:55.9113.8
4Erin LokerEastern Mennonite School · JRFinish 20:41.520:41.520:51.975.2
5Savannah WoodThe Covenant School · FRFinish 21:23.021:23.021:33.661.2
6Ainsley MylesNorth Cross School · 8Finish 21:27.521:27.521:38.259.7
7Kate FlippinVirginia Episcopal School · FRFinish 21:33.421:33.421:44.257.7
8Morgan LynnThe Covenant School · 8Finish 21:52.721:52.722:03.651.3
9Gia BarlowNew Covenant Schools · FRFinish 21:58.821:58.822:09.849.2
10Alexis TeterNorth Cross School · SRFinish 22:13.222:13.222:24.344.4
11Ana BrownVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 22:23.822:23.822:34.940.8
12Mickie O'HerronRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 22:41.822:41.822:53.234.7
13Frances FentonVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 23:06.723:06.723:18.326.4
14Paige HutchinsonThe Covenant School · JRFinish 23:11.023:11.023:22.624.9
15Orla BradleyThe Covenant School · 8Finish 23:24.223:24.223:35.920.5
16Angela DrapacRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 23:29.623:29.623:41.318.7
17Ava ClarkVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 23:29.723:29.723:41.518.6
18Laina LandseadelMiller School of Albemarle · 8Finish 23:36.823:36.823:48.616.3
19Melia LeitnerNew Covenant Schools · SOFinish 23:38.823:38.823:50.615.6
20Lily McKeeVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 23:40.623:40.623:52.415.0
21Martha WyseEastern Mennonite School · FRFinish 24:05.824:05.824:17.96.5
22Paige HutchesonEastern Mennonite School · SRFinish 24:08.624:08.624:20.65.6
23Addison BeckerRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 24:18.824:18.824:31.02.1
24Kaitlyn BauerVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 24:24.524:24.524:36.70.2
25Kate PiperEastern Mennonite School · SOFinish 24:24.824:24.824:36.90.1
26Jane WuChatham Hall · FRFinish 24:33.824:33.824:46.1—
27Mo ScottVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 25:13.725:13.725:26.3—
28Sophia StrycharzRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 25:39.225:39.225:52.0—
29Molly MurdockRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 25:39.825:39.825:52.7—
30Elizabeth MatneyNew Covenant Schools · SRFinish 25:45.825:45.825:58.7—
31Sophia HurstChatham Hall · SOFinish 25:50.125:50.126:03.0—
32Lydia HornerNorth Cross School · JRFinish 26:03.026:03.026:16.0—
33Kate WuChatham Hall · FRFinish 26:17.126:17.126:30.3—
34Alicia KennyNew Covenant Schools · FRFinish 26:18.626:18.626:31.8—
35Abigail RoseNew Covenant Schools · JRFinish 26:59.426:59.427:12.9—
36Jael BrenningNew Covenant Schools · SRFinish 27:28.127:28.127:41.8—
37Luciana TritelThe Covenant School · FRFinish 27:47.227:47.228:01.1—
38Lillian AmosMiller School of Albemarle · FRFinish 28:05.028:05.028:19.0—
39Elizabeth BryantNew Covenant Schools · SOFinish 29:21.629:21.629:36.3—
40Marilyn MackChatham Hall · FRFinish 30:44.230:44.230:59.6—
41Liliana StinsonChatham Hall · SRFinish 30:46.630:46.631:02.0—
42Sadie GroffEastern Mennonite School · JRFinish 33:11.333:11.333:27.9—

brac championships 2022, Oct 29, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.