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Sep 24, 2022 · Earlysville, VA

VTCA Fall Classic

Panorama Farms · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2026 · 2025 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

4 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys Varsity A 5k

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B

68 of 68 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −16.8 s course and conditions −28.1 s in-season fitness +11.2 sCourse constant 483.07 (483)Race constant 484.62 (485)

66 used anchors± 4.2 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 66 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 66, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Bazil Mathes · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Henry Anderson · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Russell Kramer · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Nathaniel McKee · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  5. 5 William Moore · Louisa County: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Parker Blosser · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Charlie Kalnite · Tandem Friends School: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Nate Austin · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Cael Alonzo · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Luke Frank · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Jack Helmke · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  12. 12 Patrick Doherty · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Jack Pritchard · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Connor Mann · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Peyton Kenee · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Anthony Bastardi · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Matthew Conrad · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Rehaan Jain · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Jacoby Lynch · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Caleb Selph · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Zachary Kuhn · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  22. 22 Daniel Vizcaino · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Ben Davis · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Taylen Soriano · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Ino Puente · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Ethan Havran · Charlottesville: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  27. 27 Eli Radio · West Springfield: Patriot District Championship (Oct 27) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  28. 28 Gavin Myers · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Troy Cornett · Louisa County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Gabriel Hurst-Barb · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Creighton Doherty · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Caden Goerge · St. Anne's-Belfield School: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  33. 33 Bunte Kite · Spotswood: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 2 more
  34. 34 Oliver Frankel · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  35. 35 Max Scharer · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  36. 36 Nathaniel Wilson · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Will Taylor · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  38. 38 Owen Sexton · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Charlie Goodman · Maggie Walker Gov. School: Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Theo Adams · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  41. 41 Jacob Schulz · Fort Defiance: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  42. 42 Casen Soriano · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Michael O'Neill · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  44. 44 Owen McHugh · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  45. 45 Will Knutson · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  46. 46 Bradley Chang · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Max Frazee · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 10) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  48. 48 Tristan Walker · Monticello: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  49. 49 Connor Mitchell · Fort Defiance: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  50. 50 Jalen Alexander · Fort Defiance: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 68 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Bazil MathesMonticello · JRFinish 15:34.915:34.915:48.6173.8
2Henry AndersonWest Springfield · SRFinish 15:53.715:53.716:07.7167.4
3Russell KramerSpotswood · SRFinish 16:19.916:19.916:34.3158.5
4Nathaniel McKeeCharlottesville · JRFinish 16:29.516:29.516:44.0155.3
5William MooreLouisa County · JRFinish 16:43.516:43.516:58.2150.6
6Parker BlosserFort Defiance · SOFinish 16:47.216:47.217:02.0149.3
7Charlie KalniteTandem Friends School · JRFinish 16:48.316:48.317:03.1148.9
8Nate AustinWest Springfield · SRFinish 16:59.716:59.717:14.7145.1
9Cael AlonzoWest Springfield · JRFinish 16:59.916:59.917:14.9145.0
10Luke FrankCharlottesville · SRFinish 17:01.817:01.817:16.8144.4
11Jack HelmkeCharlottesville · JRFinish 17:02.017:02.017:17.0144.3
12Patrick DohertyMaggie Walker Gov. School · JRFinish 17:03.317:03.317:18.3143.9
13Jack PritchardWest Springfield · SOFinish 17:04.117:04.117:19.1143.6
14Connor MannWest Springfield · SRFinish 17:08.717:08.717:23.8142.0
15Peyton KeneeSpotswood · Grade not recordedFinish 17:09.817:09.817:24.9141.7
16Anthony BastardiMaggie Walker Gov. School · FRFinish 17:11.917:11.917:27.0141.0
17Matthew ConradJ.R. Tucker · JRFinish 17:12.317:12.317:27.4140.8
18Rehaan JainMaggie Walker Gov. School · JRFinish 17:18.617:18.617:33.8138.7
19Jacoby LynchCharlottesville · FRFinish 17:20.517:20.517:35.8138.1
20Caleb SelphWest Springfield · SRFinish 17:22.217:22.217:37.5137.5
21Zachary KuhnMaggie Walker Gov. School · SRFinish 17:24.217:24.217:39.5136.8
22Daniel VizcainoMonticello · JRFinish 17:28.917:28.917:44.3135.2
23Ben DavisMonticello · SRFinish 17:29.317:29.317:44.7135.1
24Taylen SorianoLouisa County · JRFinish 17:40.517:40.517:56.1131.3
25Ino PuenteWest Springfield · JRFinish 17:44.817:44.818:00.4129.8
26Ethan HavranCharlottesville · FRFinish 17:47.117:47.118:02.8129.1
27Eli RadioWest Springfield · SOFinish 17:49.917:49.918:05.6128.1
28Gavin MyersLouisa County · SOFinish 17:56.417:56.418:12.2125.9
29Troy CornettLouisa County · SOFinish 17:56.417:56.418:12.2125.9
30Gabriel Hurst-BarbLouisa County · FRFinish 17:56.817:56.818:12.6125.8
31Creighton DohertyMonticello · FRFinish 17:58.117:58.118:13.9125.3
32Caden GoergeSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SOFinish 18:00.018:00.018:15.8124.7
33Bunte KiteSpotswood · JRFinish 18:04.018:04.018:19.9123.3
34Oliver FrankelMaggie Walker Gov. School · JRFinish 18:15.318:15.318:31.4119.5
35Max ScharerMonticello · SRFinish 18:18.018:18.018:34.1118.6
36Nathaniel WilsonLouisa County · FRFinish 18:24.718:24.718:40.9116.3
37Will TaylorMaggie Walker Gov. School · SRFinish 18:31.618:31.618:47.9114.0
38Owen SextonMonticello · SOFinish 18:35.018:35.018:51.4112.9
39Charlie GoodmanMaggie Walker Gov. School · SRFinish 18:37.218:37.218:53.6112.1
40Theo AdamsTandem Friends School · SRFinish 18:38.718:38.718:55.1111.6
41Jacob SchulzFort Defiance · JRFinish 18:40.818:40.818:57.2110.9
42Casen SorianoLouisa County · FRFinish 18:41.718:41.718:58.2110.6
43Michael O'NeillTandem Friends School · SRFinish 18:45.518:45.519:02.0109.3
44Owen McHughLouisa County · FRFinish 18:50.018:50.019:06.6107.8
45Will KnutsonMaggie Walker Gov. School · SOFinish 18:50.118:50.119:06.7107.7
46Bradley ChangJ.R. Tucker · SOFinish 18:51.218:51.219:07.8107.4
47Max FrazeeTandem Friends School · SRFinish 18:54.618:54.619:11.2106.2
48Tristan WalkerMonticello · SOFinish 19:02.319:02.319:19.1103.6
49Connor MitchellFort Defiance · JRFinish 19:08.219:08.219:25.0101.6
50Jalen AlexanderFort Defiance · JRFinish 19:10.219:10.219:27.1100.9
Show all 68 results (18 more)Showing all 68 results · hide rows 51–68
Boys results, rows 51 to 68 of 68
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Troy KramerSpotswood · SOFinish 19:10.619:10.619:27.5100.8
52Andrew BaishJ.R. Tucker · SRFinish 19:15.319:15.319:32.299.2
53Alejandro RicardezJ.R. Tucker · FRFinish 19:15.719:15.719:32.799.1
54Kiernan SheahanSpotswood · FRFinish 19:18.519:18.519:35.598.1
55Padraic WasingerBlue Ridge School · JRFinish 19:32.419:32.419:49.693.4
56Devin MalhotraTandem Friends School · SRFinish 19:37.319:37.319:54.691.8
57Jacob SherrodJ.R. Tucker · SRFinish 19:39.719:39.719:57.091.0
58Dominic DaviesSpotswood · FRFinish 19:58.219:58.220:15.884.7
59Cohen LemckeBlue Ridge School · FRFinish 20:22.820:22.820:40.776.4
60Carson BillerFort Defiance · SOFinish 20:33.720:33.720:51.872.7
61Isaiah GillBlue Ridge School · SOFinish 20:42.620:42.621:00.869.7
62Quad JacobsonJ.R. Tucker · SRFinish 20:50.420:50.421:08.767.1
63Erdem YilmazJ.R. Tucker · SRFinish 20:51.820:51.821:10.266.6
64Ricky Cortines RamaBlue Ridge School · SRFinish 22:39.222:39.222:59.130.3
65Ben TomeiSpotswood · SOFinish 22:42.622:42.623:02.629.1
66William MarksBlue Ridge School · JRFinish 23:27.123:27.123:47.714.1
67GASASIRA, JohniBlue Ridge School · SOFinish 23:34.723:34.723:55.511.5
68Ryan ChenBlue Ridge School · SRFinish 23:37.023:37.023:57.810.7

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls Varsity A 5k

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B

54 of 54 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −5.4 s course and conditions −18.0 s in-season fitness +12.7 sCourse constant 486.39 (486)Race constant 490.29 (490)

54 used anchors± 3.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 54 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 54, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Aidan MacGrath · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Taylor Myers · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Elaina Pierce · Charlottesville: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Ryan Davidson · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Adeline Barker · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Abby Lane · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Kennedy Harris · Louisa County: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Chloe Miller · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Trinity Neff · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Katherine Len · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Lexi Stein · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Hope McCullough · Monticello: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Maeve Myers · Louisa County: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Brenna Luczak · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Lydia Shields · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  16. 16 Grace Wevley · West Springfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Katherine Streeter · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Allyson Phillips · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Addison Mau · West Springfield: Occoquan Region CC Championship (Nov 3) · Patriot District Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Ashland Dickel · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Marika Dickel · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Allyson Hall · West Springfield: Patriot District Championship (Oct 27) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Lillian Liles · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Keeley Maddux · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Carly Sheils · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  26. 26 Abigail Martin · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3B XC Championships Meet Manager (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  27. 27 Bethany Lang · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Anna Dabaghyan · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Isabel Russo · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Caroline Chapman · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  31. 31 Lily Outland · Monticello: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Kate Ruebke · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Reade Henley · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 2 more
  34. 34 Izzy List · Maggie Walker Gov. School: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  36. 36 Brooklyn Nemec · Louisa County: VHSL Region 4D Championships (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Katarina "Kat" Love · Monticello: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  38. 38 Ananda Hamlin · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 2 more
  39. 39 Taylor Cubbage · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  40. 40 Avery Brown · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Carolyn Heyel · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 2 more
  42. 42 Sydney Ford · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Mia McLaughlin · Fort Defiance: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  44. 44 Katherine Ham · Monticello: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  45. 45 Jennifer Aust · Monticello: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  46. 46 Ramsey Edwards · Charlottesville: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  47. 47 Mira Masri · Charlottesville: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  48. 48 Katelyn Groseclose · J.R. Tucker: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 2) · Colonial District Meet (Oct 20) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Abigail Riddle · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  50. 50 Lucy Vlasis · Monticello: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 54 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Aidan MacGrathWest Springfield · JRFinish 18:05.118:05.118:10.5129.0
2Taylor MyersSpotswood · JRFinish 18:44.518:44.518:50.1115.8
3Elaina PierceCharlottesville · FRFinish 19:01.219:01.219:06.9110.2
4Ryan DavidsonMonticello · FRFinish 19:02.719:02.719:08.4109.7
5Adeline BarkerWest Springfield · SOFinish 19:13.619:13.619:19.4106.0
6Abby LaneFort Defiance · JRFinish 19:30.419:30.419:36.2100.4
7Kennedy HarrisLouisa County · SRFinish 19:31.019:31.019:36.8100.2
8Chloe MillerWest Springfield · JRFinish 19:57.819:57.820:03.891.2
9Trinity NeffFort Defiance · SRFinish 20:06.320:06.320:12.388.4
10Katherine LenWest Springfield · JRFinish 20:09.720:09.720:15.787.2
11Lexi SteinWest Springfield · SRFinish 20:11.520:11.520:17.586.6
12Hope McCulloughMonticello · SRFinish 20:12.720:12.720:18.886.2
13Maeve MyersLouisa County · SRFinish 20:14.120:14.120:20.285.7
14Brenna LuczakMaggie Walker Gov. School · SRFinish 20:15.820:15.820:21.985.2
15Lydia ShieldsMaggie Walker Gov. School · JRFinish 20:18.120:18.120:24.284.4
16Grace WevleyWest Springfield · JRFinish 20:20.520:20.520:26.683.6
17Katherine StreeterMaggie Walker Gov. School · JRFinish 20:32.920:32.920:39.179.4
18Allyson PhillipsMaggie Walker Gov. School · SRFinish 20:33.320:33.320:39.579.3
19Addison MauWest Springfield · SOFinish 20:33.520:33.520:39.779.2
20Ashland DickelSpotswood · SOFinish 20:41.220:41.220:47.476.7
21Marika DickelSpotswood · SOFinish 20:41.220:41.220:47.476.7
22Allyson HallWest Springfield · SOFinish 21:04.121:04.121:10.469.0
23Lillian LilesLouisa County · FRFinish 21:10.521:10.521:16.866.9
24Keeley MadduxJ.R. Tucker · FRFinish 21:17.721:17.721:24.164.4
25Carly SheilsMaggie Walker Gov. School · SOFinish 21:29.421:29.421:35.860.5
26Abigail MartinMaggie Walker Gov. School · FRFinish 21:41.121:41.121:47.656.6
27Bethany LangFort Defiance · JRFinish 21:43.921:43.921:50.455.7
28Anna DabaghyanSpotswood · SRFinish 21:47.421:47.421:53.954.5
29Isabel RussoJ.R. Tucker · SOFinish 21:54.821:54.822:01.452.0
30Caroline ChapmanLouisa County · SRFinish 21:56.221:56.222:02.851.5
31Lily OutlandMonticello · SOFinish 22:14.722:14.722:21.445.3
32Kate RuebkeSpotswood · JRFinish 22:16.222:16.222:22.944.8
33Reade HenleyMaggie Walker Gov. School · SRFinish 22:28.922:28.922:35.640.6
34Izzy ListMaggie Walker Gov. School · JRFinish 22:46.922:46.922:53.734.6
35Madison ConnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 22:54.322:54.323:01.232.1
36Brooklyn NemecLouisa County · FRFinish 22:54.722:54.723:01.631.9
37Katarina "Kat" LoveMonticello · SRFinish 22:56.922:56.923:03.831.2
38Ananda HamlinJ.R. Tucker · JRFinish 23:08.623:08.623:15.527.3
39Taylor CubbageFort Defiance · FRFinish 23:14.423:14.423:21.425.3
40Avery BrownFort Defiance · FRFinish 23:17.123:17.123:24.124.4
41Carolyn HeyelJ.R. Tucker · JRFinish 23:46.623:46.623:53.714.6
42Sydney FordJ.R. Tucker · FRFinish 23:47.023:47.023:54.114.4
43Mia McLaughlinFort Defiance · SOFinish 23:59.323:59.324:06.510.3
44Katherine HamMonticello · SRFinish 24:04.424:04.424:11.68.6
45Jennifer AustMonticello · SRFinish 24:05.924:05.924:13.18.1
46Ramsey EdwardsCharlottesville · FRFinish 24:06.124:06.124:13.38.0
47Mira MasriCharlottesville · FRFinish 24:24.924:24.924:32.21.7
48Katelyn GrosecloseJ.R. Tucker · SOFinish 24:30.524:30.524:37.8—
49Abigail RiddleFort Defiance · SRFinish 25:05.425:05.425:12.9—
50Lucy VlasisMonticello · JRFinish 25:12.925:12.925:20.5—
Show all 54 results (4 more)Showing all 54 results · hide rows 51–54
Girls results, rows 51 to 54 of 54
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Ruth RascoeSpotswood · FRFinish 25:20.025:20.025:27.6—
52Lydia BloorCharlottesville · JRFinish 25:31.325:31.325:38.9—
53Isabel DruryCharlottesville · FRFinish 25:45.525:45.525:53.2—
54Angel DavidLouisa County · SRFinish 28:21.628:21.628:30.1—

BOYS · JV · 5,000 M

VTCA Fall Classic Panorama Farms, Earlysville, VA - 9/24/2022 Boys JV 5k

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D

38 of 38 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −10.1 s course and conditions −21.4 s in-season fitness +11.3 sCourse constant 483.95 (484)Race constant 486.11 (486)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.2 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Boys results, places shown 1 to 38 of 38 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Braxton McDanielPotomac Senior High · JRFinish 18:51.918:51.919:02.0109.3
2Brayden NemecLouisa County · 8Finish 19:20.319:20.319:30.799.8
3Edison DeanWest Springfield · FRFinish 19:45.819:45.819:56.491.2
4Gavin SmithWest Springfield · FRFinish 19:50.719:50.720:01.389.5
5Luke GunnWest Springfield · SOFinish 19:51.419:51.420:02.089.3
6Finn SmithWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 19:58.319:58.320:09.087.0
7Eric FrelsWest Springfield · SOFinish 20:05.720:05.720:16.584.5
8Evan HarrisWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 20:12.220:12.220:23.082.3
9Nic WillisFork Union Military Academy · SOFinish 20:12.220:12.220:23.082.3
10Will MaurerCharlottesville · FRFinish 20:22.220:22.220:33.178.9
11Omar ZiadehWest Springfield · FRFinish 20:23.820:23.820:34.778.4
12Michael MiddendorfWest Springfield · FRFinish 20:30.420:30.420:41.476.2
13Grant PattersonCharlottesville · FRFinish 20:49.020:49.021:00.169.9
14Jack PeddenWest Springfield · FRFinish 20:49.120:49.121:00.369.9
15Nicholas SongWest Springfield · SOFinish 20:54.820:54.821:06.068.0
16Matthew BowlingCharlottesville · SOFinish 21:22.321:22.321:33.758.7
17Zach SalzbergWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 21:25.121:25.121:36.657.8
18Ouzman CissePotomac Senior High · SOFinish 21:37.121:37.121:48.753.7
19Brendan SpaederMonticello · FRFinish 21:39.021:39.021:50.653.1
20Noah BellCharlottesville · 8Finish 21:40.621:40.621:52.252.6
21Daniel JohnsonWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 21:56.121:56.122:07.847.4
22Luke TrivetteRegents School of Charlottesville · 8Finish 21:59.021:59.022:10.846.4
23Edward KoromaPotomac Senior High · SOFinish 22:09.122:09.122:21.043.0
24Nicholas ColemanFork Union Military Academy · FRFinish 22:14.622:14.622:26.541.1
25Robert CallahanFork Union Military Academy · FRFinish 22:22.722:22.722:34.738.4
26Jun WilliamsCharlottesville · FRFinish 22:38.922:38.922:51.033.0
27James CookWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 22:53.222:53.223:05.528.2
28Harber AmissLouisa County · FRFinish 22:59.522:59.523:11.826.0
29Nicholas HockmanLouisa County · SOFinish 22:59.822:59.823:12.125.9
30Cele Gonzalez-MolinaMonticello · FRFinish 23:10.423:10.423:22.822.4
31Caleb SavilleMonticello · 8Finish 23:41.023:41.023:53.712.1
32Finn NaughtonWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 23:53.123:53.124:05.98.0
33John HublerLouisa County · 8Finish 24:36.024:36.024:49.2—
34Deegan GardnerWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 25:52.525:52.526:06.4—
35Logan FiddnerMonticello · SOFinish 26:18.026:18.026:32.1—
36Lucas VincentCharlottesville · FRFinish 29:12.029:12.029:27.6—
37William BrownMonticello · SOFinish 30:18.430:18.430:34.6—
38Henry BrownJ.R. Tucker · FRFinish 31:26.631:26.631:43.4—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

Girls JV 5k

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19 of 19 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +1.4 s course and conditions −11.3 s in-season fitness +12.7 sCourse constant 488.55 (489)Race constant 492.79 (493)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 19 of 19 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kaylee HornerWest Springfield · SOFinish 21:38.921:38.921:38.059.8
2Eleanor BairdWest Springfield · FRFinish 21:57.721:57.721:56.853.5
3Rania CarterPotomac Senior High · SOFinish 22:26.222:26.222:25.344.0
4Sarah RiosWest Springfield · SOFinish 22:29.722:29.722:28.842.9
5Angelica SheaWest Springfield · SOFinish 23:01.123:01.123:00.132.4
6Aamira JonesLouisa County · FRFinish 23:12.823:12.823:11.828.5
7Rebecca PruntyWest Springfield · FRFinish 23:14.023:14.023:13.028.1
8Marie CampbellWest Springfield · FRFinish 23:16.723:16.723:15.727.2
9Alexis RodbergWest Springfield · FRFinish 23:26.623:26.623:25.623.9
10Kennedy LearyWest Springfield · FRFinish 23:34.023:34.023:33.021.5
11Katherine BerglundWest Springfield · SOFinish 23:49.623:49.623:48.616.3
12Sofie YoderCharlottesville · FRFinish 25:11.225:11.225:10.1—
13Anna RyallCharlottesville · FRFinish 25:45.825:45.825:44.7—
14Arianna JonesLouisa County · SOFinish 25:54.625:54.625:53.5—
15Reese HullRegents School of Charlottesville · 7Finish 26:53.726:53.726:52.6—
16Esther KeppelRegents School of Charlottesville · 8Finish 27:25.827:25.827:24.7—
17Marin PohlCharlottesville · SOFinish 28:52.328:52.328:51.1—
18Siri MunnuluriJ.R. Tucker · SOFinish 33:00.233:00.232:58.8—
19Sage BogdanJ.R. Tucker · FRFinish 35:46.235:46.235:44.7—

VTCA Fall Classic, Sep 24, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.