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Nov 1, 2022 · Palmyra, VA

Region 3C Championship

Pleasant Grove XC Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2025 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Region 3C XC Championships Pleasant Grove XC Course, Palmyra, VA - 11/1/2022 Boys 5k Championship

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B

63 of 63 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +27.2 s course and conditions +50.8 s in-season fitness −23.6 sCourse constant 507.37 (507)Race constant 503.62 (504)

62 used anchors± 5.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 62 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 62, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Bazil Mathes · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Adam Groves · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Tristan Yoder · Broadway: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Nathaniel McKee · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Russell Kramer · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Peyton Kenee · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Parker Blosser · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Joseph Childress · Wilson Memorial: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Creighton Doherty · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Dylan Colander · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Grayson Norris · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Luke Frank · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Ethan Havran · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Nathaniel Orban · Charlottesville: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Daniel Vizcaino · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Ben Davis · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Gage Groves · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Bunte Kite · Spotswood: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Jonathan Gretz · Fluvanna County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Miles Jolin · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Max Vess · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17)
  22. 22 Jacob Schulz · Fort Defiance: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Zachary Butler · Fluvanna County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Ryder Petrylak · Fluvanna County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Lukas Muehlberg · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Kiernan Sheahan · Spotswood: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Andrew Brannon · Rockbridge County: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 4 more
  28. 28 Murray Susen · Charlottesville: Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  29. 29 Ross Williamson · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Rhett Armentrout · Broadway: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Tristan Walker · Monticello: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Caleb Wyant · Broadway: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Max Scharer · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Breylon Miller · Broadway: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Benjamin Abatecola · Brookville: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  36. 36 Isaac Bloodgood · Liberty Christian Academy: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Isaac Bradshaw · Spotswood: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Connor Mitchell · Fort Defiance: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · VTCA Fall Classic (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  39. 39 Ryley Tinnell · Broadway: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Luke McWhorter · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  41. 41 Kenneth Salmeron · Spotswood: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Troy Kramer · Spotswood: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Jeff Ellis · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  44. 44 Stryder Parsons · Rustburg: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  45. 46 Brian Kendall · Rockbridge County: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 4 more
  46. 47 Marcos Chapa · Wilson Memorial: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  47. 48 Timothy Cole · Wilson Memorial: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  48. 49 Jaiden Santos Nguyen · Broadway: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  49. 50 Sean Kim · Heritage (Lynchburg): 9th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  50. 51 Cooper Mayo · Waynesboro: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 63 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Bazil MathesMonticello · JRFinish 15:59.815:59.815:25.6181.4
2Adam GrovesWaynesboro · SRFinish 16:11.116:11.115:36.5177.8
3Tristan YoderBroadway · SOFinish 17:13.717:13.716:36.9157.7
4Nathaniel McKeeCharlottesville · JRFinish 17:16.417:16.416:39.5156.8
5Russell KramerSpotswood · SRFinish 17:24.917:24.916:47.7154.1
6Peyton KeneeSpotswood · SOFinish 17:27.917:27.916:50.6153.1
7Parker BlosserFort Defiance · SOFinish 17:37.617:37.617:00.0150.0
8Joseph ChildressWilson Memorial · JRFinish 17:45.417:45.417:07.5147.5
9Creighton DohertyMonticello · FRFinish 17:50.217:50.217:12.1145.9
10Dylan ColanderWaynesboro · SOFinish 17:59.817:59.817:21.4142.9
11Grayson NorrisWaynesboro · FRFinish 18:00.718:00.717:22.2142.6
12Luke FrankCharlottesville · SRFinish 18:01.518:01.517:23.0142.3
13Ethan HavranCharlottesville · FRFinish 18:03.518:03.517:24.9141.7
14Nathaniel OrbanCharlottesville · Grade not recordedFinish 18:03.618:03.617:25.0141.6
15Daniel VizcainoMonticello · JRFinish 18:04.018:04.017:25.4141.5
16Ben DavisMonticello · SRFinish 18:04.618:04.617:26.0141.3
17Gage GrovesWaynesboro · SRFinish 18:16.918:16.917:37.9137.4
18Bunte KiteSpotswood · JRFinish 18:19.618:19.617:40.5136.5
19Jonathan GretzFluvanna County · FRFinish 18:22.418:22.417:43.2135.6
20Miles JolinWaynesboro · FRFinish 18:24.018:24.017:44.7135.1
21Max VessWilson Memorial · JRFinish 18:27.118:27.117:47.7134.1
22Jacob SchulzFort Defiance · JRFinish 18:30.018:30.017:50.5133.1
23Zachary ButlerFluvanna County · JRFinish 18:36.018:36.017:56.3131.2
24Ryder PetrylakFluvanna County · JRFinish 18:44.418:44.418:04.4128.5
25Lukas MuehlbergMonticello · SOFinish 18:49.918:49.918:09.7126.7
26Kiernan SheahanSpotswood · FRFinish 18:51.518:51.518:11.2126.2
27Andrew BrannonRockbridge County · SRFinish 18:54.518:54.518:14.1125.3
28Murray SusenCharlottesville · SOFinish 18:54.618:54.618:14.2125.2
29Ross WilliamsonWaynesboro · FRFinish 18:58.718:58.718:18.2123.9
30Rhett ArmentroutBroadway · JRFinish 19:03.019:03.018:22.3122.5
31Tristan WalkerMonticello · SOFinish 19:05.719:05.718:24.9121.7
32Caleb WyantBroadway · SOFinish 19:09.919:09.918:29.0120.3
33Max ScharerMonticello · SRFinish 19:13.919:13.918:32.8119.0
34Breylon MillerBroadway · SRFinish 19:19.719:19.718:38.4117.2
35Benjamin AbatecolaBrookville · FRFinish 19:20.019:20.018:38.7117.1
36Isaac BloodgoodLiberty Christian Academy · SRFinish 19:24.019:24.018:42.6115.8
37Isaac BradshawSpotswood · FRFinish 19:24.619:24.618:43.1115.6
38Connor MitchellFort Defiance · JRFinish 19:29.019:29.018:47.4114.2
39Ryley TinnellBroadway · SRFinish 19:38.919:38.918:56.9111.0
40Luke McWhorterWilson Memorial · SRFinish 19:40.919:40.918:58.9110.4
41Kenneth SalmeronSpotswood · JRFinish 19:41.319:41.318:59.3110.2
42Troy KramerSpotswood · SOFinish 19:42.019:42.018:59.9110.0
43Jeff EllisCharlottesville · JRFinish 19:47.119:47.119:04.8108.4
44Stryder ParsonsRustburg · FRFinish 19:50.619:50.619:08.2107.2
45Noah WellsRustburg · FRFinish 19:56.119:56.119:13.5105.5
46Brian KendallRockbridge County · SRFinish 19:57.519:57.519:14.9105.0
47Marcos ChapaWilson Memorial · JRFinish 20:03.420:03.419:20.6103.1
48Timothy ColeWilson Memorial · JRFinish 20:07.220:07.219:24.2101.9
49Jaiden Santos NguyenBroadway · SOFinish 20:07.720:07.719:24.7101.7
50Sean KimHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 20:19.220:19.219:35.898.0
Show all 63 results (13 more)Showing all 63 results · hide rows 51–63
Boys results, rows 51 to 63 of 63
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Cooper MayoWaynesboro · JRFinish 20:32.820:32.819:48.993.7
52Dylan RowlettBrookville · FRFinish 20:46.820:46.820:02.489.2
53Hunter FergusonRustburg · JRFinish 20:47.320:47.320:02.989.0
54Jayden KerrBroadway · SRFinish 21:00.321:00.320:15.484.8
55Carter SandersWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:03.921:03.920:18.983.7
56Conner SellersWilson Memorial · SOFinish 21:13.821:13.820:28.580.5
57Jayden JusticeRustburg · JRFinish 21:25.621:25.620:39.876.7
58Aran JothiHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 22:09.922:09.921:22.662.5
59Kaden TaylorRustburg · FRFinish 22:35.822:35.821:47.554.1
60Wesley WoosleyRustburg · FRFinish 23:11.623:11.622:22.142.6
61Griffin Quinones-PartainHeritage (Lynchburg) · SOFinish 23:41.123:41.122:50.533.1
62Casey MaggiRustburg · SRFinish 23:56.823:56.823:05.728.1
63Andrew AulticeHeritage (Lynchburg) · SRFinish 24:34.424:34.423:41.916.0

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5k Championship

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C

66 of 66 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +25.0 s course and conditions +49.4 s in-season fitness −24.4 sCourse constant 511.36 (511)Race constant 508.56 (509)

65 used anchors± 7.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 65 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 65, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Abby Lane · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Ryan Davidson · Monticello: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Taylor Myers · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Ruby Frazier · Fluvanna County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Trinity Neff · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Sophie Farley · Fluvanna County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Deena Ludtke · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Cassidy Plautz · Wilson Memorial: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Ashland Dickel · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Marika Dickel · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Quinn Franklin · Wilson Memorial: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Megan Timmes · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 5 more
  13. 13 Elaina Pierce · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Nicole Black · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Hope McCullough · Monticello: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Anna Dabaghyan · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Kate Ruebke · Spotswood: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Lydia Kimmell · Waynesboro: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Grace Rolon · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 5 more
  20. 20 Dorothy Lewis · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 5 more
  21. 21 Erika Cronk · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  22. 22 Thea Franklin · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17)
  23. 23 Sydney Hill · Waynesboro: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  24. 24 Madeline Creasy · Fluvanna County: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Mary Malcolm · Liberty (Bedford): Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Magdalena Lantz-Trissel · Turner Ashby: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Elizabeth McClung · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  28. 28 Bethany Lang · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Brook Loar · Staunton: Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  30. 30 Sarah Anderson · Brookville: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Madison Conner · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Brooke Eichelberger · Rockbridge County: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  33. 33 Lily Outland · Monticello: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  34. 34 Carly Carwile · Rustburg: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  35. 35 Quinlyn Peper · Monticello: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  36. 36 Taylor Cubbage · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Natalee Powers · Liberty (Bedford): Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  38. 38 Natalie Watts · Broadway: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  39. 39 Katarina "Kat" Love · Monticello: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Lauren Anderson · Monticello: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  41. 41 Molly Durkee · Monticello: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  42. 42 Avery Brown · Fort Defiance: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  43. 43 Brianna Adams · Liberty (Bedford): Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  44. 44 Sydney Troxell · Wilson Memorial: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · Augusta Invitational Meet (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Neva Boyd · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  46. 46 Quinn Connaughton · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19)
  47. 47 Olivia Newman · Fort Defiance: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  48. 48 Lainey Forbus · Wilson Memorial: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  49. 49 Ramsey Edwards · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  50. 50 Mira Masri · Charlottesville: Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 66 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Abby LaneFort Defiance · JRFinish 19:29.619:29.618:49.0116.1
2Ryan DavidsonMonticello · FRFinish 19:30.019:30.018:49.4116.0
3Taylor MyersSpotswood · JRFinish 20:02.020:02.019:20.3105.7
4Ruby FrazierFluvanna County · FRFinish 20:10.520:10.519:28.5103.0
5Trinity NeffFort Defiance · SRFinish 20:12.420:12.419:30.3102.4
6Sophie FarleyFluvanna County · JRFinish 20:46.120:46.120:02.991.5
7Deena LudtkeRockbridge County · JRFinish 20:50.420:50.420:07.090.1
8Cassidy PlautzWilson Memorial · JRFinish 20:55.520:55.520:11.988.5
9Ashland DickelSpotswood · SOFinish 20:58.920:58.920:15.287.4
10Marika DickelSpotswood · SOFinish 20:59.020:59.020:15.387.4
11Quinn FranklinWilson Memorial · JRFinish 21:01.921:01.920:18.186.4
12Megan TimmesRockbridge County · SRFinish 21:02.521:02.520:18.786.2
13Elaina PierceCharlottesville · FRFinish 21:13.821:13.820:29.682.6
14Nicole BlackRockbridge County · JRFinish 21:33.521:33.520:48.676.3
15Hope McCulloughMonticello · SRFinish 21:44.821:44.820:59.572.6
16Anna DabaghyanSpotswood · SRFinish 21:48.421:48.421:03.071.5
17Kate RuebkeSpotswood · JRFinish 21:53.821:53.821:08.269.7
18Lydia KimmellWaynesboro · SOFinish 22:05.122:05.121:19.166.1
19Grace RolonRockbridge County · SRFinish 22:12.122:12.121:25.963.8
20Dorothy LewisRockbridge County · FRFinish 22:14.522:14.521:28.263.1
21Erika CronkWilson Memorial · FRFinish 22:17.522:17.521:31.162.1
22Thea FranklinWilson Memorial · FRFinish 22:18.222:18.221:31.861.9
23Sydney HillWaynesboro · JRFinish 22:24.722:24.721:38.059.8
24Madeline CreasyFluvanna County · SRFinish 22:26.522:26.521:39.859.2
25Mary MalcolmLiberty (Bedford) · JRFinish 22:31.122:31.121:44.257.7
26Magdalena Lantz-TrisselTurner Ashby · SOFinish 22:31.222:31.221:44.357.7
27Elizabeth McClungRockbridge County · SRFinish 22:31.222:31.221:44.357.7
28Bethany LangFort Defiance · JRFinish 22:34.722:34.721:47.756.6
29Brook LoarStaunton · SOFinish 22:40.322:40.321:53.154.8
30Sarah AndersonBrookville · SOFinish 22:41.722:41.721:54.554.3
31Madison ConnerFort Defiance · FRFinish 22:53.822:53.822:06.150.4
32Brooke EichelbergerRockbridge County · SOFinish 23:06.123:06.122:18.046.5
33Lily OutlandMonticello · SOFinish 23:10.023:10.022:21.845.2
34Carly CarwileRustburg · SOFinish 23:12.623:12.622:24.344.4
35Quinlyn PeperMonticello · FRFinish 23:40.723:40.722:51.435.3
36Taylor CubbageFort Defiance · FRFinish 23:58.223:58.223:08.329.7
37Natalee PowersLiberty (Bedford) · JRFinish 23:58.323:58.323:08.429.7
38Natalie WattsBroadway · SRFinish 23:58.323:58.323:08.429.7
39Katarina "Kat" LoveMonticello · SRFinish 24:06.824:06.823:16.626.9
40Lauren AndersonMonticello · JRFinish 24:08.924:08.923:18.626.3
41Molly DurkeeMonticello · SOFinish 24:18.124:18.123:27.523.3
42Avery BrownFort Defiance · FRFinish 24:25.024:25.023:34.221.1
43Brianna AdamsLiberty (Bedford) · JRFinish 24:27.724:27.723:36.820.2
44Sydney TroxellWilson Memorial · FRFinish 24:35.224:35.223:44.017.8
45Neva BoydCharlottesville · FRFinish 24:54.624:54.624:02.711.6
46Quinn ConnaughtonCharlottesville · SOFinish 25:09.125:09.124:16.76.9
47Olivia NewmanFort Defiance · SOFinish 25:11.425:11.424:19.06.1
48Lainey ForbusWilson Memorial · SOFinish 25:13.325:13.324:20.85.5
49Ramsey EdwardsCharlottesville · FRFinish 25:13.525:13.524:21.05.5
50Mira MasriCharlottesville · FRFinish 25:32.225:32.224:39.0—
Show all 66 results (16 more)Showing all 66 results · hide rows 51–66
Girls results, rows 51 to 66 of 66
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Averee StevensWilson Memorial · SOFinish 25:40.725:40.724:47.2—
52Megan MaggioraRustburg · JRFinish 25:42.325:42.324:48.8—
53Meredith VanceRustburg · JRFinish 25:46.225:46.224:52.6—
54Eliana TeshomeTurner Ashby · SRFinish 25:48.925:48.924:55.2—
55Sofie YoderCharlottesville · FRFinish 25:52.025:52.024:58.2—
56Isabel DruryCharlottesville · FRFinish 26:02.226:02.225:08.0—
57Ryan BrendleRustburg · FRFinish 26:10.326:10.325:15.8—
58Ruth RascoeSpotswood · FRFinish 26:47.126:47.125:51.3—
59Sera FariaHeritage (Lynchburg) · SOFinish 27:33.527:33.526:36.1—
60Ella BlairLiberty (Bedford) · SOFinish 27:58.327:58.327:00.1—
61Molly MilneRustburg · JRFinish 28:40.628:40.627:40.9—
62Sage RosserRustburg · SOFinish 28:51.628:51.627:51.5—
63Pria DuaSpotswood · JRFinish 29:33.629:33.628:32.1—
64Haedyn WilsonLiberty (Bedford) · JRFinish 29:50.829:50.828:48.7—
65Kailey LesterLiberty (Bedford) · SRFinish 31:46.731:46.730:40.5—
66Kayli LindsayLiberty (Bedford) · SRFinish 32:09.132:09.131:02.2—

Region 3C Championship, Nov 1, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.