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Sep 29, 2022 · Bristol, VA

randy smith classic 2022

Sugar Hollow Park 3 Mile Course · Historical 2022 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 162.9), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Varsity Girls Three Mile Run

B

166 of 166 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −8.8 s course and conditions −12.9 s in-season fitness +4.1 sCourse constant 487.32 (487)Race constant 490.22 (490)

139 used anchors± 5.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 139 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 139, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Makaleigh Jessee · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Violet Wall · Jefferson Christian Academy: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Zoe Arrington · Tennessee: Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  4. 4 Josie Jackson · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  5. 5 Amanda Ferrante · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  6. 7 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  7. 8 Jacie Begley · Volunteer: Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  8. 9 Eowyn Warner · Wolf Hills: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  9. 10 Jessi Looney · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2)
  10. 12 Cecelia Johnson · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 5 more
  11. 14 Alexsis Porter · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  12. 15 Aleah Dorn · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  13. 18 Jenna Reecher · Tennessee: Walkers Run (Sep 17) · Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  14. 19 Seilah Pickering · Happy Valley Middle School: Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  15. 20 Elaina Bakker · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  16. 21 Kaleigh Temple · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  17. 22 Emma Shirey · Jefferson Christian Academy: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  18. 23 Carrie Sage Dalton · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  19. 24 Camryn Hardin · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  20. 25 Allyssa Gent · Volunteer: Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  21. 26 Emma Houck · Volunteer: Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  22. 27 Sarah Hale · Grayson County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  23. 28 Kara Temple · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  24. 29 Anna Houck · Volunteer: Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  25. 30 Josephine Thiessen · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  26. 31 Annie Miller · Jefferson Christian Academy: Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Oct 15) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  27. 32 Lucy Tester · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  28. 33 Jayden Sisk · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  29. 34 Savana Parsons · Lee: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  30. 35 Ellyson Kovacs · Tennessee: Walkers Run (Sep 17) · Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  31. 36 Kendall Jarvis · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  32. 37 Mylee Jones · Sullivan East Middle School: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  33. 38 Lillie Bullock · Volunteer: Cherokee Classic (Sep 10)
  34. 39 Aija McHone · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 6 more
  35. 40 Tori Kariuki · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  36. 41 Shaylen Cannon · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  37. 42 Annabelle Fiscus · Rural Retreat: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  38. 43 Jayla Vance · Sullivan East Middle School: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  39. 46 Tindell Chessie · Bland County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  40. 47 Heileigh Vencill · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2)
  41. 48 Carley Brown · West Ridge: Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  42. 49 Ruby Hoerter · Marion Sr: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  43. 51 Caitlin Lambert · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  44. 52 Macy Odum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  45. 53 Madison Looney · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2)
  46. 54 Hannah Mullins · Union: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  47. 55 Matisyn Hutton · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  48. 56 Elliana Collins · Providence Academy: Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  49. 57 Lily Irvin · Rural Retreat: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  50. 59 Madeline Ratliff · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 166 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Makaleigh JesseeAbingdon · SRFinish 18:14.218:14.218:18.9126.2
2Violet WallJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 18:47.118:47.118:51.9115.2
3Zoe ArringtonTennessee · SRFinish 19:13.719:13.719:18.6106.3
4Josie JacksonAbingdon · SOFinish 19:20.419:20.419:25.4104.0
5Amanda FerranteAbingdon · JRFinish 20:03.920:03.920:09.189.4
6Avery MaysNorth Buncombe · JRFinish 20:06.420:06.420:11.688.6
7Abigail RhudyTazewell · SOFinish 20:09.820:09.820:15.087.5
8Jacie BegleyVolunteer · JRFinish 20:16.020:16.020:21.285.4
9Eowyn WarnerWolf Hills · SRFinish 20:20.020:20.020:25.284.1
10Jessi LooneyGrundy · SRFinish 20:21.820:21.820:27.083.5
11Katie JohnsonNorth Buncombe · JRFinish 20:22.420:22.420:27.683.3
12Cecelia JohnsonAbingdon · SRFinish 20:25.120:25.120:30.382.3
13Eden BarnwellNorth Buncombe · JRFinish 20:43.920:43.920:49.276.1
14Alexsis PorterGrundy · SRFinish 20:45.820:45.820:51.175.4
15Aleah DornAbingdon · SOFinish 21:05.521:05.521:10.968.8
16Sophia BanksNorth Buncombe · SOFinish 21:20.221:20.221:25.763.9
17Tatum MullinsNorth Buncombe · FRFinish 21:31.421:31.421:36.960.2
18Jenna ReecherTennessee · FRFinish 21:39.421:39.421:45.057.5
19Seilah PickeringHappy Valley Middle School · FRFinish 21:43.021:43.021:48.656.3
20Elaina BakkerAbingdon · SOFinish 21:43.021:43.021:48.656.3
21Kaleigh TempleGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 21:46.221:46.221:51.855.2
22Emma ShireyJefferson Christian Academy · FRFinish 21:50.921:50.921:56.553.6
23Carrie Sage DaltonGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 21:55.121:55.122:00.752.2
24Camryn HardinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 22:04.922:04.922:10.648.9
25Allyssa GentVolunteer · JRFinish 22:08.322:08.322:14.047.8
26Emma HouckVolunteer · JRFinish 22:14.022:14.022:19.745.9
27Sarah HaleGrayson County · SOFinish 22:14.722:14.722:20.445.7
28Kara TempleGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 22:24.622:24.622:30.442.3
29Anna HouckVolunteer · JRFinish 22:27.222:27.222:33.041.5
30Josephine ThiessenAbingdon · FRFinish 22:39.022:39.022:44.837.5
31Annie MillerJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 22:41.422:41.422:47.236.7
32Lucy TesterVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 22:43.322:43.322:49.136.1
33Jayden SiskJohn Battle · SRFinish 22:43.922:43.922:49.735.9
34Savana ParsonsLee · FRFinish 22:45.322:45.322:51.135.4
35Ellyson KovacsTennessee · JRFinish 22:45.522:45.522:51.335.3
36Kendall JarvisJohn Battle · JRFinish 22:54.122:54.123:00.032.5
37Mylee JonesSullivan East Middle School · FRFinish 22:55.922:55.923:01.831.9
38Lillie BullockVolunteer · SOFinish 23:08.423:08.423:14.327.7
39Aija McHoneEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 23:17.623:17.623:23.624.6
40Tori KariukiVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 23:19.723:19.723:25.723.9
41Shaylen CannonVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 23:20.723:20.723:26.723.6
42Annabelle FiscusRural Retreat · JRFinish 23:23.923:23.923:29.922.5
43Jayla VanceSullivan East Middle School · SRFinish 23:27.723:27.723:33.721.2
44Hannah HaleNorth Buncombe · SRFinish 23:36.623:36.623:42.718.2
45Anna Van HornProvidence Academy HS · JRFinish 23:38.223:38.223:44.317.7
46Tindell ChessieBland County · SRFinish 23:46.223:46.223:52.315.0
47Heileigh VencillGrundy · SRFinish 24:08.224:08.224:14.47.7
48Carley BrownWest Ridge · FRFinish 24:11.624:11.624:17.86.5
49Ruby HoerterMarion Sr · SOFinish 24:13.124:13.124:19.36.0
50Suzanna SaulsburyKingsport Area Christian Home Education Association · FRFinish 24:14.924:14.924:21.15.4
Show all 166 results (116 more)Showing all 166 results · hide rows 51–166
Girls results, rows 51 to 166 of 166
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Caitlin LambertJohn Battle · SRFinish 24:17.924:17.924:24.14.4
52Macy OdumJohn Battle · SOFinish 24:23.024:23.024:29.32.7
53Madison LooneyGrundy · JRFinish 24:30.724:30.724:37.00.1
54Hannah MullinsUnion · SRFinish 24:32.824:32.824:39.1—
55Matisyn HuttonVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 24:33.324:33.324:39.6—
56Elliana CollinsProvidence Academy · FRFinish 24:35.324:35.324:41.6—
57Lily IrvinRural Retreat · FRFinish 24:42.124:42.124:48.4—
58Chloe JacksonNorth Buncombe · FRFinish 24:42.324:42.324:48.6—
59Madeline RatliffJohn Battle · JRFinish 24:43.824:43.824:50.2—
60Carrie HumphreyRichlands · SRFinish 24:44.924:44.924:51.3—
61Lennon HarrisonJohn Battle · FRFinish 24:49.424:49.424:55.8—
62Eliza SmithVolunteer · SRFinish 24:52.524:52.524:58.9—
63Felicity DarbyTennessee · SOFinish 24:53.024:53.024:59.4—
64Kylan BrooksLebanon · FRFinish 24:56.624:56.625:03.0—
65Sophia McCroskeyGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 25:07.325:07.325:13.8—
66Kari StreitJohn Battle · FRFinish 25:08.125:08.125:14.6—
67Katie JonesLebanon · JRFinish 25:11.425:11.425:17.9—
68Courtney GoodWest Ridge · SOFinish 25:14.325:14.325:20.8—
69Jozalynn PhillipsCastlewood · FRFinish 25:17.125:17.125:23.6—
70Alexa GoinsRye Cove · SOFinish 25:18.725:18.725:25.2—
71Jade VencillGrundy · FRFinish 25:19.925:19.925:26.4—
72Natalia Laborda-AlvarezLee · SOFinish 25:20.725:20.725:27.2—
73Addison GilliamUnion · SRFinish 25:25.825:25.825:32.3—
74Amelia HamiltonUnion · JRFinish 25:26.625:26.625:33.1—
75Tess SomervellChilhowie · JRFinish 25:33.925:33.925:40.5—
76Emma BarnettTennessee · FRFinish 25:38.125:38.125:44.7—
77Claudia BooherJohn Battle · SRFinish 25:42.125:42.125:48.7—
78Kaylen FieldsJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 25:44.125:44.125:50.7—
79Ashley RamirezNorth Buncombe · JRFinish 25:45.125:45.125:51.7—
80Loren HensleySullivan East Middle School · SRFinish 25:55.125:55.126:01.8—
81Kiya PerryRidgeview · FRFinish 26:01.126:01.126:07.8—
82Charlotte PhillipsGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 26:15.926:15.926:22.6—
83Ashley JacksonThe Learning Center · JRFinish 26:15.926:15.926:22.6—
84Natalie DingusRidgeview · FRFinish 26:16.226:16.226:22.9—
85Annelise LugoKingsport Area Christian Home Education Association · FRFinish 26:16.526:16.526:23.2—
86Ashlyn FergusonWolf Hills · JRFinish 26:17.926:17.926:24.7—
87Aurora HaywoodFort Chiswell · JRFinish 26:22.926:22.926:29.7—
88Morgyn BledsoeRye Cove · SOFinish 26:23.126:23.126:29.9—
89Ashley DeVusserSullivan East Middle School · SRFinish 26:32.126:32.126:38.9—
90Makayla AndersonRural Retreat · SRFinish 26:32.126:32.126:38.9—
91Kyndal SatterfieldUnion · FRFinish 26:33.326:33.326:40.1—
92Willow DunfordLebanon · SOFinish 26:33.326:33.326:40.1—
93Emerson HardinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 26:34.226:34.226:41.0—
94Fiona DeweyWolf Hills · FRFinish 26:46.826:46.826:53.7—
95Aslyn LittonUnion · SRFinish 26:47.726:47.726:54.6—
96Jocelyn BrownRidgeview · JRFinish 26:55.426:55.427:02.3—
97Gracie JacksonThe Learning Center · FRFinish 26:56.126:56.127:03.0—
98Abby BradleyCastlewood · SRFinish 26:58.726:58.727:05.6—
99Delia LoyProvidence Academy · JRFinish 27:00.727:00.727:07.6—
100Maggie SimonsGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 27:02.527:02.527:09.4—
101Harley MosleyRye Cove · SRFinish 27:04.127:04.127:11.1—
102Norah JenkinsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 27:06.927:06.927:13.9—
103Mikah WoliverLee · SOFinish 27:08.127:08.127:15.1—
104Katelyn ChapmanRye Cove · JRFinish 27:08.227:08.227:15.2—
105Cienna LongGrayson County · SOFinish 27:11.327:11.327:18.3—
106Abigail AdamsJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 27:13.927:13.927:20.9—
107Anna GardnerJohn Battle · JRFinish 27:14.627:14.627:21.6—
108Kayleigh SummersUnion · FRFinish 27:15.427:15.427:22.4—
109Aubreigh ComptonRichlands · 8Finish 27:24.927:24.927:31.9—
110Sydney CulhaneWest Ridge · SOFinish 27:35.927:35.927:43.0—
111Ava BanePrinceton Senior · JRFinish 27:42.327:42.327:49.4—
112Mary PendletonUnicoi Co. Middle School · SOFinish 27:46.527:46.527:53.6—
113Andrea EdwardsSullivan East Middle School · FRFinish 27:47.927:47.927:55.0—
114Cassidy StarrWest Ridge · JRFinish 27:48.027:48.027:55.1—
115Audrey BrownTazewell · SRFinish 28:01.528:01.528:08.7—
116Morgan TiptonGate City · SRFinish 28:01.728:01.728:08.9—
117Maria Del Mar EspinosaGarciaAbingdon · JRFinish 28:05.428:05.428:12.6—
118Eliza CulbertsonRichlands · 8Finish 28:06.028:06.028:13.2—
119Bella HessLebanon · SRFinish 28:16.428:16.428:23.7—
120Elaina TerryRural Retreat · SOFinish 28:19.728:19.728:27.0—
121Olivia CriggerRural Retreat · JRFinish 28:28.828:28.828:36.1—
122Hayden MillerGrayson County · SOFinish 28:33.128:33.128:40.4—
123Jillian MorrisonJohn Battle · SRFinish 28:34.528:34.528:41.8—
124Catriona KuschnereitSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 28:47.828:47.828:55.2—
125Toby GibsonUnion · JRFinish 29:08.829:08.829:16.3—
126Nahirana CruzCarroll County · JRFinish 29:10.029:10.029:17.5—
127Selome AlemuMountain Mission School · FRFinish 29:11.729:11.729:19.2—
128Emily HashMarion Sr · SOFinish 29:12.329:12.329:19.8—
129Gracie WidenerMarion Sr · SOFinish 29:18.029:18.029:25.5—
130Willow DelpGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 29:24.229:24.229:31.8—
131Lilliana FarisProvidence Academy · JRFinish 29:33.929:33.929:41.5—
132Kathern RosenbaumAbingdon · FRFinish 29:33.929:33.929:41.5—
133Mia FranklinLee · SOFinish 29:45.429:45.429:53.0—
134Alexa BlevinsMarion Sr · SOFinish 29:47.129:47.129:54.8—
135Ava HuntWest Ridge · SOFinish 29:47.629:47.629:55.3—
136Juley NieminskiHappy Valley Middle School · JRFinish 30:13.930:13.930:21.7—
137Abigail MelvinMarion Sr · SRFinish 30:21.830:21.830:29.6—
138Bethany OsborneGrayson County · FRFinish 30:22.330:22.330:30.1—
139Olivia BaileyRural Retreat · JRFinish 30:24.730:24.730:32.5—
140Paige CaseWest Ridge · JRFinish 30:24.730:24.730:32.5—
141Kiley AdairJ.I. Burton · FRFinish 30:28.130:28.130:35.9—
142Lydia BrewerRural Retreat · SOFinish 30:30.030:30.030:37.8—
143Lacy DavisEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 30:45.630:45.630:53.5—
144Addison JohnsonNorth Buncombe · FRFinish 30:54.330:54.331:02.2—
145Jaylyn GardnerJohn Battle · FRFinish 30:57.130:57.131:05.1—
146Ashlyn NewmanCarroll County · JRFinish 31:02.431:02.431:10.4—
147Marleigh SturgillMarion Sr · SRFinish 31:11.331:11.331:19.3—
148Morgan BuskillRichlands · SRFinish 31:18.631:18.631:26.6—
149Laken FosterVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 31:41.331:41.331:49.4—
150Sabrina ComptonThe Learning Center · FRFinish 31:58.231:58.232:06.4—
151Ella TurnerProvidence Academy HS · SRFinish 32:07.632:07.632:15.9—
152Maggie AdamsJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 32:23.032:23.032:31.3—
153Chelsi RiffeGrundy · SOFinish 32:31.632:31.632:40.0—
154Tiffany AndersonRural Retreat · FRFinish 33:18.033:18.033:26.6—
155Abigail SloanRye Cove · JRFinish 33:18.333:18.333:26.9—
156Natalie CampbellHonaker · SRFinish 33:24.233:24.233:32.8—
157Danielle BryantUnicoi Co. Middle School · SOFinish 33:35.633:35.633:44.2—
158Zoe ChoAbingdon · JRFinish 33:50.833:50.833:59.5—
159Maddie SawyersTazewell · FRFinish 34:11.834:11.834:20.6—
160Joy ComireKingsport Area Christian Home Education Association · JRFinish 34:23.134:23.134:31.9—
161Caroletta CardwellPrinceton Senior · SOFinish 35:04.035:04.035:13.0—
162Aaliyarah RowePrinceton Senior · JRFinish 35:22.835:22.835:31.9—
163Maria MalavoltiGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 35:45.135:45.135:54.3—
164Hanna AdmasuMountain Mission School · SOFinish 36:16.636:16.636:25.9—
165Sammie ArmsRichlands · FRFinish 38:30.738:30.738:40.6—
166Daisy ConleyHappy Valley Middle School · SOFinish 38:30.938:30.938:40.8—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.