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Oct 3, 2024 · Bristol, VA

randy smith classic 2024

Sugar Hollow Park 3 Mile Course · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 167.6), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Girls Three Mile Run

C

111 of 111 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +60.2 s course and conditions +65.4 s in-season fitness −5.2 sCourse constant 524.12 (524)Race constant 522.26 (522)

103 used anchors± 9.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 103 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 103, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Violet Wall · Jefferson Christian Academy: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Shelby Stanley · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Jenna Reecher · Tennessee: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  4. 4 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 9 more
  5. 5 Ella Rasnake · Council: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Alyson Funk · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  7. 7 Emma Shirey · Jefferson Christian Academy: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Hannah Robinson · Providence Academy: New Balance RunningLane XC Championships (Dec 7) · Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14)
  9. 9 Amelia Lewis · Thomas Walker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Beverly Warner · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  11. 11 Carli Spade · Pikeview: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  12. 12 Maggie Mizelle · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  13. 13 Hailey Mays · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  14. 14 Ruby Hoerter · Marion Sr: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  15. 15 Josephine Thiessen · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  16. 16 Jaycee Pritchett · Princeton Senior: Becky Selfe Invitational (Aug 31)
  17. 17 Mikah Woliver · Lee: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  18. 18 Tori Kariuki · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  19. 19 Elaina Warner · Wolf Hills: HXN Championships (Nov 2) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Allie Jones · Lee: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  21. 21 Sarah Gouge · Providence Academy: Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14)
  22. 22 Macy Odum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  23. 23 Alexa Goins · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  24. 24 Savana Parsons · Lee: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  25. 25 Reagan Smith · Abingdon: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 5 more
  26. 26 Maci Stanley · Jefferson Christian Academy: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  27. 27 Charlee Songer · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  28. 28 Hayley Light · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  29. 29 Kiley Musick · Honaker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  30. 30 Norah Jenkins · West Ridge: UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18) · Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14)
  31. 31 Julia Barton · Honaker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  32. 32 Hannah Mays · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  33. 33 Aubrey Hubbard · Abingdon: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 4 more
  34. 34 Lauren Ellis · Sullivan East Middle School: Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  35. 35 Ciara Rogers · Sullivan East Middle School: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  36. 36 Samantha Carr · Sullivan East Middle School: Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  37. 37 Jozalynn Phillips · Castlewood: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Cumberland District Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  38. 38 Lexi Rodriguez-Alvidrez · Sullivan East Middle School: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  39. 39 Madison Adair · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Cumberland District Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  40. 40 Molly Hurd · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  41. 41 Erin Hubbard · Honaker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  42. 42 Leah Harvey · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Cumberland District Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  43. 43 Rachel Mignogna · Jefferson Christian Academy: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  44. 46 Maylin Hopkins · Jefferson Christian Academy: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  45. 47 Olivia DeBord · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Southwest District Championship Meet (Oct 29) · and 6 more
  46. 48 Tanzi Bishop · Gate City: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Battle of the Blockhouse (Oct 9) · and 2 more
  47. 49 Reagan Stubbs · West Ridge: UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18) · Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14)
  48. 50 Maggie Hale · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Hogoheegee District Championships (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  49. 51 Molly Jones · Graham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 8 more
  50. 52 Carley Brown · West Ridge: Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival (Sep 14)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 111 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Violet WallJefferson Christian Academy · SRFinish 19:03.319:03.318:02.2131.3
2Shelby StanleyEastside · JRFinish 20:25.320:25.319:19.7105.5
3Jenna ReecherTennessee · JRFinish 20:40.020:40.019:33.7100.8
4Abigail RhudyTazewell · SRFinish 20:45.220:45.219:38.599.2
5Ella RasnakeCouncil · JRFinish 21:01.821:01.819:54.294.0
6Alyson FunkAuburn · SOFinish 21:18.121:18.120:09.888.8
7Emma ShireyJefferson Christian Academy · JRFinish 21:22.721:22.720:14.087.4
8Hannah RobinsonProvidence Academy · JRFinish 21:30.621:30.620:21.684.9
9Amelia LewisThomas Walker · JRFinish 22:01.822:01.820:51.175.0
10Beverly WarnerAuburn · SOFinish 22:17.922:17.921:06.370.0
11Carli SpadePikeview · JRFinish 22:48.722:48.721:35.460.2
12Maggie MizelleJohn Battle · SOFinish 23:16.223:16.222:01.551.6
13Hailey MaysEastside · FRFinish 23:30.823:30.822:15.347.0
14Ruby HoerterMarion Sr · SRFinish 23:42.823:42.822:26.743.2
15Josephine ThiessenAbingdon · JRFinish 24:05.624:05.622:48.336.0
16Jaycee PritchettPrinceton Senior · SRFinish 24:09.324:09.322:51.834.8
17Mikah WoliverLee · SRFinish 24:15.224:15.222:57.333.0
18Tori KariukiVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 24:22.224:22.223:04.030.7
19Elaina WarnerWolf Hills · FRFinish 24:24.124:24.123:05.730.2
20Allie JonesLee · FRFinish 24:35.524:35.523:16.626.5
21Sarah GougeProvidence Academy · SOFinish 24:55.224:55.223:35.220.3
22Macy OdumJohn Battle · SRFinish 24:57.624:57.623:37.519.6
23Alexa GoinsRye Cove · SRFinish 25:08.225:08.223:47.516.2
24Savana ParsonsLee · JRFinish 25:29.425:29.424:07.59.5
25Reagan SmithAbingdon · SOFinish 25:35.125:35.124:12.97.8
26Maci StanleyJefferson Christian Academy · JRFinish 25:45.325:45.324:22.64.5
27Charlee SongerAuburn · FRFinish 25:49.725:49.724:26.83.1
28Hayley LightAuburn · SOFinish 25:54.125:54.124:31.01.7
29Kiley MusickHonaker · SRFinish 26:01.026:01.024:37.5—
30Norah JenkinsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 26:04.526:04.524:40.8—
31Julia BartonHonaker · SRFinish 26:09.926:09.924:45.9—
32Hannah MaysEastside · FRFinish 26:09.926:09.924:45.9—
33Aubrey HubbardAbingdon · FRFinish 26:14.126:14.124:49.9—
34Lauren EllisSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 26:18.526:18.524:54.1—
35Ciara RogersSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 26:18.726:18.724:54.3—
36Samantha CarrSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 26:19.226:19.224:54.8—
37Jozalynn PhillipsCastlewood · JRFinish 26:25.226:25.225:00.3—
38Lexi Rodriguez-AlvidrezSullivan East Middle School · JRFinish 26:27.926:27.925:02.9—
39Madison AdairJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 26:33.626:33.625:08.3—
40Molly HurdAuburn · SOFinish 26:43.226:43.225:17.4—
41Erin HubbardHonaker · FRFinish 26:52.126:52.125:25.8—
42Leah HarveyJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 27:15.727:15.725:48.2—
43Rachel MignognaJefferson Christian Academy · SRFinish 27:20.427:20.425:52.6—
44Berkeley OlingerKingsport Area Christian Home Education Association · FRFinish 27:21.427:21.425:53.6—
45Naomi GonceKingsport Area Christian Home Education Association · SOFinish 27:25.727:25.725:57.6—
46Maylin HopkinsJefferson Christian Academy · SOFinish 27:26.627:26.625:58.5—
47Olivia DeBordVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 27:32.127:32.126:03.7—
48Tanzi BishopGate City · SOFinish 27:42.327:42.326:13.3—
49Reagan StubbsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 27:51.627:51.626:22.2—
50Maggie HaleRural Retreat · FRFinish 27:54.727:54.726:25.1—
Show all 111 results (61 more)Showing all 111 results · hide rows 51–111
Girls results, rows 51 to 111 of 111
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Molly JonesGraham · SRFinish 27:58.627:58.626:28.8—
52Carley BrownWest Ridge · JRFinish 28:02.128:02.126:32.1—
53Malia BuckwalterAuburn · FRFinish 28:04.728:04.726:34.6—
54Kia AustinPrinceton Senior · FRFinish 28:08.928:08.926:38.6—
55Emily BledsoeRye Cove · FRFinish 28:12.328:12.326:41.8—
56Mandi ReginVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 28:13.628:13.626:42.9—
57Mia FranklinLee · SRFinish 28:26.828:26.826:55.5—
58Olivia CrouseRural Retreat · JRFinish 28:40.328:40.327:08.2—
59Alyssa LawsLee · SOFinish 28:48.528:48.527:16.0—
60Isabel SawyersEastside · JRFinish 28:56.428:56.427:23.5—
61Kelly CummingsProvidence Academy · SOFinish 28:59.728:59.727:26.6—
62Alexis PerkinsTazewell · FRFinish 29:14.429:14.427:40.5—
63Riley BeltProvidence Academy · SOFinish 29:23.529:23.527:49.2—
64Callie FeltyJohn Battle · SRFinish 29:26.429:26.427:51.9—
65Hannah BenwayFort Chiswell · SOFinish 29:27.829:27.827:53.2—
66Mirabella HucksCornerstone Christian Academy · FRFinish 29:27.829:27.827:53.2—
67Eme CorellTazewell · FRFinish 29:34.429:34.427:59.5—
68Piper McMurrayWest Ridge · SOFinish 29:35.729:35.728:00.7—
69Molly RoseEastside · SOFinish 29:51.329:51.328:15.5—
70Riley AdamsHonaker · FRFinish 30:04.030:04.028:27.5—
71Ayden TurnerJohn Battle · SOFinish 30:08.130:08.128:31.4—
72Myrical VermilyerVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 30:13.930:13.928:36.9—
73Julia SheekProvidence Academy · FRFinish 30:29.430:29.428:51.5—
74Gabrielle PolingPikeview · FRFinish 30:52.130:52.129:13.0—
75Brandi TaylorPikeview · FRFinish 30:58.330:58.329:18.9—
76Morgyn BledsoeRye Cove · SRFinish 31:06.531:06.529:26.7—
77Emily CampbellJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 31:14.331:14.329:34.0—
78Elliana CollinsProvidence Academy · JRFinish 31:17.931:17.929:37.4—
79Mary WoodEastside · JRFinish 31:22.431:22.429:41.7—
80Audrey EdwardsSullivan East Middle School · SRFinish 31:28.831:28.829:47.7—
81Lydia BrewerRural Retreat · SRFinish 31:34.631:34.629:53.2—
82Kari StreitJohn Battle · JRFinish 31:39.031:39.029:57.4—
83Lily TuellChilhowie · SRFinish 31:41.431:41.429:59.7—
84Nevaeh CoxtonHonaker · SOFinish 32:25.832:25.830:41.7—
85Madison SergentJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 32:30.532:30.530:46.2—
86Bella PayanChilhowie · SRFinish 32:42.432:42.430:57.4—
87Hayden ThompsonSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 32:44.932:44.930:59.8—
88Zoe AddisonJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 32:48.832:48.831:03.5—
89Kathern RosenbaumJohn Battle · JRFinish 33:09.533:09.531:23.1—
90Madison GwinnChilhowie · JRFinish 33:15.533:15.531:28.8—
91Autumn StreetMarion Sr · FRFinish 33:24.033:24.031:36.8—
92Kortnie PeakMarion Sr · FRFinish 33:28.933:28.931:41.5—
93Marley GreenSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 33:32.633:32.631:44.9—
94Andrea EdwardsSullivan East Middle School · JRFinish 33:41.433:41.431:53.3—
95Maggie AdamsJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 34:02.534:02.532:13.2—
96Kendyl GrossChilhowie · JRFinish 34:33.434:33.432:42.5—
97Marissa SilanceWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 34:33.834:33.832:42.9—
98Ember WohlfordVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 35:16.735:16.733:23.4—
99Aaliyah JohnsonWolf Hills · SOFinish 36:01.936:01.934:06.2—
100Jalyn CressRidgeview · SOFinish 36:20.436:20.434:23.8—
101Emily RobertsEastside · JRFinish 36:53.536:53.534:55.1—
102Samantha BarrettSullivan East Middle School · FRFinish 37:12.737:12.735:13.3—
103Cloey EdwardsRidgeview · SOFinish 37:17.137:17.135:17.4—
104Jayda MillerChilhowie · JRFinish 37:21.337:21.335:21.4—
105Moira McKenzieVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 37:24.437:24.435:24.3—
106Diamond MillerChilhowie · JRFinish 37:25.037:25.035:24.9—
107Lila WilliamsGraham · SOFinish 38:00.438:00.435:58.4—
108Destiny HilliardSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 38:50.738:50.736:46.0—
109Amiya DelanoTwin Springs · FRFinish 40:45.940:45.938:35.1—
110Claire JusticeTazewell · FRFinish 41:07.341:07.338:55.3—
111Paige FoxPikeview · SRFinish 42:56.242:56.240:38.4—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.