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Oct 30, 2024 · Wise, VA

cumberland district championships 2024

UVA Wise Cross Country Course · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

24 of 24 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −20.8 s course and conditions +2.8 s in-season fitness −23.6 sCourse constant 490.82 (491)Race constant 487.11 (487)

24 used anchors± 9.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 24 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 24, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Caleb Ghammashi · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  2. 2 Parker King · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Jacob Bush · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Sam Gibson · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Evan McReynolds · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  6. 6 Brandon Edwards · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  7. 7 Colten Johnson · Twin Springs: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  8. 8 Jason Correa · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Landon Fleming · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Joel Bush · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Cole Stewart · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Landon Mullins · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Bryce Swisher · Twin Springs: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 5 more
  14. 14 Brayden Day · Thomas Walker: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Jared Glovier · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  16. 16 Chase Scott · J.I. Burton: Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · Battle of the Blockhouse (Oct 9) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Chandler Quillen · Rye Cove: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Colton Kennedy · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Payton Welch · J.I. Burton: Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · Battle of the Blockhouse (Oct 9) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Mason Mullins · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  21. 21 Jacob Kay · Rye Cove: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 5 more
  22. 22 Brayden Sturgill · J.I. Burton: Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · Battle of the Blockhouse (Oct 9) · and 4 more
  23. 23 Bryson Lamb · Rye Cove: Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · Battle of the Blockhouse (Oct 9) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Brayden Arquette · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 5 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 24 of 24 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Caleb GhammashiEastside · SRFinish 18:16.018:16.018:20.0122.0
2Parker KingCastlewood · SOFinish 18:32.518:32.518:36.6116.5
3Jacob BushCastlewood · JRFinish 18:36.618:36.618:40.7115.1
4Sam GibsonCastlewood · SRFinish 18:51.418:51.418:55.5110.2
5Evan McReynoldsEastside · SOFinish 18:56.918:56.919:01.1108.3
6Brandon EdwardsEastside · SOFinish 19:16.419:16.419:20.6101.8
7Colten JohnsonTwin Springs · SOFinish 19:34.619:34.619:38.995.7
8Jason CorreaEastside · SOFinish 20:48.620:48.620:53.271.0
9Landon FlemingJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 21:01.521:01.521:06.166.7
10Joel BushCastlewood · SOFinish 21:02.521:02.521:07.166.3
11Cole StewartRye Cove · JRFinish 21:17.421:17.421:22.161.3
12Landon MullinsJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 21:35.921:35.921:40.655.1
13Bryce SwisherTwin Springs · SOFinish 21:37.121:37.121:41.954.7
14Brayden DayThomas Walker · SOFinish 22:02.422:02.422:07.246.3
15Jared GlovierCastlewood · JRFinish 22:06.922:06.922:11.844.8
16Chase ScottJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 22:07.422:07.422:12.344.6
17Chandler QuillenRye Cove · FRFinish 22:20.022:20.022:24.940.4
18Colton KennedyCastlewood · SRFinish 22:59.222:59.223:04.327.3
19Payton WelchJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 23:13.723:13.723:18.822.4
20Mason MullinsCastlewood · JRFinish 23:17.023:17.023:22.121.3
21Jacob KayRye Cove · FRFinish 23:24.323:24.323:29.418.9
22Brayden SturgillJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 23:48.823:48.823:54.010.7
23Bryson LambRye Cove · SOFinish 24:03.824:03.824:09.15.7
24Brayden ArquetteEastside · JRFinish 26:31.226:31.226:37.0—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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D

22 of 22 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −6.5 s course and conditions +19.4 s in-season fitness −25.9 sCourse constant 503.51 (504)Race constant 497.04 (497)

22 used anchors± 12.2 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 22 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 22, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Shelby Stanley · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  2. 2 Hailey Mays · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Amelia Lewis · Thomas Walker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Hannah Mays · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Alexa Goins · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Madison Adair · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Celia Stewart · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Leah Harvey · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 5 more
  9. 9 Jozalynn Phillips · Castlewood: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  10. 10 Emily Bledsoe · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  11. 11 Ava Stough · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Isabel Sawyers · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  13. 13 Anya Mullins · J.I. Burton: UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Aug 31) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Emily Campbell · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  15. 15 Morgyn Bledsoe · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 4 more
  16. 16 Molly Rose · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  17. 17 Mary Wood · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  18. 18 Madison Sergent · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Kamryn Lee · Thomas Walker: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Maggie Adams · J.I. Burton: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 5 more
  21. 21 Lily Strohofer · Rye Cove: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23)
  22. 22 Emily Roberts · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 22 of 22 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Shelby StanleyEastside · JRFinish 20:17.420:17.420:06.190.0
2Hailey MaysEastside · FRFinish 21:51.621:51.621:39.558.9
3Amelia LewisThomas Walker · JRFinish 22:15.822:15.822:03.450.9
4Hannah MaysEastside · FRFinish 23:19.423:19.423:06.529.9
5Alexa GoinsRye Cove · SRFinish 24:23.524:23.524:10.08.7
6Madison AdairJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 24:27.924:27.924:14.37.3
7Celia StewartRye Cove · FRFinish 24:30.824:30.824:17.26.3
8Leah HarveyJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 24:34.024:34.024:20.45.3
9Jozalynn PhillipsCastlewood · JRFinish 25:57.825:57.825:43.4—
10Emily BledsoeRye Cove · FRFinish 26:36.526:36.526:21.7—
11Ava StoughJ.I. Burton · FRFinish 26:51.826:51.826:36.9—
12Isabel SawyersEastside · JRFinish 26:58.026:58.026:43.0—
13Anya MullinsJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 27:28.027:28.027:12.8—
14Emily CampbellJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 27:29.027:29.027:13.7—
15Morgyn BledsoeRye Cove · SRFinish 28:09.428:09.427:53.8—
16Molly RoseEastside · SOFinish 28:38.128:38.128:22.2—
17Mary WoodEastside · JRFinish 28:50.228:50.228:34.2—
18Madison SergentJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 29:22.429:22.429:06.1—
19Kamryn LeeThomas Walker · JRFinish 30:07.830:07.829:51.1—
20Maggie AdamsJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 30:18.030:18.030:01.2—
21Lily StrohoferRye Cove · FRFinish 34:02.434:02.433:43.5—
22Emily RobertsEastside · JRFinish 35:32.435:32.435:12.7—

cumberland district championships 2024, Oct 30, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.