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Oct 29, 2024 · Lebanon, VA

southwest district championship meet 2024

Lebanon Primary School · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

3 of 3 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

High School Boys 5000 Meter Run

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B

36 of 36 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −32.6 s course and conditions −9.2 s in-season fitness −23.4 sCourse constant 486.60 (487)Race constant 482.98 (483)

36 used anchors± 5.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 36 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 36, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Domenico Bruzzo-Morello · Marion Sr: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  2. 2 Drake Young · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 9 more
  3. 3 Gamble Stevens · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  4. 4 Carter Price · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  5. 5 Charlie Brown · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Calvin Dowell · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 7 more
  7. 7 Blake Chafin · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Liam Pratt · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  9. 9 Chase Cumbow · Graham: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Elijah Wheatley · Marion Sr: Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · Walkers Run (Sep 21) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Alex Armbrister · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 5 more
  12. 12 Parker Hamilton · Richlands: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Elliott Breeding · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Ezekiel Postell · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  15. 15 Andrew Battel · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  16. 16 Hunter Dunford · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Justin Mai · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  18. 18 Caden Price · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  19. 19 Isaac George · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  20. 20 Noah Williams · Tazewell: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 6 more
  21. 21 Braden Greer · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 8 more
  22. 22 Jonathan Barbrow · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  23. 23 Will Burkett · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 5 more
  24. 24 Ethan Baker · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 8 more
  25. 25 Wesley Jones · Graham: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  26. 26 Josh Marousek · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  27. 27 Joseph Luke Davis · Richlands: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Brayden Shinault · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Joshua Dove · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  30. 30 Cooper Wright · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  31. 31 Brennan Havens · Graham: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Max Danilov · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 4 more
  33. 33 Dalton Robinson · Graham: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 4 more
  34. 34 Cooper Hurst · Richlands: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23)
  35. 35 Kaden Gray · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Samuel Horn · Richlands: Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · Tazewell Invitational (Oct 10) · and 3 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 36 of 36 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Domenico Bruzzo-MorelloMarion Sr · SRFinish 16:58.716:58.717:12.7144.5
2Drake YoungTazewell · JRFinish 17:04.417:04.417:18.5142.5
3Gamble StevensVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 17:40.317:40.317:54.9130.4
4Carter PriceVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 18:24.718:24.718:39.9115.4
5Charlie BrownLebanon · SOFinish 18:48.618:48.619:04.2107.3
6Calvin DowellTazewell · JRFinish 18:58.618:58.619:14.3103.9
7Blake ChafinLebanon · JRFinish 19:01.919:01.919:17.6102.8
8Liam PrattVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 19:02.519:02.519:18.3102.6
9Chase CumbowGraham · FRFinish 19:09.119:09.119:24.9100.4
10Elijah WheatleyMarion Sr · SRFinish 19:16.319:16.319:32.397.9
11Alex ArmbristerMarion Sr · SRFinish 19:23.219:23.219:39.395.6
12Parker HamiltonRichlands · FRFinish 19:32.319:32.319:48.592.5
13Elliott BreedingLebanon · FRFinish 19:46.519:46.520:02.987.7
14Ezekiel PostellVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 19:54.519:54.520:11.085.0
15Andrew BattelVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 20:05.320:05.320:21.981.4
16Hunter DunfordLebanon · SOFinish 20:14.320:14.320:31.178.3
17Justin MaiVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 20:20.020:20.020:36.876.4
18Caden PriceVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 20:34.820:34.820:51.971.4
19Isaac GeorgeMarion Sr · JRFinish 20:49.120:49.121:06.366.6
20Noah WilliamsTazewell · FRFinish 20:50.620:50.621:07.966.1
21Braden GreerTazewell · SOFinish 20:59.420:59.421:16.863.1
22Jonathan BarbrowMarion Sr · SRFinish 21:26.121:26.121:43.854.1
23Will BurkettMarion Sr · SRFinish 21:33.721:33.721:51.651.5
24Ethan BakerTazewell · FRFinish 21:35.221:35.221:53.051.0
25Wesley JonesGraham · SOFinish 22:13.522:13.522:31.938.1
26Josh MarousekMarion Sr · SRFinish 22:20.722:20.722:39.235.6
27Joseph Luke DavisRichlands · SRFinish 22:35.122:35.122:53.830.7
28Brayden ShinaultLebanon · FRFinish 22:44.622:44.623:03.427.6
29Joshua DoveTazewell · SOFinish 23:12.223:12.223:31.418.2
30Cooper WrightTazewell · FRFinish 23:25.223:25.223:44.613.8
31Brennan HavensGraham · FRFinish 23:28.823:28.823:48.312.6
32Max DanilovLebanon · SOFinish 23:47.323:47.324:07.06.4
33Dalton RobinsonGraham · JRFinish 23:47.523:47.524:07.26.3
34Cooper HurstRichlands · JRFinish 24:54.124:54.125:14.8—
35Kaden GrayLebanon · JRFinish 26:12.126:12.126:33.8—
36Samuel HornRichlands · JRFinish 29:04.329:04.329:28.4—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

High School Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

17 of 17 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −59.5 s course and conditions −34.8 s in-season fitness −24.7 sCourse constant 478.63 (479)Race constant 471.94 (472)

17 used anchors± 10.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 17 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 17, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 9 more
  2. 2 Ruby Hoerter · Marion Sr: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  3. 3 Tori Kariuki · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Molly Jones · Graham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 8 more
  5. 5 Mandi Regin · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  6. 6 Layla Bebber · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Oxbow Lake Trail Invitational (Oct 16) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Alexis Perkins · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 8 more
  8. 8 Eme Corell · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 8 more
  9. 9 Myrical Vermilyer · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Claire Justice · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Katelyn Brooks · Tazewell: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Olivia DeBord · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
  13. 13 Kortnie Peak · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  14. 14 Willow Dunford · Lebanon: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6)
  15. 15 Ember Wohlford · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  16. 16 Moira McKenzie · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Lila Williams · Graham: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 6 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 17 of 17 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Abigail RhudyTazewell · SRFinish 19:33.119:33.120:16.386.6
2Ruby HoerterMarion Sr · SRFinish 23:19.323:19.324:10.98.4
3Tori KariukiVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 23:58.323:58.324:51.3—
4Molly JonesGraham · SRFinish 25:06.725:06.726:02.3—
5Mandi ReginVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 25:18.925:18.926:14.9—
6Layla BebberLebanon · SRFinish 26:45.926:45.927:45.1—
7Alexis PerkinsTazewell · FRFinish 26:58.926:58.927:58.5—
8Eme CorellTazewell · FRFinish 27:07.727:07.728:07.7—
9Myrical VermilyerVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 27:17.427:17.428:17.8—
10Claire JusticeTazewell · FRFinish 27:46.027:46.028:47.4—
11Katelyn BrooksTazewell · JRFinish 27:47.227:47.228:48.7—
12Olivia DeBordVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 27:50.227:50.228:51.8—
13Kortnie PeakMarion Sr · FRFinish 30:13.630:13.631:20.5—
14Willow DunfordLebanon · SRFinish 30:24.430:24.431:31.7—
15Ember WohlfordVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 30:29.730:29.731:37.1—
16Moira McKenzieVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 31:33.431:33.432:43.2—
17Lila WilliamsGraham · SOFinish 35:35.035:35.036:53.7—

BOYS · JV · 5,000 M

Junior Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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D

4 of 4 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −26.0 s course and conditions −2.4 s in-season fitness −23.5 sCourse constant 488.90 (489)Race constant 485.11 (485)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Boys results, places shown 1 to 4 of 4 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Timothe ReginVirginia Bearcats · 7Finish 20:10.020:10.020:19.882.1
2Dylan KellogVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 21:51.021:51.022:01.648.2
3Alex KariukiVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 22:34.022:34.022:44.933.7
4Josh DeBuskVirginia Bearcats · 7Finish 23:27.023:27.023:38.415.9

southwest district championship meet 2024, Oct 29, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.