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Sep 14, 2024 · Jonesborough, TN

Fender's Farm Cross Country Carnival

Fenders Corn Maze · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 161.6), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

C

120 of 121 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −14.2 s course and conditions −41.6 s in-season fitness +27.4 sCourse constant 476.13 (476)Race constant 481.68 (482)

82 used anchors± 6.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 82 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 82, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Maggie Bellamy · David Crockett: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  2. 2 Arvella Nave · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  3. 3 Lucy Smith · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  4. 4 Sawyer Grace Simmons · Lenoir City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  5. 5 Emma Johnson · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  6. 7 Hannah Robinson · Providence Academy: New Balance RunningLane XC Championships (Dec 7) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3)
  7. 10 Olivia Ogle · David Crockett: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  8. 11 Sarah Mussard · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  9. 13 Jasey Hyatt · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  10. 16 Mylee Jones · Sullivan East Middle School: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  11. 17 Adrian Heading · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  12. 18 Madeline Isaacs · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  13. 20 Tori Kariuki · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  14. 23 Ruth Mathewes · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  15. 24 Riley Castro · Greeneville: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  16. 25 Annika Vines · Greeneville: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  17. 26 Ashleigh Hyatt · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  18. 27 Sarah Gouge · Providence Academy: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3)
  19. 28 Courtney Good · West Ridge: UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18)
  20. 29 Kallie Ann Ladd · David Crockett: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  21. 30 Samantha Carr · Sullivan East Middle School: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  22. 31 Emily Bledsoe · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Cumberland District Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  23. 32 Kiley Moore · David Crockett: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  24. 33 Chloe Hanley · Lenoir City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  25. 34 Darcy McKinney · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  26. 37 Susan Mulhollen · Greeneville: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  27. 39 Madeline Schumann · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  28. 40 Chloe Snapp · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  29. 41 Norah Jenkins · West Ridge: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18)
  30. 42 Sophia Taylor · West Greene: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  31. 43 Lauren Ellis · Sullivan East Middle School: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  32. 44 Julina Allen · Cherokee: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  33. 45 Carley Brown · West Ridge: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3)
  34. 48 Morgyn Bledsoe · Rye Cove: Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · Cumberland District Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  35. 49 Grace Artz · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  36. 50 Darla Kammerdiener · Greeneville: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  37. 51 Annabelle Finney · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  38. 52 Reagan Stubbs · West Ridge: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18)
  39. 53 Ivy Newlon · David Crockett: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  40. 54 Aley White · Greeneville: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  41. 55 Nikoletta Stathoudakis · David Crockett: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  42. 56 Kaiya Robinson · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  43. 58 Maesyn McGee · David Crockett: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  44. 60 Faith Leonard · Sullivan East Middle School: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  45. 62 Emily Tai · University School of Johnson City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  46. 64 Audrey Edwards · Sullivan East Middle School: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7)
  47. 65 Cindy Tran · Lenoir City: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  48. 66 Amberlin Grindstaff · Elizabethton: Prompt PT Cherokee Classic (Sep 21)
  49. 68 Jayla Wilkerson · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 1D Championships (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  50. 69 Piper McMurray · West Ridge: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 121 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Maggie BellamyDavid Crockett · SRFinish 19:02.119:02.119:24.7103.8
2Arvella NaveElizabethton · FRFinish 19:39.719:39.720:03.191.0
3Lucy SmithUniversity School of Johnson City · SOFinish 20:18.720:18.720:42.877.8
4Sawyer Grace SimmonsLenoir City · SRFinish 20:29.920:29.920:54.374.0
5Emma JohnsonUniversity School of Johnson City · JRFinish 20:37.320:37.321:01.871.5
6Helen HackettElizabethton · JRFinish 21:02.521:02.521:27.562.9
7Hannah RobinsonProvidence Academy · JRFinish 21:03.321:03.321:28.362.6
8Braydin BareselUnicoi Co. Middle School · SOFinish 21:08.721:08.721:33.860.8
9Kennedie CouchMorristown-West · FRFinish 21:25.521:25.521:51.055.1
10Olivia OgleDavid Crockett · FRFinish 21:44.521:44.522:10.348.6
11Sarah MussardUniversity School of Johnson City · SOFinish 21:44.921:44.922:10.748.5
12Andee FitzgeraldMorristown-West · JRFinish 22:06.022:06.022:32.341.3
13Jasey HyattElizabethton · JRFinish 22:14.322:14.322:40.738.5
14Sydney SpillettDobyns Bennett · SRFinish 22:16.522:16.522:42.937.8
15Jane HackettElizabethton · FRFinish 22:24.522:24.522:51.135.0
16Mylee JonesSullivan East Middle School · JRFinish 22:37.422:37.423:04.330.6
17Adrian HeadingElizabethton · SOFinish 22:46.422:46.423:13.527.6
18Madeline IsaacsElizabethton · SOFinish 23:09.823:09.823:37.419.6
19Kyra CouchMorristown-West · JRFinish 23:12.723:12.723:40.218.6
20Tori KariukiVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 23:22.323:22.323:50.115.4
21Lindsay WilliamsProvidence Academy · SOFinish 23:37.023:37.024:05.110.4
22Anna CrutchfieldUnicoi Co. Middle School · FRFinish 23:38.223:38.224:06.210.0
23Ruth MathewesUniversity School of Johnson City · JRFinish 23:38.823:38.824:06.99.8
24Riley CastroGreeneville · JRFinish 23:58.423:58.424:26.93.1
25Annika VinesGreeneville · SRFinish 24:02.124:02.124:30.71.8
26Ashleigh HyattElizabethton · SOFinish 24:03.124:03.124:31.71.5
27Sarah GougeProvidence Academy · SOFinish 24:07.224:07.224:35.80.1
28Courtney GoodWest Ridge · SRFinish 24:07.824:07.824:36.5—
29Kallie Ann LaddDavid Crockett · JRFinish 24:08.124:08.124:36.8—
30Samantha CarrSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 24:09.324:09.324:38.0—
31Emily BledsoeRye Cove · FRFinish 24:10.224:10.224:38.9—
32Kiley MooreDavid Crockett · JRFinish 24:11.924:11.924:40.6—
33Chloe HanleyLenoir City · JRFinish 24:14.924:14.924:43.7—
34Darcy McKinneyUniversity School of Johnson City · FRFinish 24:16.424:16.424:45.2—
35Sophia BowersMorristown-West · FRFinish 24:20.024:20.024:48.9—
36Jocelyn LopezCocke County · FRFinish 24:39.624:39.625:08.9—
37Susan MulhollenGreeneville · JRFinish 24:42.324:42.325:11.6—
38Alyssa MahonDobyns Bennett · JRFinish 24:43.824:43.825:13.2—
39Madeline SchumannElizabethton · FRFinish 24:53.924:53.925:23.5—
40Chloe SnappPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 25:00.125:00.125:29.8—
41Norah JenkinsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 25:00.925:00.925:30.6—
42Sophia TaylorWest Greene · SRFinish 25:11.125:11.125:41.1—
43Lauren EllisSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 25:12.325:12.325:42.2—
44Julina AllenCherokee · JRFinish 25:21.425:21.425:51.5—
45Carley BrownWest Ridge · JRFinish 25:24.025:24.025:54.2—
46Erica MahonDobyns Bennett · JRFinish 25:28.525:28.525:58.8—
47Anna SuttonMorristown-West · SRFinish 25:34.625:34.626:05.0—
48Morgyn BledsoeRye Cove · SRFinish 25:41.025:41.026:11.5—
49Grace ArtzElizabethton · SRFinish 25:44.425:44.426:14.9—
50Darla KammerdienerGreeneville · SRFinish 25:45.225:45.226:15.8—
Show all 121 results (71 more)Showing all 121 results · hide rows 51–121
Girls results, rows 51 to 121 of 121
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Annabelle FinneyPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 25:45.825:45.826:16.4—
52Reagan StubbsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 25:49.825:49.826:20.5—
53Ivy NewlonDavid Crockett · SOFinish 25:50.025:50.026:20.7—
54Aley WhiteGreeneville · FRFinish 25:51.325:51.326:22.0—
55Nikoletta StathoudakisDavid Crockett · SRFinish 25:52.325:52.326:23.1—
56Kaiya RobinsonUniversity School of Johnson City · JRFinish 25:57.825:57.826:28.7—
57Aalyiah RangelHappy Valley Middle School · JRFinish 25:59.825:59.826:30.7—
58Maesyn McGeeDavid Crockett · FRFinish 26:05.526:05.526:36.5—
59Amara KindelDobyns Bennett · SOFinish 26:06.026:06.026:37.0—
60Faith LeonardSullivan East Middle School · FRFinish 26:11.126:11.126:42.2—
61Ava LeasureSouth Greene Middle School · FRFinish 26:15.926:15.926:47.1—
62Emily TaiUniversity School of Johnson City · JRFinish 26:16.226:16.226:47.5—
63Tara MahonDobyns Bennett · JRFinish 26:18.726:18.726:50.0—
64Audrey EdwardsSullivan East Middle School · SRFinish 26:37.526:37.527:09.1—
65Cindy TranLenoir City · JRFinish 26:39.526:39.527:11.1—
66Amberlin GrindstaffElizabethton · SRFinish 26:40.826:40.827:12.5—
67Laura SinerDobyns Bennett · SRFinish 26:45.126:45.127:16.8—
68Jayla WilkersonPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 26:50.226:50.227:22.1—
69Piper McMurrayWest Ridge · SOFinish 26:50.826:50.827:22.7—
70Hannah SuggsCocke County · SRFinish 26:51.826:51.827:23.7—
71Chloe EggersMorristown-West · SOFinish 26:57.226:57.227:29.2—
72May LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SOFinish 27:01.727:01.727:33.8—
73Lemy OrtizUniversity School of Johnson City · SRFinish 27:05.327:05.327:37.5—
74Mandi ReginVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 27:09.627:09.627:41.8—
75Kelly CummingsProvidence Academy · SOFinish 27:16.027:16.027:48.4—
76Tiffany ReinhardtDavid Crockett · SRFinish 27:16.527:16.527:48.9—
77Olivia DeBordVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 27:21.427:21.427:53.9—
78Naomi LouMorristown-West · FRFinish 27:22.627:22.627:55.1—
79Gabbie ShultzCocke County · FRFinish 27:28.527:28.528:01.2—
80Elliana CollinsProvidence Academy · JRFinish 27:34.927:34.928:07.6—
81Aubree MolettDobyns Bennett · SOFinish 27:38.327:38.328:11.1—
82Kylie LaddDavid Crockett · JRFinish 27:48.027:48.028:21.0—
83Olivia HawkinsCocke County · FRFinish 28:01.928:01.928:35.2—
84Hayden ThompsonSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 28:12.828:12.828:46.3—
85Kylee AskewChuckey-Doak Middle School · SRFinish 28:15.428:15.428:48.9—
86Claire LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 28:15.828:15.828:49.4—
87Julia SheekProvidence Academy · FRFinish 28:19.528:19.528:53.2—
88Mariam ElkammashCherokee · SOFinish 28:21.928:21.928:55.6—
89Andrea EdwardsSullivan East Middle School · JRFinish 28:28.128:28.129:01.9—
90Chelsea JenningsDavid Crockett · SRFinish 28:48.928:48.929:23.1—
91Megan BlevinsHappy Valley Middle School · FRFinish 28:52.328:52.329:26.6—
92Myrical VermilyerVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 28:55.028:55.029:29.3—
93Karrah DeanUnicoi Co. Middle School · SRFinish 28:59.128:59.129:33.5—
94Jill LynchMorristown-West · FRFinish 29:02.129:02.129:36.6—
95Addie LavoieUniversity School of Johnson City · SRFinish 29:15.229:15.229:49.9—
96Samantha BarrettSullivan East Middle School · FRFinish 29:32.429:32.430:07.5—
97Ana YantachkaTowering Oaks Christian School · SOFinish 29:33.029:33.030:08.1—
98Hailey KleiLenoir City · JRFinish 29:54.629:54.630:30.2—
99Lorenza MaylockUniversity School of Johnson City · SOFinish 30:15.430:15.430:51.3—
100Marissa SilanceWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 30:43.330:43.331:19.8—
101Kyra HerbstMorristown-West · JRFinish 30:50.330:50.331:27.0—
102Lily GouldDobyns Bennett · SRFinish 30:53.530:53.531:30.2—
103Kaitlyn JacksonLenoir City · JRFinish 31:14.531:14.531:51.6—
104Abby CrabtreeDavid Crockett · JRFinish 31:24.431:24.432:01.7—
105Jocie HoltMorristown-West · SOFinish 32:03.632:03.632:41.6—
106Kenzie LettermanHappy Valley Middle School · JRFinish 32:18.232:18.232:56.6—
107Elsie GunterDavid Crockett · FRFinish 32:26.332:26.333:04.9—
108Allie RodiferDavid Crockett · JRFinish 32:30.732:30.733:09.3—
109Ember WohlfordVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 33:09.733:09.733:49.1—
110Gracie HerronCherokee · SOFinish 33:30.033:30.034:09.8—
111Carrera MullinsWest Ridge · SOFinish 33:34.333:34.334:14.2—
112Gili MortallaChuckey-Doak Middle School · SOFinish 34:27.634:27.635:08.5—
113Kerigan DavisDavid Crockett · FRFinish 36:21.436:21.437:04.6—
114Bryanna NicklesDavid Crockett · SOFinish 36:45.736:45.737:29.4—
115Olivia TaylorChuckey-Doak Middle School · SOFinish 36:47.036:47.037:30.7—
116Destiny HilliardSullivan East Middle School · SOFinish 37:29.637:29.638:14.2—
117Danielle BryantUnicoi Co. Middle School · SRFinish 38:01.838:01.838:47.0—
118Leah SolsberryHappy Valley Middle School · FRFinish 38:34.138:34.139:19.9—
119Brooklyn HyattWest Greene · JRFinish 39:49.439:49.440:36.7—
120Jesslyn FoxGreeneville · FRFinish 43:32.843:32.844:24.6—
121Chelsea HensleyChuckey-Doak Middle School · SRFinish 45:46.245:46.2UnavailableUnavailable

1 row: time outside the rated range.

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.