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Oct 10, 2024 · Bland, VA

tazewell invitational 2024

Tazewell · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 148.3), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 3 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity 5K Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

31 of 31 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +39.0 s course and conditions +56.8 s in-season fitness −17.7 sCourse constant 519.43 (519)Race constant 514.92 (515)

29 used anchors± 8.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 29 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 29, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 9 more
  2. 2 Clara Bakker · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Harris Peek · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Maggie Mizelle · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  5. 5 Elaina Warner · Wolf Hills: HXN Championships (Nov 2) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Josephine Thiessen · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  7. 7 Reagan Smith · Abingdon: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Ruby Hoerter · Marion Sr: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  9. 9 Noelle Wells · Union: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Avery Hamilton · Union: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  11. 11 Jocelyn Parks · Bland County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Macy Odum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  13. 13 Riley Spain · Union: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  14. 14 Aubrey Hubbard · Abingdon: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · and 4 more
  15. 15 Elyanna Stewart · Abingdon: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 18) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Molly Jones · Graham: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 8 more
  17. 17 Kayleigh Summers · Union: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Ayden Turner · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  19. 19 Callie Felty · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  20. 20 Victoria Grose · Union: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  21. 21 Emmalee Miller · Union: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  22. 22 Kathern Rosenbaum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  23. 23 Kari Streit · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 7 more
  24. 25 Carissa Kohel · Narrows: VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · Pioneer District Championship (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  25. 27 Kortnie Peak · Marion Sr: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Southwest District Championship Meet (Oct 29) · and 5 more
  26. 28 Evie Kivett · Bland County: Cougar Clash Invitational (Oct 12) · Walkers Run (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  27. 29 Autumn Street · Marion Sr: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 3) · Walkers Run (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  28. 30 Lila Williams · Graham: VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · Southwest District Championship Meet (Oct 29) · and 6 more
  29. 31 Ada Young · Graham: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Aug 31) · and 1 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 31 of 31 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Abigail RhudyTazewell · SRFinish 20:11.220:11.219:20.1105.4
2Clara BakkerAbingdon · FRFinish 21:48.021:48.020:52.874.5
3Harris PeekAbingdon · SOFinish 22:57.022:57.021:59.052.4
4Maggie MizelleJohn Battle · SOFinish 23:27.423:27.422:28.042.7
5Elaina WarnerWolf Hills · FRFinish 23:37.223:37.222:37.539.6
6Josephine ThiessenAbingdon · JRFinish 23:44.023:44.022:43.937.4
7Reagan SmithAbingdon · SOFinish 23:48.623:48.622:48.336.0
8Ruby HoerterMarion Sr · SRFinish 23:56.023:56.022:55.533.6
9Noelle WellsUnion · SOFinish 23:57.123:57.122:56.533.2
10Avery HamiltonUnion · FRFinish 24:39.324:39.323:36.919.8
11Jocelyn ParksBland County · SOFinish 24:59.824:59.823:56.613.2
12Macy OdumJohn Battle · SRFinish 25:05.325:05.324:01.811.5
13Riley SpainUnion · FRFinish 25:21.525:21.524:17.46.3
14Aubrey HubbardAbingdon · FRFinish 25:37.225:37.224:32.41.3
15Elyanna StewartAbingdon · JRFinish 25:52.725:52.724:47.2—
16Molly JonesGraham · SRFinish 27:06.127:06.125:57.6—
17Kayleigh SummersUnion · JRFinish 27:13.127:13.126:04.2—
18Ayden TurnerJohn Battle · SOFinish 28:25.428:25.427:13.5—
19Callie FeltyJohn Battle · SRFinish 28:26.728:26.727:14.8—
20Victoria GroseUnion · JRFinish 28:34.428:34.427:22.1—
21Emmalee MillerUnion · SRFinish 28:45.328:45.327:32.5—
22Kathern RosenbaumJohn Battle · JRFinish 28:54.528:54.527:41.4—
23Kari StreitJohn Battle · JRFinish 28:59.828:59.827:46.5—
24Isabella JR DeelSummit Christian Academy · JRFinish 29:41.729:41.728:26.5—
25Carissa KohelNarrows · JRFinish 31:09.531:09.529:50.6—
26Claire JR ThyngSummit Christian Academy · JRFinish 31:59.231:59.230:38.3—
27Kortnie PeakMarion Sr · FRFinish 33:22.433:22.431:58.0—
28Evie KivettBland County · SOFinish 34:30.934:30.933:03.6—
29Autumn StreetMarion Sr · FRFinish 36:02.436:02.434:31.2—
30Lila WilliamsGraham · SOFinish 36:41.136:41.135:08.3—
31Ada YoungGraham · FRFinish 38:43.738:43.737:05.7—

tazewell invitational 2024, Oct 10, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.