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Oct 12, 2023 · Bland, VA

Tazewell Cross Country Invitational 2023

Tazewell · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2024

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 149.0), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000m Run

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C

21 of 22 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +46.6 s course and conditions +65.1 s in-season fitness −18.5 sCourse constant 521.88 (522)Race constant 520.75 (521)

16 used anchors± 9.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 16 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 16, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  2. 2 Kendall Jarvis · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  3. 3 Jocelyn Parks · Bland County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Maggie Mizelle · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Molly Jones · Graham: VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · Southwest District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Macy Odum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Fiona Dewey · Wolf Hills: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · Walkers Run (Sep 16)
  8. 8 Kari Streit · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  9. 9 Sandi Jones · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  10. 10 Ashlyn Ferguson · Wolf Hills: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · Walkers Run (Sep 16)
  11. 13 Aubreigh Compton · Richlands: Southwest District Championships (Oct 25) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  12. 14 Amanda Blevins · Graham: VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · Southwest District Championships (Oct 25) · and 4 more
  13. 15 Callie Felty · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  14. 16 Lennon Harrison · John Battle: VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  15. 17 Ayden Turner · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  16. 19 Hannah Brooks · Graham: VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · Southwest District Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 22 of 22 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Abigail RhudyTazewell · Grade not recordedFinish 20:29.820:29.819:29.1104.5
2Kendall JarvisJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 23:47.323:47.322:36.841.9
3Jocelyn ParksBland County · Grade not recordedFinish 24:28.724:28.723:16.228.8
4Maggie MizelleJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 25:03.325:03.323:49.017.8
5Molly JonesGraham · Grade not recordedFinish 25:09.225:09.223:54.715.9
6Macy OdumJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 25:45.625:45.624:29.24.4
7Fiona DeweyWolf Hills · Grade not recordedFinish 26:05.126:05.124:47.8—
8Kari StreitJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 26:07.426:07.424:50.0—
9Sandi JonesJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 26:29.926:29.925:11.4—
10Ashlyn FergusonWolf Hills · Grade not recordedFinish 26:46.426:46.425:27.1—
11Alexis PerkinsTazewell · Grade not recordedFinish 26:55.126:55.125:35.3—
12Eme CorellTazewell · Grade not recordedFinish 27:56.427:56.426:33.6—
13Aubreigh ComptonRichlands · Grade not recordedFinish 28:26.028:26.027:01.8—
14Amanda BlevinsGraham · Grade not recordedFinish 28:47.628:47.627:22.2—
15Callie FeltyJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 29:34.829:34.828:07.2—
16Lennon HarrisonJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 29:40.029:40.028:12.1—
17Ayden TurnerJohn Battle · Grade not recordedFinish 30:35.130:35.129:04.5—
18Isabella DeelMercer Christian Academy · Grade not recordedFinish 31:20.731:20.729:47.8—
19Hannah BrooksGraham · Grade not recordedFinish 31:41.131:41.130:07.2—
20Claire ThyngMercer Christian Academy · Grade not recordedFinish 33:23.133:23.131:44.1—
21Kate ThyngMercer Christian Academy · Grade not recordedFinish 35:10.135:10.133:25.9—
DNFLARGE, KatieTazewell · Grade not recordedFinish UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

Tazewell Cross Country Invitational 2023, Oct 12, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.