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Oct 12, 2022 · Bristol, VA

Don Cumbow Invitational

Sugar Hollow Park 3 Mile Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 153.8), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Girls 3 Mile Run

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C

74 of 74 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −7.6 s course and conditions +10.9 s in-season fitness −18.5 sCourse constant 497.54 (498)Race constant 495.55 (496)

72 used anchors± 6.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 72 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 72, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Makaleigh Jessee · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Josie Jackson · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Eowyn Warner · Wolf Hills Home Scho: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  5. 5 Myra Kariuki · Virginia: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Cecelia Johnson · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Elaina Bakker · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Amanda Ferrante · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  9. 9 Lauren Keene · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Camryn Hardin · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Kaleigh Temple · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Shelby Stanley · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2)
  13. 13 Carrie Sage Dalton · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Lucy Tester · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Zoe Davenport · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Aleah Dorn · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  17. 17 Kendall Jarvis · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Kara Temple · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Jayden Sisk · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  20. 20 Hannah Mullins · Union: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  21. 21 Ruby Hoerter · Marion Sr: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Shaylen Cannon · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Chessie Tindall · Bland County: Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  24. 24 Elizabeth Richardson · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  25. 25 Tess Somervell · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  26. 26 Carrie Humphrey · Richlands: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Tori Kariuki · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Caitlin Lambert · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  29. 29 Josephine Thiessen · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  30. 30 Mia Franklin · Lee: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Kari Streit · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  32. 32 Lennon Harrison · John Battle: Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 26) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Kiya Perry · Ridgeview: Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 26) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  34. 34 Annabelle Finney · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Natalia Laborda-Alvarez · Lee: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  36. 36 Lauren Pearce · Graham: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Fiona Dewey · Wolf Hills Home Scho: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  38. 38 Amelia Hamilton · Union: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  39. 39 Jozalynn Phillips · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1D Cross Country Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Sophia McCroskey · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  41. 41 Mikah Woliver · Lee: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  42. 42 Matisyn Hutton · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Macy Odum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 5 more
  44. 44 Madeline Ratliff · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  45. 45 Addison Gilliam · Union: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  46. 46 Aurora Haywood · Fort Chiswell: Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 2) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Aubreigh Compton · Richlands: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  48. 48 Natalie Dingus · Ridgeview: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Ashlyn Ferguson · Wolf Hills Home Scho: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  50. 50 Molly Jones · Graham: VHSL 2A Region D championships (Nov 2) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 74 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Makaleigh JesseeAbingdon · SRFinish 18:50.318:50.318:43.3118.0
2Abigail RhudyTazewell · SOFinish 19:04.919:04.918:57.9113.2
3Josie JacksonAbingdon · SOFinish 19:36.919:36.919:29.7102.6
4Eowyn WarnerWolf Hills Home Scho · SRFinish 20:26.020:26.020:18.586.3
5Myra KariukiVirginia · SRFinish 20:33.720:33.720:26.183.8
6Cecelia JohnsonAbingdon · SRFinish 20:35.720:35.720:28.183.1
7Elaina BakkerAbingdon · SOFinish 20:35.720:35.720:28.183.1
8Amanda FerranteAbingdon · JRFinish 20:45.220:45.220:37.580.0
9Lauren KeeneTazewell · SRFinish 21:52.221:52.221:44.157.8
10Camryn HardinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 21:56.421:56.421:48.356.4
11Kaleigh TempleGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 22:16.122:16.122:07.949.8
12Shelby StanleyEastside · FRFinish 22:24.022:24.022:15.747.2
13Carrie Sage DaltonGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 22:33.622:33.622:25.344.0
14Lucy TesterVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 22:34.122:34.122:25.843.9
15Zoe DavenportPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 22:34.722:34.722:26.443.7
16Aleah DornAbingdon · SOFinish 22:40.622:40.622:32.241.7
17Kendall JarvisJohn Battle · JRFinish 22:40.922:40.922:32.541.6
18Kara TempleGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 22:56.122:56.122:47.636.6
19Jayden SiskJohn Battle · SRFinish 23:06.323:06.322:57.833.2
20Hannah MullinsUnion · SRFinish 23:15.923:15.923:07.330.0
21Ruby HoerterMarion Sr · SOFinish 23:22.323:22.323:13.727.9
22Shaylen CannonVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 23:26.323:26.323:17.626.6
23Chessie TindallBland County · SRFinish 23:52.123:52.123:43.318.0
24Elizabeth RichardsonJohn Battle · SOFinish 23:54.623:54.623:45.817.2
25Tess SomervellChilhowie · JRFinish 23:57.223:57.223:48.416.3
26Carrie HumphreyRichlands · SRFinish 24:07.124:07.123:58.213.1
27Tori KariukiVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 24:09.424:09.424:00.512.3
28Caitlin LambertJohn Battle · SRFinish 24:18.624:18.624:09.69.3
29Josephine ThiessenAbingdon · FRFinish 24:24.824:24.824:15.87.2
30Mia FranklinLee · SOFinish 24:43.324:43.324:34.21.1
31Kari StreitJohn Battle · FRFinish 24:44.824:44.824:35.70.6
32Lennon HarrisonJohn Battle · FRFinish 24:53.624:53.624:44.4—
33Kiya PerryRidgeview · FRFinish 24:59.924:59.924:50.7—
34Annabelle FinneyPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 25:01.225:01.224:52.0—
35Natalia Laborda-AlvarezLee · SOFinish 25:03.025:03.024:53.8—
36Lauren PearceGraham · SRFinish 25:05.625:05.624:56.3—
37Fiona DeweyWolf Hills Home Scho · FRFinish 25:06.025:06.024:56.7—
38Amelia HamiltonUnion · JRFinish 25:06.125:06.124:56.8—
39Jozalynn PhillipsCastlewood · FRFinish 25:06.125:06.124:56.8—
40Sophia McCroskeyGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 25:06.425:06.424:57.1—
41Mikah WoliverLee · SOFinish 25:10.425:10.425:01.1—
42Matisyn HuttonVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 25:15.225:15.225:05.9—
43Macy OdumJohn Battle · SOFinish 25:19.325:19.325:10.0—
44Madeline RatliffJohn Battle · JRFinish 25:22.825:22.825:13.4—
45Addison GilliamUnion · SRFinish 25:36.425:36.425:26.9—
46Aurora HaywoodFort Chiswell · JRFinish 25:46.625:46.625:37.1—
47Aubreigh ComptonRichlands · 8Finish 25:50.825:50.825:41.3—
48Natalie DingusRidgeview · FRFinish 25:54.025:54.025:44.4—
49Ashlyn FergusonWolf Hills Home Scho · JRFinish 26:16.926:16.926:07.2—
50Molly JonesGraham · SOFinish 26:21.326:21.326:11.6—
Show all 74 results (24 more)Showing all 74 results · hide rows 51–74
Girls results, rows 51 to 74 of 74
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Claudia BooherJohn Battle · SRFinish 26:47.526:47.526:37.6—
52Emerson HardinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 26:49.026:49.026:39.1—
53Maria Del Mar EspinosaGarciaAbingdon · JRFinish 26:54.226:54.226:44.3—
54Audrey BrownTazewell · SRFinish 26:56.726:56.726:46.8—
55Kayleigh SummersUnion · FRFinish 27:01.127:01.126:51.1—
56Jocelyn BrownRidgeview · JRFinish 27:08.327:08.326:58.3—
57Aslyn LittonUnion · SRFinish 27:19.227:19.227:09.1—
58Toby GibsonUnion · JRFinish 27:26.227:26.227:16.1—
59Anna GardnerJohn Battle · JRFinish 28:27.728:27.728:17.2—
60Selome AlemuMountain Mission School · FRFinish 28:32.928:32.928:22.4—
61Willow DelpGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 29:00.829:00.828:50.1—
62Layla CecilTazewell · JRFinish 29:11.329:11.329:00.5—
63Eliza CulbertsonRichlands · 8Finish 29:13.129:13.129:02.3—
64Alexa BlevinsMarion Sr · SOFinish 29:14.429:14.429:03.6—
65Madison HallUnion · FRFinish 29:23.329:23.329:12.4—
66Savana ParsonsLee · FRFinish 29:44.429:44.429:33.4—
67Gracie WidenerMarion Sr · SOFinish 29:50.629:50.629:39.6—
68Emily HashMarion Sr · SOFinish 30:02.430:02.429:51.3—
69Kathern RosenbaumAbingdon · FRFinish 30:09.030:09.029:57.9—
70Callie FeltyJohn Battle · SOFinish 30:27.430:27.430:16.2—
71Haven MooreUnion · SOFinish 31:34.131:34.131:22.4—
72Laken FosterVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 33:21.633:21.633:09.3—
73Hanna AdmasuMountain Mission School · SOFinish 35:02.935:02.934:50.0—
74Sammie ArmsRichlands · FRFinish 38:33.338:33.338:19.1—

Don Cumbow Invitational, Oct 12, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.