NovaRunners
All meets

Nov 2, 2022 · Blacksburg, VA

Region 1C XC Championship

Blacksburg HS XC Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2026 · 2025 · 2024 · 2023

Report a problem with this meet

Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Region 1C XC Championship Wednesday, November 2, 2022 Girls 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
C

38 of 38 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −21.5 s course and conditions +1.9 s in-season fitness −23.4 sCourse constant 493.84 (494)Race constant 490.76 (491)

38 used anchors± 7.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 38 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 38, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kasey Rosenbaum · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Camryn Hardin · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Sarah Hale · Grayson County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Destyne Rutherford · Grayson County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  5. 5 Kaleigh Temple · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Natalie White · Bath County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Kara Temple · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Aija McHone · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  9. 9 Valeria Castillo · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Olivia Wilbon · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  11. 11 Carrie Sage Dalton · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Dianna White · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Kyra Lee · Parry McCluer: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Jasmine Desouza · Parry McCluer: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Lauren Connelly · Auburn: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Nallely Rosales · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Katherine Light · Auburn: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Chessie Tindall · Bland County: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  19. 19 Heaven Crookshanks · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Sophia McCroskey · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  21. 21 Stehanie Ramirez · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Aurora Haywood · Fort Chiswell: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Naomi Black · Giles: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  24. 24 Vivian Fant · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Emerson Hardin · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  26. 26 Meghan Kidwell · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  27. 27 Grace Justice · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Hayden Miller · Grayson County: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  29. 29 Isabella Hill · Grayson County: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  30. 30 Cienna Long · Grayson County: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Casey Redifer · Grayson County: Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  32. 32 Willow Delp · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  33. 33 Danielle Burkhardt · Grayson County: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  34. 34 Lacy Davis · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Addison Sheets · Galax: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Alexia Allen · Giles: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  37. 37 Caitlin Haley · Bath County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Kailyn Law · Giles: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 38 of 38 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kasey RosenbaumAuburn · JRFinish 21:26.021:26.021:30.462.3
2Camryn HardinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 21:36.221:36.221:40.658.9
3Sarah HaleGrayson County · SOFinish 21:39.721:39.721:44.157.8
4Destyne RutherfordGrayson County · JRFinish 21:51.721:51.721:56.253.7
5Kaleigh TempleGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 22:04.222:04.222:08.749.6
6Natalie WhiteBath County · JRFinish 22:12.422:12.422:16.946.8
7Kara TempleGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 22:20.422:20.422:25.044.1
8Aija McHoneEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 22:31.222:31.222:35.840.5
9Valeria CastilloEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 22:32.922:32.922:37.540.0
10Olivia WilbonEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 22:52.122:52.122:56.833.5
11Carrie Sage DaltonGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 23:00.723:00.723:05.430.7
12Dianna WhiteGalax · SRFinish 23:10.923:10.923:15.627.3
13Kyra LeeParry McCluer · FRFinish 23:45.723:45.723:50.515.6
14Jasmine DesouzaParry McCluer · JRFinish 23:54.923:54.923:59.812.5
15Lauren ConnellyAuburn · SRFinish 24:22.124:22.124:27.13.4
16Nallely RosalesGalax · SRFinish 24:26.424:26.424:31.42.0
17Katherine LightAuburn · JRFinish 24:50.024:50.024:55.1—
18Chessie TindallBland County · SRFinish 24:56.724:56.725:01.8—
19Heaven CrookshanksGalax · FRFinish 25:02.425:02.425:07.5—
20Sophia McCroskeyGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 25:09.625:09.625:14.7—
21Stehanie RamirezGalax · SRFinish 25:34.225:34.225:39.4—
22Aurora HaywoodFort Chiswell · JRFinish 25:55.925:55.926:01.2—
23Naomi BlackGiles · JRFinish 25:56.725:56.726:02.0—
24Vivian FantGalax · FRFinish 25:58.425:58.426:03.7—
25Emerson HardinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 25:59.725:59.726:05.0—
26Meghan KidwellEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 26:03.526:03.526:08.8—
27Grace JusticeGalax · SRFinish 26:58.226:58.227:03.7—
28Hayden MillerGrayson County · SOFinish 27:02.727:02.727:08.2—
29Isabella HillGrayson County · SOFinish 27:26.127:26.127:31.7—
30Cienna LongGrayson County · SOFinish 27:44.127:44.127:49.8—
31Casey RediferGrayson County · SOFinish 28:11.528:11.528:17.2—
32Willow DelpGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 28:21.628:21.628:27.4—
33Danielle BurkhardtGrayson County · SOFinish 28:28.828:28.828:34.6—
34Lacy DavisEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 29:32.729:32.729:38.7—
35Addison SheetsGalax · FRFinish 31:21.831:21.831:28.2—
36Alexia AllenGiles · SOFinish 32:09.732:09.732:16.3—
37Caitlin HaleyBath County · FRFinish 37:03.437:03.437:11.0—
38Kailyn LawGiles · SRFinish 38:00.938:00.938:08.6—

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Boys varsity
C

47 of 47 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −5.1 s course and conditions +17.8 s in-season fitness −22.9 sCourse constant 497.88 (498)Race constant 493.91 (494)

47 used anchors± 8.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 47 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 47, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kovyk Chandler · Parry McCluer: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Andrew Tickle · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  3. 3 Spencer Sisson · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Brett Buchanan · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Logan Wheelock · Parry McCluer: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Caleb Sampson · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 7 more
  7. 7 Tyler Boone · Bland County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Aiden Sensabaugh · Bath County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Ethan Rosenbaum · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Conor Martin · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Josh Cooper · Parry McCluer: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Kary Romano · Bland County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 5 more
  13. 13 Landon Shepherd · Narrows: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Oscar Montgomery · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Eli Tomiak · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Grayson Richardson · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 7 more
  17. 17 Sergio Rodriguez · Grayson County: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  18. 18 Noah Buckwalter · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 5 more
  19. 19 Nick Smith · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  20. 20 Bo Anders · Grayson County: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  21. 21 Walter Whitman · Galax: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Easton Dobbins · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  23. 23 Carter Holmes · Narrows: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Michael Sizer · Galax: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Caleb Mitchell · Galax: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Shawn Graham · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  27. 27 Elijah Rosenfeld · Galax: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Bryce Miller · Bland County: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 8) · and 4 more
  29. 29 Caleb Whitman · Galax: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Noah Phillips · Bath County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 24)
  31. 31 George Black · Giles: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · East Mont Invitational (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  32. 32 Alex Zuckerwar · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 6 more
  33. 33 Rylan Anderson-Jernigan · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Colton Williams · Highland: East Mont Invitational (Oct 5)
  35. 35 Osman Amaya-Aguilar · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 4 more
  36. 36 Luke Buckwalter · Auburn: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Caden Horton · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 4 more
  38. 38 Owen Jones · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 5 more
  39. 39 Koden Wines · Eastern Montgomery: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Patton Hull · Highland: East Mont Invitational (Oct 5)
  41. 41 Evan King · Galax: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 2 more
  42. 42 Elijah Good · Highland: East Mont Invitational (Oct 5)
  43. 43 Simon Hanks · Galax: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Walkers Run (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  44. 44 Eli Moore · Highland: East Mont Invitational (Oct 5)
  45. 45 Mason Mabry · George Wythe (Wytheville): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  46. 46 Jacub Myers · Bland County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 5 more
  47. 47 Ethan Moore · Highland: East Mont Invitational (Oct 5)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 47 of 47 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kovyk ChandlerParry McCluer · JRFinish 17:15.517:15.517:05.7148.1
2Andrew TickleAuburn · SRFinish 18:01.618:01.617:51.3132.9
3Spencer SissonEastern Montgomery · FRFinish 18:23.118:23.118:12.6125.8
4Brett BuchananGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 18:31.918:31.918:21.3122.9
5Logan WheelockParry McCluer · FRFinish 18:51.118:51.118:40.4116.5
6Caleb SampsonEastern Montgomery · FRFinish 19:00.019:00.018:49.2113.6
7Tyler BooneBland County · SOFinish 19:19.219:19.219:08.2107.2
8Aiden SensabaughBath County · SOFinish 19:25.819:25.819:14.7105.1
9Ethan RosenbaumAuburn · FRFinish 19:32.719:32.719:21.6102.8
10Conor MartinGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 19:44.919:44.919:33.698.8
11Josh CooperParry McCluer · FRFinish 19:45.819:45.819:34.598.5
12Kary RomanoBland County · JRFinish 19:53.319:53.319:42.096.0
13Landon ShepherdNarrows · SRFinish 20:07.820:07.819:56.391.2
14Oscar MontgomeryGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · JRFinish 20:11.120:11.119:59.690.1
15Eli TomiakGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 20:13.020:13.020:01.589.5
16Grayson RichardsonEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 20:17.920:17.920:06.387.9
17Sergio RodriguezGrayson County · JRFinish 20:19.820:19.820:08.287.2
18Noah BuckwalterAuburn · SRFinish 20:26.320:26.320:14.785.1
19Nick SmithEastern Montgomery · FRFinish 20:27.420:27.420:15.784.7
20Bo AndersGrayson County · FRFinish 20:28.120:28.120:16.484.5
21Walter WhitmanGalax · SOFinish 20:32.820:32.820:21.182.9
22Easton DobbinsAuburn · FRFinish 20:34.920:34.920:23.282.2
23Carter HolmesNarrows · SOFinish 20:37.320:37.320:25.581.5
24Michael SizerGalax · FRFinish 20:44.820:44.820:33.079.0
25Caleb MitchellGalax · SOFinish 20:46.720:46.720:34.978.4
26Shawn GrahamEastern Montgomery · SRFinish 20:49.320:49.320:37.477.5
27Elijah RosenfeldGalax · FRFinish 20:52.720:52.720:40.876.4
28Bryce MillerBland County · FRFinish 21:17.821:17.821:05.768.1
29Caleb WhitmanGalax · SOFinish 21:19.621:19.621:07.467.5
30Noah PhillipsBath County · SRFinish 21:28.721:28.721:16.564.5
31George BlackGiles · SOFinish 21:29.521:29.521:17.364.2
32Alex ZuckerwarAuburn · FRFinish 21:31.821:31.821:19.563.5
33Rylan Anderson-JerniganGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SOFinish 21:40.121:40.121:27.860.7
34Colton WilliamsHighland · SRFinish 22:04.522:04.521:51.952.7
35Osman Amaya-AguilarEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 22:21.922:21.922:09.246.9
36Luke BuckwalterAuburn · JRFinish 22:48.422:48.422:35.438.2
37Caden HortonGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · FRFinish 23:11.823:11.822:58.630.4
38Owen JonesAuburn · SRFinish 23:40.923:40.923:27.420.8
39Koden WinesEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 24:00.724:00.723:47.014.3
40Patton HullHighland · FRFinish 24:11.924:11.923:58.110.6
41Evan KingGalax · SRFinish 24:28.424:28.424:14.55.2
42Elijah GoodHighland · FRFinish 24:31.024:31.024:17.04.3
43Simon HanksGalax · SRFinish 24:57.924:57.924:43.7—
44Eli MooreHighland · SOFinish 25:07.925:07.924:53.6—
45Mason MabryGeorge Wythe (Wytheville) · SRFinish 25:10.325:10.324:56.0—
46Jacub MyersBland County · JRFinish 25:12.725:12.724:58.3—
47Ethan MooreHighland · SRFinish 26:41.526:41.526:26.3—

Region 1C XC Championship, Nov 2, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.