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Nov 2, 2022 · Wise, VA

2022 Region 1D Cross Country Championships

VA-KY Fairgrounds · Historical 2022 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

2022 Region 1D Championships VA-KY Fairgrounds, Wise, VA - 11/2/2022 Boys Varsity 5K

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C

49 of 49 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −26.9 s course and conditions −4.3 s in-season fitness −22.5 sCourse constant 490.27 (490)Race constant 486.21 (486)

42 used anchors± 9.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 42 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 42, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kaleb Elswick · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  2. 2 Derek Mitchell · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Alec Deckard · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Adam Gibson · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Keyston Hartford · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  6. 6 Eli Taylor · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Carter Dillon · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  8. 8 Mason Lee · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Lucas Hubble · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Tyler Potter · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  11. 11 Ethan McClanahan · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Blake Chafin · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Emmitt Breeding · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Ethan King · Lebanon: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Jacob Bush · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12)
  16. 16 Zane Johnson · Honaker: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  17. 17 Robert Emershaw · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Caleb Holley · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Brody Coleman · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  20. 20 Caleb Ghammashi · Eastside: Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12)
  21. 22 Jacob Fields · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  22. 23 Thomas Ball · Honaker: Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  23. 24 Heath Kiser · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  24. 25 Talan Hammack · Rural Retreat: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  25. 26 Maddox Barnette · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  26. 27 Jaylon Hart · Honaker: Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  27. 28 Ben Cochrane · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  28. 29 Dalton Sturgill · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  29. 30 Pau Sabate · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  30. 31 Braylon McConnell · J.I. Burton: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  31. 32 Clifton Goode · Rye Cove: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  32. 33 Landon Casey · Honaker: Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  33. 34 Ian Tate · J.I. Burton: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  34. 35 Braydon McElyea · Rye Cove: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  35. 37 Payton King · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  36. 39 Micah Hamman · Rural Retreat: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  37. 42 Connor Walker · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  38. 43 John Sykes · Honaker: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  39. 45 Eric Ball · Honaker: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  40. 46 Aiden Dye · Honaker: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  41. 47 Jacob Carroll · J.I. Burton: Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
  42. 49 Jacob Lasley · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 49 of 49 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kaleb ElswickGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 16:46.516:46.516:55.4151.5
2Derek MitchellLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 16:46.616:46.616:55.5151.5
3Alec DeckardLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:02.517:02.517:11.5146.1
4Adam GibsonCastlewood · Grade not recordedFinish 17:15.617:15.617:24.8141.7
5Keyston HartfordGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 17:47.217:47.217:56.6131.1
6Eli TaylorLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:11.218:11.218:20.9123.0
7Carter DillonLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:11.318:11.318:21.0123.0
8Mason LeeChilhowie · Grade not recordedFinish 18:40.518:40.518:50.4113.2
9Lucas HubbleChilhowie · Grade not recordedFinish 18:57.518:57.519:07.6107.5
10Tyler PotterGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 19:05.719:05.719:15.8104.7
11Ethan McClanahanGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 19:13.719:13.719:23.9102.0
12Blake ChafinLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 19:15.719:15.719:25.9101.3
13Emmitt BreedingLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 19:21.519:21.519:31.899.4
14Ethan KingLebanon · Grade not recordedFinish 19:29.419:29.419:39.796.7
15Jacob BushCastlewood · Grade not recordedFinish 19:43.219:43.219:53.792.1
16Zane JohnsonHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 19:49.919:49.920:00.489.8
17Robert EmershawJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 19:50.419:50.420:00.989.7
18Caleb HolleyPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · Grade not recordedFinish 19:53.719:53.720:04.388.6
19Brody ColemanGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 20:04.020:04.020:14.785.1
20Caleb GhammashiEastside · Grade not recordedFinish 20:23.320:23.320:34.178.6
21Eli DayThomas Walker · Grade not recordedFinish 20:37.320:37.320:48.273.9
22Jacob FieldsGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 20:46.820:46.820:57.870.7
23Thomas BallHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 21:01.321:01.321:12.565.8
24Heath KiserCastlewood · Grade not recordedFinish 21:05.121:05.121:16.364.5
25Talan HammackRural Retreat · Grade not recordedFinish 21:17.121:17.121:28.460.5
26Maddox BarnetteCastlewood · Grade not recordedFinish 21:26.621:26.621:38.057.3
27Jaylon HartHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 21:27.821:27.821:39.256.9
28Ben CochraneJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 21:30.721:30.721:42.155.9
29Dalton SturgillJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 21:36.221:36.221:47.754.1
30Pau SabateGrundy · Grade not recordedFinish 21:38.621:38.621:50.153.3
31Braylon McConnellJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 21:46.621:46.621:58.250.6
32Clifton GoodeRye Cove · Grade not recordedFinish 21:49.521:49.522:01.149.6
33Landon CaseyHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 21:59.521:59.522:11.246.2
34Ian TateJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 22:04.222:04.222:15.944.7
35Braydon McElyeaRye Cove · Grade not recordedFinish 22:07.422:07.422:19.143.6
36Logan CharlesCouncil · Grade not recordedFinish 22:26.022:26.022:37.937.3
37Payton KingCastlewood · Grade not recordedFinish 22:30.922:30.922:42.935.7
38Jacob RayCouncil · Grade not recordedFinish 22:32.722:32.722:44.735.1
39Micah HammanRural Retreat · Grade not recordedFinish 22:37.222:37.222:49.233.6
40Isma SilvaThomas Walker · Grade not recordedFinish 22:40.222:40.222:52.232.6
41Riley HessCouncil · Grade not recordedFinish 22:58.822:58.823:11.026.3
42Connor WalkerJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 23:04.523:04.523:16.824.4
43John SykesHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 23:08.723:08.723:21.023.0
44Zachariah SinclairHolston · Grade not recordedFinish 23:08.723:08.723:21.023.0
45Eric BallHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 24:55.524:55.525:08.7—
46Aiden DyeHonaker · Grade not recordedFinish 25:12.125:12.125:25.5—
47Jacob CarrollJ.I. Burton · Grade not recordedFinish 25:31.725:31.725:45.3—
48Degan CookTwin Valley · Grade not recordedFinish 25:57.525:57.526:11.3—
49Jacob LasleyCastlewood · Grade not recordedFinish 27:05.927:05.927:20.3—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

48 of 48 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −0.7 s course and conditions +23.1 s in-season fitness −23.8 sCourse constant 503.00 (503)Race constant 499.84 (500)

37 used anchors± 10.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 37 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 37, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Jessi Looney · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  2. 2 Alexsis Porter · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Shelby Stanley · Eastside: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12)
  4. 4 Amaura Laudie · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Walkers Run (Sep 17) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Zoe Davenport · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Annabelle Fiscus · Rural Retreat: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Ella Rasnake · Council: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  8. 8 Tess Somervell · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Jozalynn Phillips · Castlewood: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  10. 11 Katie Jones · Lebanon: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  11. 12 Kaylen Fields · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  12. 13 Heileigh Vencill · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  13. 14 Annabelle Finney · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Don Cumbow Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  14. 15 Morgyn Bledsoe · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  15. 17 Alexa Goins · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  16. 21 Abby Lewis · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  17. 22 Madison Looney · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  18. 23 Riley Trogdon · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10) · and 1 more
  19. 24 Madison Adair · J.I. Burton: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  20. 25 Jade Vencill · Grundy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  21. 26 Abigail Adams · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  22. 28 Elaina Terry · Rural Retreat: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  23. 29 Willow Dunford · Lebanon: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  24. 30 Brynlee Woods · Lebanon: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  25. 32 Abby Bradley · Castlewood: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29)
  26. 33 Kiley Adair · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  27. 34 Katelyn Chapman · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  28. 35 Bella Hess · Lebanon: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  29. 36 Harley Mosley · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  30. 37 Easton Breeding · Lebanon: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  31. 38 Maggie Milhorne · Holston: Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  32. 40 Madison Sergent · J.I. Burton: Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · Becky Selfe Invitational (Sep 3)
  33. 41 Maggie Adams · J.I. Burton: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21) · and 1 more
  34. 43 Claire Lachniet · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Walkers Run (Sep 17) · and 2 more
  35. 45 Eva Herron · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Walkers Run (Sep 17)
  36. 46 Abigail Sloan · Rye Cove: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · and 1 more
  37. 48 Natalie Campbell · Honaker: Randy Smith Classic (Sep 29) · Graham Invitation (Sep 21)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 48 of 48 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Jessi LooneyGrundy · SRFinish 20:28.320:28.320:11.188.8
2Alexsis PorterGrundy · SRFinish 21:32.821:32.821:14.767.6
3Shelby StanleyEastside · FRFinish 22:33.722:33.722:14.747.5
4Amaura LaudiePatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 22:55.022:55.022:35.740.5
5Zoe DavenportPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 23:16.923:16.922:57.333.4
6Annabelle FiscusRural Retreat · JRFinish 23:31.323:31.323:11.528.6
7Ella RasnakeCouncil · FRFinish 23:34.523:34.523:14.727.6
8Tess SomervellChilhowie · JRFinish 23:50.823:50.823:30.822.2
9Jozalynn PhillipsCastlewood · FRFinish 24:10.324:10.323:50.015.8
10Jayda HiltonHurley · SOFinish 24:20.824:20.824:00.312.3
11Katie JonesLebanon · JRFinish 24:23.724:23.724:03.211.4
12Kaylen FieldsJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 24:31.824:31.824:11.28.7
13Heileigh VencillGrundy · SRFinish 25:04.525:04.524:43.4—
14Annabelle FinneyPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 25:05.225:05.224:44.1—
15Morgyn BledsoeRye Cove · SOFinish 25:08.025:08.024:46.9—
16Amelia LewisThomas Walker · FRFinish 25:23.825:23.825:02.5—
17Alexa GoinsRye Cove · SOFinish 25:36.025:36.025:14.5—
18Brandi SullivanHurley · SOFinish 25:42.125:42.125:20.5—
19Kaydence JacksonHurley · SOFinish 25:53.225:53.225:31.5—
20Tailor NolleyHonaker · JRFinish 25:56.625:56.625:34.8—
21Abby LewisRye Cove · SRFinish 25:56.725:56.725:34.9—
22Madison LooneyGrundy · JRFinish 26:01.326:01.325:39.4—
23Riley TrogdonPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 26:14.726:14.725:52.7—
24Madison AdairJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 26:17.326:17.325:55.2—
25Jade VencillGrundy · FRFinish 26:23.826:23.826:01.6—
26Abigail AdamsJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 26:52.126:52.126:29.5—
27Annina BurksHolston · SOFinish 27:08.027:08.026:45.2—
28Elaina TerryRural Retreat · SOFinish 27:43.527:43.527:20.2—
29Willow DunfordLebanon · SOFinish 27:56.027:56.027:32.5—
30Brynlee WoodsLebanon · FRFinish 28:12.528:12.527:48.8—
31Kamryn LeeThomas Walker · FRFinish 28:19.428:19.427:55.6—
32Abby BradleyCastlewood · SRFinish 28:23.428:23.427:59.5—
33Kiley AdairJ.I. Burton · FRFinish 28:28.128:28.128:04.2—
34Katelyn ChapmanRye Cove · JRFinish 28:38.528:38.528:14.4—
35Bella HessLebanon · SRFinish 28:48.228:48.228:24.0—
36Harley MosleyRye Cove · SRFinish 28:48.928:48.928:24.7—
37Easton BreedingLebanon · FRFinish 29:05.929:05.928:41.5—
38Maggie MilhorneHolston · SRFinish 29:11.129:11.128:46.6—
39Anastasia RifeHurley · JRFinish 29:22.829:22.828:58.1—
40Madison SergentJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 29:51.429:51.429:26.3—
41Maggie AdamsJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 29:59.629:59.629:34.4—
42Serenity BurksHolston · FRFinish 30:29.230:29.230:03.6—
43Claire LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SOFinish 31:43.431:43.431:16.7—
44Jewel HammondsHurley · FRFinish 31:59.931:59.931:33.0—
45Eva HerronRye Cove · JRFinish 32:08.932:08.931:41.9—
46Abigail SloanRye Cove · JRFinish 32:58.032:58.032:30.3—
47Alysia RifeHurley · FRFinish 33:09.533:09.532:41.6—
48Natalie CampbellHonaker · SRFinish 33:49.733:49.733:21.3—

2022 Region 1D Cross Country Championships, Nov 2, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.