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Nov 3, 2022 · Earlysville, VA

VHSL 5A Region D Championships

Panorama Farms · Historical 2022 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys 5000m Run

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B

101 of 101 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −2.3 s course and conditions +20.7 s in-season fitness −23.0 sCourse constant 498.12 (498)Race constant 494.38 (494)

99 used anchors± 4.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 99 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 99, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Brady Brennan · Brooke Point: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Tyler Arnold · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Justin Rau · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Zach Mitchell · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Kuyper DeBoer · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Reece Sabbatini · Independence: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  7. 7 Eli Phillips · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Aaron Jacobs · Brooke Point: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Andrew McMichael · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  10. 10 CJ Hulleman · Harrisonburg: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Charles Schilling · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Prescott Noll · Woodgrove: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Ethan Lapier · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Diego Pons · Mountain View: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Matt Ryan · Stone Bridge: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Garrett Uthlaut · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  17. 17 James Scott · Briar Woods: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15)
  18. 18 Eli Wike · Potomac Falls: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Escape The Rock Invitational (Sep 17)
  19. 19 William Donohue · Stone Bridge: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Shaun Tiller · Brooke Point: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  21. 21 Gabe Johnson · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Kaedon Howley · Harrisonburg: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Niranjan Aradhey · Harrisonburg: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  24. 24 William Dewire · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 4 more
  25. 25 Chris Green · Woodgrove: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  26. 26 James Torrible · Woodgrove: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Zach Mazeska · Woodgrove: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  28. 28 Jaden Kremer · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  29. 29 Garrett Pearl · Brooke Point: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  30. 30 Josh Martin · Briar Woods: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  31. 31 Liam Andros · Brooke Point: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Jack Brinker · Independence: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Baelin Duncan · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Colton Veraa · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Grant Phillips · Independence: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Ryan Weber · Independence: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  37. 37 Jonathan Yiarga · Riverside: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  38. 38 Matthew Palmer · Stone Bridge: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  39. 39 Matthew Rush · Harrisonburg: Valley District Championships (Oct 26) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Jacob Korn · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  41. 41 John Wheeler · Mountain View: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  42. 42 Hayes Costello · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Ian LeCain · North Stafford: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  44. 44 Brady Cook · Riverside: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  45. 45 Aaron Massey · Independence: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  46. 46 Ian Bollinger · Mountain View: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Seth Perry · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  48. 48 Garret DeBoer · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  49. 49 Robert Calvert · Stafford: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 3 more
  50. 50 Ian Watson · Woodgrove: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 24)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 101 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Brady BrennanBrooke Point · SOFinish 15:26.315:26.315:15.3184.9
2Tyler ArnoldRiverbend · SOFinish 16:01.716:01.715:50.3173.2
3Justin RauRiverbend · SOFinish 16:31.516:31.516:19.7163.4
4Zach MitchellBriar Woods · SRFinish 16:35.916:35.916:24.1161.9
5Kuyper DeBoerAlbemarle · JRFinish 16:49.116:49.116:37.1157.6
6Reece SabbatiniIndependence · SRFinish 16:59.516:59.516:47.4154.2
7Eli PhillipsAlbemarle · SOFinish 17:06.617:06.616:54.4151.8
8Aaron JacobsBrooke Point · SRFinish 17:12.617:12.617:00.3149.9
9Andrew McMichaelHarrisonburg · JRFinish 17:14.817:14.817:02.5149.1
10CJ HullemanHarrisonburg · JRFinish 17:16.617:16.617:04.3148.5
11Charles SchillingMountain View · JRFinish 17:23.617:23.617:11.2146.2
12Prescott NollWoodgrove · JRFinish 17:25.817:25.817:13.4145.5
13Ethan LapierRiverbend · SOFinish 17:26.917:26.917:14.5145.1
14Diego PonsMountain View · JRFinish 17:27.217:27.217:14.8145.1
15Matt RyanStone Bridge · SRFinish 17:36.317:36.317:23.8142.1
16Garrett UthlautAlbemarle · SRFinish 17:41.217:41.217:28.6140.4
17James ScottBriar Woods · JRFinish 17:44.917:44.917:32.3139.2
18Eli WikePotomac Falls · FRFinish 17:47.117:47.117:34.4138.5
19William DonohueStone Bridge · JRFinish 17:50.117:50.117:37.4137.5
20Shaun TillerBrooke Point · JRFinish 17:53.617:53.617:40.9136.4
21Gabe JohnsonRiverbend · JRFinish 17:53.917:53.917:41.2136.3
22Kaedon HowleyHarrisonburg · SOFinish 17:55.317:55.317:42.5135.8
23Niranjan AradheyHarrisonburg · SRFinish 17:56.917:56.917:44.1135.3
24William DewirePatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 17:59.417:59.417:46.6134.4
25Chris GreenWoodgrove · SRFinish 17:59.817:59.817:47.0134.3
26James TorribleWoodgrove · SOFinish 18:02.618:02.617:49.7133.4
27Zach MazeskaWoodgrove · SRFinish 18:03.418:03.417:50.5133.1
28Jaden KremerPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 18:05.918:05.917:53.0132.3
29Garrett PearlBrooke Point · JRFinish 18:08.318:08.317:55.4131.5
30Josh MartinBriar Woods · SRFinish 18:08.918:08.917:56.0131.3
31Liam AndrosBrooke Point · SRFinish 18:11.618:11.617:58.6130.4
32Jack BrinkerIndependence · JRFinish 18:12.518:12.517:59.5130.1
33Baelin DuncanAlbemarle · SOFinish 18:13.918:13.918:00.9129.7
34Colton VeraaAlbemarle · SRFinish 18:14.318:14.318:01.3129.5
35Grant PhillipsIndependence · SRFinish 18:14.818:14.818:01.8129.4
36Ryan WeberIndependence · SRFinish 18:15.118:15.118:02.1129.3
37Jonathan YiargaRiverside · SOFinish 18:18.318:18.318:05.3128.2
38Matthew PalmerStone Bridge · JRFinish 18:21.018:21.018:07.9127.3
39Matthew RushHarrisonburg · JRFinish 18:22.418:22.418:09.3126.9
40Jacob KornRiverbend · FRFinish 18:23.318:23.318:10.2126.6
41John WheelerMountain View · JRFinish 18:23.818:23.818:10.7126.4
42Hayes CostelloAlbemarle · SOFinish 18:25.918:25.918:12.8125.7
43Ian LeCainNorth Stafford · SOFinish 18:27.518:27.518:14.4125.2
44Brady CookRiverside · JRFinish 18:28.218:28.218:15.0125.0
45Aaron MasseyIndependence · SOFinish 18:28.418:28.418:15.2124.9
46Ian BollingerMountain View · JRFinish 18:28.818:28.818:15.6124.8
47Seth PerryPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · JRFinish 18:32.318:32.318:19.1123.6
48Garret DeBoerAlbemarle · FRFinish 18:32.418:32.418:19.2123.6
49Robert CalvertStafford · SRFinish 18:33.818:33.818:20.6123.1
50Ian WatsonWoodgrove · SRFinish 18:34.418:34.418:21.2122.9
Show all 101 results (51 more)Showing all 101 results · hide rows 51–101
Boys results, rows 51 to 101 of 101
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Tyler HamblinPotomac Falls · SOFinish 18:34.518:34.518:21.3122.9
52Sebastian GrantMountain View · SRFinish 18:34.818:34.818:21.6122.8
53Xavier MarcanoMountain View · JRFinish 18:35.518:35.518:22.3122.6
54Samuel CarloneRiverside · FRFinish 18:36.518:36.518:23.2122.2
55Haiden ChacraRiverbend · SRFinish 18:42.618:42.618:29.3120.2
56Foster MoonRiverbend · SRFinish 18:43.518:43.518:30.2119.9
57Josh GoldsteinStone Bridge · SOFinish 18:43.918:43.918:30.6119.8
58Ruyue XiaRiverside · FRFinish 18:47.218:47.218:33.8118.7
59John SimmonsBrooke Point · FRFinish 18:48.618:48.618:35.2118.2
60Sanjay RudrarajuIndependence · JRFinish 18:49.518:49.518:36.1117.9
61Ethan GovarStafford · FRFinish 18:51.318:51.318:37.9117.3
62Evan EberlyHarrisonburg · SRFinish 18:53.018:53.018:39.6116.8
63Logan RamosBrooke Point · JRFinish 18:56.518:56.518:43.0115.6
64Jordan BoothNorth Stafford · SOFinish 19:01.219:01.218:47.7114.1
65Eddie WilliamsPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SRFinish 19:02.419:02.418:48.8113.7
66Ryan TheissBriar Woods · SRFinish 19:06.019:06.018:52.4112.5
67Nathan GodseyStafford · SRFinish 19:11.319:11.318:57.6110.8
68Lucas ThompsonStone Bridge · SRFinish 19:12.719:12.718:59.0110.3
69Zack HimmelbergerPotomac Falls · FRFinish 19:14.619:14.619:00.9109.7
70Tyler JacksonPotomac Falls · JRFinish 19:15.319:15.319:01.6109.4
71Owen TompkinsHarrisonburg · SRFinish 19:17.119:17.119:03.4108.9
72Smayan NavuduBriar Woods · SOFinish 19:17.319:17.319:03.6108.8
73Isaac NicholsStafford · FRFinish 19:17.919:17.919:04.2108.6
74Westin MitchellBriar Woods · SOFinish 19:18.919:18.919:05.1108.3
75Roger MarkhamWilliam Fleming · SRFinish 19:20.619:20.619:06.8107.7
76Thomas MarcusenRiverside · SOFinish 19:23.719:23.719:09.9106.7
77James ToddRiverside · SOFinish 19:24.219:24.219:10.4106.5
78Alex RexroatNorth Stafford · JRFinish 19:24.319:24.319:10.5106.5
79Jonas CarsjensNorth Stafford · JRFinish 19:24.619:24.619:10.8106.4
80Aidan RoutsonIndependence · SOFinish 19:34.419:34.419:20.5103.2
81Liam RooneyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 19:40.719:40.719:26.7101.1
82Owen ChandlerWoodgrove · SOFinish 19:48.019:48.019:33.998.7
83Owen ZinnStafford · SRFinish 20:01.320:01.319:47.094.3
84Alexander BeamonStafford · SOFinish 20:04.220:04.219:49.993.3
85Nicholas TaylorNorth Stafford · SRFinish 20:04.320:04.319:50.093.3
86Diego PolaciosMassaponax · SOFinish 20:14.620:14.620:00.289.9
87Connor FinneganPotomac Falls · SOFinish 20:16.420:16.420:02.089.3
88Chad LuckBriar Woods · FRFinish 20:18.220:18.220:03.788.7
89William PabstNorth Stafford · SRFinish 20:18.320:18.320:03.888.7
90Matthew FonsecaNorth Stafford · SRFinish 20:28.420:28.420:13.885.4
91Max SalvaneraMountain View · FRFinish 20:35.020:35.020:20.383.2
92Markus LugoRiverside · JRFinish 20:37.420:37.420:22.782.4
93Jarrett Bjurman-BirrPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 20:42.720:42.720:27.980.7
94Landen BarthPotomac Falls · JRFinish 21:13.621:13.620:58.570.5
95Gavin JacksonPotomac Falls · FRFinish 21:13.621:13.620:58.570.5
96Braden ElchenkoStafford · FRFinish 21:43.321:43.321:27.860.7
97Nathaniel SonakWoodgrove · SRFinish 22:23.622:23.622:07.747.4
98Knoah HarperMassaponax · JRFinish 23:06.623:06.622:50.133.3
99Chance GillespieMassaponax · SOFinish 23:10.923:10.922:54.431.8
100Alex AthanasawMassaponax · SRFinish 24:33.624:33.624:16.14.6
101Ryan KemmeyMassaponax · JRFinish 25:45.225:45.225:26.9—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000m Run

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B

100 of 100 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +7.6 s course and conditions +31.6 s in-season fitness −24.0 sCourse constant 504.74 (505)Race constant 501.94 (502)

95 used anchors± 4.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 95 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 95, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Layna Capritta · Woodgrove: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Madelyn Gypson · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Madelyn Anderson · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Brenna Elchenko · Stafford: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Makenzie Milburn · Woodgrove: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Sarah Floyd · Riverside: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Ella Dover · Stafford: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Jillian Wallner · Stone Bridge: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Madeline Binkley · Independence: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Annie Poirot · Harrisonburg: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Mia Simpson · Potomac Falls: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Escape The Rock Invitational (Sep 17)
  12. 12 Hanna Guyton · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Shae Reynolds · Brooke Point: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Sylvie Fracis · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Sofia Visioni · Riverbend: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Eva Weaver · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Helena Griffith · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Elizabeth Kitchens · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Emma Clark · Brooke Point: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Iman Et-Tarhbalouti · North Stafford: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Madison Carlisle · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Lena Blagg · Harrisonburg: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Jenna Coleman · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Jenna White · Briar Woods: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  25. 25 Aylin Yirmibesoglu · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 5 more
  26. 26 Niav Murphy · Patrick Henry (Roanoke): Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  27. 27 Tessa Vabnick · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Molly Magoon · Independence: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Avery Brandt · Albemarle: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Jefferson District Championship (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  30. 30 Nina Lloyd · North Stafford: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Haley Walsh · North Stafford: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 4 more
  32. 32 Olivia Priddy · Massaponax: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  33. 33 Olivia Morra · Riverbend: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Maren Rufo · Riverside: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15)
  35. 35 Abby Gibson · Harrisonburg: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  36. 36 Elis Greenfield · Briar Woods: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  37. 37 Thea Motes · Independence: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  38. 38 Susan Peterson · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  39. 39 Riona McDonough · Potomac Falls: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Alexis Barber · Riverbend: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  41. 41 Shayna Elbaum · Independence: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  42. 42 Lindsay Reardon · Potomac Falls: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  43. 43 Bri Marraccini · Woodgrove: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  44. 44 Emily Tran · Woodgrove: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  45. 45 Tamiraa Enkhbayar · Brooke Point: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Mckayla Reyer · Riverbend: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  47. 47 Emily Crichton · Stone Bridge: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  48. 48 Emily Krebs · Brooke Point: Commonwealth District Championship Meet (Oct 27) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Natalie Wike · Potomac Falls: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  50. 50 Elise Collette · Mountain View: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 100 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Layna CaprittaWoodgrove · SRFinish 18:58.118:58.118:34.5121.0
2Madelyn GypsonAlbemarle · JRFinish 19:12.719:12.718:48.7116.2
3Madelyn AndersonMountain View · JRFinish 19:25.919:25.919:01.7111.9
4Brenna ElchenkoStafford · SRFinish 19:44.419:44.419:19.8105.9
5Makenzie MilburnWoodgrove · JRFinish 19:56.319:56.319:31.4102.0
6Sarah FloydRiverside · SRFinish 19:59.319:59.319:34.4101.0
7Ella DoverStafford · SRFinish 20:06.620:06.619:41.598.6
8Jillian WallnerStone Bridge · JRFinish 20:07.520:07.519:42.498.3
9Madeline BinkleyIndependence · JRFinish 20:11.320:11.319:46.197.1
10Annie PoirotHarrisonburg · JRFinish 20:15.120:15.119:49.995.8
11Mia SimpsonPotomac Falls · SOFinish 20:16.620:16.619:51.395.4
12Hanna GuytonAlbemarle · SRFinish 20:30.720:30.720:05.190.8
13Shae ReynoldsBrooke Point · JRFinish 20:32.720:32.720:07.190.1
14Sylvie FracisAlbemarle · SOFinish 20:40.220:40.220:14.487.7
15Sofia VisioniRiverbend · SOFinish 20:48.920:48.920:22.984.8
16Eva WeaverAlbemarle · JRFinish 20:50.120:50.120:24.184.4
17Helena GriffithMountain View · SRFinish 20:53.020:53.020:27.083.5
18Elizabeth KitchensMountain View · FRFinish 20:56.320:56.320:30.282.4
19Emma ClarkBrooke Point · JRFinish 20:59.820:59.820:33.681.3
20Iman Et-TarhbaloutiNorth Stafford · FRFinish 21:08.621:08.620:42.278.4
21Madison CarlisleMountain View · SRFinish 21:10.821:10.820:44.477.7
22Lena BlaggHarrisonburg · JRFinish 21:24.021:24.020:57.373.4
23Jenna ColemanAlbemarle · SRFinish 21:28.321:28.321:01.572.0
24Jenna WhiteBriar Woods · FRFinish 21:30.221:30.221:03.471.3
25Aylin YirmibesogluPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SRFinish 21:32.521:32.521:05.670.6
26Niav MurphyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 21:32.921:32.921:06.070.5
27Tessa VabnickMountain View · FRFinish 21:41.221:41.221:14.267.7
28Molly MagoonIndependence · FRFinish 21:47.521:47.521:20.365.7
29Avery BrandtAlbemarle · FRFinish 21:53.921:53.921:26.663.6
30Nina LloydNorth Stafford · SOFinish 21:54.921:54.921:27.663.3
31Haley WalshNorth Stafford · FRFinish 22:04.022:04.021:36.560.3
32Olivia PriddyMassaponax · SOFinish 22:04.322:04.321:36.860.2
33Olivia MorraRiverbend · SOFinish 22:04.522:04.521:37.060.1
34Maren RufoRiverside · JRFinish 22:05.222:05.221:37.759.9
35Abby GibsonHarrisonburg · FRFinish 22:10.422:10.421:42.858.2
36Elis GreenfieldBriar Woods · FRFinish 22:13.322:13.321:45.657.3
37Thea MotesIndependence · FRFinish 22:13.522:13.521:45.857.2
38Susan PetersonMountain View · FRFinish 22:13.622:13.621:45.957.2
39Riona McDonoughPotomac Falls · FRFinish 22:18.422:18.421:50.655.6
40Alexis BarberRiverbend · FRFinish 22:20.522:20.521:52.654.9
41Shayna ElbaumIndependence · SRFinish 22:21.822:21.821:53.954.5
42Lindsay ReardonPotomac Falls · JRFinish 22:23.322:23.321:55.454.0
43Bri MarracciniWoodgrove · SOFinish 22:24.022:24.021:56.153.8
44Emily TranWoodgrove · JRFinish 22:24.022:24.021:56.153.8
45Tamiraa EnkhbayarBrooke Point · SRFinish 22:30.022:30.022:01.951.8
46Mckayla ReyerRiverbend · SRFinish 22:32.622:32.622:04.551.0
47Emily CrichtonStone Bridge · JRFinish 22:40.422:40.422:12.148.4
48Emily KrebsBrooke Point · JRFinish 22:43.522:43.522:15.247.4
49Natalie WikePotomac Falls · SRFinish 22:47.722:47.722:19.346.0
50Elise ColletteMountain View · JRFinish 22:48.422:48.422:20.045.8
Show all 100 results (50 more)Showing all 100 results · hide rows 51–100
Girls results, rows 51 to 100 of 100
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Adriana MirandaWoodgrove · SOFinish 22:49.022:49.022:20.645.6
52Makenzie ZimmermanBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 23:04.523:04.522:35.740.6
53Elizabeth JacksonAlbemarle · SRFinish 23:10.223:10.222:41.338.7
54AshliLynn MitchellBriar Woods · SRFinish 23:11.623:11.622:42.738.2
55Mailynn NguyenStafford · JRFinish 23:13.623:13.622:44.637.6
56Sophia LeeRiverbend · SOFinish 23:17.223:17.222:48.236.4
57Brynn HunterPotomac Falls · SOFinish 23:21.423:21.422:52.335.0
58Mayukha NerayanuruIndependence · JRFinish 23:21.923:21.922:52.834.9
59Didi DasilvaRiverside · SRFinish 23:23.623:23.622:54.434.3
60Emily BurnetteStafford · JRFinish 23:23.823:23.822:54.634.3
61Chrysanthi EuripidesMassaponax · SOFinish 23:24.223:24.222:55.034.1
62Eliza BrabyPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · FRFinish 23:26.123:26.122:56.933.5
63Ariya ShahWoodgrove · SOFinish 23:30.623:30.623:01.332.0
64Carrie RoyBrooke Point · FRFinish 23:31.523:31.523:02.231.7
65Morgan JonesBriar Woods · FRFinish 23:33.223:33.223:03.831.2
66Julia PesnellRiverbend · SOFinish 23:39.323:39.323:09.829.2
67Madelyn EllisMassaponax · JRFinish 23:47.023:47.023:17.326.7
68Carlyn CarterIndependence · FRFinish 23:53.323:53.323:23.524.6
69Sakina ZaveryBriar Woods · FRFinish 23:53.623:53.623:23.824.5
70Ty Brino-DeanHarrisonburg · SRFinish 23:56.623:56.623:26.723.5
71Emily WhiteStafford · FRFinish 23:57.423:57.423:27.523.3
72Sarah PappalardoPotomac Falls · SRFinish 23:57.623:57.623:27.723.2
73Sharvi ChelimillaBriar Woods · SOFinish 23:58.323:58.323:28.423.0
74Ella WilliamsonRiverside · SOFinish 24:03.424:03.423:33.421.3
75Sarah DonahueRiverside · SOFinish 24:03.424:03.423:33.421.3
76Magan WauerWoodgrove · SRFinish 24:03.624:03.623:33.621.3
77Bridget BryneStone Bridge · FRFinish 24:05.524:05.523:35.520.6
78Zoe DeWittStone Bridge · JRFinish 24:07.024:07.023:36.920.2
79Ava WebsterRiverside · SOFinish 24:40.424:40.424:09.69.3
80Angelica Franco BritoPotomac Falls · SRFinish 24:43.424:43.424:12.68.3
81Veronica NibitangaPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SOFinish 24:47.724:47.724:16.86.9
82Olivia EberlyHarrisonburg · JRFinish 25:08.625:08.624:37.30.0
83Alaina KimMassaponax · SOFinish 25:18.925:18.924:47.3—
84Amalie Spencer-HammBrooke Point · SRFinish 25:24.525:24.524:52.8—
85Anahi Muniz-HernandezWilliam Fleming · SOFinish 25:33.125:33.125:01.2—
86Abby KauffmanHarrisonburg · SRFinish 25:33.325:33.325:01.4—
87Allie GuzulaitisRiverside · FRFinish 25:39.725:39.725:07.7—
88Nicole SchmidtMassaponax · JRFinish 25:44.725:44.725:12.6—
89Caitlyn SpencerNorth Stafford · SOFinish 25:49.325:49.325:17.1—
90Maile MarquezBrooke Point · SOFinish 25:53.325:53.325:21.0—
91Oumi DiengStafford · FRFinish 25:54.025:54.025:21.7—
92Sophie KauffmanHarrisonburg · FRFinish 25:57.025:57.025:24.6—
93Elisabeth DubykNorth Stafford · JRFinish 26:00.526:00.525:28.1—
94Lydia GoadPatrick Henry (Roanoke) · Grade not recordedFinish 26:05.726:05.725:33.2—
95Eleanor LittlePatrick Henry (Roanoke) · SRFinish 26:10.126:10.125:37.5—
96Ava TreakleRiverbend · SRFinish 26:38.526:38.526:05.3—
97Elizabeth RexerStone Bridge · SOFinish 26:40.926:40.926:07.6—
98Megan GibbonsStafford · SRFinish 27:11.227:11.226:37.3—
99Ayla ShapiroStone Bridge · JRFinish 27:52.127:52.127:17.4—
100Tugce YaylaciNorth Stafford · JRFinish 30:08.030:08.029:30.4—

VHSL 5A Region D Championships, Nov 3, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.