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Sep 2, 2023 · Glade Spring, VA

Becky Selfe Invitational

Patrick Henry (G. Spring) Track · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 163.2), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

74 of 74 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +43.5 s course and conditions −8.9 s in-season fitness +52.4 sCourse constant 490.30 (490)Race constant 504.03 (504)

69 used anchors± 10.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 69 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 69, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Elaina Bakker · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Maggie Bellamy · David Crockett: RunningLane Cross Country Championships (Dec 2) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  3. 3 Ava Nutter · Science Hill: Hagan Stone XC Classic (Oct 7)
  4. 4 Hannah McLain · David Crockett: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  5. 5 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  6. 6 Lorraine Hunter · Science Hill: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Hagan Stone XC Classic (Oct 7)
  7. 7 Isabella Candee · Science Hill: Hagan Stone XC Classic (Oct 7)
  8. 8 Kiley Moore · David Crockett: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  9. 9 Valeria Camacho Mayo · David Crockett: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  10. 11 Sunny Eorgan · Science Hill: Hagan Stone XC Classic (Oct 7)
  11. 12 Caroline Hale · Science Hill: Hagan Stone XC Classic (Oct 7)
  12. 13 Tess Somervell · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  13. 15 Aleah Dorn · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  14. 16 Riley Chapman · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  15. 17 Ruby Hoerter · Marion Sr: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  16. 18 Cami Smith · David Crockett: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  17. 19 Jocelyn Parks · Bland County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  18. 20 Josephine Thiessen · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  19. 21 Shaylen Cannon · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  20. 22 Kendall Jarvis · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  21. 23 Kirsten Woodard · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  22. 24 Kylea Davis · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Hogoheegee District Championships (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  23. 25 Maggie Mizelle · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  24. 26 Carley Brown · West Ridge: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  25. 27 Tori Kariuki · Virginia Bearcats: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  26. 29 Fatoumata Maiga · David Crockett: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  27. 30 Amaura Laudie · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  28. 31 Courtney Good · West Ridge: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  29. 32 Ashley Jackson · The Learning Center: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 20) · and 2 more
  30. 33 Kaylen Fields · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  31. 34 Ivy Newlon · David Crockett: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  32. 35 Lennon Harrison · John Battle: VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · Tazewell Cross Country Invitational (Oct 12) · and 3 more
  33. 36 Mikah Woliver · Lee: Mountain 7 District Championships (Oct 25) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  34. 37 Kari Streit · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  35. 38 Annabelle Finney · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  36. 39 Chloe Snapp · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  37. 40 Claire Lachniet · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  38. 41 Reagan Stubbs · West Ridge: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  39. 42 Molly Jones · Graham: VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · Southwest District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  40. 43 Elyanna Stewart · Abingdon: Walkers Run (Sep 16) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  41. 44 Harris Peek · Abingdon: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  42. 45 Madison Adair · J.I. Burton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  43. 46 Macy Odum · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  44. 47 Olivia Crigger · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Hogoheegee District Championships (Oct 25) · and 4 more
  45. 48 Olivia Bailey · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Hogoheegee District Championships (Oct 25) · and 4 more
  46. 49 May Lachniet · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  47. 50 Kendyl Gross · Chilhowie: Hogoheegee District Championships (Oct 25) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  48. 51 Sandi Jones · John Battle: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region D Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  49. 52 EmmaLou Wilson · West Ridge: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  50. 53 Abby Coomer · West Ridge: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 74 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Elaina BakkerAbingdon · JRFinish 19:38.819:38.819:16.3108.7
2Maggie BellamyDavid Crockett · JRFinish 19:49.519:49.519:26.8105.2
3Ava NutterScience Hill · FRFinish 20:20.220:20.219:56.995.2
4Hannah McLainDavid Crockett · SRFinish 21:04.221:04.220:40.180.8
5Abigail RhudyTazewell · JRFinish 21:13.721:13.720:49.477.7
6Lorraine HunterScience Hill · FRFinish 21:39.121:39.121:14.369.4
7Isabella CandeeScience Hill · FRFinish 21:39.421:39.421:14.669.3
8Kiley MooreDavid Crockett · SOFinish 21:45.721:45.721:20.867.2
9Valeria Camacho MayoDavid Crockett · SOFinish 21:54.721:54.721:29.664.3
10Allie O'NealScience Hill · FRFinish 22:08.422:08.421:43.159.8
11Sunny EorganScience Hill · JRFinish 22:11.022:11.021:45.659.0
12Caroline HaleScience Hill · FRFinish 22:21.322:21.321:55.755.6
13Tess SomervellChilhowie · SRFinish 22:39.622:39.622:13.749.6
14Alana IglesiasScience Hill · JRFinish 22:42.022:42.022:16.048.8
15Aleah DornAbingdon · JRFinish 22:43.222:43.222:17.248.4
16Riley ChapmanAbingdon · SOFinish 22:44.422:44.422:18.448.0
17Ruby HoerterMarion Sr · JRFinish 23:01.023:01.022:34.742.6
18Cami SmithDavid Crockett · SRFinish 23:03.123:03.122:36.741.9
19Jocelyn ParksBland County · FRFinish 23:07.023:07.022:40.640.6
20Josephine ThiessenAbingdon · SOFinish 23:51.523:51.523:24.226.1
21Shaylen CannonVirginia Bearcats · SRFinish 23:53.523:53.523:26.225.4
22Kendall JarvisJohn Battle · SRFinish 23:55.123:55.123:27.724.9
23Kirsten WoodardPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 24:14.424:14.423:46.718.6
24Kylea DavisRural Retreat · SOFinish 24:21.524:21.523:53.616.3
25Maggie MizelleJohn Battle · FRFinish 24:22.224:22.223:54.316.1
26Carley BrownWest Ridge · SOFinish 24:35.624:35.624:07.511.7
27Tori KariukiVirginia Bearcats · JRFinish 24:37.924:37.924:09.710.9
28Norah JenkinsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 24:41.724:41.724:13.49.7
29Fatoumata MaigaDavid Crockett · SRFinish 24:51.424:51.424:23.06.5
30Amaura LaudiePatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 24:53.724:53.724:25.25.8
31Courtney GoodWest Ridge · JRFinish 24:58.424:58.424:29.84.2
32Ashley JacksonThe Learning Center · SRFinish 25:16.525:16.524:47.6—
33Kaylen FieldsJ.I. Burton · SRFinish 25:17.825:17.824:48.9—
34Ivy NewlonDavid Crockett · FRFinish 25:31.125:31.125:01.9—
35Lennon HarrisonJohn Battle · SOFinish 25:39.725:39.725:10.3—
36Mikah WoliverLee · JRFinish 25:41.225:41.225:11.8—
37Kari StreitJohn Battle · SOFinish 25:51.625:51.625:22.0—
38Annabelle FinneyPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SOFinish 25:53.225:53.225:23.6—
39Chloe SnappPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 26:02.526:02.525:32.7—
40Claire LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 26:02.826:02.825:33.0—
41Reagan StubbsWest Ridge · Grade not recordedFinish 26:06.526:06.525:36.6—
42Molly JonesGraham · JRFinish 26:10.326:10.325:40.4—
43Elyanna StewartAbingdon · SOFinish 26:15.026:15.025:45.0—
44Harris PeekAbingdon · FRFinish 26:20.226:20.225:50.1—
45Madison AdairJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 26:20.626:20.625:50.5—
46Macy OdumJohn Battle · JRFinish 26:24.726:24.725:54.5—
47Olivia CriggerRural Retreat · SRFinish 26:29.326:29.325:59.0—
48Olivia BaileyRural Retreat · SRFinish 27:12.527:12.526:41.4—
49May LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 27:25.427:25.426:54.0—
50Kendyl GrossChilhowie · SOFinish 27:30.827:30.826:59.3—
Show all 74 results (24 more)Showing all 74 results · hide rows 51–74
Girls results, rows 51 to 74 of 74
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Sandi JonesJohn Battle · SRFinish 27:33.227:33.227:01.7—
52EmmaLou WilsonWest Ridge · FRFinish 27:34.527:34.527:03.0—
53Abby CoomerWest Ridge · FRFinish 28:22.528:22.527:50.0—
54Mandi ReginVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 28:40.828:40.828:08.0—
55Leah HarveyJ.I. Burton · FRFinish 28:44.928:44.928:12.0—
56Madison SergentJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 28:49.028:49.028:16.0—
57Alexa BlevinsMarion Sr · JRFinish 29:18.129:18.128:44.6—
58Elaina TerryRural Retreat · JRFinish 29:20.329:20.328:46.7—
59Shaley McClainVirginia Bearcats · FRFinish 29:37.329:37.329:03.4—
60Lydia BrewerRural Retreat · JRFinish 30:08.530:08.529:34.0—
61Ava NothnagelWest Ridge · SOFinish 30:43.530:43.530:08.3—
62Anya MullinsJ.I. Burton · FRFinish 31:04.931:04.930:29.3—
63Sabrina ComptonThe Learning Center · SOFinish 31:52.831:52.831:16.3—
64Mia FranklinLee · JRFinish 32:03.032:03.031:26.3—
65Shaylee PhillipsNorthwood · SOFinish 32:28.532:28.531:51.3—
66Hannah BrooksGraham · SRFinish 33:11.433:11.432:33.4—
67Madison GwinnChilhowie · SOFinish 34:04.334:04.333:25.3—
68Lila WilliamsGraham · FRFinish 34:18.034:18.033:38.8—
69Kiley AdairJ.I. Burton · SOFinish 34:25.334:25.333:45.9—
70Emily HashMarion Sr · JRFinish 35:47.235:47.235:06.3—
71Maggie AdamsJ.I. Burton · JRFinish 37:31.137:31.136:48.2—
72La'Mya BennettVirginia Bearcats · SOFinish 37:59.737:59.737:16.2—
73Kayslyn HartLee · SOFinish 39:06.339:06.338:21.6—
74Eden HancockChilhowie · SOFinish 39:24.239:24.238:39.1—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

Junior Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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D

16 of 16 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +50.6 s course and conditions −2.1 s in-season fitness +52.7 sCourse constant 493.13 (493)Race constant 508.63 (509)

Unavailable used anchors± 22.2 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 16 of 16 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Meghan MorseScience Hill · SOFinish 21:22.021:22.020:50.477.3
2Antu BahulekarScience Hill · FRFinish 22:37.522:37.522:04.152.8
3Natalie HayesScience Hill · SOFinish 22:38.322:38.322:04.952.5
4Dylan HicksTazewell · 8Finish 26:06.526:06.525:27.9—
5Kallie Ann LaddDavid Crockett · SOFinish 26:14.526:14.525:35.7—
6Nikoletta StathoudakisDavid Crockett · JRFinish 26:14.726:14.725:35.9—
7Reagan SmithAbingdon · FRFinish 27:10.427:10.426:30.3—
8Alexis PerkinsTazewell · 8Finish 29:12.029:12.028:28.9—
9Tiffany ReinhardtDavid Crockett · JRFinish 29:33.529:33.528:49.8—
10Callie FeltyJohn Battle · JRFinish 30:38.630:38.629:53.3—
11Ayden TurnerJohn Battle · FRFinish 31:07.931:07.930:21.9—
12Abby CrabtreeDavid Crockett · SOFinish 31:12.231:12.230:26.1—
13Ellie WallTazewell · 8Finish 33:01.233:01.232:12.4—
14Chelsea JenningsDavid Crockett · JRFinish 33:41.033:41.032:51.2—
15Katana CoulombeJohn Battle · SOFinish 34:23.634:23.633:32.8—
16Skyler HarperAbingdon · SOFinish 43:07.943:07.942:04.2—

Becky Selfe Invitational, Sep 2, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.