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Oct 25, 2023 · Bristol, VA

hogoheegee district championships 2023

Sugar Hollow Park 3 Mile Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Boys Three Mile Run

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C

24 of 24 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −7.3 s course and conditions +14.1 s in-season fitness −21.4 sCourse constant 495.67 (496)Race constant 493.52 (494)

24 used anchors± 10.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 24 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 24, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Mason Lee · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  2. 2 Lucas Hubble · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Braydon McCracken · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · and 3 more
  4. 4 JT Moore · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  5. 5 Eric Ball · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Talan Hammack · Rural Retreat: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Jake Cook · Northwood: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Colten Evans-Swanner · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Aiden Dye · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Jackson Little · Holston: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Bryson Kelly · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Jaylon Hart · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Jacob Howard · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  14. 14 John Sykes · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Landon Casey · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Tyler Boyd · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Jarrett Tuggle · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · Walkers Run (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Micah Hamman · Rural Retreat: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Jayden Winbourne · Rural Retreat: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Nate Thomas · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  21. 21 Owen Chatterton · Rural Retreat: Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · Walkers Run (Sep 16) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Landen Johnson · Holston: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 20)
  23. 23 Matthew Stanley · Holston: Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · UVA Wise High School Invitational (Sep 20)
  24. 24 Edgar Bal · Chilhowie: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 24 of 24 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Mason LeeChilhowie · SRFinish 18:36.518:36.518:27.9120.6
2Lucas HubbleChilhowie · JRFinish 19:04.719:04.718:55.8111.3
3Braydon McCrackenPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 19:11.019:11.019:02.2109.2
4JT MooreChilhowie · JRFinish 19:38.719:38.719:29.6100.1
5Eric BallHonaker · SOFinish 20:02.820:02.819:53.592.1
6Talan HammackRural Retreat · JRFinish 20:57.820:57.820:48.173.9
7Jake CookNorthwood · FRFinish 21:26.121:26.121:16.164.6
8Colten Evans-SwannerPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 21:27.121:27.121:17.264.2
9Aiden DyeHonaker · SOFinish 21:35.321:35.321:25.361.5
10Jackson LittleHolston · SOFinish 21:37.221:37.221:27.260.9
11Bryson KellyChilhowie · SOFinish 22:37.922:37.922:27.440.8
12Jaylon HartHonaker · SRFinish 23:07.923:07.922:57.230.9
13Jacob HowardRural Retreat · SRFinish 23:22.723:22.723:11.926.0
14John SykesHonaker · SOFinish 23:29.623:29.623:18.723.7
15Landon CaseyHonaker · JRFinish 23:38.323:38.323:27.420.8
16Tyler BoydHonaker · FRFinish 24:16.424:16.424:05.28.2
17Jarrett TugglePatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 24:23.124:23.124:11.86.0
18Micah HammanRural Retreat · SRFinish 25:28.825:28.825:17.0—
19Jayden WinbourneRural Retreat · FRFinish 25:48.325:48.325:36.4—
20Nate ThomasChilhowie · JRFinish 26:17.626:17.626:05.5—
21Owen ChattertonRural Retreat · SRFinish 26:44.526:44.526:32.1—
22Landen JohnsonHolston · SOFinish 28:17.028:17.028:03.9—
23Matthew StanleyHolston · SRFinish 29:59.429:59.429:45.5—
24Edgar BalChilhowie · JRFinish 44:35.244:35.244:14.6—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Girls Three Mile Run

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C

19 of 19 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +6.8 s course and conditions +30.0 s in-season fitness −23.2 sCourse constant 507.09 (507)Race constant 504.82 (505)

19 used anchors± 10.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 19 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 19, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Tess Somervell · Chilhowie: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  2. 2 Kirsten Woodard · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Amaura Laudie · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Chloe Snapp · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Kylea Davis · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Maroon Tide Invitational (Sep 20) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Tori Blackwell · Chilhowie: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Annabelle Finney · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Kendyl Gross · Chilhowie: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Annabelle Fiscus · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Olivia Crigger · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  11. 11 May Lachniet · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Kedryn Hess · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Kiley Musick · Honaker: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Shaylee Phillips · Northwood: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Olivia Bailey · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  16. 16 Claire Lachniet · Patrick Henry (G. Spring): VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Lydia Brewer · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Elaina Terry · Rural Retreat: Region 1D Championship (Nov 1) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Madison Gwinn · Chilhowie: Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · Randy Smith Classic (Oct 5) · and 4 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 19 of 19 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Tess SomervellChilhowie · SRFinish 21:57.621:57.621:31.063.8
2Kirsten WoodardPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 23:18.323:18.322:50.237.4
3Amaura LaudiePatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SRFinish 23:33.123:33.123:04.632.6
4Chloe SnappPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 25:00.825:00.824:30.54.0
5Kylea DavisRural Retreat · SOFinish 25:06.425:06.424:36.02.2
6Tori BlackwellChilhowie · SOFinish 25:17.225:17.224:46.6—
7Annabelle FinneyPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · SOFinish 25:33.125:33.125:02.2—
8Kendyl GrossChilhowie · SOFinish 25:54.725:54.725:23.4—
9Annabelle FiscusRural Retreat · SRFinish 26:04.426:04.425:32.9—
10Olivia CriggerRural Retreat · SRFinish 26:27.626:27.625:55.6—
11May LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · FRFinish 26:39.526:39.526:07.2—
12Kedryn HessHonaker · SRFinish 27:29.427:29.426:56.2—
13Kiley MusickHonaker · JRFinish 27:44.527:44.527:10.9—
14Shaylee PhillipsNorthwood · SOFinish 27:57.927:57.927:24.1—
15Olivia BaileyRural Retreat · SRFinish 28:29.528:29.527:55.0—
16Claire LachnietPatrick Henry (G. Spring) · JRFinish 29:09.129:09.128:33.9—
17Lydia BrewerRural Retreat · JRFinish 30:29.530:29.529:52.7—
18Elaina TerryRural Retreat · JRFinish 30:31.230:31.229:54.3—
19Madison GwinnChilhowie · SOFinish 35:11.735:11.734:29.2—

hogoheegee district championships 2023, Oct 25, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.