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Sep 16, 2023 · Roanoke, VA

CLASH WITH THE TITANS

Hidden Valley HS XC Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 161.2), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

CLASH WITH THE TITANS - 9/16/2023 Hidden Valley HS XC Course, Roanoke, VA Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

82 of 82 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +42.3 s course and conditions +14.2 s in-season fitness +28.0 sCourse constant 500.15 (500)Race constant 508.44 (508)

82 used anchors± 5.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 82 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 82, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kerrigan Chaney · North Cross School: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · and 7 more
  2. 2 Sadie Martin · Patrick County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  3. 3 Deena Ludtke · Rockbridge County: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 6 more
  4. 4 Kasey Rosenbaum · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Aija McHone · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Mickie O'Herron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  7. 7 Ainsley Myles · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 6 more
  8. 8 Valeria Castillo · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  9. 9 Alyson Funk · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Olivia Wilbon · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 6 more
  11. 11 Aubrey Aaron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Anna Nye · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  13. 13 Jasliene Flanders · Southwest Virginia Academy: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Dorothy Lewis · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Everly Shanks · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  16. 16 Reagan Bryant · Radford: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Brooke Eichelberger · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 5 more
  18. 18 Joanna Killeen · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 6 more
  19. 19 Anna Hall · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  20. 20 Victoria Cothran · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Riley Waldron · Staunton River: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 4 more
  22. 22 Lauren Murray · Hidden Valley: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 6 more
  23. 23 Eva Coniglione · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Lily Hyatt · Radford: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Mackenzie Williams · Patrick County: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  26. 26 Sophia Bradley · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  27. 27 Leila Ramey · Hidden Valley: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 6 more
  28. 28 Isla Wasson · Heritage (Lynchburg): Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  29. 29 Lacy Davis · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 1C Cross Country Championship (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  30. 30 Amelia Dietrich · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  31. 31 Fiona Ramey · Hidden Valley: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 6 more
  32. 32 Ella Johnston · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Addison Purser · Lord Botetourt: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 24) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  34. 34 Bailey Thomas · Southwest Virginia Academy: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7)
  35. 35 Grace Kinzie · Hidden Valley: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 6 more
  36. 36 Ellianna Montgomery · Patrick County: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  37. 37 Abigail Castleberry · Radford: VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  38. 38 Emma Grisso · Staunton River: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  39. 39 Ruby Goodhart · Rockbridge County: 5th Annual Town Park Invitational (Oct 4) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23)
  40. 40 Emma Pope · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  41. 41 Molly Murdock · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  42. 42 Rachael Bingham · Heritage (Lynchburg): Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Melissa Bingham · Heritage (Lynchburg): Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 23) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  44. 44 Annie George · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 1) · and 7 more
  45. 45 Madeleine Gantzhorn · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  46. 46 Addison Becker · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  47. 47 Pikea Reynolds-Saint · Hidden Valley: Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 21) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  48. 48 Salina Little · Altavista: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Alexa Carillo · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 1) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 24) · and 3 more
  50. 50 Kate Holston · Rockbridge County: Region 3C Championship (Nov 1) · Valley District Championships (Oct 25) · and 4 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 82 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kerrigan ChaneyNorth Cross School · JRFinish 19:28.619:28.618:55.9115.5
2Sadie MartinPatrick County · JRFinish 20:31.920:31.919:57.495.0
3Deena LudtkeRockbridge County · SRFinish 20:49.620:49.620:14.689.3
4Kasey RosenbaumAuburn · SRFinish 21:42.921:42.921:06.572.0
5Aija McHoneEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 22:00.522:00.521:23.666.3
6Mickie O'HerronRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 22:01.822:01.821:24.965.9
7Ainsley MylesNorth Cross School · FRFinish 22:13.322:13.321:36.162.1
8Valeria CastilloGlenvar · JRFinish 22:20.422:20.421:42.959.9
9Alyson FunkAuburn · FRFinish 22:22.022:22.021:44.559.3
10Olivia WilbonEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 22:39.322:39.322:01.353.7
11Aubrey AaronRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 22:47.522:47.522:09.351.1
12Anna NyeRockbridge County · FRFinish 22:55.022:55.022:16.648.6
13Jasliene FlandersSouthwest Virginia Academy · SOFinish 22:55.922:55.922:17.548.3
14Dorothy LewisRockbridge County · SOFinish 22:57.722:57.722:19.247.8
15Everly ShanksGlenvar · SOFinish 22:58.822:58.822:20.247.4
16Reagan BryantRadford · JRFinish 23:09.723:09.722:30.943.9
17Brooke EichelbergerRockbridge County · JRFinish 23:56.323:56.323:16.228.8
18Joanna KilleenGlenvar · SRFinish 24:06.724:06.723:26.325.4
19Anna HallGlenvar · SOFinish 24:13.824:13.823:33.223.1
20Victoria CothranAltavista · JRFinish 24:18.324:18.323:37.621.6
21Riley WaldronStaunton River · JRFinish 24:24.324:24.323:43.419.7
22Lauren MurrayHidden Valley · SRFinish 24:32.624:32.623:51.517.0
23Eva ConiglioneRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 24:36.524:36.523:55.215.8
24Lily HyattRadford · FRFinish 24:40.324:40.323:58.914.5
25Mackenzie WilliamsPatrick County · JRFinish 24:46.524:46.524:05.012.5
26Sophia BradleyRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 24:48.024:48.024:06.412.0
27Leila RameyHidden Valley · JRFinish 24:48.924:48.924:07.311.7
28Isla WassonHeritage (Lynchburg) · FRFinish 24:50.524:50.524:08.811.2
29Lacy DavisEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 24:56.724:56.724:14.89.2
30Amelia DietrichLord Botetourt · SRFinish 24:59.824:59.824:17.98.2
31Fiona RameyHidden Valley · FRFinish 25:09.225:09.224:27.05.2
32Ella JohnstonLord Botetourt · SRFinish 25:11.725:11.724:29.44.3
33Addison PurserLord Botetourt · FRFinish 25:13.025:13.024:30.83.9
34Bailey ThomasSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 25:15.825:15.824:33.53.0
35Grace KinzieHidden Valley · JRFinish 25:16.525:16.524:34.12.8
36Ellianna MontgomeryPatrick County · SOFinish 25:21.225:21.224:38.71.3
37Abigail CastleberryRadford · FRFinish 25:22.025:22.024:39.41.0
38Emma GrissoStaunton River · SOFinish 25:25.925:25.924:43.2—
39Ruby GoodhartRockbridge County · FRFinish 25:28.225:28.224:45.5—
40Emma PopeGlenvar · SRFinish 25:31.025:31.024:48.2—
41Molly MurdockRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 25:32.125:32.124:49.3—
42Rachael BinghamHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 25:34.425:34.424:51.5—
43Melissa BinghamHeritage (Lynchburg) · FRFinish 25:37.125:37.124:54.1—
44Annie GeorgeGlenvar · FRFinish 25:46.325:46.325:03.1—
45Madeleine GantzhornLord Botetourt · FRFinish 25:53.825:53.825:10.4—
46Addison BeckerRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 25:55.425:55.425:11.9—
47Pikea Reynolds-SaintHidden Valley · SRFinish 25:57.825:57.825:14.3—
48Salina LittleAltavista · SOFinish 26:07.526:07.525:23.7—
49Alexa CarilloLord Botetourt · SRFinish 26:12.226:12.225:28.2—
50Kate HolstonRockbridge County · SOFinish 26:16.126:16.125:32.1—
Show all 82 results (32 more)Showing all 82 results · hide rows 51–82
Girls results, rows 51 to 82 of 82
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Maggie HowardEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 26:20.626:20.625:36.4—
52Kora EpperlyRadford · SRFinish 26:26.226:26.225:41.9—
53Anna BuskillRadford · SRFinish 26:26.726:26.725:42.4—
54Braelyn HandyNorthside · FRFinish 26:46.626:46.626:01.7—
55Callie WoodPatrick County · SOFinish 26:50.626:50.626:05.6—
56Kate ChadwickHidden Valley · SOFinish 26:53.126:53.126:08.0—
57Molly HurdAuburn · FRFinish 26:53.626:53.626:08.5—
58Cassandra SilverRockbridge County · SOFinish 27:11.627:11.626:26.0—
59Rachelle BrownFaith Christian · SRFinish 27:36.427:36.426:50.1—
60Digna Dubon RapaloWilliam Fleming · JRFinish 27:52.127:52.127:05.4—
61Meghan KidwellEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 27:54.527:54.527:07.7—
62Addy WeaverHidden Valley · FRFinish 27:56.427:56.427:09.5—
63Ember WileyLord Botetourt · FRFinish 28:05.228:05.227:18.1—
64Allison BrundrettRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 28:09.128:09.127:21.9—
65Sera FariaHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 28:16.228:16.227:28.8—
66Johana ThomsonFaith Christian · FRFinish 28:16.628:16.627:29.2—
67Camille HidalgoRadford · FRFinish 28:21.528:21.527:34.0—
68Sarah ReynoldsAltavista · JRFinish 28:22.628:22.627:35.0—
69Graceyn PeckSouthwest Virginia Academy · SOFinish 28:28.228:28.227:40.5—
70Jessica DowdyAltavista · SRFinish 28:45.128:45.127:56.9—
71Elizabeth MeadowsLord Botetourt · JRFinish 28:56.528:56.528:08.0—
72Olivia CloseRadford · FRFinish 28:58.428:58.428:09.8—
73Julia-Rose SpearsSouthwest Virginia Academy · SOFinish 29:09.829:09.828:20.9—
74Izabella LavoieGlenvar · JRFinish 29:34.029:34.028:44.4—
75Sania LittleAltavista · SOFinish 30:17.830:17.829:27.0—
76Emily HamiltonHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 30:21.330:21.329:30.4—
77Hayley LightAuburn · FRFinish 30:52.830:52.830:01.0—
78Diana Sanchez-DiazWilliam Fleming · SRFinish 31:20.931:20.930:28.3—
79WIllow HyltonPatrick County · FRFinish 31:32.931:32.930:40.0—
80Ariana MarkhamNorthside · SOFinish 33:19.233:19.232:23.3—
81Lexus OwenPatrick County · SOFinish 33:52.133:52.132:55.3—
82Izzy BrumfieldAltavista · FRFinish 35:00.935:00.934:02.2—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Girls 5000 Meter Run

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D

14 of 14 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +49.3 s course and conditions +21.1 s in-season fitness +28.2 sCourse constant 505.11 (505)Race constant 515.33 (515)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 14 of 14 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Maggie BryantHidden Valley · FRFinish 26:31.026:31.025:37.8—
2Hannah IvinsRockbridge County · FRFinish 27:48.527:48.526:52.7—
3Aliyah AllenGlenvar · FRFinish 29:03.229:03.228:04.9—
4Alice GreshamRockbridge County · SOFinish 30:05.230:05.229:04.8—
5Brittyn HavensHidden Valley · FRFinish 30:06.030:06.029:05.6—
6Madeline KinneyHidden Valley · FRFinish 31:07.631:07.630:05.2—
7Cate SkaggsRockbridge County · FRFinish 31:32.331:32.330:29.0—
8Gemma BatisRockbridge County · FRFinish 31:45.931:45.930:42.1—
9Emily CarrollRockbridge County · FRFinish 31:58.631:58.630:54.4—
10Bailey CundiffRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 32:50.732:50.731:44.7—
11Annalise CoonLord Botetourt · JRFinish 34:19.034:19.033:10.1—
12Abigail HardingRockbridge County · FRFinish 34:33.334:33.333:24.0—
13Shelby GoudesHidden Valley · FRFinish 34:46.534:46.533:36.7—
14Barrett CundiffRoanoke Catholic School · SOFinish 35:05.235:05.233:54.8—

CLASH WITH THE TITANS, Sep 16, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.