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Sep 14, 2024 · Roanoke, VA

CLASH WITH THE TITANS

Hidden Valley HS XC Course · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2025 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 164.5), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

78 of 78 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +31.5 s course and conditions +3.1 s in-season fitness +28.4 sCourse constant 496.27 (496)Race constant 501.26 (501)

76 used anchors± 7.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 76 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 76, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kerrigan Chaney · North Cross School: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · and 6 more
  2. 2 Abigail Rhudy · Tazewell: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 2D Championship (Nov 6) · and 9 more
  3. 3 Anne Thorne · Lord Botetourt: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Ruthie Delapp · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Lola Olsen · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Tess Dickhans · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Cora Mosby · Radford: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 5) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Reilly Thomas · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Alyson Funk · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Aija McHone · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  11. 11 Alexis Plaster · Blacksburg: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Aubrey Aaron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Ruby Griggs · Blacksburg: VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Ainsley Myles · North Cross School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Riley Waldron · Staunton River: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  16. 16 Eliza Conaway · Blacksburg: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Valeria Castillo · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 5) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Annaliese Miller · Giles: VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · Cougar Clash Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Olivia Wilbon · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  20. 20 Anna Hall · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 5) · and 6 more
  21. 21 Matilda Bunn · Rocktown: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  22. 22 Madison Cole · Heritage (Lynchburg): Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Seminole District Championship (Oct 23) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Lily Hyatt · Radford: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 5) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Lucy Whitenack · William Byrd: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  25. 25 Everly Shanks · Glenvar: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 5) · and 6 more
  26. 26 Beverly Warner · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  27. 27 Charlotte Hieber · Hidden Valley: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  28. 28 Kinley McGee · Faith Christian: Griffin Invitational (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Emily Knoblock · Northside: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  30. 30 Eva Coniglione · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  31. 31 Lillian Kessler · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  32. 32 Elena Mullen · William Byrd: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  33. 33 Brylynn Cook · Staunton River: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  34. 34 Lila Barone · Hidden Valley: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Leila Ramey · Hidden Valley: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  36. 36 Madeleine Gantzhorn · Lord Botetourt: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  37. 37 Frances Fenton · Virginia Episcopal School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Charlee Songer · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 6 more
  39. 39 Molly Hurd · Auburn: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 5 more
  40. 40 Eva Estrada · Northside: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Stella Guelich · Faith Christian: Griffin Invitational (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Maggie Bryant · Hidden Valley: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Fiona Ramey · Hidden Valley: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 23) · and 5 more
  44. 44 Addison Becker · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  45. 45 Rayya Bryson · Glenvar: Three Rivers District Championships (Oct 29) · Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 21) · and 3 more
  46. 46 Braelyn Handy · Northside: VHSL Region 3D Championship (Nov 6) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  47. 47 Janelly Aguilar Nunez · Rocktown: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  48. 48 Camille Hidalgo · Radford: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 2A Region C Championships (Nov 5) · and 3 more
  49. 49 Molly O'Herron · Roanoke Catholic School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 4 more
  50. 50 Maggie Howard · Eastern Montgomery: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 1C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 5 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 78 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kerrigan ChaneyNorth Cross School · SRFinish 19:31.819:31.819:10.6108.5
2Abigail RhudyTazewell · SRFinish 20:08.720:08.719:46.896.5
3Anne ThorneLord Botetourt · SOFinish 20:08.720:08.719:46.996.4
4Ruthie DelappBlacksburg · FRFinish 20:55.520:55.520:32.881.1
5Lola OlsenBlacksburg · FRFinish 20:55.820:55.820:33.181.0
6Tess DickhansBlacksburg · JRFinish 21:16.821:16.820:53.774.2
7Cora MosbyRadford · FRFinish 21:27.821:27.821:04.570.6
8Reilly ThomasBlacksburg · FRFinish 21:39.121:39.121:15.666.9
9Alyson FunkAuburn · SOFinish 21:41.821:41.821:18.366.0
10Aija McHoneEastern Montgomery · SRFinish 21:46.021:46.021:22.464.6
11Alexis PlasterBlacksburg · SRFinish 21:51.621:51.621:27.962.8
12Aubrey AaronRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 21:56.421:56.421:32.661.2
13Ruby GriggsBlacksburg · SRFinish 22:08.122:08.121:44.157.4
14Ainsley MylesNorth Cross School · SOFinish 22:14.522:14.521:50.455.3
15Riley WaldronStaunton River · JRFinish 22:17.222:17.221:53.054.4
16Eliza ConawayBlacksburg · SOFinish 22:30.022:30.022:05.650.2
17Valeria CastilloGlenvar · SRFinish 22:44.822:44.822:20.145.4
18Annaliese MillerGiles · SRFinish 22:47.022:47.022:22.244.6
19Olivia WilbonEastern Montgomery · SRFinish 22:49.422:49.422:24.643.9
20Anna HallGlenvar · JRFinish 22:52.822:52.822:28.042.7
21Matilda BunnRocktown · JRFinish 23:11.623:11.622:46.536.6
22Madison ColeHeritage (Lynchburg) · JRFinish 23:25.023:25.022:59.632.2
23Lily HyattRadford · SOFinish 23:30.723:30.723:05.230.3
24Lucy WhitenackWilliam Byrd · JRFinish 23:35.323:35.323:09.728.8
25Everly ShanksGlenvar · JRFinish 23:36.623:36.623:11.028.4
26Beverly WarnerAuburn · SOFinish 23:41.423:41.423:15.726.8
27Charlotte HieberHidden Valley · FRFinish 23:46.223:46.223:20.425.3
28Kinley McGeeFaith Christian · FRFinish 23:46.323:46.323:20.525.2
29Emily KnoblockNorthside · SOFinish 23:58.223:58.223:32.221.3
30Eva ConiglioneRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 24:08.824:08.823:42.617.9
31Lillian KesslerRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 24:36.724:36.724:10.08.7
32Elena MullenWilliam Byrd · SOFinish 24:44.424:44.424:17.66.2
33Brylynn CookStaunton River · FRFinish 24:56.524:56.524:29.42.3
34Lila BaroneHidden Valley · SOFinish 25:00.725:00.724:33.50.9
35Leila RameyHidden Valley · SRFinish 25:04.525:04.524:37.3—
36Madeleine GantzhornLord Botetourt · SOFinish 25:20.825:20.824:53.3—
37Frances FentonVirginia Episcopal School · SRFinish 25:23.825:23.824:56.3—
38Charlee SongerAuburn · FRFinish 25:24.625:24.624:57.0—
39Molly HurdAuburn · SOFinish 25:25.925:25.924:58.3—
40Eva EstradaNorthside · FRFinish 25:28.025:28.025:00.3—
41Stella GuelichFaith Christian · FRFinish 25:36.525:36.525:08.8—
42Maggie BryantHidden Valley · SOFinish 25:48.825:48.825:20.8—
43Fiona RameyHidden Valley · SOFinish 25:54.025:54.025:25.9—
44Addison BeckerRoanoke Catholic School · SRFinish 26:02.826:02.825:34.5—
45Rayya BrysonGlenvar · JRFinish 26:09.626:09.625:41.3—
46Braelyn HandyNorthside · SOFinish 26:11.526:11.525:43.1—
47Janelly Aguilar NunezRocktown · SRFinish 26:14.426:14.425:46.0—
48Camille HidalgoRadford · SOFinish 26:18.726:18.725:50.2—
49Molly O'HerronRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 26:21.826:21.825:53.2—
50Maggie HowardEastern Montgomery · JRFinish 26:26.226:26.225:57.5—
Show all 78 results (28 more)Showing all 78 results · hide rows 51–78
Girls results, rows 51 to 78 of 78
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Addy WeaverHidden Valley · SOFinish 26:30.226:30.226:01.5—
52Abigail CastleberryRadford · SOFinish 26:30.526:30.526:01.7—
53Grace KinzieHidden Valley · SRFinish 26:30.526:30.526:01.7—
54Jenna PetersenWilliam Byrd · FRFinish 26:36.926:36.926:08.0—
55Ember WileyLord Botetourt · SOFinish 26:45.526:45.526:16.5—
56Hayley LightAuburn · SOFinish 26:53.726:53.726:24.5—
57Annie GeorgeGlenvar · SOFinish 27:14.627:14.626:45.0—
58Naomi KiddGlenvar · FRFinish 27:20.227:20.226:50.6—
59Sera FariaHeritage (Lynchburg) · SRFinish 27:32.627:32.627:02.8—
60Alexis PerkinsTazewell · FRFinish 27:40.227:40.227:10.2—
61Kerrigan MitchamGiles · SRFinish 27:42.727:42.727:12.7—
62Johana ThomsonFaith Christian · SOFinish 27:59.627:59.627:29.2—
63Sydney WhittRoanoke Catholic School · JRFinish 28:09.828:09.827:39.3—
64Danna GiosaRocktown · SRFinish 28:18.428:18.427:47.7—
65Olivia CloseRadford · SOFinish 28:41.128:41.128:10.0—
66Madeleine MooreLord Botetourt · FRFinish 29:07.229:07.228:35.7—
67Gracie WalkerEastern Montgomery · FRFinish 29:07.529:07.528:35.9—
68Ariana MarkhamNorthside · JRFinish 29:07.629:07.628:36.0—
69Aylssa JohnsonHeritage (Lynchburg) · SOFinish 29:50.029:50.029:17.6—
70Amelia LucasAuburn · SOFinish 30:15.530:15.529:42.7—
71Naomi DomingusRocktown · FRFinish 30:17.230:17.229:44.4—
72Eme CorellTazewell · FRFinish 30:37.330:37.330:04.1—
73Claire JusticeTazewell · FRFinish 30:48.430:48.430:15.0—
74Kayleigh HarmonEastern Montgomery · SOFinish 31:23.831:23.830:49.7—
75Izabella LavoieGlenvar · SRFinish 32:04.732:04.731:29.9—
76Riley SinkLord Botetourt · SOFinish 32:45.632:45.632:10.0—
77Reese KorbyHeritage (Lynchburg) · SRFinish 33:25.833:25.832:49.5—
78Lydia ZimmermanAuburn · FRFinish 33:33.633:33.632:57.2—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Girls 5000 Meter Run

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D

36 of 36 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +38.6 s course and conditions +10.0 s in-season fitness +28.6 sCourse constant 499.41 (499)Race constant 504.85 (505)

Unavailable used anchors± 21.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 36 of 36 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Harper OlsenBlacksburg · FRFinish 21:44.921:44.921:14.167.4
2Hannah SchulteBlacksburg · JRFinish 22:08.022:08.021:36.759.8
3Neda JantzenBlacksburg · FRFinish 22:27.222:27.221:55.453.6
4Penny GriggsBlacksburg · SOFinish 23:03.123:03.122:30.441.9
5Sally PrinceBlacksburg · FRFinish 23:04.123:04.122:31.441.6
6Laura BakerBlacksburg · SRFinish 23:21.523:21.522:48.435.9
7Hadley TeasterBlacksburg · SOFinish 23:39.723:39.723:06.230.0
8Adelaide LiBlacksburg · SOFinish 24:15.024:15.023:40.618.5
9Hope AndesBlacksburg · FRFinish 24:35.124:35.124:00.212.0
10Caroline NortonBlacksburg · SOFinish 24:37.224:37.224:02.311.3
11Anna MohnsenSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 24:57.724:57.724:22.34.6
12Heidi SwartzwelderBlacksburg · SOFinish 25:00.025:00.024:24.53.9
13Sadie SchmidtVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 25:29.025:29.024:52.8—
14Alana BiedlerBlacksburg · JRFinish 26:13.226:13.225:36.0—
15Emilia PogueBlacksburg · SOFinish 26:16.026:16.025:38.7—
16Mira DavisonBlacksburg · FRFinish 26:54.626:54.626:16.4—
17Molly MurdockSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 26:58.826:58.826:20.5—
18Daisy ChinnBlacksburg · SOFinish 27:02.427:02.426:24.0—
19Brittyn HavensHidden Valley · SOFinish 27:04.527:04.526:26.1—
20Rebekah RobertsBlacksburg · FRFinish 27:46.827:46.827:07.4—
21Emery GrothSouthwest Virginia Academy · SOFinish 27:52.627:52.627:13.1—
22Kate ChadwickHidden Valley · JRFinish 28:17.828:17.827:37.6—
23Joey BargerRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 28:21.628:21.627:41.4—
24Anna JohnSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 28:46.328:46.328:05.5—
25Keziah ArnoldBlacksburg · FRFinish 29:06.529:06.528:25.3—
26Lauren HoffmanCave Spring · SRFinish 29:09.829:09.828:28.4—
27Hailey HoytHidden Valley · SOFinish 29:12.229:12.228:30.8—
28Julia-Rose SpearsSouthwest Virginia Academy · JRFinish 29:17.329:17.328:35.8—
29Madeline KinneyHidden Valley · SOFinish 29:31.329:31.328:49.4—
30Elizabeth JacksSouthwest Virginia Academy · SOFinish 29:41.429:41.428:59.3—
31Kaylee WilsherCave Spring · JRFinish 29:42.229:42.229:00.0—
32Bristol CundiffRoanoke Catholic School · FRFinish 31:49.031:49.031:03.9—
33Shelby GoudesHidden Valley · SOFinish 32:53.632:53.632:07.0—
34Zoe StevensonSouthwest Virginia Academy · FRFinish 34:17.434:17.433:28.8—
35Delaney SmithCave Spring · SRFinish 38:30.938:30.937:36.3—
36Averi KnightVirginia Episcopal School · SOFinish 41:29.841:29.840:30.9—

CLASH WITH THE TITANS, Sep 14, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.