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Nov 1, 2023 · Altavista, VA

VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships

Frazier Farms · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships Frazier Farms, Altavista, VA - 11/1/2023 Boys 5k

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C

42 of 42 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −38.8 s course and conditions −18.0 s in-season fitness −20.8 sCourse constant 483.82 (484)Race constant 481.78 (482)

33 used anchors± 8.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 33 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 33, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Shane Stevens · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Mason Comer · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Eric Nichols · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Josiah Monroe · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Uriel Jaimes Garcia · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Thomas Hungarland · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Tyler Whitlock · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  8. 8 Mason Betterton · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Barak Tahirkhali · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Joseph Derrick · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · CLASH WITH THE TITANS (Sep 16)
  11. 11 Seth Halsey · William Campbell: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Neil Shroff · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Pheno Glover · Franklin: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  14. 14 Daniel Roman · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · 10th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Gabe Updike · William Campbell: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Drew Robinson · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Joel Wangsgard · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 23) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Sylar Farmer · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Kiernan DeBernard · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Trey Roney · Carver Academy: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  21. 21 Cole Reed · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Aaron Tompkins · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  23. 23 Victor Cruz-Araujo · Cumberland: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  24. 25 Grant Burfield · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  25. 26 Joey Isaman · William Campbell: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  26. 28 Wes King · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 16) · and 2 more
  27. 30 Aidan Starcher · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 16) · and 2 more
  28. 33 Ronin Rhodes · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  29. 34 Erick Smith · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 18)
  30. 36 Henry Loth · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  31. 37 Robert Jennings · William Campbell: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  32. 38 James Lam · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Cross Country Championships (Oct 25) · Augusta Invitational Cross Country Meet (Sep 16) · and 2 more
  33. 39 Alexander Gonzalez · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 18) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 42 of 42 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Shane StevensAltavista · JRFinish 16:30.816:30.816:49.8153.3
2Mason ComerRappahannock County · SOFinish 18:16.518:16.518:37.5117.4
3Eric NicholsAltavista · SRFinish 18:25.318:25.318:46.5114.4
4Josiah MonroeAltavista · JRFinish 18:26.218:26.218:47.4114.1
5Uriel Jaimes GarciaGalileo · FRFinish 18:45.318:45.319:06.9107.6
6Thomas HungarlandGalileo · SOFinish 19:27.119:27.119:49.593.4
7Tyler WhitlockGalileo · SRFinish 19:31.719:31.719:54.291.9
8Mason BettertonAltavista · JRFinish 19:32.919:32.919:55.491.5
9Barak TahirkhaliGalileo · FRFinish 19:41.519:41.520:04.288.5
10Joseph DerrickAltavista · SRFinish 19:46.919:46.920:09.786.7
11Seth HalseyWilliam Campbell · SOFinish 19:51.419:51.420:14.385.2
12Neil ShroffGalileo · SRFinish 19:58.319:58.320:21.382.8
13Pheno GloverFranklin · SRFinish 20:13.420:13.420:36.777.7
14Daniel RomanGalileo · JRFinish 20:20.220:20.220:43.675.4
15Gabe UpdikeWilliam Campbell · FRFinish 20:27.220:27.220:50.873.0
16Drew RobinsonRappahannock County · FRFinish 20:48.620:48.621:12.665.7
17Joel WangsgardRappahannock County · SOFinish 20:55.320:55.321:19.463.5
18Sylar FarmerAltavista · SOFinish 20:57.620:57.621:21.762.7
19Kiernan DeBernardAltavista · SRFinish 21:02.021:02.021:26.261.2
20Trey RoneyCarver Academy · JRFinish 21:06.621:06.621:30.959.6
21Cole ReedBuffalo Gap · JRFinish 21:09.121:09.121:33.558.8
22Aaron TompkinsGalileo · SOFinish 21:19.121:19.121:43.655.4
23Victor Cruz-AraujoCumberland · SOFinish 21:27.121:27.121:51.852.7
24Ben HarrisonFranklin · SOFinish 21:52.221:52.222:17.444.1
25Grant BurfieldRappahannock County · SOFinish 21:57.021:57.022:22.342.5
26Joey IsamanWilliam Campbell · SRFinish 22:00.722:00.722:26.041.3
27Cameron MoodyFranklin · SRFinish 22:15.422:15.422:41.036.3
28Wes KingBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 22:17.222:17.222:42.935.6
29Dewey RoneyCarver Academy · SOFinish 22:42.322:42.323:08.427.1
30Aidan StarcherBuffalo Gap · SRFinish 22:52.822:52.823:19.123.6
31Mullins SpencerAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SRFinish 22:54.522:54.523:20.923.0
32ReShaud RichAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · FRFinish 23:03.223:03.223:29.720.0
33Ronin RhodesRappahannock County · FRFinish 24:17.124:17.124:45.1—
34Erick SmithCumberland · SRFinish 24:32.624:32.625:00.9—
35Cahjmeir WilliamsFranklin · SRFinish 24:42.624:42.625:11.1—
36Henry LothRappahannock County · SOFinish 24:46.524:46.525:15.0—
37Robert JenningsWilliam Campbell · FRFinish 25:40.225:40.226:09.8—
38James LamBuffalo Gap · SRFinish 25:44.125:44.126:13.7—
39Alexander GonzalezCumberland · SOFinish 25:47.125:47.126:16.8—
40Andy ThomasFranklin · SOFinish 25:47.225:47.226:16.9—
41Jack HackettCarver Academy · FRFinish 28:38.928:38.929:11.9—
42Jadan SpratleyFranklin · SOFinish 33:09.633:09.633:47.8—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5k

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D

29 of 31 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −29.9 s course and conditions −7.4 s in-season fitness −22.5 sCourse constant 490.89 (491)Race constant 488.55 (489)

27 used anchors± 16.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 27 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 27, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Carol-Anne Garrett · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Maya Herndon · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Lauralee Spickard · William Campbell: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Ava Wray · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Kinsley Kistner · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  6. 6 Victoria Cothran · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Braelyn Wilson · William Campbell: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Aleyssia Thompson · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Camryn Snead · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Sophia Markowitz · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Jessica Dowdy · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Natalie Owen · Galileo: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Sania Little · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Abigail Spickard · William Campbell: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Sarah Reynolds · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Nishay Rapach · Franklin: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  17. 17 Willow Savor · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Emma Brown · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bull Run District Championship (XC) (Oct 25)
  19. 20 Izzy Brumfield · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  20. 21 Salina Little · Altavista: Blue Ridge Invitational (Oct 7) · 39th Annual Greensboro XC Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  21. 22 Gabriela Quiroz · Franklin: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  22. 23 Takiyah Hampton · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 18) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  23. 24 Tamyah Copeland · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 18)
  24. 25 Alanna Boone · Franklin: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  25. 27 Cheyenne Talmage · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 18)
  26. 28 Jayla Augustin · Cumberland: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  27. 29 Jazmine Petty · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 18) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 31 of 31 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Carol-Anne GarrettGalileo · SRFinish 19:08.819:08.819:21.0107.2
2Maya HerndonGalileo · JRFinish 21:17.621:17.621:31.263.8
3Lauralee SpickardWilliam Campbell · SOFinish 21:33.021:33.021:46.758.6
4Ava WrayGalileo · SRFinish 23:08.523:08.523:23.226.4
5Kinsley KistnerAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · JRFinish 23:41.423:41.423:56.515.3
6Victoria CothranAltavista · JRFinish 23:48.923:48.924:04.112.8
7Braelyn WilsonWilliam Campbell · SRFinish 24:06.724:06.724:22.16.8
8Aleyssia ThompsonGalileo · SRFinish 24:18.524:18.524:34.02.8
9Camryn SneadGalileo · FRFinish 24:19.924:19.924:35.42.4
10Sophia MarkowitzGalileo · JRFinish 24:25.424:25.424:41.00.5
11Jessica DowdyAltavista · SRFinish 24:34.124:34.124:49.8—
12Natalie OwenGalileo · SRFinish 25:15.125:15.125:31.2—
13Sania LittleAltavista · SOFinish 25:46.825:46.826:03.2—
14Abigail SpickardWilliam Campbell · SRFinish 26:04.326:04.326:20.9—
15Sarah ReynoldsAltavista · JRFinish 26:24.726:24.726:41.5—
16Nishay RapachFranklin · SOFinish 26:59.326:59.327:16.5—
17Willow SavorAltavista · JRFinish 27:21.027:21.027:38.4—
18Emma BrownRappahannock County · JRFinish 28:26.428:26.428:44.5—
19Alexis ManilaAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SRFinish 28:40.428:40.428:58.7—
20Izzy BrumfieldAltavista · FRFinish 28:53.328:53.329:11.7—
21Salina LittleAltavista · SOFinish 29:12.829:12.829:31.4—
22Gabriela QuirozFranklin · JRFinish 29:30.729:30.729:49.5—
23Takiyah HamptonCumberland · FRFinish 34:47.734:47.735:09.9—
24Tamyah CopelandCumberland · JRFinish 34:50.934:50.935:13.1—
25Alanna BooneFranklin · SRFinish 35:10.735:10.735:33.1—
26Roshanda HoskieFranklin · JRFinish 37:25.637:25.637:49.4—
27Cheyenne TalmageCumberland · FRFinish 40:59.440:59.441:25.5—
28Jayla AugustinCumberland · FRFinish 43:15.343:15.343:42.9—
29Jazmine PettyCumberland · FRFinish 43:18.443:18.443:46.0—
30Abby FeltsFranklin · SOFinish 46:02.246:02.2UnavailableUnavailable
31Brooke FeltsFranklin · SOFinish 46:02.646:02.6UnavailableUnavailable

2 rows: time outside the rated range.

VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships, Nov 1, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.