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Oct 18, 2023 · Charlotte Court House, VA

James River District Championship

Randolph-Henry Cross Country Course · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

James River District Championship - 10/18/2023 Randolph Henry HS XC Course, Charlotte, VA Boys 5000 Meter Run Finals

C

29 of 29 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −5.6 s course and conditions +15.8 s in-season fitness −21.4 sCourse constant 496.08 (496)Race constant 494.01 (494)

28 used anchors± 8.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 28 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 28, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Caleb Kline · Amelia County: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  2. 2 David Terrones-Lara · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  3. 3 Jaime Perez-Cruz · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  4. 4 Bradley Hamilton · Nottoway: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Jacson Clough · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  6. 6 Ben Dorrier · Buckingham County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  7. 7 Isaiah Leonard · Prince Edward: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  8. 8 Noah Ragan · Nottoway: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  9. 9 Jaidan Ramsey · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  10. 10 Colin Dickerson · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  11. 11 Dawson Dunnavant · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  12. 12 Alex Boyles · Buckingham County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  13. 13 Tyler Selzer · Buckingham County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  14. 14 Jacob Hauff · Amelia County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  15. 15 Lee Payne · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  16. 16 Luke Sayer · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  17. 17 Thomas Graves · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  18. 18 Jackson Ruppel-Lee · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  19. 19 Peyton St.John · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  20. 20 Jesus Portillio · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  21. 21 Daniel Coghill · Nottoway: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  22. 22 Erick Smith · Cumberland: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1)
  23. 23 Alexander Gonzalez · Cumberland: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  24. 24 Coyt Walsh · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  25. 25 Ewan Gray · Nottoway: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  26. 26 Braedyn Gilormini · Nottoway: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  27. 27 Hunter LaVecchia · Amelia County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  28. 28 Osiel Ojeda-San Juan · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 29 of 29 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Caleb KlineAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 18:43.018:43.018:32.7119.0
2David Terrones-LaraRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 19:10.019:10.018:59.5110.1
3Jaime Perez-CruzRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 19:18.019:18.019:07.4107.5
4Bradley HamiltonNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 19:24.019:24.019:13.4105.5
5Jacson CloughBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:26.020:26.020:14.885.0
6Ben DorrierBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:44.020:44.020:32.679.1
7Isaiah LeonardPrince Edward · Grade not recordedFinish 20:48.020:48.020:36.677.7
8Noah RaganNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 20:58.020:58.020:46.574.4
9Jaidan RamseyRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 21:11.021:11.020:59.470.1
10Colin DickersonRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 21:13.021:13.021:01.469.5
11Dawson DunnavantAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 21:14.021:14.021:02.469.1
12Alex BoylesBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 21:58.021:58.021:46.054.6
13Tyler SelzerBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:08.022:08.021:55.951.3
14Jacob HauffAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:13.022:13.022:00.849.7
15Lee PayneBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:20.022:20.022:07.847.4
16Luke SayerBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:24.022:24.022:11.746.0
17Thomas GravesRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 22:25.022:25.022:12.745.7
18Jackson Ruppel-LeeRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 22:54.022:54.022:41.436.1
19Peyton St.JohnRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 22:57.022:57.022:44.435.1
20Jesus PortillioBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 23:05.023:05.022:52.332.5
21Daniel CoghillNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 23:54.023:54.023:40.916.3
22Erick SmithCumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 25:55.025:55.025:40.8—
23Alexander GonzalezCumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 25:57.025:57.025:42.8—
24Coyt WalshAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 26:03.026:03.025:48.7—
25Ewan GrayNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 26:58.026:58.026:43.2—
26Braedyn GilorminiNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 29:34.029:34.029:17.8—
27Hunter LaVecchiaAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 31:02.031:02.030:45.0—
28Osiel Ojeda-San JuanAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 31:03.031:03.030:46.0—
29HoldenAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 31:20.031:20.031:02.8—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000 Meter Run Finals

D

28 of 28 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −25.6 s course and conditions −3.0 s in-season fitness −22.6 sCourse constant 492.63 (493)Race constant 489.96 (490)

27 used anchors± 19.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 27 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 27, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Sylvia Hemmer · Prince Edward: VHSL Class 2 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Darby Schlottere · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  3. 3 Adele Sayer · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  4. 4 Olivia Shorter · Nottoway: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1)
  5. 5 Emily Tharpe · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  6. 6 Caroline Browning · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  7. 7 Rylynn Morris · Buckingham County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  8. 8 Lindsey Tobias · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  9. 9 Abigail Dixon · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1)
  10. 10 Logan Ragland · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  11. 11 Paulette Battle · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  12. 13 Lillyane Nichols · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  13. 14 Adriana Brooks · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  14. 15 Kaylynn Lane · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  15. 16 Aleecia Mitchell · Cumberland High School: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  16. 17 Valerie Soto · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  17. 18 Zoey Walker · Randolph-Henry: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  18. 19 Maira Portillo · Buckingham County: VHSL 2A Region B Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  19. 20 Takiyah Hampton · Cumberland High School: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  20. 21 Tamyah Copeland · Cumberland: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1)
  21. 22 Allie Brown · Amelia County: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  22. 23 Zoe Gray · Nottoway: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  23. 24 Moriah Mitchell · Cumberland High School: James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  24. 25 Cheyenne Talmage · Cumberland: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1)
  25. 26 Shannon Taylor · Amelia County: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  26. 27 Candyce Smith · Prince Edward: VHSL 2A - Region A Championship (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
  27. 28 Jazmine Petty · Cumberland High School: VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships (Nov 1) · James River Challenge (Sep 27)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 28 of 28 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Sylvia HemmerPrince Edward · Grade not recordedFinish 20:43.020:43.020:51.677.0
2Darby SchlottereAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 24:38.024:38.024:48.3—
3Adele SayerBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 25:45.025:45.025:55.7—
4Olivia ShorterNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 26:18.026:18.026:28.9—
5Emily TharpeRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 26:41.026:41.026:52.1—
6Caroline BrowningBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 27:15.027:15.027:26.3—
7Rylynn MorrisBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 27:35.027:35.027:46.5—
8Lindsey TobiasBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 27:41.027:41.027:52.5—
9Abigail DixonRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 27:43.027:43.027:54.5—
10Logan RaglandBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 28:22.028:22.028:33.8—
11Paulette BattleBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 28:37.028:37.028:48.9—
12CastroNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 28:46.028:46.028:58.0—
13Lillyane NicholsRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 29:01.029:01.029:13.1—
14Adriana BrooksRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 29:25.029:25.029:37.2—
15Kaylynn LaneAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 30:15.030:15.030:27.6—
16Aleecia MitchellCumberland High School · Grade not recordedFinish 30:34.030:34.030:46.7—
17Valerie SotoAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 30:47.030:47.030:59.8—
18Zoey WalkerRandolph-Henry · Grade not recordedFinish 31:20.031:20.031:33.0—
19Maira PortilloBuckingham County · Grade not recordedFinish 31:46.031:46.031:59.2—
20Takiyah HamptonCumberland High School · Grade not recordedFinish 32:23.032:23.032:36.5—
21Tamyah CopelandCumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 32:32.032:32.032:45.5—
22Allie BrownAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 32:54.032:54.033:07.7—
23Zoe GrayNottoway · Grade not recordedFinish 35:09.035:09.035:23.6—
24Moriah MitchellCumberland High School · Grade not recordedFinish 37:19.037:19.037:34.5—
25Cheyenne TalmageCumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 37:20.037:20.037:35.5—
26Shannon TaylorAmelia County · Grade not recordedFinish 37:22.037:22.037:37.6—
27Candyce SmithPrince Edward · Grade not recordedFinish 37:33.037:33.037:48.6—
28Jazmine PettyCumberland High School · Grade not recordedFinish 38:00.038:00.038:15.8—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.