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Oct 29, 2025 · Altavista, VA

VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championships

Frazier Farms · Historical 2025 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 7 held-out meets, 2025's ratings sit a median of 6.0 points (boys) and 8.6 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

VHSL Group 1A Region B XC Championship Frazier Farms, Altavista, VA - 10/29/2025 Boys 5k

B

51 of 51 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +7.0 s course and conditions +32.0 s in-season fitness −25.0 sCourse constant 494.14 (494)Race constant 497.78 (498)

49 used anchors± 5.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.570Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 49 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 49, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Barak Tahirkhali · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Luke Bryant · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Xavier Johnson · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Aaron Oakes · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Drew Robinson · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Aiden Robinson · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  7. 7 James Kemp · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Joel Wangsgard · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Sam Ashby · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Nicholas Burfield · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Travis Stoddard · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Noah Lilly · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Max Banks · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Elias Duquette · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Jack Young · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Ayden O'Berry · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  17. 17 Donnovan Perez · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Cooper Boyd · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Kolby Morris · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Victor Cruz-Araujo · Cumberland: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · James River District Championship (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Henry Loth · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Peyton Ewing · Smith Mountain Lake: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 6)
  23. 23 Sam Jarvis · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22)
  24. 24 Sylar Farmer · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24)
  25. 25 Abram Booth · Smith Mountain Lake: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 3 more
  26. 26 Nolan Ward · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Sep 27) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Sean Mahon · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 1 more
  28. 28 Landon Good · Luray: Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22)
  29. 29 Kaiden Brown · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Nathan Aguirre-Jimenez · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 6)
  31. 31 Ben Woodruff · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24)
  32. 32 Liam Murphy · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Sep 27) · and 2 more
  33. 34 Antonio Tucker · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24)
  34. 35 Breyden Milam · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24)
  35. 36 Jason Dowdy · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24)
  36. 37 Harrison Mayo · Smith Mountain Lake: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 3 more
  37. 38 Jonah Heifetze · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  38. 40 Wes King · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Sep 27) · and 2 more
  39. 41 Brayden Childress · William Campbell: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 1 more
  40. 42 Ronin Rhodes · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  41. 43 Allan James · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  42. 44 Paxton Haynes · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · 27th Annual Generals XC Invitational (Sep 20) · and 1 more
  43. 45 Landon Ervin · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 1 more
  44. 46 Isaac Baber · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  45. 47 Emiliano Huitza · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  46. 48 Isaiah Mayer · William Campbell: Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16)
  47. 49 Aidin Nowlin · William Campbell: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 1 more
  48. 50 Robert Jennings · William Campbell: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 6)
  49. 51 Finn Schick · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 51 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Barak TahirkhaliGalileo · JRFinish 18:11.418:11.417:50.2132.8
2Luke BryantGalileo · SOFinish 18:36.618:36.618:14.9124.6
3Xavier JohnsonGalileo · FRFinish 18:38.418:38.418:16.6124.0
4Aaron OakesRappahannock County · SRFinish 18:46.818:46.818:24.9121.3
5Drew RobinsonRappahannock County · JRFinish 19:09.819:09.818:47.4113.8
6Aiden RobinsonRappahannock County · SOFinish 19:23.019:23.019:00.4109.4
7James KempGalileo · JRFinish 19:26.619:26.619:03.9108.3
8Joel WangsgardRappahannock County · SRFinish 19:26.819:26.819:04.1108.2
9Sam AshbyRiverheads · SOFinish 19:31.519:31.519:08.7106.7
10Nicholas BurfieldRappahannock County · SOFinish 19:49.419:49.419:26.3100.8
11Travis StoddardGalileo · SOFinish 19:55.419:55.419:32.198.9
12Noah LillyBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 19:57.719:57.719:34.498.1
13Max BanksLuray · SOFinish 20:07.920:07.919:44.494.8
14Elias DuquetteBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 20:09.420:09.419:45.994.3
15Jack YoungRiverheads · SOFinish 20:09.920:09.919:46.494.1
16Ayden O'BerryAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SOFinish 20:14.420:14.419:50.892.6
17Donnovan PerezGalileo · SRFinish 20:17.820:17.819:54.191.5
18Cooper BoydRiverheads · SOFinish 20:18.720:18.719:55.091.2
19Kolby MorrisGalileo · SOFinish 20:19.720:19.719:56.090.9
20Victor Cruz-AraujoCumberland · SRFinish 20:21.320:21.319:57.590.4
21Henry LothRappahannock County · SRFinish 20:21.920:21.919:58.190.2
22Peyton EwingSmith Mountain Lake · JRFinish 20:32.620:32.620:08.686.7
23Sam JarvisRiverheads · FRFinish 20:34.720:34.720:10.786.0
24Sylar FarmerAltavista · SRFinish 21:02.221:02.220:37.677.0
25Abram BoothSmith Mountain Lake · FRFinish 21:04.421:04.420:39.876.3
26Nolan WardBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 21:08.021:08.020:43.375.1
27Sean MahonRiverheads · SOFinish 21:09.821:09.820:45.174.5
28Landon GoodLuray · JRFinish 21:15.121:15.120:50.372.8
29Kaiden BrownRiverheads · JRFinish 21:15.721:15.720:50.972.6
30Nathan Aguirre-JimenezBuffalo Gap · FRFinish 21:23.621:23.620:58.670.0
31Ben WoodruffAltavista · FRFinish 21:25.421:25.421:00.469.4
32Liam MurphyBuffalo Gap · JRFinish 21:26.321:26.321:01.369.1
33EWING, PeytonSmith Mountain Lake · JRFinish 21:44.421:44.421:19.063.2
34Antonio TuckerAltavista · SOFinish 21:46.921:46.921:21.562.4
35Breyden MilamAltavista · FRFinish 21:49.221:49.221:23.761.7
36Jason DowdyAltavista · SOFinish 22:07.722:07.721:41.955.6
37Harrison MayoSmith Mountain Lake · FRFinish 22:08.422:08.421:42.655.4
38Jonah HeifetzeAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SRFinish 22:12.722:12.721:46.854.0
39Logan FoxLuray · SRFinish 22:20.922:20.921:54.851.3
40Wes KingBuffalo Gap · SRFinish 22:45.622:45.622:19.043.2
41Brayden ChildressWilliam Campbell · JRFinish 22:45.822:45.822:19.243.2
42Ronin RhodesRappahannock County · JRFinish 23:19.123:19.122:51.932.3
43Allan JamesAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · JRFinish 23:24.923:24.922:57.630.4
44Paxton HaynesBuffalo Gap · FRFinish 23:46.623:46.623:18.823.3
45Landon ErvinRiverheads · SRFinish 24:16.824:16.823:48.513.4
46Isaac BaberAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SOFinish 25:36.025:36.025:06.1—
47Emiliano HuitzaAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · JRFinish 25:41.625:41.625:11.6—
48Isaiah MayerWilliam Campbell · SOFinish 25:59.525:59.525:29.2—
49Aidin NowlinWilliam Campbell · SOFinish 26:17.626:17.625:46.9—
50Robert JenningsWilliam Campbell · JRFinish 27:26.627:26.626:54.6—
Show all 51 results (1 more)Showing all 51 results · hide rows 51–51
Boys results, rows 51 to 51 of 51
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Finn SchickAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SRFinish 27:56.127:56.127:23.5—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5k

B

45 of 45 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −1.7 s course and conditions +23.6 s in-season fitness −25.3 sCourse constant 495.18 (495)Race constant 499.91 (500)

44 used anchors± 5.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.915Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 44 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 44, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Ava Garcia · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Lauralee Spickard · William Campbell: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Verity Jordan · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Briana Plum · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Isabela Rizek · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Kierstin Doyne · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Maria Frelk · Rappahannock County: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Maya Jenkins · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Camryn Snead · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Sania Little · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Carolina Wood · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Natalie Ridgeway · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Reagan Gwaltney · Buffalo Gap: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Salina Little · Altavista: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Jessie Arthur · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 4 more
  16. 16 Danilu Acevedo-Garcia · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Lorelei Wray · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Chloe Catron · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Mia Isaman · William Campbell: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Jenni Martinez-Cano · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Sep 27) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Aaliyah Minter · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 15)
  22. 22 Adlin Hubble · Rappahannock County: Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Lucy Dewever · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Charlotte Baker · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  25. 25 Amaya Sours · Luray: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Bull Run District Championship XC (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Emily Aguirre- Jimenez · Buffalo Gap: Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · Grace Christian (Staunton) Invitational (Sep 27) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Preslee Clay · Galileo: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Jay Turpie · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  29. 29 Cecilia Massie · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Kayla Cypher · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Miranda Adkins · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Sophia Farmer · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24)
  33. 34 Adria Ervin · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22) · and 2 more
  34. 35 Samantha Van Opstal · Galileo: East Coast Elite Fast Times Invitational State Meet Preview (Oct 4) · Gretna XC Meet (Sep 18) · and 1 more
  35. 36 Chloe Cypher · Riverheads: Alleghany XC Invitational (Sep 20)
  36. 37 Estella Short · William Campbell: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 2 more
  37. 38 Selma Hamilton · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  38. 39 Makiya Hawkins · Cumberland: James River District Championship (Oct 15)
  39. 40 Sofia Dmobret · Smith Mountain Lake: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Greater Danville Metro XC Championship (Oct 16) · and 1 more
  40. 41 Areen Amr · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  41. 42 Victoria Huitza · Appomattox Reg. Gov. School: Tri-Rivers District XC Championship (Oct 15)
  42. 43 Jenna Grimmer · Riverheads: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Shenandoah District Championships (Oct 22)
  43. 44 Briana Grafton · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21) · Blue Ridge Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  44. 45 Morgan Lucy · Altavista: Dogwood District Championship (Oct 21)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 45 of 45 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Ava GarciaGalileo · SOFinish 21:32.621:32.621:15.667.7
2Lauralee SpickardWilliam Campbell · SRFinish 21:55.021:55.021:37.760.4
3Verity JordanRiverheads · JRFinish 21:59.121:59.121:41.759.0
4Briana PlumLuray · SRFinish 22:18.222:18.222:00.652.7
5Isabela RizekLuray · JRFinish 23:12.223:12.222:53.935.0
6Kierstin DoyneRiverheads · SRFinish 23:28.923:28.923:10.329.5
7Maria FrelkRappahannock County · JRFinish 23:38.023:38.023:19.326.5
8Maya JenkinsLuray · JRFinish 23:54.323:54.323:35.421.1
9Camryn SneadGalileo · JRFinish 23:56.323:56.323:37.420.5
10Sania LittleAltavista · SRFinish 24:02.224:02.223:43.218.5
11Carolina WoodLuray · SRFinish 24:04.524:04.523:45.517.8
12Natalie RidgewayLuray · FRFinish 24:14.124:14.123:54.914.6
13Reagan GwaltneyBuffalo Gap · JRFinish 24:17.424:17.423:58.213.5
14Salina LittleAltavista · SRFinish 24:18.924:18.923:59.713.0
15Jessie ArthurGalileo · SOFinish 24:40.924:40.924:21.45.8
16Danilu Acevedo-GarciaGalileo · SRFinish 25:13.225:13.224:53.3—
17Lorelei WrayGalileo · SRFinish 25:23.525:23.525:03.4—
18Chloe CatronLuray · FRFinish 25:46.725:46.725:26.3—
19Mia IsamanWilliam Campbell · SOFinish 25:54.125:54.125:33.6—
20Jenni Martinez-CanoBuffalo Gap · SOFinish 25:55.825:55.825:35.3—
21Aaliyah MinterCumberland · JRFinish 26:10.626:10.625:49.9—
22Adlin HubbleRappahannock County · SOFinish 26:17.026:17.025:56.2—
23Lucy DeweverAltavista · FRFinish 26:33.726:33.726:12.7—
24Charlotte BakerAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SRFinish 26:58.326:58.326:37.0—
25Amaya SoursLuray · FRFinish 27:03.427:03.426:42.0—
26Emily Aguirre- JimenezBuffalo Gap · JRFinish 27:14.427:14.426:52.9—
27Preslee ClayGalileo · JRFinish 27:17.927:17.926:56.3—
28Jay TurpieAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · FRFinish 27:26.327:26.327:04.6—
29Cecilia MassieRiverheads · SRFinish 27:44.727:44.727:22.8—
30Kayla CypherRiverheads · FRFinish 27:50.627:50.627:28.6—
31Miranda AdkinsAltavista · FRFinish 28:11.828:11.827:49.5—
32Sophia FarmerAltavista · FRFinish 28:37.628:37.628:15.0—
33Harmonie CowardCarver Academy · SOFinish 28:39.928:39.928:17.2—
34Adria ErvinRiverheads · SOFinish 28:48.928:48.928:26.1—
35Samantha Van OpstalGalileo · JRFinish 29:08.629:08.628:45.6—
36Chloe CypherRiverheads · JRFinish 29:20.229:20.228:57.0—
37Estella ShortWilliam Campbell · SRFinish 29:47.529:47.529:24.0—
38Selma HamiltonAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · JRFinish 30:04.530:04.529:40.7—
39Makiya HawkinsCumberland · JRFinish 30:44.730:44.730:20.4—
40Sofia DmobretSmith Mountain Lake · JRFinish 30:51.430:51.430:27.0—
41Areen AmrAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · SOFinish 31:17.431:17.430:52.7—
42Victoria HuitzaAppomattox Reg. Gov. School · FRFinish 31:22.331:22.330:57.5—
43Jenna GrimmerRiverheads · SOFinish 32:53.932:53.932:27.9—
44Briana GraftonAltavista · FRFinish 33:13.333:13.332:47.0—
45Morgan LucyAltavista · FRFinish 36:25.436:25.435:56.6—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.