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Oct 23, 2025 · Stafford, VA

commonwealth district championship 2025

Willowmere Park · Historical 2025 results

Other years: 2024 · 2023 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 7 held-out meets, 2025's ratings sit a median of 6.0 points (boys) and 8.6 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Uploaded Results Boys 5000 Meter Run

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B

49 of 49 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −20.5 s course and conditions +4.0 s in-season fitness −24.4 sCourse constant 484.35 (484)Race constant 488.37 (488)

45 used anchors± 4.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.570Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 45 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 45, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Connor Mallett Jackson · North Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Jacob Korn · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Trevor Jenkins · Colonial Forge: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 3) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Cairo Pons · Mountain View: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Ethan Hacking · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Isaac Nichols · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Aiden Lynn · Colonial Forge: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18)
  8. 8 Ethan Towery · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Ethan Govar · Stafford: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 6 more
  10. 10 Colton Palmer · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Micah Irwin · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Ryan Arnold · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Colin Kraus · Brooke Point: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Quinn O'Neill · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  15. 16 Braden Elchenko · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  16. 17 Travis Downs · Colonial Forge: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  17. 19 Griffin Pesnell · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  18. 20 Clark Holt · Mountain View: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  19. 21 Adam Kulbeth · North Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  20. 22 Jacob Calandria · Colonial Forge: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  21. 23 Ryan Hawkins · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  22. 24 Isaiah Hastings · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  23. 25 Michael Kahn · Colonial Forge: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 2 more
  24. 27 Samuel Thompson · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  25. 28 Brooks Hansen · Mountain View: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 27) · and 1 more
  26. 29 Josiah Licona · Mountain View: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 27) · and 1 more
  27. 30 Brent Milller · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  28. 31 Conor Collins · Mountain View: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 27)
  29. 32 Samuel Reese · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  30. 33 Joshua Thomas · North Stafford: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 3 more
  31. 34 Ethan Roche · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  32. 35 Gianni Lalota · North Stafford: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 1 more
  33. 37 Tristan Hopkins · Mountain View: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 27) · and 1 more
  34. 38 Connor Schwendeman · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  35. 39 Uriel Flores · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  36. 40 Caleb Bradshaw · North Stafford: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 3 more
  37. 41 Stephon Hernandez · North Stafford: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 1 more
  38. 42 Sebastian Cooke · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  39. 43 Aidan Branch · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  40. 44 Henry Palmer · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  41. 45 Laythan Fairchild · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  42. 46 Makai Garcia · North Stafford: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 3 more
  43. 47 Thomas Everston · Brooke Point: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4)
  44. 48 Brayden Folkerts · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  45. 49 Younus Mohammed · Massaponax: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 20)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 49 of 49 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Connor Mallett JacksonNorth Stafford · FRFinish 16:25.616:25.616:28.9159.9
2Jacob KornRiverbend · SRFinish 16:27.016:27.016:30.3159.5
3Trevor JenkinsColonial Forge · SRFinish 16:27.416:27.416:30.7159.3
4Cairo PonsMountain View · JRFinish 16:28.516:28.516:31.8159.0
5Ethan HackingRiverbend · JRFinish 16:33.116:33.116:36.5157.4
6Isaac NicholsStafford · SRFinish 16:36.016:36.016:39.4156.4
7Aiden LynnColonial Forge · SRFinish 16:38.616:38.616:42.0155.6
8Ethan ToweryStafford · FRFinish 16:40.116:40.116:43.5155.1
9Ethan GovarStafford · SRFinish 16:45.816:45.816:49.2153.2
10Colton PalmerColonial Forge · SRFinish 16:52.616:52.616:56.0150.9
11Micah IrwinRiverbend · JRFinish 16:57.516:57.517:00.9149.3
12Ryan ArnoldRiverbend · FRFinish 17:04.917:04.917:08.4146.8
13Colin KrausBrooke Point · JRFinish 17:05.917:05.917:09.4146.4
14Quinn O'NeillStafford · JRFinish 17:08.217:08.217:11.7145.7
15Easton FurrMassaponax · Grade not recordedFinish 17:10.317:10.317:13.8145.0
16Braden ElchenkoStafford · SRFinish 17:14.817:14.817:18.3143.5
17Travis DownsColonial Forge · JRFinish 17:17.317:17.317:20.8142.6
18Carson SaboColonial Forge · Grade not recordedFinish 17:21.617:21.617:25.1141.2
19Griffin PesnellRiverbend · JRFinish 17:21.917:21.917:25.4141.1
20Clark HoltMountain View · SRFinish 17:22.017:22.017:25.5141.1
21Adam KulbethNorth Stafford · FRFinish 17:25.517:25.517:29.0139.9
22Jacob CalandriaColonial Forge · SRFinish 17:34.717:34.717:38.3136.8
23Ryan HawkinsBrooke Point · JRFinish 17:41.917:41.917:45.5134.4
24Isaiah HastingsStafford · JRFinish 17:46.217:46.217:49.8133.0
25Michael KahnColonial Forge · JRFinish 17:47.617:47.617:51.2132.5
26Colin EspinozaMountain View · JRFinish 17:47.817:47.817:51.4132.4
27Samuel ThompsonRiverbend · FRFinish 17:56.017:56.017:59.6129.7
28Brooks HansenMountain View · JRFinish 17:59.417:59.418:03.1128.6
29Josiah LiconaMountain View · SRFinish 18:02.318:02.318:06.0127.6
30Brent MilllerBrooke Point · JRFinish 18:07.618:07.618:11.3125.8
31Conor CollinsMountain View · SOFinish 18:08.618:08.618:12.3125.5
32Samuel ReeseStafford · JRFinish 18:11.218:11.218:14.9124.6
33Joshua ThomasNorth Stafford · SOFinish 18:17.818:17.818:21.5122.4
34Ethan RocheRiverbend · SRFinish 18:24.018:24.018:27.7120.3
35Gianni LalotaNorth Stafford · SRFinish 18:27.618:27.618:31.3119.1
36John SimmonsBrooke Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:35.218:35.218:39.0116.6
37Tristan HopkinsMountain View · SRFinish 18:49.518:49.518:53.3111.8
38Connor SchwendemanBrooke Point · SOFinish 18:50.018:50.018:53.8111.6
39Uriel FloresMassaponax · FRFinish 19:05.919:05.919:09.8106.3
40Caleb BradshawNorth Stafford · SOFinish 19:13.019:13.019:16.9103.9
41Stephon HernandezNorth Stafford · FRFinish 19:15.719:15.719:19.6103.0
42Sebastian CookeMassaponax · SOFinish 19:24.619:24.619:28.5100.1
43Aidan BranchBrooke Point · SRFinish 19:24.919:24.919:28.8100.0
44Henry PalmerMassaponax · FRFinish 19:25.919:25.919:29.899.6
45Laythan FairchildMassaponax · SRFinish 19:48.119:48.119:52.192.2
46Makai GarciaNorth Stafford · SRFinish 20:09.620:09.620:13.785.0
47Thomas EverstonBrooke Point · JRFinish 20:33.120:33.120:37.377.1
48Brayden FolkertsMassaponax · FRFinish 20:49.720:49.720:53.971.6
49Younus MohammedMassaponax · JRFinish 21:40.821:40.821:45.254.5

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Uploaded Results Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

39 of 39 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −12.0 s course and conditions +13.1 s in-season fitness −25.1 sCourse constant 489.80 (490)Race constant 495.00 (495)

39 used anchors± 6.2 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.915Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 39 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 39, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Ava Pendley · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Lauren Ackerson · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Caroline Christy · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Victoria Hall · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Alexis Barber · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Sierra Poorbaugh · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  7. 7 Elizabeth Kitchens · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Ashleigh Menzenwerth · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Olivia Smith · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Lauren Uhle · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Madeline Howell · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Chloe Richards · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Cecilia Khatcheressian · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  14. 14 Clara Wilkinson · Brooke Point: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 4 more
  15. 15 Nadia Wilt · Colonial Forge: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Adalynn Poteet · Stafford: VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · and 5 more
  17. 17 Susan Peterson · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 3 more
  18. 18 Emily Wilson · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Clara Kate Harrison · Riverbend: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18)
  20. 20 Alessia Grant · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Emily Menzenwerth · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Riley Springston · Stafford: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 4 more
  23. 23 Audrey Smith · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 20)
  24. 24 Anne Wilson · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31)
  25. 25 Adriana Castro · Stafford: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  26. 26 Camilla Leiva · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 27) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Carrie Roy · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 27) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Hannah Freeman · Stafford: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 2 more
  29. 29 Gabriella Irish · Stafford: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 11) · and 1 more
  30. 30 Audrey Boetig · Riverbend: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Quinn Clark · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Sophia Hubbard · Mountain View: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · VHSL Region 6B Championships (Oct 31) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Michaela Holmes · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 4) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Ella Patton · Brooke Point: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 18) · 27th Annual Generals XC Invitational (Sep 20)
  35. 35 Tegan Nearman · Colonial Forge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 8) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  36. 36 Jaelynn Fox · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Chloe Priddy · Massaponax: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 20)
  38. 38 Rachel Dubyk · North Stafford: Slyestrong6 Northxc Invitational (Sep 20)
  39. 39 Farrah Bramlett · Massaponax: Region 5D XC Championship (Oct 29) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 18)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 39 of 39 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Ava PendleyColonial Forge · SRFinish 18:55.718:55.718:50.4116.1
2Lauren AckersonColonial Forge · JRFinish 19:13.919:13.919:08.5110.1
3Caroline ChristyRiverbend · SRFinish 19:35.419:35.419:29.9102.9
4Victoria HallColonial Forge · SOFinish 20:01.820:01.819:56.294.2
5Alexis BarberRiverbend · SRFinish 20:08.020:08.020:02.492.1
6Sierra PoorbaughStafford · JRFinish 20:16.620:16.620:10.989.3
7Elizabeth KitchensMountain View · SRFinish 20:23.620:23.620:17.986.9
8Ashleigh MenzenwerthRiverbend · JRFinish 20:31.120:31.120:25.484.5
9Olivia SmithColonial Forge · JRFinish 20:35.820:35.820:30.182.9
10Lauren UhleMountain View · FRFinish 20:43.020:43.020:37.280.5
11Madeline HowellRiverbend · JRFinish 20:43.120:43.120:37.380.5
12Chloe RichardsColonial Forge · FRFinish 20:52.020:52.020:46.277.5
13Cecilia KhatcheressianStafford · JRFinish 21:07.221:07.221:01.372.5
14Clara WilkinsonBrooke Point · FRFinish 21:36.121:36.121:30.162.9
15Nadia WiltColonial Forge · SRFinish 21:39.921:39.921:33.961.6
16Adalynn PoteetStafford · JRFinish 21:51.521:51.521:45.457.8
17Susan PetersonMountain View · SRFinish 21:58.821:58.821:52.755.4
18Emily WilsonMountain View · JRFinish 22:13.422:13.422:07.250.5
19Clara Kate HarrisonRiverbend · SRFinish 22:15.422:15.422:09.249.9
20Alessia GrantMountain View · JRFinish 22:27.322:27.322:21.045.9
21Emily MenzenwerthRiverbend · FRFinish 22:27.522:27.522:21.245.8
22Riley SpringstonStafford · JRFinish 22:39.822:39.822:33.541.8
23Audrey SmithMassaponax · JRFinish 22:53.822:53.822:47.437.1
24Anne WilsonMountain View · FRFinish 22:56.022:56.022:49.636.4
25Adriana CastroStafford · JRFinish 22:58.922:58.922:52.535.4
26Camilla LeivaBrooke Point · SRFinish 23:00.423:00.422:54.034.9
27Carrie RoyBrooke Point · 2Finish 23:06.223:06.222:59.833.0
28Hannah FreemanStafford · JRFinish 23:22.823:22.823:16.327.5
29Gabriella IrishStafford · SRFinish 23:23.523:23.523:17.027.3
30Audrey BoetigRiverbend · JRFinish 23:27.923:27.923:21.425.8
31Quinn ClarkBrooke Point · JRFinish 23:28.923:28.923:22.325.5
32Sophia HubbardMountain View · JRFinish 23:50.423:50.423:43.718.3
33Michaela HolmesBrooke Point · SRFinish 23:55.923:55.923:49.216.5
34Ella PattonBrooke Point · SOFinish 23:57.323:57.323:50.616.0
35Tegan NearmanColonial Forge · FRFinish 24:34.024:34.024:27.13.9
36Jaelynn FoxMassaponax · JRFinish 25:34.125:34.125:27.0—
37Chloe PriddyMassaponax · JRFinish 25:38.025:38.025:30.8—
38Rachel DubykNorth Stafford · SRFinish 28:15.028:15.028:07.1—
39Farrah BramlettMassaponax · FRFinish 34:06.434:06.433:56.9—

commonwealth district championship 2025, Oct 23, 2025

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.