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Nov 7, 2024 · Newport News, VA

vhsl 1a region a championships 2024

Newport News Park · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2023 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

1 of 1 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Results Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

48 of 48 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −53.6 s course and conditions −30.6 s in-season fitness −23.0 sCourse constant 479.56 (480)Race constant 476.03 (476)

30 used anchors± 7.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 30 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 30, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Gavin Dustin · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Cameron Lambert · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Joshua Woolard · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Chance Higginbotham · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  5. 5 Seth James · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Blake Hunley · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Thomas Quinn Agnew · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  8. 8 Jaxon McDonald · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  9. 9 Eli Philpot · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Eastern Shore District Championship (Oct 23)
  10. 10 Thomas Dobb · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  11. 11 Dickinson Tayloe · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Eastern Shore District Championship (Oct 23)
  12. 12 Gunnar Marston · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  13. 13 Zachary Salvadori · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Adam Greve · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Pearson Chapman · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  16. 16 Darius Jones · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  17. 17 Kendrick Collins · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  18. 18 Tanner Janisko · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  19. 19 Keegan Orem · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  20. 20 Chase Wallace · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  21. 21 Hudson Taylor · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Eastern Shore District Championship (Oct 23)
  22. 22 Tylan Lee · Lancaster: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  23. 24 Fernando PalacioPanuco · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  24. 25 Alex Gildo · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  25. 26 Isaac Hernandez · Lancaster: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  26. 34 Chris Butler · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  27. 36 Gage Smith · Lancaster: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  28. 38 Dylan Janisko · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  29. 41 Aaiden Bowman · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Eastern Shore District Championship (Oct 23)
  30. 49 Ashton Molineaux · Lancaster: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 48 of 48 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Gavin DustinMathews · SRFinish 16:50.016:50.017:22.7141.1
2Cameron LambertMiddlesex · SRFinish 16:57.016:57.017:30.0138.7
3Joshua WoolardLancaster · SRFinish 17:00.017:00.017:33.1137.7
4Chance HigginbothamMathews · JRFinish 17:01.017:01.017:34.1137.3
5Seth JamesMathews · SRFinish 17:24.017:24.017:57.8129.4
6Blake HunleyMathews · JRFinish 17:24.517:24.517:58.3129.2
7Thomas Quinn AgnewWest Point · SOFinish 17:28.017:28.018:02.0128.0
8Jaxon McDonaldMathews · SRFinish 17:35.017:35.018:09.2125.6
9Eli PhilpotNorthampton · JRFinish 17:36.017:36.018:10.2125.3
10Thomas DobbMiddlesex · SRFinish 18:00.018:00.018:35.0117.0
11Dickinson TayloeNorthampton · JRFinish 18:01.018:01.018:36.0116.7
12Gunnar MarstonMiddlesex · JRFinish 18:02.018:02.018:37.1116.3
13Zachary SalvadoriMathews · SOFinish 18:06.018:06.018:41.2115.0
14Adam GreveMathews · SOFinish 18:18.018:18.018:53.6110.8
15Pearson ChapmanWest Point · SRFinish 18:31.018:31.019:07.0106.4
16Darius JonesMiddlesex · SOFinish 18:50.018:50.019:26.699.8
17Kendrick CollinsNorthampton · SOFinish 19:01.019:01.019:38.096.0
18Tanner JaniskoMiddlesex · FRFinish 19:05.019:05.019:42.194.7
19Keegan OremRappahannock · JRFinish 19:07.019:07.019:44.294.0
20Chase WallaceRappahannock · JRFinish 19:12.019:12.019:49.392.3
21Hudson TaylorNorthampton · FRFinish 19:14.019:14.019:51.491.6
22Tylan LeeLancaster · SRFinish 19:22.019:22.019:59.788.8
23Gavin JettNorthumberland · SRFinish 19:27.019:27.020:04.887.1
24Fernando PalacioPanucoNorthampton · JRFinish 19:32.019:32.020:10.085.4
25Alex GildoNorthampton · SOFinish 19:33.019:33.020:11.085.0
26Isaac HernandezLancaster · SOFinish 19:35.019:35.020:13.184.3
27Luke SiskNorthumberland · SOFinish 19:41.019:41.020:19.382.3
28Daniel KellyRappahannock · JRFinish 19:44.019:44.020:22.481.2
30Ben SowinskiWest Point · JRFinish 19:50.019:50.020:28.679.2
31Kaii AdamsWest Point · JRFinish 19:52.019:52.020:30.678.5
32Christian PattonRappahannock · SRFinish 20:08.020:08.020:47.173.0
33Garrett DunnRappahannock · SOFinish 20:09.020:09.020:48.272.6
34Chris ButlerMiddlesex · JRFinish 20:10.020:10.020:49.272.3
35Gavin MccomasWestmoreland · JRFinish 20:15.020:15.020:54.470.6
36Gage SmithLancaster · SOFinish 20:28.020:28.021:07.866.1
37Andrew SeeterlinWest Point · FRFinish 20:36.020:36.021:16.163.3
38Dylan JaniskoMiddlesex · SRFinish 20:41.020:41.021:21.261.6
39Ethan WhiteRappahannock · SRFinish 20:47.020:47.021:27.459.6
40Thomas SeeterlinWest Point · FRFinish 20:54.020:54.021:34.657.2
41Aaiden BowmanNorthampton · FRFinish 21:13.021:13.021:54.250.6
42Carlton EasleyWestmoreland · JRFinish 21:31.021:31.022:12.844.4
43Michael RatliffWestmoreland · JRFinish 21:48.021:48.022:30.438.6
44Andersen BoothNorthumberland · FRFinish 22:17.022:17.023:00.328.6
45Michael CarlisleNorthumberland · JRFinish 22:19.022:19.023:02.427.9
46Logan BrentLancaster · FRFinish 27:09.027:09.028:01.8—
47Clement WilliamsLancaster · FRFinish 27:54.027:54.028:48.2—
48Charlie HapgoodNorthumberland · SRFinish 27:56.027:56.028:50.3—
49Ashton MolineauxLancaster · SRFinish 29:25.029:25.030:22.2—

vhsl 1a region a championships 2024, Nov 7, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.