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Nov 2, 2023 · Newport News, VA

VHSL 1A Region A Championships

Newport News Park · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

West Point High School 1A Region A Regional Championship Meet - 11/2/2023 Newport News Park Results Event 2 Boys 5k Run CC

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B

50 of 51 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −115.7 s course and conditions −96.2 s in-season fitness −19.4 sCourse constant 457.92 (458)Race constant 455.99 (456)

31 used anchors± 4.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 31 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 31, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Matthew Kane · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Gavin Dustin · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Seth James · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Joshua Woolard · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Blake Hunley · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Salvador Cardenas · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Gunnar Marston · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  8. 8 Chance Higginbotham · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Adam Dustin · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Andrew Greve · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Edward Dickinson Tayloe · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  12. 12 Eli Philpot · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  13. 13 Grayson Brown · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  14. 14 Keegan Orem · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  15. 15 Chase Wallace · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  16. 16 Thomas Quinn Agnew · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Aidan Ellwanger · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  18. 18 Chris Butler · Middlesex: Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  19. 21 River Diaz · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  20. 22 Noah Serio · West Point: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  21. 24 Trey'Vaun Randolph · West Point: Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  22. 25 Juan Perez Palacio · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  23. 26 Kendrick Collins · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  24. 27 Asher Sweetin · West Point: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  25. 29 Ben Sowinski · West Point: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  26. 32 Trajan Waddy · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  27. 34 Tylan Lee · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  28. 37 Gage Smith · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  29. 38 Ethan Parks · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  30. 40 Robert Hein · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  31. 46 Joseph Castillo · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 51 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Matthew KaneLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 16:04.016:04.017:32.2139.2
2Gavin DustinMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 16:10.016:10.017:38.7137.0
3Seth JamesMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 16:14.016:14.017:43.1135.6
4Joshua WoolardLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 16:44.016:44.018:15.8124.7
5Blake HunleyMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 16:46.016:46.018:18.0123.9
6Salvador CardenasMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 16:52.016:52.018:24.6121.7
7Gunnar MarstonMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 16:53.016:53.018:25.6121.4
8Chance HigginbothamMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 16:54.016:54.018:26.7121.0
9Adam DustinMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 17:19.017:19.018:54.0111.9
10Andrew GreveMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 17:20.017:20.018:55.1111.6
11Edward Dickinson TayloeNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:26.017:26.019:01.7109.4
12Eli PhilpotNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:39.017:39.019:15.9104.6
13Grayson BrownNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:41.017:41.019:18.0103.9
14Keegan OremRappahannock · Grade not recordedFinish 17:42.017:42.019:19.1103.6
15Chase WallaceRappahannock · Grade not recordedFinish 17:44.017:44.019:21.3102.8
16Thomas Quinn AgnewWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 17:54.017:54.019:32.299.2
17Aidan EllwangerWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:00.018:00.019:38.897.0
18Chris ButlerMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 18:10.018:10.019:49.793.4
19Corey DanielWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:19.018:19.019:59.590.1
20Thomas DobbMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 18:21.018:21.020:01.789.4
21River DiazLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 18:23.018:23.020:03.988.6
22Noah SerioWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:28.018:28.020:09.386.8
23Matthew MinnerWestmoreland · Grade not recordedFinish 18:31.018:31.020:12.685.7
24Trey'Vaun RandolphWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:32.018:32.020:13.785.4
25Juan Perez PalacioNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 18:33.018:33.020:14.885.0
26Kendrick CollinsNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 18:34.018:34.020:15.984.6
27Asher SweetinWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:35.018:35.020:17.084.3
28Dylan JaniskoMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 18:56.018:56.020:39.976.6
29Ben SowinskiWest Point · Grade not recordedFinish 18:57.018:57.020:41.076.3
30Garrett DunnRappahannock · Grade not recordedFinish 19:20.019:20.021:06.167.9
31Darius JonesMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 19:23.019:23.021:09.466.8
32Trajan WaddyLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 19:39.019:39.021:26.861.0
33Luke SiskNorthumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 19:55.019:55.021:44.355.2
34Tylan LeeLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 19:57.019:57.021:46.554.4
35Alexis GodinezRappahannock · Grade not recordedFinish 19:59.019:59.021:48.753.7
36Brennan WernerWestmoreland · Grade not recordedFinish 20:06.020:06.021:56.351.2
37Gage SmithLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 20:06.120:06.121:56.451.1
38Ethan ParksLancaster · Grade not recordedFinish 20:12.020:12.022:02.849.0
39Gavin JettNorthumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 20:27.020:27.022:19.243.5
40Robert HeinNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 20:32.020:32.022:24.741.7
41Joseph RoweMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 20:36.020:36.022:29.040.3
42Aiden EanesMiddlesex · Grade not recordedFinish 20:48.020:48.022:42.135.9
43Nicholas HaydenNorthumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 21:05.021:05.023:00.729.7
44Michael RatliffWestmoreland · Grade not recordedFinish 21:16.021:16.023:12.725.7
45Charlie HapgoodNorthumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 22:08.022:08.024:09.56.8
46Joseph CastilloNorthampton · Grade not recordedFinish 22:35.022:35.024:38.9—
47Tracy DavisEssex · Grade not recordedFinish 22:54.022:54.024:59.7—
48Bryan Yanez-GarciaWestmoreland · Grade not recordedFinish 23:39.023:39.025:48.8—
49Eli AscherEssex · Grade not recordedFinish 24:15.024:15.026:28.1—
50Isaac FaulknerNorthumberland · Grade not recordedFinish 27:15.027:15.029:44.5—
Show all 51 results (1 more)Showing all 51 results · hide rows 51–51
Boys results, rows 51 to 51 of 51
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
DNSHensarling, ZacharyWestmoreland · Grade not recordedFinish UnavailableUnavailableUnavailableUnavailable

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

results with scores Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

43 of 43 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −116.4 s course and conditions −95.6 s in-season fitness −20.9 sCourse constant 453.44 (453)Race constant 451.19 (451)

28 used anchors± 12.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 28 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 28, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Lauren Johnson · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Yenvy Nguyen · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Natalie Mothershead · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  4. 4 Adelle Hudgins · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Anna Jenkins · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Lorena Carballo · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  7. 7 Braylin Beauchamp · Northumberland: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  8. 8 Katie Dunn · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  9. 9 Lizania UscangaMorales · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  10. 10 Sophie Tayloe · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  11. 11 Lena Sanders · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Kelsie Rogers · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  13. 13 Allison Foulkes · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Zoe Camp · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  15. 15 Aleena Reza · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  16. 17 Morgan Stearns · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  17. 18 Anne Sterling Motley · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  18. 19 Danyiah Cofield · Lancaster: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  19. 20 Makayla Moore · Middlesex: Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  20. 22 Cynthia Lawrence · Lancaster: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  21. 23 Marley Bean · Lancaster: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  22. 25 Terrah Henrich · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  23. 26 Sarah McGee · Lancaster: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  24. 27 Lyla Duff · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  25. 32 Sophia Koontz · Middlesex: Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  26. 33 Jordan Sadeg · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  27. 35 Nora Vickery · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Woodside XC Invitational (Cross Country) meet (Sep 9)
  28. 38 Kaylee Hastings · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 43 of 43 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Lauren JohnsonMathews · FRFinish 19:59.019:59.021:48.558.0
2Yenvy NguyenWest Point · SOFinish 20:33.020:33.022:25.645.6
3Natalie MothersheadRappahannock · JRFinish 20:39.020:39.022:32.143.5
4Adelle HudginsMathews · SRFinish 20:45.020:45.022:38.741.3
5Anna JenkinsWest Point · FRFinish 21:28.021:28.023:25.625.6
6Lorena CarballoMathews · JRFinish 22:00.022:00.024:00.514.0
7Braylin BeauchampNorthumberland · FRFinish 22:11.022:11.024:12.510.0
8Katie DunnRappahannock · SOFinish 22:13.022:13.024:14.79.3
9Lizania UscangaMoralesNorthampton · JRFinish 22:19.022:19.024:21.27.1
10Sophie TayloeNorthampton · FRFinish 22:37.022:37.024:40.90.5
11Lena SandersWest Point · SOFinish 22:43.022:43.024:47.4—
12Kelsie RogersRappahannock · JRFinish 22:46.022:46.024:50.7—
13Allison FoulkesLancaster · SRFinish 22:54.022:54.024:59.4—
14Zoe CampMathews · Grade not recordedFinish 23:00.023:00.025:06.0—
15Aleena RezaMiddlesex · FRFinish 23:02.023:02.025:08.2—
16Wren GladwellRappahannock · FRFinish 23:09.023:09.025:15.8—
17Morgan StearnsMathews · SOFinish 23:09.123:09.125:15.9—
18Anne Sterling MotleyRappahannock · JRFinish 23:15.023:15.025:22.4—
19Danyiah CofieldLancaster · JRFinish 23:22.023:22.025:30.0—
20Makayla MooreMiddlesex · SOFinish 23:29.023:29.025:37.6—
21Maggie WonderlingRappahannock · JRFinish 23:30.023:30.025:38.7—
22Cynthia LawrenceLancaster · FRFinish 23:32.023:32.025:40.9—
23Marley BeanLancaster · SOFinish 23:45.023:45.025:55.1—
24Ann RiceNorthumberland · SOFinish 23:52.023:52.026:02.7—
25Terrah HenrichWest Point · JRFinish 23:55.023:55.026:06.0—
26Sarah McGeeLancaster · SRFinish 23:59.023:59.026:10.4—
27Lyla DuffMathews · SOFinish 24:12.024:12.026:24.6—
28Neveah WrightWestmoreland · SOFinish 24:37.024:37.026:51.8—
29Karli ParkerMiddlesex · JRFinish 24:48.024:48.027:03.9—
30Navaeh VaughnRappahannock · SRFinish 24:55.024:55.027:11.5—
31Ava SiegristNorthampton · SOFinish 24:57.024:57.027:13.7—
32Sophia KoontzMiddlesex · SRFinish 25:16.025:16.027:34.4—
33Jordan SadegMathews · FRFinish 25:17.025:17.027:35.5—
34Bethany WithersMiddlesex · SRFinish 25:34.025:34.027:54.1—
35Nora VickeryWest Point · SOFinish 26:32.026:32.028:57.3—
36Savana RuizVeraNorthampton · FRFinish 26:57.026:57.029:24.6—
37Amelia BaconEssex · SOFinish 28:58.028:58.031:36.7—
38Kaylee HastingsWest Point · JRFinish 29:24.029:24.032:05.1—
39Leora HeinNorthampton · SOFinish 29:33.029:33.032:14.9—
40Julianna LewisWestmoreland · SOFinish 30:40.030:40.033:28.0—
41Chloe AsherEssex · JRFinish 31:37.031:37.034:30.2—
42Chansce BerryEssex · SOFinish 32:30.032:30.035:28.0—
43Jocelyn HertaTorresNorthampton · JRFinish 32:35.032:35.035:33.5—

VHSL 1A Region A Championships, Nov 2, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.