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Nov 3, 2022 · Newport News, VA

vhsl 1a region a championships 2022

Newport News Park · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2024 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

1A Championship Results Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

49 of 49 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −45.7 s course and conditions −23.5 s in-season fitness −22.2 sCourse constant 483.76 (484)Race constant 479.79 (480)

27 used anchors± 7.5 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 27 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 27, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Seth James · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  2. 2 Corey Daniel · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  3. 3 Matthew Kane · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  4. 4 Gavin Dustin · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  5. 6 Chance Higginbotham · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  6. 7 Salvador Cardenas · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  7. 9 Jaxon McDonald · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  8. 10 Vicente Reyes · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  9. 11 Wes Dunn · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  10. 12 Gunnar Marston · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  11. 13 Jon Jenkins · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  12. 14 River Diaz · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  13. 15 Isaiah Minter · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  14. 16 Andrew Greve · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  15. 17 Aidan Ellwanger · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  16. 18 Asher Sweetin · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  17. 19 Eric Graulich · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  18. 20 Hunter Hayden · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  19. 22 Nathan Campbell · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  20. 25 Trajan Waddy · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  21. 26 Thomas Dobb · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  22. 27 Morgan Adams · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  23. 28 Andrew Sellers · West Point: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  24. 35 Dylan Janisko · Middlesex: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  25. 37 Nicholas Davis · West Point: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  26. 42 Ben Graves · West Point: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  27. OK Ewan Scott · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 49 of 49 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Seth JamesMathews · SOFinish 17:01.017:01.017:26.8141.0
2Corey DanielWest Point · JRFinish 17:21.017:21.017:47.3134.2
3Matthew KaneLancaster · SOFinish 17:52.017:52.018:19.1123.6
4Gavin DustinMathews · SOFinish 18:14.018:14.018:41.7116.1
5Joshua WoolardLancaster · SOFinish 18:20.018:20.018:47.8114.0
6Chance HigginbothamMathews · FRFinish 18:31.018:31.018:59.1110.3
7Salvador CardenasMathews · FRFinish 18:42.018:42.019:10.4106.5
8Edward Dickinson TayloeNorthampton · FRFinish 18:44.018:44.019:12.4105.8
9Jaxon McDonaldMathews · SOFinish 18:46.018:46.019:14.5105.2
10Vicente ReyesMiddlesex · SRFinish 18:48.018:48.019:16.5104.5
11Wes DunnRappahannock · JRFinish 18:53.018:53.019:21.6102.8
12Gunnar MarstonMiddlesex · FRFinish 18:56.018:56.019:24.7101.7
13Jon JenkinsMathews · FRFinish 19:02.019:02.019:30.999.7
14River DiazLancaster · FRFinish 19:06.019:06.019:35.098.3
15Isaiah MinterLancaster · JRFinish 19:07.019:07.019:36.098.0
16Andrew GreveMathews · JRFinish 19:19.019:19.019:48.393.9
17Aidan EllwangerWest Point · JRFinish 19:24.019:24.019:53.492.2
18Asher SweetinWest Point · FRFinish 19:28.019:28.019:57.590.8
19Eric GraulichMiddlesex · SRFinish 19:47.019:47.020:17.084.3
20Hunter HaydenLancaster · JRFinish 19:50.019:50.020:20.183.3
21Chase WallaceRappahannock · FRFinish 19:52.019:52.020:22.182.6
22Nathan CampbellMiddlesex · SRFinish 19:56.019:56.020:26.281.2
23Grayson BrownNorthampton · FRFinish 19:58.019:58.020:28.380.5
24Noah SerioWest Point · JRFinish 20:07.020:07.020:37.577.5
25Trajan WaddyLancaster · JRFinish 20:09.020:09.020:39.676.8
26Thomas DobbMiddlesex · SOFinish 20:18.020:18.020:48.873.7
27Morgan AdamsMiddlesex · FRFinish 20:40.020:40.021:11.366.2
28Andrew SellersWest Point · SOFinish 20:43.020:43.021:14.465.2
29Christian PattonRappahannock · SOFinish 20:46.020:46.021:17.564.1
30Keegan OremRappahannock · FRFinish 20:47.020:47.021:18.563.8
31Jason HensarlingWestmoreland · SRFinish 20:55.020:55.021:26.761.1
32Jameson ScottLancaster · SRFinish 20:59.020:59.021:30.859.7
34Fernando PalacioNorthampton · FRFinish 21:03.021:03.021:34.958.3
35Dylan JaniskoMiddlesex · SOFinish 21:06.021:06.021:38.057.3
36Daniel KellyRappahannock · FRFinish 21:24.021:24.021:56.551.2
37Nicholas DavisWest Point · SRFinish 21:25.021:25.021:57.550.8
38James ApplegateNorthampton · SRFinish 21:31.021:31.022:03.648.8
39Brennan WernerWestmoreland · SOFinish 22:23.022:23.022:56.931.0
40Nicholas HaydenNorthumberland · SOFinish 22:41.022:41.023:15.424.8
41Zachary HensarlingWestmoreland · SOFinish 23:00.023:00.023:34.918.3
42Ben GravesWest Point · FRFinish 23:04.023:04.023:39.017.0
43Charlie HapgoodNorthumberland · SOFinish 23:32.023:32.024:07.77.4
44Robert HeinNorthampton · JRFinish 24:24.024:24.025:01.0—
45Alexis GodinezRappahannock · SOFinish 26:26.026:26.027:06.1—
46Caleb AshRappahannock · SOFinish 26:28.026:28.027:08.1—
47Gadiel GuerreroNorthampton · SOFinish 27:37.027:37.028:18.9—
48Bryan Yanez-GarciaWestmoreland · FRFinish 28:16.028:16.028:58.9—
49Andrew NicholasWestmoreland · FRFinish 29:09.029:09.029:53.2—
OKEwan ScottLancaster · JRFinish 20:59.020:59.021:30.859.7

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

1A Championship Results Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

39 of 39 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −53.7 s course and conditions −30.9 s in-season fitness −22.8 sCourse constant 479.62 (480)Race constant 476.43 (476)

24 used anchors± 10.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 24 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 24, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Adelle Hudgins · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  2. 2 Melody Smith · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  3. 3 Anna Raub · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  4. 4 Camdin Sisk · Northumberland: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  5. 5 Lena Sanders · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  6. 6 Yenvy Nguyen · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  7. 7 Kiera Coleman · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  8. 8 Sadie Blake · Northumberland: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  9. 9 Lizania UscangaMorales · Northampton: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  10. 10 Zoe Camp · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  11. 11 Terrah Henrich · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  12. 12 Kelsie Rogers · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  13. 13 Katie Dunn · Rappahannock: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  14. 14 Ayla Saunders · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  15. 15 Allison Foulkes · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  16. 18 Lilly Bane · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  17. 23 Nora Vickery · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  18. 24 Morgan Stearns · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  19. 25 Marley Bean · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  20. 26 Sarah McGee · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  21. 29 Sofi Kusumoto · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  22. 30 Lyla Duff · Mathews: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  23. 31 Danyiah Cofield · Lancaster: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  24. 32 Kaylee Hastings · West Point: VHSL Class 1 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 39 of 39 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Adelle HudginsMathews · JRFinish 21:43.021:43.022:24.144.4
2Melody SmithMathews · SRFinish 22:26.022:26.023:08.529.6
3Anna RaubMathews · SRFinish 22:31.022:31.023:13.627.9
4Camdin SiskNorthumberland · SRFinish 22:35.022:35.023:17.726.6
5Lena SandersWest Point · FRFinish 22:56.022:56.023:39.419.3
6Yenvy NguyenWest Point · FRFinish 22:57.022:57.023:40.419.0
7Kiera ColemanLancaster · SRFinish 22:58.022:58.023:41.518.6
8Sadie BlakeNorthumberland · SRFinish 22:59.022:59.023:42.518.3
9Lizania UscangaMoralesNorthampton · SOFinish 23:10.023:10.023:53.814.5
10Zoe CampMathews · SRFinish 23:56.023:56.024:41.3—
11Terrah HenrichWest Point · SOFinish 24:14.024:14.024:59.9—
12Kelsie RogersRappahannock · SOFinish 24:27.024:27.025:13.3—
13Katie DunnRappahannock · FRFinish 24:31.024:31.025:17.4—
14Ayla SaundersLancaster · SOFinish 24:35.024:35.025:21.5—
15Allison FoulkesLancaster · JRFinish 24:40.024:40.025:26.7—
16Jenna MooreRappahannock · FRFinish 24:53.024:53.025:40.1—
17Makayla MooreMiddlesex · FRFinish 25:00.025:00.025:47.3—
18Lilly BaneMathews · JRFinish 25:21.025:21.026:09.0—
19Sophia KoontzMiddlesex · JRFinish 25:23.025:23.026:11.0—
20Elsie KoontzMiddlesex · FRFinish 25:25.025:25.026:13.1—
21Ann RiceNorthumberland · FRFinish 25:28.025:28.026:16.2—
22Elena MilstedRappahannock · SOFinish 25:35.025:35.026:23.4—
23Nora VickeryWest Point · FRFinish 25:40.025:40.026:28.6—
24Morgan StearnsMathews · FRFinish 25:45.025:45.026:33.7—
25Marley BeanLancaster · FRFinish 25:50.025:50.026:38.9—
26Sarah McGeeLancaster · JRFinish 25:55.025:55.026:44.0—
27Anne Sterling MotleyRappahannock · SOFinish 26:29.026:29.027:19.1—
28Jocelyn HertaTorresNorthampton · SOFinish 26:52.026:52.027:42.8—
29Sofi KusumotoWest Point · SRFinish 26:57.026:57.027:48.0—
30Lyla DuffMathews · FRFinish 28:20.028:20.029:13.6—
31Danyiah CofieldLancaster · SOFinish 28:30.028:30.029:23.9—
32Kaylee HastingsWest Point · SOFinish 29:54.029:54.030:50.6—
33Paris BaconEssex · SOFinish 30:50.030:50.031:48.4—
34Chloe AsherEssex · SOFinish 31:19.031:19.032:18.3—
35Haley DunnRappahannock · JRFinish 31:36.031:36.032:35.8—
36Leora HeinNorthampton · FRFinish 32:47.032:47.033:49.0—
37Amelia BaconEssex · FRFinish 34:20.034:20.035:25.0—
38Courtney SmawNorthampton · SRFinish 34:45.034:45.035:50.8—
39Joanna AlvarezRappahannock · SOFinish 37:20.037:20.038:30.7—

vhsl 1a region a championships 2022, Nov 3, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.