NovaRunners
All meets

Oct 31, 2024 · The Plains, VA

cardinal district championships 2024

Great Meadow (Non-State) Course · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2025 · 2023 · 2022

Report a problem with this meet

Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

High School Boys 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Boys varsity
C

38 of 38 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +3.4 s course and conditions +27.5 s in-season fitness −24.1 sCourse constant 498.86 (499)Race constant 495.37 (495)

31 used anchors± 9.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 31 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 31, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Owen Renquist · Woodbridge: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Deaven Roberts · Woodbridge: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Bradley Johnson · Woodbridge: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Emory Kiernan · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Jackson Smith · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Mason Riggle · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Charles Lasher · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Colin Magnell · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Henry McCarthy · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7)
  10. 10 Jonathan Dawit · Forest Park: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Myles Hendler-Voss · Forest Park: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Ezkiel Ambachew · Gar-Field: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  13. 14 Edward Koroma · Potomac: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  14. 15 Darryl Tucker · Potomac: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  15. 16 Robby Lee · Forest Park: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  16. 17 Nick Sprung · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  17. 18 Connor Finegan · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  18. 19 John Pedersen · Forest Park: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  19. 22 Ahmir Harris · Potomac: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  20. 23 Sebastian Cuca-Jaramillo · C.D. Hylton: FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  21. 24 Dominic Smith · Potomac: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  22. 25 Pierce Jameson · Forest Park: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7)
  23. 28 Eloi Comamala · C.D. Hylton: FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  24. 29 Deshaun Dorty · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  25. 30 Noah Ihejirika · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  26. 31 Quinton Rowe · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  27. 33 Benjamin Wolford · C.D. Hylton: FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  28. 34 Leonardo Crespo · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  29. 35 Tyler Espinoza · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  30. 36 Najon Hare · Potomac: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Great Meadow Invitational (Sep 7)
  31. 37 Scott Damon · C.D. Hylton: FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 38 of 38 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Owen RenquistWoodbridge · SRFinish 16:58.316:58.316:41.4154.9
2Deaven RobertsWoodbridge · SRFinish 17:08.817:08.816:51.8151.4
3Bradley JohnsonWoodbridge · SOFinish 17:16.317:16.316:59.2149.0
4Emory KiernanColgan · SOFinish 17:23.717:23.717:06.5146.5
5Jackson SmithColgan · SOFinish 17:41.917:41.917:24.3140.6
6Mason RiggleColgan · SOFinish 18:00.018:00.017:42.1134.7
7Charles LasherColgan · JRFinish 18:10.518:10.517:52.5131.2
8Colin MagnellColgan · JRFinish 18:13.418:13.417:55.4130.2
9Henry McCarthyWoodbridge · SOFinish 18:25.418:25.418:07.1126.3
10Jonathan DawitForest Park · FRFinish 18:36.618:36.618:18.1122.6
11Myles Hendler-VossForest Park · SRFinish 18:39.018:39.018:20.5121.8
12Ezkiel AmbachewGar-Field · SOFinish 18:48.618:48.618:30.0118.7
13Ethan MishlerWoodbridge · SOFinish 18:49.718:49.718:31.0118.3
14Edward KoromaPotomac · SRFinish 18:55.618:55.618:36.8116.4
15Darryl TuckerPotomac · SRFinish 19:06.119:06.118:47.1113.0
16Robby LeeForest Park · SRFinish 19:19.919:19.919:00.7108.5
17Nick SprungColgan · SRFinish 19:23.819:23.819:04.5107.2
18Connor FineganColgan · SRFinish 19:45.019:45.019:25.4100.2
19John PedersenForest Park · JRFinish 19:57.719:57.719:37.996.1
20Daniel PalominoForest Park · SOFinish 20:25.020:25.020:04.887.1
21Rasikh AzaadC.D. Hylton · JRFinish 20:26.420:26.420:06.186.7
22Ahmir HarrisPotomac · SRFinish 20:27.320:27.320:07.086.4
23Sebastian Cuca-JaramilloC.D. Hylton · JRFinish 20:53.620:53.620:32.877.7
24Dominic SmithPotomac · SOFinish 21:07.721:07.720:46.773.1
25Pierce JamesonForest Park · JRFinish 22:15.722:15.721:53.650.8
26Mikai WoodFreedom (Woodbridge) · SOFinish 22:18.422:18.421:56.349.9
27Hyeonmin HwangC.D. Hylton · JRFinish 22:42.722:42.722:20.242.0
28Eloi ComamalaC.D. Hylton · SOFinish 23:19.123:19.122:56.030.0
29Deshaun DortyGar-Field · SOFinish 23:50.023:50.023:26.319.9
30Noah IhejirikaGar-Field · SRFinish 24:01.224:01.223:37.316.3
31Quinton RoweGar-Field · FRFinish 24:09.924:09.923:45.913.4
32Ellis Bowers JrFreedom (Woodbridge) · SRFinish 24:11.024:11.023:47.013.0
33Benjamin WolfordC.D. Hylton · SOFinish 24:31.024:31.024:06.76.5
34Leonardo CrespoGar-Field · SRFinish 24:53.724:53.724:29.0—
35Tyler EspinozaGar-Field · SOFinish 25:01.425:01.424:36.5—
36Najon HarePotomac · JRFinish 25:16.925:16.924:51.8—
37Scott DamonC.D. Hylton · SRFinish 26:10.126:10.125:44.2—
38Preston McKenzieC.D. Hylton · SRFinish 41:20.841:20.840:39.8—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

High School Girls 5000 Meter Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
C

34 of 34 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +14.0 s course and conditions +40.3 s in-season fitness −26.3 sCourse constant 510.81 (511)Race constant 504.72 (505)

24 used anchors± 9.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 24 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 24, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Liana Eberly · Woodbridge: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Caroline Drunasky · Woodbridge: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Mauli Harford · Colgan: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Marleigh Wilson · Woodbridge: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Rania Carter · Potomac: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Padma Reilly · C.D. Hylton: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  7. 7 Colleena Corrigan · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Aklecia Ambachew · Gar-Field: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  9. 9 Madeline Johnson · Forest Park: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Heather Masters · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Brooklyn George · Woodbridge: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  12. 13 Apollonia Davila · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  13. 14 Vayda Rich · Woodbridge: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  14. 15 Anna Roberts · Woodbridge: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  15. 16 Lauryn Pearson · C.D. Hylton: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7)
  16. 17 Hannah Matthes · C.D. Hylton: FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  17. 18 Natalie Masters · Colgan: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  18. 19 Naomi Bates · C.D. Hylton: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  19. 23 Elisabeth Wiker · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  20. 24 Madelynn Burns · C.D. Hylton: VHSL Region 6B Cross Country Championships (Nov 7) · FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  21. 25 Emily Le · Potomac: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Great Meadow Invitational (Sep 7)
  22. 29 Sofia LaParra · Potomac: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  23. 30 Kaylan Culpepper · Potomac: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  24. 32 Ali Crespo · Gar-Field: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 34 of 34 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Liana EberlyWoodbridge · JRFinish 19:19.719:19.718:49.6115.5
2Caroline DrunaskyWoodbridge · SOFinish 19:55.019:55.019:24.0104.1
3Mauli HarfordColgan · SRFinish 20:01.520:01.519:30.3102.0
4Marleigh WilsonWoodbridge · JRFinish 21:23.221:23.220:49.975.4
5Rania CarterPotomac · SRFinish 21:37.421:37.421:03.770.8
6Padma ReillyC.D. Hylton · SOFinish 21:45.821:45.821:11.968.1
7Colleena CorriganColgan · JRFinish 21:53.421:53.421:19.365.6
8Aklecia AmbachewGar-Field · SRFinish 21:57.421:57.421:23.264.3
9Madeline JohnsonForest Park · SRFinish 22:17.722:17.721:43.057.7
10Heather MastersColgan · SRFinish 22:47.822:47.822:12.348.0
11Brooklyn GeorgeWoodbridge · JRFinish 22:58.522:58.522:22.744.5
12Janiyah MarshallFreedom (Woodbridge) · SOFinish 23:19.923:19.922:43.637.5
13Apollonia DavilaColgan · SOFinish 23:22.523:22.522:46.136.7
14Vayda RichWoodbridge · JRFinish 23:42.623:42.623:05.730.2
15Anna RobertsWoodbridge · JRFinish 24:06.724:06.723:29.222.3
16Lauryn PearsonC.D. Hylton · SRFinish 24:10.224:10.223:32.621.2
17Hannah MatthesC.D. Hylton · JRFinish 24:20.924:20.923:43.017.7
18Natalie MastersColgan · SRFinish 24:26.724:26.723:48.615.8
19Naomi BatesC.D. Hylton · SOFinish 24:28.424:28.423:50.315.3
20Andrea Diaz-OrellanaWoodbridge · SOFinish 24:46.524:46.524:07.99.4
21Amani JonesColgan · FRFinish 24:57.824:57.824:18.95.8
22Claire NavarroForest Park · JRFinish 25:27.925:27.924:48.3—
23Elisabeth WikerGar-Field · FRFinish 25:40.225:40.225:00.2—
24Madelynn BurnsC.D. Hylton · SOFinish 26:39.926:39.925:58.4—
25Emily LePotomac · FRFinish 27:11.927:11.926:29.6—
26Jodie DeLeonFreedom (Woodbridge) · SRFinish 27:17.427:17.426:34.9—
27Eden CameronForest Park · SOFinish 27:28.527:28.526:45.7—
28Liora JohnsonForest Park · 1Finish 27:50.627:50.627:07.3—
29Sofia LaParraPotomac · FRFinish 31:22.431:22.430:33.6—
30Kaylan CulpepperPotomac · JRFinish 31:23.031:23.030:34.1—
31Celenethia SakyiGar-Field · JRFinish 32:37.032:37.031:46.2—
32Ali CrespoGar-Field · JRFinish 32:46.832:46.831:55.8—
33Katelyn BaldwinForest Park · FRFinish 33:36.233:36.232:43.9—
34Keira FitzgeraldForest Park · JRFinish 37:53.637:53.636:54.6—

cardinal district championships 2024, Oct 31, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.