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Nov 2, 2023 · Fairfax Station, VA

Northern Region Cross Country Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,796 M

2023 Northern Regiion CC Championship November 02, 2023 2.98 Mile Course-Overall Finish List - Boys All Teams O'all

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B

61 of 61 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −67.1 s course and conditions −46.8 s in-season fitness −20.3 sCourse constant 476.97 (477)Race constant 475.29 (475)

60 used anchors± 3.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 4,796 m

Adjusted from 60 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 60, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Junior Allen · Oakton: RunningLane Cross Country Championships (Dec 2) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Tristan Thurneysen · Chantilly: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Landon Newell · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Jack Morgan · Chantilly: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Bohon Chatterjee · Herndon: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Reid Dalley · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  7. 7 Elijah Post · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Matthew Pedicano · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Luke Barlow · Chantilly: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Roman Steis · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Danny McGlynn · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Andrew Janetsky · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Emmett Engelhardt · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Simon Barnes · George Marshall: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Chris Siriwardene · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Liam Keish · Wakefield: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Trials of Miles XC Opening Night presented by New Balance (Sep 2)
  17. 17 Manuel Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Wyatt Jessup · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Conor Eklund · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Jason Raffel · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Wes Knaggs · Langley: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 5 more
  22. 22 Kian Beumer · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Sebastian Nowicki · Chantilly: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Hubert Chang · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Baden Geary · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  26. 26 Matthew Kane · George Marshall: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  27. 27 George Hood · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Cole Casey · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Noah Gunville · Wakefield: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  30. 30 Daniel Malakoff · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  31. 31 Alex Morris · Chantilly: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  32. 32 Evan Plath · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  33. 33 Jackson Coombes · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  34. 34 Shane Roy · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  35. 35 Tristan Welsh · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  36. 36 Harrison Willens · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  37. 37 Noa Gibson · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Riyad Belayachi · Westfield: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  39. 39 Jackson Loyer · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Tyler Swint · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Charlie Wilkins · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  42. 42 Hayden Carpenter · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  43. 43 William Breslin · Chantilly: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  44. 44 Zain Rasheed · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9) · and 1 more
  45. 46 Winston Poster · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  46. 47 Sameer Jones · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Carlisle Invitational (Sep 30)
  47. 48 Gavin Silva · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14)
  48. 49 Aidan McCarthy · George Marshall: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  49. 50 Samuel Estrada Zapata · George Marshall: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 2 more
  50. 51 Jamal Eyow · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 61 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Junior AllenOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 14:30.014:30.015:08.8187.0
2Tristan ThurneysenChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 14:32.014:32.015:10.9186.3
3Landon NewellOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:20.015:20.016:01.1169.6
4Jack MorganChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:27.015:27.016:08.4167.1
5Bohon ChatterjeeHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 15:28.015:28.016:09.4166.8
6Reid DalleyYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 15:29.015:29.016:10.5166.4
7Elijah PostCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:29.015:29.016:10.5166.4
8Matthew PedicanoYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 15:32.015:32.016:13.6165.4
9Luke BarlowChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:34.015:34.016:15.7164.7
10Roman SteisYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 15:36.015:36.016:17.8164.0
11Danny McGlynnCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:38.015:38.016:19.9163.3
12Andrew JanetskyHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 15:38.015:38.016:19.9163.3
13Emmett EngelhardtWashington-Liberty · Grade not recordedFinish 15:45.015:45.016:27.2160.9
14Simon BarnesGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 15:51.015:51.016:33.5158.8
15Chris SiriwardeneCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:54.015:54.016:36.6157.7
16Liam KeishWakefield · Grade not recordedFinish 15:54.015:54.016:36.6157.7
17Manuel Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 15:56.015:56.016:38.7157.0
18Wyatt JessupCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:57.015:57.016:39.7156.7
19Conor EklundOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:59.015:59.016:41.8156.0
20Jason RaffelSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:00.016:00.016:42.9155.6
21Wes KnaggsLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:09.016:09.016:52.3152.5
22Kian BeumerSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:09.016:09.016:52.3152.5
23Sebastian NowickiChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:11.016:11.016:54.4151.8
24Hubert ChangCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:15.016:15.016:58.5150.4
25Baden GearyHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 16:16.016:16.016:59.6150.1
26Matthew KaneGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.016:18.017:01.7149.4
27George HoodSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.016:18.017:01.7149.4
28Cole CaseySouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:20.016:20.017:03.8148.7
29Noah GunvilleWakefield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:21.016:21.017:04.8148.3
30Daniel MalakoffOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:21.016:21.017:04.8148.3
31Alex MorrisChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:24.016:24.017:07.9147.3
32Evan PlathCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:24.016:24.017:07.9147.3
33Jackson CoombesMcLean · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.016:27.017:11.1146.2
34Shane RoyOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:12.1145.9
35Tristan WelshOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:12.1145.9
36Harrison WillensOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:32.016:32.017:16.3144.5
37Noa GibsonSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.016:33.017:17.3144.2
38Riyad BelayachiWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:36.016:36.017:20.5143.1
39Jackson LoyerCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:40.016:40.017:24.7141.7
40Tyler SwintLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:44.016:44.017:28.8140.3
41Charlie WilkinsSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:44.016:44.017:28.8140.3
42Hayden CarpenterYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 16:46.016:46.017:30.9139.6
43William BreslinChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:46.016:46.017:30.9139.6
44Zain RasheedLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:49.016:49.017:34.1138.6
45Matthew ChastainLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:56.016:56.017:41.4136.1
46Winston PosterLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:57.016:57.017:42.4135.8
47Sameer JonesYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 17:03.017:03.017:48.7133.7
48Gavin SilvaLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:06.017:06.017:51.8132.7
49Aidan McCarthyGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:10.017:10.017:56.0131.3
50Samuel Estrada ZapataGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:16.017:16.018:02.3129.2
Show all 61 results (11 more)Showing all 61 results · hide rows 51–61
Boys results, rows 51 to 61 of 61
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Jamal EyowHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:19.017:19.018:05.4128.1
52Colin RileyYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 17:30.017:30.018:16.9124.3
53Oliver ScottGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:37.017:37.018:24.2121.9
54Charles GavinLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:38.017:38.018:25.2121.5
55James FisherGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:39.017:39.018:26.3121.2
56Benjamin ValosHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:42.017:42.018:29.4120.1
57Pierce TarutaniGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:43.017:43.018:30.5119.8
58Liam HullHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:47.017:47.018:34.6118.4
59Carson HulkaHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:57.017:57.018:45.1114.9
60Mason WolvertonYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 18:00.018:00.018:48.2113.9
61Liam WestenbroekChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 18:13.018:13.019:01.8109.3

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Results Girls Three Mile Run

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B

58 of 58 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −76.1 s course and conditions −54.5 s in-season fitness −21.6 sCourse constant 475.68 (476)Race constant 473.89 (474)

58 used anchors± 3.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 58 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 58, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Caroline Elliott · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Meghan Sullivan · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Kiki Van Der Weide · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Lila Pesavento · Langley: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Sofia Sheldon · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Caroline Sapperstein · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Eleanor Whitehouse · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Lydia Mikhin · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Hazel Calway · Langley: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Catalina Simon · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Daniela Diaz · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Amelia Shoemaker · George Marshall: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Madeleine Spaner · Langley: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  14. 14 Corinne Jaggard · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Ellen Malloy · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Calypso Rolly · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  17. 17 Sofie Keppler · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Aya Ryan · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Bella Harsanyi · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Ingrid Shumway · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Leah Durkee · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  22. 22 Irene Ha · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Maria Pekarsky · Westfield: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Sophie Lewis · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Ella Dunn · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Ali Mathews · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Abigail Mesfin · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Devyn Telleen · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Elizabeth Kruzinski · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Raquel Lewis · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Rhianen Eichelbaum · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Meg Lubas · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  33. 33 Emily Buckwalter · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26)
  34. 34 Mina Dowler · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  35. 35 Gabrielle Antoine · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  36. 36 Maya Kent · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  37. 37 Julia Toro · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Hannah Bellerose · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  39. 39 Paige Poulos · Langley: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  40. 40 Hannah Hawkins · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  41. 41 Madison Sayen · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  42. 42 Ella Wright · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Natalie Nguyen · Oakton: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  44. 44 Sydney Walker · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Amy Cheong · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Suri Paruchabutr · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  47. 47 Lily Zavrel · Langley: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
  48. 48 Lea Soderholm · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  49. 49 Jayden Vafier · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 26) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  50. 50 Avery Miller · Langley: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 26) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 58 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Caroline ElliottSouth Lakes · SOFinish 17:42.017:42.018:37.4121.7
2Meghan SullivanHerndon · JRFinish 18:07.018:07.019:03.7112.9
3Kiki Van Der WeideJames Madison · JRFinish 18:08.018:08.019:04.8112.6
4Lila PesaventoLangley · JRFinish 18:11.018:11.019:07.9111.5
5Sofia SheldonYorktown · SRFinish 18:15.018:15.019:12.1110.1
6Caroline SappersteinOakton · SOFinish 18:17.018:17.019:14.3109.4
7Eleanor WhitehouseYorktown · SRFinish 18:18.018:18.019:15.3109.1
8Lydia MikhinJames Madison · JRFinish 18:19.018:19.019:16.4108.7
9Hazel CalwayLangley · JRFinish 18:24.018:24.019:21.6107.0
10Catalina SimonSouth Lakes · JRFinish 18:24.018:24.019:21.6107.0
11Daniela DiazMcLean · SOFinish 18:31.018:31.019:29.0104.5
12Amelia ShoemakerGeorge Marshall · JRFinish 18:32.018:32.019:30.0104.2
13Madeleine SpanerLangley · JRFinish 18:33.018:33.019:31.1103.8
14Corinne JaggardLangley · JRFinish 18:34.018:34.019:32.1103.4
15Ellen MalloyYorktown · JRFinish 18:34.018:34.019:32.1103.4
16Calypso RollyMcLean · JRFinish 18:41.018:41.019:39.5101.0
17Sofie KepplerYorktown · JRFinish 18:55.018:55.019:54.296.1
18Aya RyanSouth Lakes · SOFinish 19:03.019:03.020:02.793.3
19Bella HarsanyiSouth Lakes · SRFinish 19:09.019:09.020:09.091.2
20Ingrid ShumwayMcLean · SRFinish 19:12.019:12.020:12.190.1
21Leah DurkeeMcLean · JRFinish 19:14.019:14.020:14.289.4
22Irene HaSouth Lakes · SOFinish 19:14.019:14.020:14.289.4
23Maria PekarskyWestfield · JRFinish 19:15.019:15.020:15.389.1
24Sophie LewisOakton · SOFinish 19:15.019:15.020:15.389.1
25Ella DunnYorktown · JRFinish 19:15.019:15.020:15.389.1
26Ali MathewsYorktown · FRFinish 19:16.019:16.020:16.388.7
27Abigail MesfinOakton · FRFinish 19:18.019:18.020:18.488.0
28Devyn TelleenCentreville · JRFinish 19:20.019:20.020:20.587.3
29Elizabeth KruzinskiOakton · SRFinish 19:25.019:25.020:25.885.6
30Raquel LewisOakton · JRFinish 19:26.019:26.020:26.985.2
31Rhianen EichelbaumOakton · SRFinish 19:32.019:32.020:33.283.1
32Meg LubasWashington-Liberty · FRFinish 19:43.019:43.020:44.779.2
33Emily BuckwalterWashington-Liberty · SOFinish 19:43.019:43.020:44.779.2
34Mina DowlerWashington-Liberty · SOFinish 19:48.019:48.020:50.077.5
35Gabrielle AntoineJames Madison · SOFinish 19:54.019:54.020:56.375.4
36Maya KentWashington-Liberty · SRFinish 19:54.019:54.020:56.375.4
37Julia ToroMcLean · JRFinish 19:57.019:57.020:59.574.3
38Hannah BelleroseWashington-Liberty · FRFinish 19:58.019:58.021:00.574.0
39Paige PoulosLangley · SOFinish 19:59.019:59.021:01.673.6
40Hannah HawkinsYorktown · SOFinish 20:04.020:04.021:06.871.9
41Madison SayenCentreville · JRFinish 20:14.020:14.021:17.468.4
42Ella WrightMcLean · FRFinish 20:15.020:15.021:18.468.0
43Natalie NguyenOakton · SOFinish 20:18.020:18.021:21.667.0
44Sydney WalkerMcLean · FRFinish 20:20.020:20.021:23.766.3
45Amy CheongCentreville · JRFinish 20:21.020:21.021:24.765.9
46Suri ParuchabutrJames Madison · FRFinish 20:23.020:23.021:26.865.2
47Lily ZavrelLangley · SRFinish 20:33.020:33.021:37.361.7
48Lea SoderholmSouth Lakes · JRFinish 20:41.020:41.021:45.858.9
49Jayden VafierCentreville · SRFinish 20:49.020:49.021:54.256.1
50Avery MillerLangley · SOFinish 20:50.020:50.021:55.255.7
Show all 58 results (8 more)Showing all 58 results · hide rows 51–58
Girls results, rows 51 to 58 of 58
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Ella KaplanWashington-Liberty · JRFinish 20:52.020:52.021:57.355.0
52Katie TyleckiJames Madison · JRFinish 20:56.020:56.022:01.553.6
53Daniela CuellarCentreville · SOFinish 21:21.021:21.022:27.944.9
54Juliana Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · SOFinish 21:26.021:26.022:33.143.1
55Sonya RooneyJames Madison · FRFinish 21:27.021:27.022:34.242.8
56Elise ChungJames Madison · FRFinish 21:34.021:34.022:41.540.3
57Kate ChoiCentreville · SOFinish 22:01.022:01.023:09.930.8
58Falyn ForcierCentreville · SOFinish 22:58.022:58.024:09.910.9

Northern Region Cross Country Championship, Nov 2, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.