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Nov 3, 2022 · Fairfax Station, VA

2022 Northern Region Cross Country Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2025 · 2024 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,800 M

O'all Adj

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A

59 of 59 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −49.1 s course and conditions −27.0 s in-season fitness −22.1 sCourse constant 484.06 (484)Race constant 480.42 (480)

55 used anchors± 2.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 4,800 m

Adjusted from 55 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 55, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kai Gibson · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Tyler Coleman · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Jack Levine · Yorktown: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Manuel Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Junior Allen · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Tristan Thurneysen · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Elijah Post · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Seth Oliver · George Marshall: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Conor Eklund · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Derek Lewis · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Noa Gibson · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Sean Sanders · George Marshall: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  13. 13 Raymond Creeks · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Iyasu Yemane · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Simon Barnes · George Marshall: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Jack Morgan · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Eliot Soderholm · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Sam Romasanta · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  19. 19 George Hood · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  20. 21 Carson Siekierka · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  21. 22 Luke Barlow · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  22. 23 Andrew Janetsky · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  23. 24 Bradford Woodhouse · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  24. 25 Samuel Lee · George Marshall: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  25. 26 Jason Raffel · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  26. 27 Brian Creeks · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  27. 29 Reid Dalley · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Escape The Rock Invitational (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  28. 31 Quin Sehon · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  29. 32 Tyler Swint · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  30. 33 Noah Banga · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  31. 34 Clayton Stoil · Langley: Arrows Invitational (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  32. 35 Alex Morris · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 1 more
  33. 36 Bohon Chatterjee · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  34. 37 Nawfal Elwannas · George Marshall: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  35. 38 Arhan Atre · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  36. 39 Alexander Curcio · George Marshall: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  37. 40 Mason Wolverton · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 2 more
  38. 41 Hubert Chang · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  39. 42 Andrew Yost · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  40. 43 Kevin Farnsworth · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  41. 44 Aidan McCarthy · George Marshall: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  42. 45 Carson Hulka · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  43. 46 Roman Steis · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  44. 47 Kaeden Brown · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  45. 48 Wes Knaggs · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  46. 49 Charles Gavin · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  47. 51 Eamon King · Yorktown: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27)
  48. 52 Ashton Johns · Langley: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Escape The Rock Invitational (Sep 17) · and 1 more
  49. 53 Wyatt Jessup · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  50. 54 Chris Siriwardene · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 59 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kai GibsonSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 15:34.015:34.016:00.5169.8
2Tyler ColemanOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:42.015:42.016:08.7167.1
3Jack LevineYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 15:42.015:42.016:08.7167.1
4Manuel Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 15:45.015:45.016:11.8166.0
5Junior AllenOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:48.015:48.016:14.9165.0
6Tristan ThurneysenChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:54.015:54.016:21.0163.0
7Elijah PostCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:58.015:58.016:25.1161.6
8Seth OliverGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 16:01.016:01.016:28.2160.6
9Conor EklundOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:02.016:02.016:29.3160.2
10Derek LewisOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:04.016:04.016:31.3159.5
11Noa GibsonSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:06.016:06.016:33.4158.8
12Sean SandersGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 16:06.016:06.016:33.4158.8
13Raymond CreeksChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:08.016:08.016:35.4158.2
14Iyasu YemaneOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:11.016:11.016:38.5157.1
15Simon BarnesGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 16:13.016:13.016:40.6156.4
16Jack MorganChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:13.016:13.016:40.6156.4
17Eliot SoderholmSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:21.016:21.016:48.8153.7
18Sam RomasantaChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:21.016:21.016:48.8153.7
19George HoodSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:22.016:22.016:49.8153.4
20Matthew NicholsJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:23.016:23.016:50.9153.0
21Carson SiekierkaCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:23.016:23.016:50.9153.0
22Luke BarlowChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:24.016:24.016:51.9152.7
23Andrew JanetskyHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.016:56.0151.3
24Bradford WoodhouseOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:31.016:31.016:59.1150.3
25Samuel LeeGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.016:33.017:01.1149.6
26Jason RaffelSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:37.016:37.017:05.3148.2
27Brian CreeksChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:47.016:47.017:15.5144.8
28Omar MassoudMcLean · Grade not recordedFinish 16:47.016:47.017:15.5144.8
29Reid DalleyYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 16:49.016:49.017:17.6144.1
30Emmett EngelhardtWashington-Liberty · Grade not recordedFinish 16:49.016:49.017:17.6144.1
31Quin SehonOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:51.016:51.017:19.6143.4
32Tyler SwintLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:53.016:53.017:21.7142.7
33Noah BangaSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:55.016:55.017:23.8142.1
34Clayton StoilLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 16:56.016:56.017:24.8141.7
35Alex MorrisChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 17:00.017:00.017:28.9140.3
36Bohon ChatterjeeHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:02.017:02.017:31.0139.7
37Nawfal ElwannasGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:02.017:02.017:31.0139.7
38Arhan AtreCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:07.017:07.017:36.1137.9
39Alexander CurcioGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:10.017:10.017:39.2136.9
40Mason WolvertonYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 17:10.017:10.017:39.2136.9
41Hubert ChangCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:12.017:12.017:41.2136.2
42Andrew YostHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:16.017:16.017:45.4134.9
43Kevin FarnsworthLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.017:24.017:53.6132.1
44Aidan McCarthyGeorge Marshall · Grade not recordedFinish 17:29.017:29.017:58.7130.4
45Carson HulkaHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:29.017:29.017:58.7130.4
46Roman SteisYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 17:31.017:31.018:00.8129.7
47Kaeden BrownCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:36.017:36.018:05.9128.0
48Wes KnaggsLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:37.017:37.018:07.0127.7
49Charles GavinLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:40.017:40.018:10.0126.6
50Tyler ParkMcLean · Grade not recordedFinish 17:45.017:45.018:15.2124.9
Show all 59 results (9 more)Showing all 59 results · hide rows 51–59
Boys results, rows 51 to 59 of 59
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Eamon KingYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 17:46.017:46.018:16.2124.6
52Ashton JohnsLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:48.017:48.018:18.3123.9
53Wyatt JessupCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:49.017:49.018:19.3123.5
54Chris SiriwardeneCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:51.017:51.018:21.3122.9
55Denzel WebbHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:53.017:53.018:23.4122.2
56Tejus VermaLangley · Grade not recordedFinish 17:53.017:53.018:23.4122.2
57Zane SequeiraHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 17:54.017:54.018:24.4121.8
58Hayden CarpenterYorktown · Grade not recordedFinish 17:59.017:59.018:29.6120.1
59Michael PrzybyszHerndon · Grade not recordedFinish 18:40.018:40.019:11.7106.1

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Results Three Mile Run

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B

56 of 56 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −61.8 s course and conditions −39.2 s in-season fitness −22.6 sCourse constant 479.54 (480)Race constant 476.90 (477)

56 used anchors± 3.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 56 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 56, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Gillian Bushee · Herndon: Champs National Cross Country Championships (Dec 10) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Thaïs Rolly · McLean: Champs National Cross Country Championships (Dec 10) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Lila Waters · Langley: Team Southeast Regional (Nov 26) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 4 more
  4. 4 Sitota Mesfin · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Lydia Mikhin · James Madison: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  6. 6 Haley Spoden · George Marshall: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 4 more
  7. 7 Hazel Calway · Langley: Team Southeast Regional (Nov 26) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 5 more
  8. 8 Tea Geary · Herndon: Champs South Regional (Nov 26) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Calypso Rolly · McLean: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27)
  10. 10 Anna Lewis · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Sofia Sheldon · Yorktown: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Lila Pesavento · Langley: Team Southeast Regional (Nov 26) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 5 more
  13. 13 Catalina Simon · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Madeleine Spaner · Langley: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Corinne Jaggard · Langley: Team Southeast Regional (Nov 26) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 5 more
  16. 16 Caroline Elliott · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Lea Soderholm · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Ingrid Shumway · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Raquel Lewis · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Elise Walker · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27)
  21. 21 Kiki Van Der Weide · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Meghan Sullivan · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Devyn Telleen · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Rhianen Eichelbaum · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  25. 25 Corinne Sheedy · Langley: Team Southeast Regional (Nov 26) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 4 more
  26. 26 Annalise Williams · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Daniela Diaz · McLean: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Bella Harsanyi · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Karenna Keane · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  30. 30 Katie Tylecki · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  31. 31 Elizabeth Kruzinski · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Olivea Salamone · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  33. 33 Gabrielle Antoine · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  34. 34 Aya Ryan · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Emily Buckwalter · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27)
  36. 36 Alba Edsall · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  37. 37 Kaitlyn Hoang · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  38. 38 Sienna Williams · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  39. 39 Leah Durkee · McLean: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Hannah Petersen · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Keira Malzahn · South Lakes: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Katherine (Kate) Floom · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  43. 43 Anna Quackenbush · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
  44. 44 Daniela Cuellar · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Lily Jacobs · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Sara Rooney · James Madison: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Mina Dowler · Washington-Liberty: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27)
  48. 48 Jayden Vafier · Centreville: Concorde District CC Championship (Oct 27) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  49. 49 Ashley McCoy · Herndon: Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  50. 50 Olivia Jang · McLean: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Liberty District CC Championship (Oct 27) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 56 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Gillian BusheeHerndon · SRFinish 17:09.017:09.017:49.1136.1
2Thaïs RollyMcLean · SRFinish 17:09.017:09.017:49.1136.1
3Lila WatersLangley · SRFinish 17:44.017:44.018:25.5124.0
4Sitota MesfinOakton · SRFinish 18:04.018:04.018:46.2117.1
5Lydia MikhinJames Madison · SOFinish 18:05.018:05.018:47.3116.7
6Haley SpodenGeorge Marshall · SRFinish 18:14.018:14.018:56.6113.6
7Hazel CalwayLangley · SOFinish 18:21.018:21.019:03.9111.2
8Tea GearyHerndon · SRFinish 18:23.018:23.019:06.0110.5
9Calypso RollyMcLean · SOFinish 18:26.018:26.019:09.1109.4
10Anna LewisOakton · SRFinish 18:31.018:31.019:14.3107.7
11Sofia SheldonYorktown · JRFinish 18:35.018:35.019:18.4106.3
12Lila PesaventoLangley · SOFinish 18:35.018:35.019:18.4106.3
13Catalina SimonSouth Lakes · SOFinish 18:41.018:41.019:24.7104.2
14Madeleine SpanerLangley · SOFinish 18:59.018:59.019:43.498.0
15Corinne JaggardLangley · SOFinish 19:00.019:00.019:44.497.7
16Caroline ElliottSouth Lakes · FRFinish 19:21.019:21.020:06.290.4
17Lea SoderholmSouth Lakes · SOFinish 19:26.019:26.020:11.488.7
18Ingrid ShumwayMcLean · JRFinish 19:28.019:28.020:13.588.0
19Raquel LewisOakton · SOFinish 19:34.019:34.020:19.785.9
20Elise WalkerMcLean · SOFinish 19:39.019:39.020:24.984.2
21Kiki Van Der WeideJames Madison · SOFinish 19:40.019:40.020:26.083.8
22Meghan SullivanHerndon · SOFinish 19:42.019:42.020:28.183.1
23Devyn TelleenCentreville · SOFinish 19:44.019:44.020:30.182.4
24Rhianen EichelbaumOakton · JRFinish 19:44.019:44.020:30.182.4
25Corinne SheedyLangley · SRFinish 19:46.019:46.020:32.281.7
26Annalise WilliamsSouth Lakes · SRFinish 19:51.019:51.020:37.480.0
27Daniela DiazMcLean · FRFinish 19:54.019:54.020:40.579.0
28Bella HarsanyiSouth Lakes · JRFinish 19:57.019:57.020:43.677.9
29Karenna KeaneWashington-Liberty · SRFinish 20:00.020:00.020:46.876.9
30Katie TyleckiJames Madison · SOFinish 20:03.020:03.020:49.975.8
31Elizabeth KruzinskiOakton · JRFinish 20:05.020:05.020:52.075.1
32Olivea SalamoneCentreville · SRFinish 20:10.020:10.020:57.273.4
33Gabrielle AntoineJames Madison · FRFinish 20:14.020:14.021:01.372.0
34Aya RyanSouth Lakes · FRFinish 20:16.020:16.021:03.471.3
35Emily BuckwalterWashington-Liberty · FRFinish 20:18.020:18.021:05.570.6
36Alba EdsallWashington-Liberty · SOFinish 20:24.020:24.021:11.768.6
37Kaitlyn HoangOakton · SOFinish 20:24.020:24.021:11.768.6
38Sienna WilliamsWashington-Liberty · SOFinish 20:27.020:27.021:14.867.5
39Leah DurkeeMcLean · SOFinish 20:29.020:29.021:16.966.8
40Hannah PetersenJames Madison · SRFinish 20:45.020:45.021:33.561.3
41Keira MalzahnSouth Lakes · JRFinish 20:49.020:49.021:37.759.9
42Katherine (Kate) FloomWashington-Liberty · SOFinish 20:51.020:51.021:39.759.2
43Anna QuackenbushOakton · SRFinish 20:54.020:54.021:42.958.2
44Daniela CuellarCentreville · FRFinish 21:05.021:05.021:54.354.4
45Lily JacobsJames Madison · SRFinish 21:13.021:13.022:02.651.6
46Sara RooneyJames Madison · JRFinish 21:16.021:16.022:05.750.6
47Mina DowlerWashington-Liberty · FRFinish 21:26.021:26.022:16.147.1
48Jayden VafierCentreville · JRFinish 21:30.021:30.022:20.345.7
49Ashley McCoyHerndon · SOFinish 21:31.021:31.022:21.345.4
50Olivia JangMcLean · SRFinish 21:34.021:34.022:24.444.3
Show all 56 results (6 more)Showing all 56 results · hide rows 51–56
Girls results, rows 51 to 56 of 56
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Ella HartmanCentreville · FRFinish 21:38.021:38.022:28.642.9
52Ella KaplanWashington-Liberty · SOFinish 21:49.021:49.022:40.039.1
53Leia McKinstryCentreville · SOFinish 21:55.021:55.022:46.237.1
54Margaret LukeHerndon · JRFinish 21:56.021:56.022:47.336.7
55Madison SayenCentreville · SOFinish 21:58.021:58.022:49.436.0
56Olivia Dela CruzHerndon · SOFinish 22:02.022:02.022:53.534.6

2022 Northern Region Cross Country Championship, Nov 3, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.