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Oct 27, 2022 · Fairfax Station, VA

2022 Concorde District CC Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2022 results

Other years: 2026 · 2024 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

O'all Adj

Copy link to Boys varsity
B

59 of 59 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −51.6 s course and conditions −29.5 s in-season fitness −22.1 sCourse constant 483.27 (483)Race constant 479.62 (480)

58 used anchors± 3.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 58 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 58, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Kai Gibson · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Junior Allen · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Tyler Coleman · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  4. 4 Tristan Thurneysen · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Manuel Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Derek Lewis · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Elijah Post · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Iyasu Yemane · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Conor Eklund · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Carson Siekierka · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Quin Sehon · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Noa Gibson · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Matthew Nichols · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Sam Romasanta · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Noah Banga · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Bradford Woodhouse · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  17. 17 George Hood · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Luke Barlow · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Jason Raffel · South Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Brian Creeks · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Zack Noell · Oakton: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  22. 22 Raymond Creeks · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Alex Morris · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Sebastian Nowicki · Chantilly: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Jack Morgan · Chantilly: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Evan Gibbons · South Lakes: Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  27. 27 Kian Beumer · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30)
  28. 28 John Introne · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Bill Gurski · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  30. 30 Ben Campet · Westfield: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  31. 31 Hubert Chang · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Cole Casey · South Lakes: Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  33. 33 Siddarth Luthra · Oakton: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  34. 34 Nicolas Hernandez · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Arhan Atre · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  36. 36 Kaeden Brown · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  37. 37 Chris Siriwardene · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  38. 39 Adwait Harkare · Chantilly: Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  39. 40 Nate Carbaugh · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  40. 41 Wyatt Jessup · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  41. 42 Luke Mizell · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  42. 43 Andrew Jolley · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  43. 44 Austin Pemble · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  44. 45 Stephen Harrington · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  45. 46 Joey Magenheimer · Centreville: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  46. 47 Isaac Hale · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  47. 48 Hunter Olson · Centreville: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  48. 49 Simon Lee · Chantilly: Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  49. 50 Tyler Solomon · Centreville: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  50. 51 Patrick McCulloch · James Madison: Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 59 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Kai GibsonSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 15:34.015:34.016:02.6169.1
2Junior AllenOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:42.015:42.016:10.8166.4
3Tyler ColemanOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:50.015:50.016:19.0163.6
4Tristan ThurneysenChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:54.015:54.016:23.2162.3
5Manuel Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 15:58.015:58.016:27.3160.9
6Derek LewisOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:59.015:59.016:28.3160.5
7Elijah PostCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:59.015:59.016:28.3160.5
8Iyasu YemaneOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:05.016:05.016:34.5158.5
9Conor EklundOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:05.016:05.016:34.5158.5
10Carson SiekierkaCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:07.016:07.016:36.6157.8
11Quin SehonOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:17.016:17.016:46.9154.4
12Noa GibsonSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.016:18.016:47.9154.0
13Matthew NicholsJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:21.016:21.016:51.0153.0
14Sam RomasantaChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:24.016:24.016:54.1151.9
15Noah BangaSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:24.016:24.016:54.1151.9
16Bradford WoodhouseOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:25.016:25.016:55.1151.6
17George HoodSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:26.016:26.016:56.1151.3
18Luke BarlowChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.016:27.016:57.2150.9
19Jason RaffelSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.016:27.016:57.2150.9
20Brian CreeksChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:34.016:34.017:04.4148.5
21Zack NoellOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:35.016:35.017:05.4148.2
22Raymond CreeksChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:36.016:36.017:06.4147.8
23Alex MorrisChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:38.016:38.017:08.5147.1
24Sebastian NowickiChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:39.016:39.017:09.5146.8
25Jack MorganChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:39.016:39.017:09.5146.8
26Evan GibbonsSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:42.016:42.017:12.6145.8
27Kian BeumerSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:43.016:43.017:13.7145.4
28John IntroneWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:51.016:51.017:21.9142.7
29Bill GurskiJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:56.016:56.017:27.1141.0
30Ben CampetWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:56.016:56.017:27.1141.0
31Hubert ChangCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:03.017:03.017:34.3138.5
32Cole CaseySouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 17:06.017:06.017:37.4137.5
33Siddarth LuthraOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:22.017:22.017:53.9132.0
34Nicolas HernandezSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 17:33.017:33.018:05.2128.2
35Arhan AtreCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:34.017:34.018:06.2127.9
36Kaeden BrownCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:34.017:34.018:06.2127.9
37Chris SiriwardeneCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:35.017:35.018:07.3127.6
38Landon NewellOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:46.017:46.018:18.6123.8
39Adwait HarkareChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 17:50.017:50.018:22.7122.4
40Nate CarbaughWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:50.017:50.018:22.7122.4
41Wyatt JessupCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:54.017:54.018:26.8121.0
42Luke MizellWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:57.017:57.018:29.9120.0
43Andrew JolleyJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 17:57.017:57.018:29.9120.0
44Austin PembleJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:00.018:00.018:33.0119.0
45Stephen HarringtonJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:04.018:04.018:37.1117.6
46Joey MagenheimerCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 18:11.018:11.018:44.4115.2
47Isaac HaleWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:12.018:12.018:45.4114.8
48Hunter OlsonCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 18:17.018:17.018:50.5113.1
49Simon LeeChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 18:24.018:24.018:57.7110.7
50Tyler SolomonCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 18:27.018:27.019:00.8109.7
Show all 59 results (9 more)Showing all 59 results · hide rows 51–59
Boys results, rows 51 to 59 of 59
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Patrick McCullochJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:43.018:43.019:17.3104.2
52Matthew CoveyJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:50.018:50.019:24.5101.8
53Andrew NewkirkWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:51.018:51.019:25.6101.4
54Rhys ScottWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:52.018:52.019:26.6101.1
55Gabe LebahnWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 19:03.019:03.019:37.997.3
56Kosin ParuchabutrJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 19:08.019:08.019:43.195.6
57Rohit KamathJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 19:23.019:23.019:58.690.5
58Nate AdamsWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 19:26.019:26.020:01.689.4
59Thomas AzarJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 19:54.019:54.020:30.579.8

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Results Three Mile Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
B

51 of 51 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −64.9 s course and conditions −42.4 s in-season fitness −22.6 sCourse constant 477.59 (478)Race constant 474.82 (475)

49 used anchors± 3.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 49 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 49, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Sitota Mesfin · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Lydia Mikhin · James Madison: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Catalina Simon · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Anna Lewis · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Raquel Lewis · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Lea Soderholm · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Devyn Telleen · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Caroline Elliott · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Rhianen Eichelbaum · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Kiki Van Der Weide · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Elizabeth Kruzinski · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Bella Harsanyi · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Katie Tylecki · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  14. 14 Annalise Williams · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Olivea Salamone · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Gabrielle Antoine · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  17. 17 Maria Pekarsky · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  18. 18 Aya Ryan · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Kaitlyn Hoang · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Kate Phelps · Oakton: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  21. 21 Anna Quackenbush · Oakton: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Hannah Petersen · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Sara Rooney · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Anastasia Hayes · Chantilly: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  25. 25 Alexa Gilbert · Chantilly: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Keira Malzahn · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Rella Yarrington · Oakton: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  28. 28 Jayden Vafier · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  29. 29 Sarah Van Buren · Westfield: Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  30. 30 Daniela Cuellar · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Lean Canales · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Lily Jacobs · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  33. 33 Juliana Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  34. 34 Ella Hartman · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Maxine Singdahlsen · Oakton: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 10)
  36. 36 Anne Krieger · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  37. 38 Madison Sayen · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  38. 39 Johanna Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Woodberry Forest Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  39. 40 Leia McKinstry · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 3) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  40. 41 Ella Heisterkamp · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  41. 42 Sophie Diccox · Westfield: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  42. 43 Caroline Clinton · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Richard Bland College of William & Mary XC Invite (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  43. 44 Angelina Xu · Chantilly: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  44. 45 Amelia Hamby · Chantilly: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
  45. 46 Eliana Sherenco · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24) · and 1 more
  46. 48 Maria Rosca · Centreville: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  47. 49 Helen Nowicki · Chantilly: Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  48. 50 Eubin Kim · Chantilly: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 15) · Oatlands Invitational (Sep 24)
  49. 51 Estelle Ober · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 10)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 51 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Sitota MesfinOakton · SRFinish 18:24.018:24.019:10.2109.1
2Lydia MikhinJames Madison · SOFinish 18:30.018:30.019:16.4107.0
3Catalina SimonSouth Lakes · SOFinish 18:50.018:50.019:37.2100.1
4Anna LewisOakton · SRFinish 19:05.019:05.019:52.994.8
5Raquel LewisOakton · SOFinish 19:30.019:30.020:18.986.2
6Lea SoderholmSouth Lakes · SOFinish 19:32.019:32.020:21.085.5
7Devyn TelleenCentreville · SOFinish 19:36.019:36.020:25.284.1
8Caroline ElliottSouth Lakes · FRFinish 19:36.019:36.020:25.284.1
9Rhianen EichelbaumOakton · JRFinish 19:36.019:36.020:25.284.1
10Kiki Van Der WeideJames Madison · SOFinish 19:39.019:39.020:28.383.0
11Elizabeth KruzinskiOakton · JRFinish 19:40.019:40.020:29.382.7
12Bella HarsanyiSouth Lakes · JRFinish 19:47.019:47.020:36.680.3
13Katie TyleckiJames Madison · SOFinish 19:52.019:52.020:41.878.5
14Annalise WilliamsSouth Lakes · SRFinish 19:56.019:56.020:46.077.1
15Olivea SalamoneCentreville · SRFinish 19:58.019:58.020:48.176.4
16Gabrielle AntoineJames Madison · FRFinish 20:02.020:02.020:52.275.0
17Maria PekarskyWestfield · SOFinish 20:06.020:06.020:56.473.7
18Aya RyanSouth Lakes · FRFinish 20:09.020:09.020:59.572.6
19Kaitlyn HoangOakton · SOFinish 20:18.020:18.021:08.969.5
20Kate PhelpsOakton · SRFinish 20:24.020:24.021:15.267.4
21Anna QuackenbushOakton · SRFinish 20:36.020:36.021:27.763.2
22Hannah PetersenJames Madison · SRFinish 20:55.020:55.021:47.556.6
23Sara RooneyJames Madison · JRFinish 20:59.020:59.021:51.655.3
24Anastasia HayesChantilly · FRFinish 21:00.021:00.021:52.754.9
25Alexa GilbertChantilly · SOFinish 21:04.021:04.021:56.853.5
26Keira MalzahnSouth Lakes · JRFinish 21:06.021:06.021:58.952.8
27Rella YarringtonOakton · SOFinish 21:09.021:09.022:02.051.8
28Jayden VafierCentreville · JRFinish 21:11.021:11.022:04.151.1
29Sarah Van BurenWestfield · JRFinish 21:14.021:14.022:07.350.0
30Daniela CuellarCentreville · FRFinish 21:21.021:21.022:14.547.6
31Lean CanalesWestfield · JRFinish 21:27.021:27.022:20.845.5
32Lily JacobsJames Madison · SRFinish 21:30.021:30.022:23.944.5
33Juliana Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · FRFinish 21:42.021:42.022:36.440.3
34Ella HartmanCentreville · FRFinish 21:45.021:45.022:39.639.3
35Maxine SingdahlsenOakton · JRFinish 21:46.021:46.022:40.638.9
36Anne KriegerJames Madison · SRFinish 21:52.021:52.022:46.836.8
37Irene HaSouth Lakes · FRFinish 21:57.021:57.022:52.135.1
38Madison SayenCentreville · SOFinish 21:57.021:57.022:52.135.1
39Johanna Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · SOFinish 22:04.022:04.022:59.332.7
40Leia McKinstryCentreville · SOFinish 22:19.022:19.023:15.027.5
41Ella HeisterkampJames Madison · SRFinish 22:21.022:21.023:17.126.8
42Sophie DiccoxWestfield · JRFinish 22:26.022:26.023:22.325.0
43Caroline ClintonJames Madison · SRFinish 22:37.022:37.023:33.721.2
44Angelina XuChantilly · SRFinish 23:02.023:02.023:59.812.5
45Amelia HambyChantilly · JRFinish 23:11.023:11.024:09.19.4
46Eliana SherencoWestfield · JRFinish 23:15.023:15.024:13.38.0
47Kate ChoiCentreville · FRFinish 23:20.023:20.024:18.56.3
48Maria RoscaCentreville · SOFinish 23:26.023:26.024:24.84.2
49Helen NowickiChantilly · FRFinish 23:40.023:40.024:39.4—
50Eubin KimChantilly · SOFinish 23:48.023:48.024:47.7—
Show all 51 results (1 more)Showing all 51 results · hide rows 51–51
Girls results, rows 51 to 51 of 51
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Estelle OberWestfield · JRFinish 24:28.024:28.025:29.4—

2022 Concorde District CC Championship, Oct 27, 2022

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.