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Oct 26, 2023 · Fairfax Station, VA

2023 Concorde District CC Championship

Burke Lake 2.98 Mile Course · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2026 · 2024 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 4,800 M

O'all

Copy link to Boys varsity
B

59 of 59 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −54.1 s course and conditions −33.6 s in-season fitness −20.5 sCourse constant 480.59 (481)Race constant 478.88 (479)

59 used anchors± 3.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 4,800 m

Adjusted from 59 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 59, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Junior Allen · Oakton: RunningLane Cross Country Championships (Dec 2) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Tristan Thurneysen · Chantilly: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Jack Morgan · Chantilly: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Landon Newell · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Danny McGlynn · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  6. 6 Luke Barlow · Chantilly: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Elijah Post · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Jason Raffel · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Conor Eklund · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Alex Morris · Chantilly: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Chris Siriwardene · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  12. 12 William Breslin · Chantilly: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Noa Gibson · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Riyad Belayachi · Westfield: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Manuel Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Wyatt Jessup · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  17. 17 Kian Beumer · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Cole Casey · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  19. 19 George Hood · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Hubert Chang · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Sebastian Nowicki · Chantilly: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Tristan Welsh · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Charlie Wilkins · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Daniel Malakoff · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  25. 25 Harrison Willens · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Shane Roy · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  27. 27 Evan Plath · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  28. 28 Rhys Scott · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Matthew Nichols · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  30. 30 Jackson Loyer · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Ryan Quinn · South Lakes: Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22)
  32. 32 Jad Haichour · Oakton: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Ethan Drey · Oakton: Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  34. 34 Manas Bollineni · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Andrew Jolley · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  36. 36 David Huang · Oakton: Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  37. 37 Caleb Cho · Centreville: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  38. 38 Tyler Solomon · Centreville: Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Liam Westenbroek · Chantilly: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Sai Varun Konagalla · Chantilly: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  41. 41 Gabe Lebahn · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Nicolas Hernandez · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Zacchaeus Post · Centreville: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30)
  44. 44 Xavier Lewandowski · Chantilly: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  45. 45 Ben Campet · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  46. 46 Santiago Dew · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Matthew Fooks · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  48. 48 Karl Lindahl · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  49. 49 Mateo Barillas · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  50. 50 Mahmut Inanoglu · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 59 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Junior AllenOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 14:48.014:48.015:17.2184.2
2Tristan ThurneysenChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:01.015:01.015:30.6179.7
3Jack MorganChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:34.015:34.016:04.7168.4
4Landon NewellOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 15:38.015:38.016:08.8167.0
5Danny McGlynnCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 15:39.015:39.016:09.8166.7
6Luke BarlowChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 15:51.015:51.016:22.2162.5
7Elijah PostCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:02.016:02.016:33.6158.7
8Jason RaffelSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:07.016:07.016:38.7157.0
9Conor EklundOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:11.016:11.016:42.9155.6
10Alex MorrisChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:11.016:11.016:42.9155.6
11Chris SiriwardeneCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:18.016:18.016:50.1153.2
12William BreslinChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:19.016:19.016:51.1152.9
13Noa GibsonSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:26.016:26.016:58.4150.5
14Riyad BelayachiWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.016:27.016:59.4150.1
15Manuel Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:00.4149.8
16Wyatt JessupCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:28.016:28.017:00.4149.8
17Kian BeumerSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:29.016:29.017:01.5149.4
18Cole CaseySouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:29.016:29.017:01.5149.4
19George HoodSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:32.016:32.017:04.6148.4
20Hubert ChangCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:33.016:33.017:05.6148.1
21Sebastian NowickiChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 16:34.016:34.017:06.6147.7
22Tristan WelshOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:34.016:34.017:06.6147.7
23Charlie WilkinsSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 16:34.016:34.017:06.6147.7
24Daniel MalakoffOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:35.016:35.017:07.7147.4
25Harrison WillensOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:36.016:36.017:08.7147.0
26Shane RoyOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 16:38.016:38.017:10.8146.3
27Evan PlathCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:39.016:39.017:11.8146.0
28Rhys ScottWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 16:44.016:44.017:17.0144.3
29Matthew NicholsJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 16:48.016:48.017:21.1142.9
30Jackson LoyerCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 16:50.016:50.017:23.2142.2
31Ryan QuinnSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 17:03.017:03.017:36.6137.7
32Jad HaichourOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:07.017:07.017:40.7136.4
33Ethan DreyOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:16.017:16.017:50.0133.3
34Manas BollineniWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:17.017:17.017:51.0132.9
35Andrew JolleyJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.017:24.017:58.3130.5
36David HuangOakton · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.017:24.017:58.3130.5
37Caleb ChoCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:31.017:31.018:05.5128.1
38Tyler SolomonCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:33.017:33.018:07.6127.4
39Liam WestenbroekChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 17:35.017:35.018:09.6126.7
40Sai Varun KonagallaChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 17:48.017:48.018:23.1122.2
41Gabe LebahnWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 17:50.017:50.018:25.1121.6
42Nicolas HernandezSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 17:50.017:50.018:25.1121.6
43Zacchaeus PostCentreville · Grade not recordedFinish 17:56.017:56.018:31.3119.5
44Xavier LewandowskiChantilly · Grade not recordedFinish 17:59.017:59.018:34.4118.5
45Ben CampetWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:08.018:08.018:43.7115.4
46Santiago DewSouth Lakes · Grade not recordedFinish 18:10.018:10.018:45.8114.7
47Matthew FooksJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:13.018:13.018:48.9113.6
48Karl LindahlWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:14.018:14.018:49.9113.3
49Mateo BarillasWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:15.018:15.018:50.9113.0
50Mahmut InanogluJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:16.018:16.018:52.0112.6
Show all 59 results (9 more)Showing all 59 results · hide rows 51–59
Boys results, rows 51 to 59 of 59
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Nate AdamsWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:27.018:27.019:03.3108.8
52Jamie FraserJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:29.018:29.019:05.4108.1
53Noah RobertsJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:29.018:29.019:05.4108.1
54William CretalJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:33.018:33.019:09.5106.8
55Josh ZhenJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:35.018:35.019:11.6106.1
56Andrew NewkirkWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 18:39.018:39.019:15.7104.7
57Mark SangkharatJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 18:41.018:41.019:17.8104.0
58Marcelo LopezWestfield · Grade not recordedFinish 19:18.019:18.019:56.091.3
59Carson RedmonJames Madison · Grade not recordedFinish 19:31.019:31.020:09.486.8

GIRLS · VARSITY · 4,828 M

Results Girls Three Mile Run

Copy link to Girls varsity
B

56 of 56 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −48.2 s course and conditions −26.0 s in-season fitness −22.2 sCourse constant 484.62 (485)Race constant 482.68 (483)

52 used anchors± 3.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 4,828 m

Adjusted from 52 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 52, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Caroline Elliott · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Lydia Mikhin · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Kiki Van Der Weide · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Caroline Sapperstein · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Catalina Simon · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Sophie Lewis · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Devyn Telleen · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Bella Harsanyi · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Aya Ryan · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Elizabeth Kruzinski · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Irene Ha · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Maria Pekarsky · Westfield: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Rhianen Eichelbaum · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Abigail Mesfin · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Raquel Lewis · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Gabrielle Antoine · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  17. 17 Natalie Nguyen · Oakton: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Lea Soderholm · South Lakes: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  19. 19 Isabella Bradshaw · Oakton: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  20. 20 Kaitlyn Hoang · Oakton: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  21. 21 Madison Sayen · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Brianna Pritchard · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30)
  23. 23 Amy Cheong · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Suri Paruchabutr · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  25. 25 Sanjana Vasireddy · Chantilly: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7)
  26. 26 Anneli Anderson · Chantilly: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Katie Tylecki · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  28. 28 Kate Choi · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Rebecca Hobson · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 1 more
  30. 30 Ava Grace Satterfield · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22)
  31. 31 Lean Canales · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  32. 32 Monica Uribe · Oakton: Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 9)
  33. 33 Jayden Vafier · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Eubin Kim · Chantilly: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  35. 35 Daniela Cuellar · Centreville: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 14) · and 4 more
  36. 36 Sara Rooney · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  37. 37 Ellsa Anderson · Chantilly: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Helen Nowicki · Chantilly: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 7) · Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · and 2 more
  39. 40 Elise Chung · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  40. 41 Eleanor Hood · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22)
  41. 42 Sonya Rooney · James Madison: Northern Region Cross Country Championship (Nov 2) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  42. 46 Johanna Aguirre-Martinez · South Lakes: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Great American XC Festival (Oct 6) · and 1 more
  43. 47 Elizabeth Hansen · Chantilly: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  44. 48 Lauren Sipp · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  45. 49 Clare Choi · Chantilly: adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16)
  46. 50 Madeline Mehfoud · Centreville: Glory Days Grill Invitational (Sep 30) · Woodberry Forest 47th Annual XC Invitational (Sep 22)
  47. 51 Dan Nguyen · Chantilly: adidas XC Challenge (Sep 16) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  48. 52 Sophie Diccox · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  49. 53 Madison Healy · Westfield: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Monroe Parker Invitational (Sep 9)
  50. 54 Olivia Worek · James Madison: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 56 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Caroline ElliottSouth Lakes · SOFinish 17:47.017:47.018:15.4129.0
2Lydia MikhinJames Madison · JRFinish 18:16.018:16.018:45.2119.1
3Kiki Van Der WeideJames Madison · JRFinish 18:38.018:38.019:07.8111.6
4Caroline SappersteinOakton · SOFinish 18:40.018:40.019:09.8110.9
5Catalina SimonSouth Lakes · JRFinish 18:50.018:50.019:20.1107.5
6Sophie LewisOakton · SOFinish 19:18.019:18.019:48.897.9
7Devyn TelleenCentreville · JRFinish 19:37.019:37.020:08.391.4
8Bella HarsanyiSouth Lakes · SRFinish 19:41.019:41.020:12.490.0
9Aya RyanSouth Lakes · SOFinish 19:42.019:42.020:13.589.7
10Elizabeth KruzinskiOakton · SRFinish 19:44.019:44.020:15.589.0
11Irene HaSouth Lakes · SOFinish 19:45.019:45.020:16.688.6
12Maria PekarskyWestfield · JRFinish 19:48.019:48.020:19.687.6
13Rhianen EichelbaumOakton · SRFinish 19:49.019:49.020:20.787.3
14Abigail MesfinOakton · FRFinish 19:50.019:50.020:21.786.9
15Raquel LewisOakton · JRFinish 20:04.020:04.020:36.182.1
16Gabrielle AntoineJames Madison · SOFinish 20:31.020:31.021:03.872.9
17Natalie NguyenOakton · SOFinish 20:42.020:42.021:15.169.1
18Lea SoderholmSouth Lakes · JRFinish 20:49.020:49.021:22.366.7
19Isabella BradshawOakton · JRFinish 20:51.020:51.021:24.366.1
20Kaitlyn HoangOakton · JRFinish 20:57.020:57.021:30.564.0
21Madison SayenCentreville · JRFinish 21:01.021:01.021:34.662.6
22Brianna PritchardWestfield · FRFinish 21:02.021:02.021:35.662.3
23Amy CheongCentreville · JRFinish 21:10.021:10.021:43.859.6
24Suri ParuchabutrJames Madison · FRFinish 21:13.021:13.021:46.958.5
25Sanjana VasireddyChantilly · FRFinish 21:15.021:15.021:49.057.8
26Anneli AndersonChantilly · FRFinish 21:19.021:19.021:53.156.5
27Katie TyleckiJames Madison · JRFinish 21:23.021:23.021:57.255.1
28Kate ChoiCentreville · SOFinish 21:29.021:29.022:03.353.1
29Rebecca HobsonSouth Lakes · JRFinish 21:38.021:38.022:12.650.0
30Ava Grace SatterfieldSouth Lakes · FRFinish 21:38.021:38.022:12.650.0
31Lean CanalesWestfield · SRFinish 21:44.021:44.022:18.747.9
32Monica UribeOakton · FRFinish 21:44.021:44.022:18.747.9
33Jayden VafierCentreville · SRFinish 21:48.021:48.022:22.846.6
34Eubin KimChantilly · JRFinish 21:53.021:53.022:28.044.8
35Daniela CuellarCentreville · SOFinish 21:55.021:55.022:30.044.2
36Sara RooneyJames Madison · SRFinish 21:59.021:59.022:34.142.8
37Ellsa AndersonChantilly · FRFinish 22:07.022:07.022:42.340.0
38Helen NowickiChantilly · SOFinish 22:08.022:08.022:43.439.7
39Emma ManningChantilly · FRFinish 22:09.022:09.022:44.439.4
40Elise ChungJames Madison · FRFinish 22:10.022:10.022:45.439.0
41Eleanor HoodSouth Lakes · JRFinish 22:10.022:10.022:45.439.0
42Sonya RooneyJames Madison · FRFinish 22:16.022:16.022:51.637.0
43Erin AlmeidaWestfield · JRFinish 22:28.022:28.023:03.932.9
44Samantha FisherCentreville · FRFinish 22:40.022:40.023:16.228.8
45Mary SchaadWestfield · FRFinish 22:48.022:48.023:24.426.0
46Johanna Aguirre-MartinezSouth Lakes · JRFinish 23:04.023:04.023:40.920.5
47Elizabeth HansenChantilly · SOFinish 23:32.023:32.024:09.611.0
48Lauren SippJames Madison · FRFinish 23:35.023:35.024:12.79.9
49Clare ChoiChantilly · SOFinish 23:55.023:55.024:33.23.1
50Madeline MehfoudCentreville · JRFinish 24:01.024:01.024:39.41.0
Show all 56 results (6 more)Showing all 56 results · hide rows 51–56
Girls results, rows 51 to 56 of 56
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Dan NguyenChantilly · JRFinish 24:15.024:15.024:53.7—
52Sophie DiccoxWestfield · SRFinish 24:28.024:28.025:07.1—
53Madison HealyWestfield · SOFinish 24:44.024:44.025:23.5—
54Olivia WorekJames Madison · FRFinish 24:46.024:46.025:25.6—
55Leah MagenheimerCentreville · FRFinish 24:52.024:52.025:31.7—
56Estelle OberWestfield · SRFinish 25:46.025:46.026:27.2—

2023 Concorde District CC Championship, Oct 26, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.