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Oct 11, 2023 · Portsmouth, VA

Eastern District XC Championship Meet

Churchland HS XC Course · Historical 2023 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Event 1 Boys 5k Run CC

C

82 of 82 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −69.8 s course and conditions −55.8 s in-season fitness −14.0 sCourse constant 470.84 (471)Race constant 469.99 (470)

53 used anchors± 8.1 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 53 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 53, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Cameron Sadr · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  2. 2 Henry Sol · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  3. 3 Christopher Guillen-Chacon · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  4. 4 Matthew McCullough · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  5. 5 Noah Fournier · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  6. 6 Lincoln Sama · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  7. 7 Kristofer Coleman · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  8. 8 Frithjof Ohlrogge · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  9. 9 DeMonte Peterson · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  10. 10 Isaiah Tonkollie · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  11. 12 Andrew Gilmore · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  12. 13 Jake Burnette · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  13. 14 Ian Shaw · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  14. 15 Diego Avila · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  15. 16 Yosif Rowell · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  16. 17 Noah Schranz · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  17. 18 Torrey Walters · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  18. 19 Graham Johnson · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  19. 20 Jordan Morris · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  20. 21 Ben Kiefner · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  21. 22 Gabriel Malone · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  22. 23 Phillip Jones Jr · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  23. 24 Andrew Nottingham · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  24. 25 Owen Andrews · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  25. 26 Keamari McQueen · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  26. 27 Camden Lilley · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  27. 28 Valerio Torroni · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  28. 29 Riley Walters · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  29. 31 Jaxon Sykes · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  30. 32 John Felts · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  31. 33 Davin Payne · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  32. 34 Carlos Menendez · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  33. 35 Caleb Tremper · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  34. 36 Prince Smith · Churchland: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  35. 38 Jordan Fox · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  36. 40 Jalen Southall · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  37. 43 Jamir Buxton · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  38. 44 Luis Duarte · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  39. 45 Kamari Lightfoot · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  40. 46 Salvian Sama · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  41. 47 Davion Futrell · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  42. 49 Zyon Davis · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  43. 52 Amos King · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  44. 55 Ka'Vontae Harris · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  45. 59 Tymon LeSane · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship (Nov 1)
  46. 61 Jacob Hodges · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  47. 62 Antonio Richardson · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  48. 63 Davaughn Boles · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  49. 67 Elijah Bald · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  50. 68 Luke McNabb · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 82 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Cameron SadrMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 15:34.215:34.216:20.9163.0
2Henry SolGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 15:53.715:53.716:41.4156.1
3Christopher Guillen-ChaconGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 16:16.916:16.917:05.7148.0
4Matthew McCulloughMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 16:27.716:27.717:17.0144.3
5Noah FournierGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 16:47.516:47.517:37.9137.3
6Lincoln SamaMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 16:48.316:48.317:38.7137.0
7Kristofer ColemanChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 16:49.116:49.117:39.5136.8
8Frithjof OhlroggeGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 17:01.917:01.917:53.0132.3
9DeMonte PetersonI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 17:02.617:02.617:53.7132.0
10Isaiah TonkollieChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 17:16.617:16.618:08.4127.1
11Dylan CarterNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 17:24.517:24.518:16.7124.4
12Andrew GilmoreGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 17:27.317:27.318:19.7123.4
13Jake BurnetteMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 17:34.117:34.118:26.8121.0
14Ian ShawMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 17:37.617:37.618:30.5119.8
15Diego AvilaMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 17:44.617:44.618:37.9117.3
16Yosif RowellMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 17:51.917:51.918:45.5114.8
17Noah SchranzGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 17:53.017:53.018:46.7114.4
18Torrey WaltersChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 17:56.217:56.218:50.0113.3
19Graham JohnsonGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 17:58.117:58.118:52.0112.6
20Jordan MorrisI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 18:03.718:03.718:57.9110.6
21Ben KiefnerMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 18:04.618:04.618:58.9110.3
22Gabriel MaloneGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 18:15.918:15.919:10.7106.4
23Phillip Jones JrI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 18:21.718:21.719:16.8104.3
24Andrew NottinghamMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 18:22.618:22.619:17.8104.0
25Owen AndrewsGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 18:25.518:25.519:20.8103.0
26Keamari McQueenMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 18:25.518:25.519:20.8103.0
27Camden LilleyManor · Grade not recordedFinish 18:31.418:31.419:27.0100.9
28Valerio TorroniChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 18:31.718:31.719:27.3100.8
29Riley WaltersChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 18:41.818:41.819:37.997.3
30Maurice YancieNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 19:03.019:03.020:00.189.9
31Jaxon SykesManor · Grade not recordedFinish 19:10.819:10.820:08.387.2
32John FeltsMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 19:14.519:14.520:12.285.9
33Davin PayneGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 19:23.819:23.820:22.082.6
34Carlos MenendezManor · Grade not recordedFinish 19:32.319:32.320:30.979.6
35Caleb TremperGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 19:38.919:38.920:37.977.3
36Prince SmithChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 19:44.619:44.620:43.875.3
37Alixander RiveraNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 19:50.519:50.520:50.073.3
38Jordan FoxI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 19:51.719:51.720:51.272.9
39Carter MussmanMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 19:53.919:53.920:53.672.1
40Jalen SouthallGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 19:54.619:54.620:54.371.8
41James CuencasGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 19:54.919:54.920:54.671.7
42Caleb PayneGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 19:58.419:58.420:58.370.5
43Jamir BuxtonI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 20:02.420:02.421:02.569.1
44Luis DuarteGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 20:05.020:05.021:05.268.2
45Kamari LightfootManor · Grade not recordedFinish 20:12.720:12.721:13.465.5
46Salvian SamaMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 20:13.420:13.421:14.165.2
47Davion FutrellI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 20:18.120:18.121:19.063.6
48Will DelmarMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 20:20.420:20.421:21.462.8
49Zyon DavisChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 20:29.520:29.521:30.959.6
50Gavin MaxwellGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 20:38.820:38.821:40.756.4
Show all 82 results (32 more)Showing all 82 results · hide rows 51–82
Boys results, rows 51 to 82 of 82
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Mycah EcclesGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 21:00.521:00.522:03.548.8
52Amos KingMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 21:06.721:06.722:10.046.6
53Charlie AllainGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 21:07.321:07.322:10.646.4
54Ethan SparksChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 21:07.621:07.622:11.046.3
55Ka'Vontae HarrisManor · Grade not recordedFinish 21:17.921:17.922:21.842.7
56Johnny ChatmonGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 21:28.021:28.022:32.439.1
57Luke VawdryMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 21:37.221:37.222:42.135.9
58Marcus EdwardsNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 21:40.021:40.022:45.034.9
59Tymon LeSaneI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 21:45.421:45.422:50.733.0
60Adam AlperGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 21:45.521:45.522:50.733.0
61Jacob HodgesGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 22:02.822:02.823:09.026.9
62Antonio RichardsonManor · Grade not recordedFinish 22:09.122:09.123:15.524.8
63Davaughn BolesManor · Grade not recordedFinish 22:09.622:09.623:16.124.6
64Richard DuarteGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 22:20.222:20.223:27.220.9
65Josiah UrtarteI.C. Norcom · Grade not recordedFinish 22:26.922:26.923:34.218.5
66Claude MarcelinNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 22:27.122:27.123:34.418.5
67Elijah BaldMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 22:38.222:38.223:46.114.6
68Luke McNabbMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 22:47.322:47.323:55.711.4
69Jacob DaltonChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 22:55.822:55.824:04.68.4
70Ozzie RiceChurchland · Grade not recordedFinish 23:03.723:03.724:12.95.6
71Gabriel ErvinNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 23:46.223:46.224:57.5—
72Isaiah ThirkillNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 23:53.223:53.225:04.9—
73Christian Bias-SaundersManor · Grade not recordedFinish 24:31.124:31.125:44.7—
74Christian DunbarGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 24:34.824:34.825:48.5—
75Eric JeterNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 24:48.224:48.226:02.7—
76Jaden HowardNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 25:06.225:06.226:21.5—
77Jesse WashingtonMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 25:08.125:08.126:23.5—
78Abishek MugunthanGranby · Grade not recordedFinish 25:14.825:14.826:30.6—
79Kai BaldMaury · Grade not recordedFinish 25:24.925:24.926:41.1—
80Lucas CousinsNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 25:35.425:35.426:52.2—
81Joseph HeadleyManor · Grade not recordedFinish 25:42.025:42.026:59.1—
82York SeatonNorview · Grade not recordedFinish 28:09.128:09.129:33.5—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Complete Results Girls 5000 Meter Run

C

52 of 52 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −83.3 s course and conditions −68.3 s in-season fitness −14.9 sCourse constant 464.02 (464)Race constant 463.23 (463)

26 used anchors± 6.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 26 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 26, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Sophia Sadr · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  2. 2 Mary Ella Wynne · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  3. 3 Ella Pringle · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  4. 4 Julie Poffenbarger · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  5. 5 Jessie Woollett · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  6. 6 Zoe LaBeff · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  7. 8 Delphine Chard · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  8. 9 Madeleine Hooper · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  9. 10 Grace Wray · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  10. 11 Helen Kinnison · Maury: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  11. 12 Carson Rice · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  12. 13 Bradley Malcolm · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  13. 14 Laurel Caddell · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  14. 15 Cora Cowan · Granby: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  15. 16 Hannah Bordegard · Norview: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  16. 17 Julia Meyer · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  17. 18 Kaela Walley · Churchland: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  18. 19 Trinity Reed · Churchland: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  19. 22 Izzy Stone · Maury: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  20. 25 Sarah Hudgins · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  21. 28 Anna Wernly · Granby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  22. 32 Jalesa Edwards · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  23. 41 Kamani Ward · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  24. 48 Yowome Ayim · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  25. 50 Erica Roeske · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
  26. 51 Anjeanette Williams · Manor: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 52 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Sophia SadrMaury · SOFinish 19:41.419:41.420:54.676.0
2Mary Ella WynneMaury · SRFinish 20:48.320:48.322:05.652.3
3Ella PringleGranby · FRFinish 20:51.320:51.322:08.851.2
4Julie PoffenbargerGranby · SOFinish 21:09.221:09.222:27.844.9
5Jessie WoollettGranby · SOFinish 21:21.421:21.422:40.840.6
6Zoe LaBeffGranby · SRFinish 21:29.321:29.322:49.237.8
7Ariana Pazos-Del AquilaGranby · FRFinish 21:31.321:31.322:51.337.1
8Delphine ChardMaury · FRFinish 22:03.522:03.523:25.525.7
9Madeleine HooperMaury · FRFinish 22:14.622:14.623:37.221.8
10Grace WrayChurchland · SOFinish 22:25.322:25.323:48.717.9
11Helen KinnisonMaury · FRFinish 22:29.722:29.723:53.316.4
12Carson RiceGranby · JRFinish 22:31.522:31.523:55.215.8
13Bradley MalcolmMaury · SRFinish 23:14.423:14.424:40.80.6
14Laurel CaddellGranby · SRFinish 23:20.423:20.424:47.2—
15Cora CowanGranby · SRFinish 23:22.523:22.524:49.4—
16Hannah BordegardNorview · FRFinish 23:24.523:24.524:51.5—
17Julia MeyerMaury · JRFinish 23:34.823:34.825:02.4—
18Kaela WalleyChurchland · SOFinish 23:50.323:50.325:18.9—
19Trinity ReedChurchland · FRFinish 24:01.924:01.925:31.3—
20Elizabeth DixonMaury · JRFinish 24:15.624:15.625:45.7—
21Hannah FrandsenGranby · FRFinish 24:21.024:21.025:51.5—
22Izzy StoneMaury · JRFinish 24:36.824:36.826:08.3—
23Madelyn CooperGranby · JRFinish 24:40.124:40.126:11.8—
24Luz PintoMaury · SRFinish 24:47.424:47.426:19.6—
25Sarah HudginsGranby · JRFinish 24:47.724:47.726:19.8—
26Sierra MorrellMaury · SOFinish 24:52.524:52.526:25.0—
27Sonya AdlerMaury · JRFinish 25:03.425:03.426:36.6—
28Anna WernlyGranby · FRFinish 25:06.525:06.526:39.9—
29Elizabeth TraylorMaury · FRFinish 25:07.225:07.226:40.5—
30Sophia BelcherMaury · FRFinish 26:09.626:09.627:46.9—
31Leilani SpruillManor · SRFinish 26:12.226:12.227:49.6—
32Jalesa EdwardsManor · JRFinish 27:00.927:00.928:41.3—
33Sarah JacksonMaury · SRFinish 27:05.927:05.928:46.7—
34Adelaide McMurdieMaury · FRFinish 27:39.427:39.429:22.2—
35Sabrina BassI.C. Norcom · SOFinish 27:56.127:56.129:39.9—
36Rylie BowenMaury · FRFinish 28:04.528:04.529:48.8—
37Miranda BauerMaury · JRFinish 28:14.328:14.329:59.3—
38Patricia SampsonChurchland · FRFinish 28:21.528:21.530:06.9—
39Alanah ChrispinNorview · SOFinish 28:34.028:34.030:20.2—
40Deionna MooreI.C. Norcom · SOFinish 28:37.428:37.430:23.8—
41Kamani WardManor · JRFinish 28:39.128:39.130:25.6—
42Emma ValenciaMaury · JRFinish 30:09.230:09.232:01.3—
43Ny'omi CarrollI.C. Norcom · FRFinish 30:17.330:17.332:09.9—
44Melody MerrittManor · SRFinish 30:19.130:19.132:11.8—
45Jessica WarrenI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 30:37.130:37.132:30.9—
46Jaylin RobertsI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 30:55.530:55.532:50.5—
47Adrienne FergusonI.C. Norcom · SOFinish 30:58.230:58.232:53.4—
48Yowome AyimManor · JRFinish 32:42.932:42.934:44.5—
49Xiomari GreenMaury · SRFinish 33:05.733:05.735:08.7—
50Erica RoeskeManor · SRFinish 35:15.235:15.237:26.2—
Show all 52 results (2 more)Showing all 52 results · hide rows 51–52
Girls results, rows 51 to 52 of 52
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Anjeanette WilliamsManor · SOFinish 35:55.835:55.838:09.4—
52Autumn MeyersGranby · FRFinish 37:16.637:16.639:35.2—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.