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Sep 30, 2023 · Chesapeake, VA

Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational 2023

Bells Mill Park · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2024

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Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 158.8), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

1A Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

74 of 74 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −0.7 s course and conditions −3.8 s in-season fitness +3.1 sCourse constant 492.71 (493)Race constant 495.68 (496)

71 used anchors± 5.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 71 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 71, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Jane Phillips · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Caroline Hicks · Western Branch: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 9)
  3. 4 Hannah Stevens · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  4. 5 Morgan Kimener · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  5. 6 Emme Malooly · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  6. 7 Lindsay Meadows · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  7. 8 Khadija Sissoko · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  8. 9 Eva Jackson · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  9. 10 Noelle Braun · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  10. 11 Alexis Rice · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  11. 12 Magdelene Scott · Great Bridge: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  12. 13 Mya Baker · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  13. 14 Riley Gomez · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  14. 15 Alyssa Pongracz · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · TCIS XC Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  15. 16 Abigail Crook · Great Bridge: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  16. 17 Danielle Maynor · Frank Cox: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 2 more
  17. 18 Sophia Olszak · Bayside: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4)
  18. 19 Hadley Cooper · Frank Cox: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  19. 20 Myriam Garrouteigt · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  20. 21 Chloe Mohr · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  21. 22 Yeardley Pearson · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  22. 23 Madi Guilfoy · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  23. 24 Grace Casey · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  24. 25 Kate Michaelson · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  25. 26 Melina Mantz · Western Branch: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  26. 27 Kierston Haney · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  27. 28 Malia Koprowski · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4)
  28. 29 Emily Johnston · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  29. 30 Kaelynn Buhler · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  30. 31 Abigail Wilkening · Floyd Kellam: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  31. 32 Caitlin Cagni · Tallwood: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  32. 33 Jules Hand · Great Bridge: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4)
  33. 34 Molly Casey · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  34. 35 Mary Cabell · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · TCIS XC Championships (Nov 2) · and 4 more
  35. 36 Madelyn Berry · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  36. 37 Nora Peterman · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · and 1 more
  37. 38 Campbell Wilson · Great Bridge: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 16) · and 1 more
  38. 39 Sofia Forbes · Western Branch: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  39. 40 Izzy Perry · Frank Cox: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  40. 41 Paige Tillery · Frank Cox: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  41. 42 Hannah Banks · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 9) · TCIS XC Championships (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  42. 43 Key'nya Alexander · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4)
  43. 44 Sofia Hertzog · Grassfield: Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 9)
  44. 45 Savannah Holton · Bayside: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  45. 46 Liana Moriarity · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  46. 47 Teagan Bilka · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 9)
  47. 48 Finley Palmer · Frank Cox: Ham City Hustle Invitational (Sep 9)
  48. 49 Meredith Hill · Frank Cox: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  49. 50 Desirae Caplinger · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 4)
  50. 51 Kayla Turner · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 2) · and 2 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 74 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Jane PhillipsFloyd Kellam · SRFinish 19:22.519:22.519:18.6107.9
2Caroline HicksWestern Branch · SRFinish 19:27.519:27.519:23.7106.3
3Payton RocheFloyd Kellam · JRFinish 19:42.619:42.619:38.7101.3
4Hannah StevensGrassfield · JRFinish 19:56.819:56.819:52.996.5
5Morgan KimenerHickory · SOFinish 19:59.519:59.519:55.695.6
6Emme MaloolyHickory · SRFinish 20:19.220:19.220:15.289.1
7Lindsay MeadowsOcean Lakes · JRFinish 20:21.220:21.220:17.288.4
8Khadija SissokoOcean Lakes · JRFinish 20:21.820:21.820:17.888.2
9Eva JacksonFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 20:26.220:26.220:22.186.8
10Noelle BraunGrassfield · SRFinish 20:29.520:29.520:25.585.7
11Alexis RiceHickory · FRFinish 20:35.820:35.820:31.783.6
12Magdelene ScottGreat Bridge · SOFinish 20:39.220:39.220:35.182.5
13Mya BakerGloucester · SRFinish 20:40.020:40.020:35.982.2
14Riley GomezOcean Lakes · JRFinish 20:41.620:41.620:37.581.7
15Alyssa PongraczPeninsula Catholic · JRFinish 20:48.120:48.120:43.979.5
16Abigail CrookGreat Bridge · SOFinish 20:54.720:54.720:50.677.3
17Danielle MaynorFrank Cox · FRFinish 21:18.521:18.521:14.369.4
18Sophia OlszakBayside · JRFinish 21:19.021:19.021:14.869.2
19Hadley CooperFrank Cox · SOFinish 21:22.821:22.821:18.568.0
20Myriam GarrouteigtFloyd Kellam · SOFinish 21:31.421:31.421:27.265.1
21Chloe MohrHickory · JRFinish 21:39.221:39.221:34.962.5
22Yeardley PearsonFirst Colonial · SRFinish 21:44.721:44.721:40.460.7
23Madi GuilfoyHickory · SRFinish 21:49.821:49.821:45.459.0
24Grace CaseyGrassfield · FRFinish 22:07.022:07.022:02.653.3
25Kate MichaelsonHickory · SRFinish 22:09.022:09.022:04.652.6
26Melina MantzWestern Branch · SRFinish 22:11.122:11.122:06.751.9
27Kierston HaneyOcean Lakes · SOFinish 22:16.422:16.422:12.050.2
28Malia KoprowskiFirst Colonial · SRFinish 22:20.722:20.722:16.348.7
29Emily JohnstonSmithfield · SRFinish 22:22.022:22.022:17.548.3
30Kaelynn BuhlerFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 22:23.622:23.622:19.247.8
31Abigail WilkeningFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 22:34.422:34.422:29.944.2
32Caitlin CagniTallwood · JRFinish 22:38.522:38.522:34.042.8
33Jules HandGreat Bridge · FRFinish 22:44.922:44.922:40.440.7
34Molly CaseyGrassfield · JRFinish 22:48.022:48.022:43.539.7
35Mary CabellPeninsula Catholic · SRFinish 22:53.422:53.422:48.837.9
36Madelyn BerrySmithfield · JRFinish 22:58.222:58.222:53.636.3
37Nora PetermanFloyd Kellam · JRFinish 23:02.923:02.922:58.434.7
38Campbell WilsonGreat Bridge · SOFinish 23:04.123:04.122:59.534.3
39Sofia ForbesWestern Branch · SOFinish 23:04.323:04.322:59.734.3
40Izzy PerryFrank Cox · SOFinish 23:23.923:23.923:19.227.8
41Paige TilleryFrank Cox · SOFinish 23:29.523:29.523:24.925.9
42Hannah BanksPeninsula Catholic · SOFinish 23:30.123:30.123:25.425.7
43Key'nya AlexanderHickory · SOFinish 23:39.323:39.323:34.622.6
44Sofia HertzogGrassfield · FRFinish 23:39.823:39.823:35.222.4
45Savannah HoltonBayside · SRFinish 23:46.923:46.923:42.220.1
46Liana MoriarityGrassfield · SOFinish 23:55.323:55.323:50.617.3
47Teagan BilkaGrassfield · JRFinish 23:58.123:58.123:53.416.4
48Finley PalmerFrank Cox · SRFinish 24:03.224:03.223:58.514.7
49Meredith HillFrank Cox · JRFinish 24:09.724:09.724:04.912.5
50Desirae CaplingerFirst Colonial · SRFinish 24:12.824:12.824:08.011.5
Show all 74 results (24 more)Showing all 74 results · hide rows 51–74
Girls results, rows 51 to 74 of 74
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Kayla TurnerGloucester · JRFinish 24:15.624:15.624:10.810.6
52Ava NortonTallwood · SOFinish 24:21.424:21.424:16.68.6
53Emma HattemerSmithfield · SOFinish 24:23.224:23.224:18.38.0
54Scarlette GuzmanFrank Cox · JRFinish 24:26.324:26.324:21.57.0
55Zoe ScottGloucester · JRFinish 24:27.224:27.224:22.36.7
56Madeline SheetsFirst Colonial · FRFinish 24:29.224:29.224:24.46.0
57Yasmeen FannSmithfield · SOFinish 24:29.324:29.324:24.46.0
58Rachel BlittleGloucester · FRFinish 24:51.024:51.024:46.1—
59Olivia GrayGloucester · SOFinish 24:51.624:51.624:46.7—
60Rachel BrananPeninsula Catholic · FRFinish 25:14.025:14.025:09.0—
61Kennedy AllenBayside · JRFinish 25:23.925:23.925:18.9—
62Emily WagnerTallwood · JRFinish 25:31.725:31.725:26.7—
63Abby LenczewskiPeninsula Catholic · JRFinish 26:03.526:03.525:58.4—
64Anna RichardsonOcean Lakes · JRFinish 26:17.526:17.526:12.2—
65Paige RaineySmithfield · SOFinish 26:40.326:40.326:35.0—
66Kaela WalleyChurchland · SOFinish 26:44.526:44.526:39.2—
67Beverly ZapataBayside · JRFinish 27:14.427:14.427:09.0—
68Kylee EngstromSmithfield · FRFinish 27:22.527:22.527:17.1—
69Peyton WilliamsPeninsula Catholic · SRFinish 27:45.427:45.427:39.9—
70Caitlyn CenaSmithfield · JRFinish 28:16.128:16.128:10.5—
71Elsie SerreBayside · FRFinish 28:31.228:31.228:25.6—
72Isabella GardnerFirst Colonial · SOFinish 28:31.728:31.728:26.0—
73Ava FrancisIndian River · JRFinish 30:29.930:29.930:23.9—
74Paige RatcliffIndian River · JRFinish 31:49.331:49.331:43.0—

Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational 2023, Sep 30, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.