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Sep 28, 2024 · Chesapeake, VA

Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational 2024

Bells Mill Park · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 154.7), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls Girls Varsity A 5K Finals

B

67 of 67 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +84.3 s course and conditions +80.3 s in-season fitness +4.0 sCourse constant 526.73 (527)Race constant 526.47 (526)

59 used anchors± 5.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 59 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 59, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Isabella Curtis · Peninsula Catholic: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · and 7 more
  2. 2 Hannah Stevens · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  3. 3 Madelyn Berry · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6)
  4. 4 Abigail Crook · Great Bridge: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Magdelene Scott · Great Bridge: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Alexis Rice · Hickory: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · and 2 more
  7. 7 Jules Hand · Great Bridge: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12)
  8. 8 Alyssa Pongracz · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  9. 9 Grace Casey · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Caitlin Cagni · Tallwood: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Nora Moser · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3A Championships (Nov 7) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Chiara Parilla · King's Fork: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  13. 13 Melissa Dover · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3A Championships (Nov 7) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Ava Norton · Tallwood: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Evelyn Rice · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3A Championships (Nov 7) · and 2 more
  16. 16 Mary Patterson · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Oneka Aierdi · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Hazel Scharman · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Julianna Jones · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6)
  20. 20 Charlotte Wilkerson · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2)
  21. 21 Sara Corbin · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Chloe Mohr · Hickory: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Samantha Liddle · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  24. 24 Madlin Adams-Brady · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 3A Championships (Nov 7) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Molly Casey · Grassfield: Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 7)
  26. 26 Korey Sarver · Hickory: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Mackenzie Alcorn · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Madelyn McHugh · Grassfield: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Kaitlynn Nguyen · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  30. 30 Natalie Dye · Grassfield: VHSL CLASS 6A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Sydney Moylan · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2)
  32. 32 Madeline Sheets · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2)
  33. 33 Rachel Blittle · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  34. 34 Fiona Perry · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  35. 35 Olivia Green · Great Bridge: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  36. 36 Jazmin Pasia · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2)
  37. 37 Meredith Reid · York: VHSL Region 3A Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  38. 38 Hannah Broadwell · Gloucester: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6)
  39. 39 Rachel Morgan · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Kylee Engstrom · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  41. 42 Ashlee Trexler · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2)
  42. 43 Kayla Turner · Gloucester: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6)
  43. 44 Gabrielle Bond · First Colonial: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2)
  44. 45 Sarah Bullins · Gloucester: VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  45. 46 Zoe Schubert · Hickory: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  46. 47 Ashlyn White · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL 4 Region A Championship (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  47. 49 Ava Swift · Hickory: VHSL CLASS 5A REGIONAL CROSS COUNTRY CHAMPIONSHIP (Nov 2) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  48. 50 Rachel Branan · Peninsula Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  49. 51 Mya Malloy · York: VHSL Region 3A Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  50. 53 Nicole Rooney · Tabb: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 67 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Isabella CurtisPeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 19:55.019:55.018:33.9120.8
2Hannah StevensGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 20:18.020:18.018:55.3113.6
3Madelyn BerrySmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 20:56.620:56.619:31.3101.6
4Abigail CrookGreat Bridge · Grade not recordedFinish 21:00.821:00.819:35.2100.3
5Magdelene ScottGreat Bridge · Grade not recordedFinish 21:09.221:09.219:43.097.7
6Alexis RiceHickory · Grade not recordedFinish 21:19.021:19.019:52.294.7
7Jules HandGreat Bridge · Grade not recordedFinish 21:27.321:27.319:59.992.1
8Alyssa PongraczPeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 21:40.821:40.820:12.587.9
9Grace CaseyGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 22:47.522:47.521:14.767.2
10Caitlin CagniTallwood · Grade not recordedFinish 23:05.223:05.221:31.261.7
11Nora MoserYork · Grade not recordedFinish 23:10.723:10.721:36.360.0
12Chiara ParillaKing's Fork · Grade not recordedFinish 23:18.623:18.621:43.657.5
13Melissa DoverTabb · Grade not recordedFinish 23:20.323:20.321:45.257.0
14Ava NortonTallwood · Grade not recordedFinish 23:30.323:30.321:54.553.9
15Evelyn RiceYork · Grade not recordedFinish 23:33.123:33.121:57.153.0
16Mary PattersonPeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 23:39.123:39.122:02.751.1
17Oneka AierdiSmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 23:50.023:50.022:12.947.7
18Hazel ScharmanGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 23:55.523:55.522:18.046.1
19Julianna JonesSmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 23:57.323:57.322:19.845.5
20Charlotte WilkersonFirst Colonial · Grade not recordedFinish 24:13.424:13.422:34.840.5
21Sara CorbinGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 24:17.824:17.822:38.839.1
22Chloe MohrHickory · Grade not recordedFinish 24:33.824:33.822:53.834.1
23Samantha LiddlePeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 24:38.524:38.522:58.132.7
24Madlin Adams-BradyTabb · Grade not recordedFinish 24:39.524:39.522:59.132.4
25Molly CaseyGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 24:46.124:46.123:05.230.3
26Korey SarverHickory · Grade not recordedFinish 24:48.324:48.323:07.329.6
27Mackenzie AlcornGloucester · Grade not recordedFinish 24:56.824:56.823:15.227.0
28Madelyn McHughGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 25:00.625:00.623:18.825.8
29Kaitlynn NguyenPeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 25:00.925:00.923:19.025.7
30Natalie DyeGrassfield · Grade not recordedFinish 25:03.425:03.423:21.325.0
31Sydney MoylanFirst Colonial · Grade not recordedFinish 25:09.325:09.323:26.923.1
32Madeline SheetsFirst Colonial · Grade not recordedFinish 25:14.825:14.823:31.921.4
33Rachel BlittleGloucester · Grade not recordedFinish 25:19.525:19.523:36.320.0
34Fiona PerryPeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 25:20.525:20.523:37.319.6
35Olivia GreenGreat Bridge · Grade not recordedFinish 25:32.625:32.623:48.615.9
36Jazmin PasiaFirst Colonial · Grade not recordedFinish 25:34.625:34.623:50.415.3
37Meredith ReidYork · Grade not recordedFinish 25:41.825:41.823:57.213.0
38Hannah BroadwellGloucester · Grade not recordedFinish 25:51.825:51.824:06.49.9
39Rachel MorganSmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 26:00.926:00.924:14.97.1
40Kylee EngstromSmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 26:10.326:10.324:23.74.2
41Lily JacksonNansemond River · Grade not recordedFinish 26:12.326:12.324:25.63.5
42Ashlee TrexlerFirst Colonial · Grade not recordedFinish 26:20.926:20.924:33.60.9
43Kayla TurnerGloucester · Grade not recordedFinish 26:21.526:21.524:34.10.7
44Gabrielle BondFirst Colonial · Grade not recordedFinish 26:32.426:32.424:44.3—
45Sarah BullinsGloucester · Grade not recordedFinish 26:35.526:35.524:47.2—
46Zoe SchubertHickory · Grade not recordedFinish 26:38.726:38.724:50.2—
47Ashlyn WhiteSmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 26:53.626:53.625:04.1—
48Emma HattemerSmithfield · Grade not recordedFinish 27:17.527:17.525:26.3—
49Ava SwiftHickory · Grade not recordedFinish 27:24.127:24.125:32.5—
50Rachel BrananPeninsula Catholic · Grade not recordedFinish 28:08.528:08.526:13.9—
Show all 67 results (17 more)Showing all 67 results · hide rows 51–67
Girls results, rows 51 to 67 of 67
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Mya MalloyYork · Grade not recordedFinish 28:36.428:36.426:39.9—
52Lauren OutlawNansemond River · Grade not recordedFinish 28:55.228:55.226:57.4—
53Nicole RooneyTabb · Grade not recordedFinish 29:09.829:09.827:11.0—
54Ava FrancisIndian River · Grade not recordedFinish 29:28.429:28.427:28.4—
55Zoe ScottGloucester · Grade not recordedFinish 30:23.130:23.128:19.3—
56Audrey SnellTallwood · Grade not recordedFinish 30:34.030:34.028:29.5—
57Grace PaulTabb · Grade not recordedFinish 30:38.930:38.928:34.1—
58Lourdes OlivenciaTabb · Grade not recordedFinish 31:09.731:09.729:02.7—
59Maya TurnerTabb · Grade not recordedFinish 31:30.131:30.129:21.8—
60Garazi GilNansemond River · Grade not recordedFinish 32:01.732:01.729:51.2—
61Erika HelgesonTallwood · Grade not recordedFinish 32:54.632:54.630:40.5—
62Paige RatcliffIndian River · Grade not recordedFinish 33:52.233:52.231:34.3—
63Alina MowryNansemond River · Grade not recordedFinish 35:39.935:39.933:14.7—
64Rachel CorbettYork · Grade not recordedFinish 35:50.635:50.633:24.6—
65Emma BaumerNansemond River · Grade not recordedFinish 36:02.836:02.833:36.0—
66Violetta Foose-GarciaIndian River · Grade not recordedFinish 37:32.537:32.534:59.6—
67Olivia HodsonNansemond River · Grade not recordedFinish 40:32.740:32.737:47.5—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.