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Nov 6, 2024 · Smithfield, VA

vhsl 4 region a championship 2024

Windsor Castle Park · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2026 · 2025 · 2023

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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C

57 of 57 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −0.7 s course and conditions +23.3 s in-season fitness −24.0 sCourse constant 497.67 (498)Race constant 494.12 (494)

37 used anchors± 7.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 37 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 37, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Jeffrey Linton · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  2. 2 Jonathan Grimm · Jamestown: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Lucas Henderson · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  4. 4 Paul Vogel · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  5. 5 Kristofer Coleman · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  6. 6 Ty Smith · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  7. 7 Caleb Greer · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Landon Graham · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  9. 9 Jeffery Hennessey · Jamestown: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 1 more
  10. 10 Logan Greer · Smithfield: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  11. 11 Rowan Black · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Carlos Menendez · Manor: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Lukes Legacy Last Chance Invitational (Oct 26) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Grayson Lewis · Jamestown: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  14. 14 Zachary Canady · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  15. 15 Aiden Buzek · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  16. 16 Kamari Lightfoot · Manor: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  17. 17 James Cullen · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  18. 18 Ayden Allan · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  19. 19 Charles Babcock · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Brennen Thompson · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Piotr Habura · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  22. 23 Scott Kramer · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  23. 24 Joel Taylor · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  24. 25 Ewan Kucha · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  25. 27 Anthony Begley · Churchland: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  26. 28 Ethan Caggiano · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  27. 29 Jaxon Sykes · Manor: Lukes Legacy Last Chance Invitational (Oct 26) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  28. 31 Cesar Gomez · Gloucester: Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5)
  29. 32 Erik Waters · Gloucester: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Octoberfest Invitational (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  30. 33 Joeb Anderson · Churchland: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  31. 36 Mark Slocum · Manor: Lukes Legacy Last Chance Invitational (Oct 26) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  32. 40 Logan McAllister · Gloucester: Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  33. 42 Ian Boone · Churchland: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  34. 44 Dekaevion Garner · Manor: Lukes Legacy Last Chance Invitational (Oct 26) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  35. 47 Elijah Britt · Manor: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  36. 48 Christian Bias-Saunders · Manor: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  37. 49 Brayl'n Johnson · Gloucester: Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 57 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Jeffrey LintonJamestown · SRFinish 16:32.016:32.016:18.9162.4
2Jonathan GrimmJamestown · FRFinish 16:33.016:33.016:19.9162.0
3Lucas HendersonJamestown · SOFinish 17:36.017:36.017:22.1141.3
4Paul VogelJamestown · SRFinish 17:50.017:50.017:35.9136.7
5Kristofer ColemanChurchland · SRFinish 17:54.017:54.017:39.9135.4
6Ty SmithJamestown · FRFinish 17:59.017:59.017:44.8133.8
7Caleb GreerSmithfield · FRFinish 18:01.018:01.017:46.8133.1
8Landon GrahamWarhill · SOFinish 18:10.018:10.017:55.7130.1
9Jeffery HennesseyJamestown · JRFinish 18:12.018:12.017:57.6129.5
10Logan GreerSmithfield · FRFinish 18:19.018:19.018:04.5127.2
11Rowan BlackSmithfield · FRFinish 18:27.018:27.018:12.4124.5
12Carlos MenendezManor · SRFinish 18:49.018:49.018:34.1117.3
13Grayson LewisJamestown · SOFinish 19:00.019:00.018:45.0113.7
14Zachary CanadySmithfield · FRFinish 19:04.019:04.018:49.0112.4
15Aiden BuzekWarhill · JRFinish 19:07.019:07.018:51.9111.4
16Kamari LightfootManor · SRFinish 19:12.019:12.018:56.8109.7
17James CullenWarhill · SRFinish 19:17.019:17.019:01.8108.1
18Ayden AllanWarhill · JRFinish 19:27.019:27.019:11.6104.8
19Charles BabcockChurchland · SRFinish 19:30.019:30.019:14.6103.8
20Brennen ThompsonSmithfield · FRFinish 19:32.019:32.019:16.6103.2
21Piotr HaburaWarhill · JRFinish 19:34.019:34.019:18.6102.5
22Tim DeanWarhill · JRFinish 19:39.019:39.019:23.5100.9
23Scott KramerWarhill · SOFinish 19:41.019:41.019:25.5100.2
24Joel TaylorGloucester · SRFinish 19:45.019:45.019:29.498.9
25Ewan KuchaSmithfield · JRFinish 19:45.019:45.019:29.498.9
26Prince SmithChurchland · JRFinish 20:13.020:13.019:57.089.7
27Anthony BegleyChurchland · FRFinish 20:16.020:16.020:00.088.7
28Ethan CaggianoSmithfield · JRFinish 20:23.020:23.020:06.986.4
29Jaxon SykesManor · JRFinish 20:37.020:37.020:20.781.8
30Justin ScottDenbigh · JRFinish 20:48.020:48.020:31.678.2
31Cesar GomezGloucester · SOFinish 21:27.021:27.021:10.165.3
32Erik WatersGloucester · JRFinish 21:29.021:29.021:12.064.7
33Joeb AndersonChurchland · SRFinish 21:39.021:39.021:21.961.4
34Isaac SingletonHampton · SRFinish 22:28.022:28.022:10.345.3
35Jeremiah HinesPhoebus · JRFinish 22:56.022:56.022:37.936.1
36Mark SlocumManor · SOFinish 23:13.023:13.022:54.730.5
37Lincoln AlcornGloucester · FRFinish 23:18.023:18.022:59.628.8
38Treysen MooreChurchland · JRFinish 23:31.023:31.023:12.424.5
39Quarzel FrazierHampton · JRFinish 23:46.023:46.023:27.219.6
40Logan McAllisterGloucester · FRFinish 23:56.023:56.023:37.116.3
41Lominyo LemiDenbigh · SOFinish 24:01.024:01.023:42.014.7
42Ian BooneChurchland · FRFinish 24:11.024:11.023:51.911.4
43Abas NikzadDenbigh · SOFinish 24:12.024:12.023:52.911.1
44Dekaevion GarnerManor · SOFinish 24:28.024:28.024:08.75.8
45Cordaro WilliamsHampton · SRFinish 25:17.025:17.024:57.0—
46Ryker JordanGloucester · SOFinish 26:01.026:01.025:40.5—
47Elijah BrittManor · JRFinish 26:10.026:10.025:49.3—
48Christian Bias-SaundersManor · JRFinish 26:43.026:43.026:21.9—
49Brayl'n JohnsonGloucester · SOFinish 27:00.027:00.026:38.7—
50Faras FahimDenbigh · SOFinish 28:00.028:00.027:37.9—
Show all 57 results (7 more)Showing all 57 results · hide rows 51–57
Boys results, rows 51 to 57 of 57
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Trevelyan FloodPhoebus · JRFinish 28:32.028:32.028:09.5—
52David GarciaDenbigh · SRFinish 28:56.028:56.028:33.2—
53Alex BastianDenbigh · SOFinish 30:17.030:17.029:53.1—
54Miles ThortonPhoebus · JRFinish 30:47.030:47.030:22.7—
55Xavier YelvertonHampton · SOFinish 30:49.030:49.030:24.7—
56Malakyi CrippenPhoebus · FRFinish 30:53.030:53.030:28.6—
57Riquelme BurucaDenbigh · SRFinish 32:08.032:08.031:42.6—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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C

46 of 49 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −3.9 s course and conditions +22.0 s in-season fitness −25.9 sCourse constant 503.46 (503)Race constant 497.43 (497)

36 used anchors± 7.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 36 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 36, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Emily Dahl · Jamestown: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Madelyn Berry · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  3. 3 Mary Day · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  4. 4 Nettie Haines · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  5. 5 Hailey Shearer · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  6. 6 Adriana Mapp · Manor: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Blythe Kendall · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  8. 8 Liana Perez · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  9. 9 Samantha Andresky · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  10. 10 Hannah Howard · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  11. 11 Oneka Aierdi · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Julianna Jones · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  13. 13 Aubrey Gilliam · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16)
  14. 14 Christal Shijo · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  15. 15 Rowan Baucom · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  16. 16 Lydia Short · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  17. 17 Jaclyn Baker · Jamestown: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  18. 18 Maria Salud · Warhill: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  19. 19 Grace Wray · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  20. 20 Rachel Blittle · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Rachel Morgan · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  22. 22 Kylee Engstrom · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Lily Kane · Churchland: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Mackenzie Alcorn · Gloucester: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Ashlyn White · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Jalesa Edwards · Manor: Lukes Legacy Last Chance Invitational (Oct 26) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Evelyn Porter · Smithfield: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  28. 28 Lena Coleman · Churchland: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  29. 29 Sarah Bullins · Gloucester: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  30. 30 Zoe Scott · Gloucester: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  31. 31 Kaela Walley · Churchland: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  32. 33 Hannah Broadwell · Gloucester: Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  33. 34 Olivia Gray · Gloucester: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  34. 37 Kayla Turner · Gloucester: Southeastern District Cross Country Invitational (Sep 28)
  35. 39 Ciah Leinart · Manor: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
  36. 44 Yowome Ayim · Manor: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 9)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 49 of 49 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Emily DahlJamestown · JRFinish 19:26.019:26.019:12.8107.8
2Madelyn BerrySmithfield · SRFinish 19:51.019:51.019:37.599.6
3Mary DayWarhill · FRFinish 20:28.020:28.020:14.187.4
4Nettie HainesJamestown · JRFinish 20:29.020:29.020:15.187.0
5Hailey ShearerJamestown · SRFinish 21:04.021:04.020:49.775.5
6Adriana MappManor · FRFinish 21:12.021:12.020:57.672.9
7Blythe KendallWarhill · SRFinish 21:14.021:14.020:59.672.2
8Liana PerezWarhill · JRFinish 21:14.021:14.020:59.672.2
9Samantha AndreskyJamestown · SOFinish 21:16.021:16.021:01.571.6
10Hannah HowardWarhill · SRFinish 21:24.021:24.021:09.468.9
11Oneka AierdiSmithfield · SOFinish 21:58.021:58.021:43.157.7
12Julianna JonesSmithfield · FRFinish 22:04.022:04.021:49.055.7
13Aubrey GilliamWarhill · FRFinish 22:21.022:21.022:05.850.1
14Christal ShijoJamestown · SOFinish 22:21.022:21.022:05.850.1
15Rowan BaucomJamestown · JRFinish 22:41.022:41.022:25.643.5
16Lydia ShortWarhill · SOFinish 23:04.023:04.022:48.336.0
17Jaclyn BakerJamestown · SOFinish 23:06.023:06.022:50.335.3
18Maria SaludWarhill · SRFinish 23:09.023:09.022:53.334.3
19Grace WrayChurchland · JRFinish 23:21.023:21.023:05.130.4
20Rachel BlittleGloucester · SOFinish 23:35.023:35.023:19.025.7
21Rachel MorganSmithfield · JRFinish 23:37.023:37.023:20.925.1
22Kylee EngstromSmithfield · SOFinish 23:39.023:39.023:22.924.4
23Lily KaneChurchland · SRFinish 23:40.023:40.023:23.924.1
24Mackenzie AlcornGloucester · SRFinish 23:40.023:40.023:23.924.1
25Ashlyn WhiteSmithfield · FRFinish 23:43.023:43.023:26.923.1
26Jalesa EdwardsManor · SRFinish 23:52.023:52.023:35.820.1
27Evelyn PorterSmithfield · FRFinish 24:05.024:05.023:48.615.9
28Lena ColemanChurchland · FRFinish 24:30.024:30.024:13.37.6
29Sarah BullinsGloucester · SOFinish 24:35.024:35.024:18.36.0
30Zoe ScottGloucester · SRFinish 25:49.025:49.025:31.4—
31Kaela WalleyChurchland · JRFinish 26:40.026:40.026:21.9—
32Maddison Tatum-HarperPhoebus · JRFinish 26:43.026:43.026:24.8—
33Hannah BroadwellGloucester · JRFinish 27:17.027:17.026:58.4—
34Olivia GrayGloucester · JRFinish 27:24.027:24.027:05.4—
35Kennedy TroyHampton · JRFinish 28:25.028:25.028:05.7—
36Serron DegruyPhoebus · JRFinish 29:07.029:07.028:47.2—
37Kayla TurnerGloucester · SRFinish 29:38.029:38.029:17.8—
38Ayanna VicksHampton · FRFinish 30:15.030:15.029:54.4—
39Ciah LeinartManor · JRFinish 30:34.030:34.030:13.2—
40Aisha ElrahhalDenbigh · FRFinish 32:32.032:32.032:09.9—
41Hannah McPhersonHampton · SRFinish 35:11.035:11.034:47.1—
42Madison HarrisHampton · SRFinish 35:34.035:34.035:09.8—
43Sommer SouthHampton · SRFinish 35:34.035:34.035:09.8—
44Yowome AyimManor · SRFinish 37:24.037:24.036:58.6—
45Ariel FosterDenbigh · JRFinish 41:37.041:37.041:08.7—
46Evelyn TempletonDenbigh · FRFinish 41:42.041:42.041:13.6—
47Pheonix FowlkesHampton · FRFinish 48:09.048:09.0UnavailableUnavailable
48Tatyanna WhiteheadDenbigh · FRFinish 49:37.049:37.0UnavailableUnavailable
49Terray AultmanHampton · FRFinish 54:25.054:25.0UnavailableUnavailable

3 rows: time outside the rated range.

vhsl 4 region a championship 2024, Nov 6, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.