NovaRunners
All meets

Nov 1, 2023 · Chesapeake, VA

VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship

Bells Mill Park · Historical 2023 results

Other years: 2022

Report a problem with this meet

Checked against TullyRunners at 8 held-out meets, 2023's ratings sit a median of 2.1 points (boys) and 7.1 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys 5k Run Finals

Copy link to Boys varsity
B

60 of 60 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −24.4 s course and conditions −3.4 s in-season fitness −21.1 sCourse constant 489.21 (489)Race constant 487.37 (487)

43 used anchors± 5.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.934Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 43 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 43, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Isaac Lamprecht · New Kent: Foot Locker Championships South Region (Nov 25) · VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Connor Linehan · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  3. 3 A.J. Koval · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Braden Lee · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Michael Baptist · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Connor Wick · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Andrew Rutherford · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Keenai Whiting · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  9. 9 DeMonte Peterson · I.C. Norcom: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  10. 10 Will Ashley · New Kent: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  11. 11 Davin Tietz · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Henry Gemerek · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Cole Fricke · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 30) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Isaac Jenks · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Joshua Baum · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Drew Ryan · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Jackson Gray · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Brody Cox · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Walter Anderson · Colonial Heights: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  20. 20 Coleman Lee · Lafayette: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  21. 21 Anderson Chambers · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Evan Argabright · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Chandler Ashley · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Jordan Morris · I.C. Norcom: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  25. 25 Kody Lowery · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Jeremiah Grant · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Michael Herath · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Sep 30)
  28. 28 Davis Mapp · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  29. 29 Gavin West · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  30. 31 Tobey Davis · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  31. 32 Brandon Crooms · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  32. 33 Phillip Jones Jr · I.C. Norcom: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  33. 34 Laon Sung · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  34. 37 Marcos Ornelas · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  35. 38 Luke Holloway · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  36. 39 Drezdyn Davis · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  37. 41 Jacob Hill · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  38. 42 Jamir Buxton · I.C. Norcom: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  39. 43 Orlando Dawson · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  40. 44 Davion Futrell · I.C. Norcom: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  41. 47 Jordan Fox · I.C. Norcom: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  42. 49 Tymon LeSane · I.C. Norcom: Eastern District XC Championship Meet (Oct 11)
  43. 53 Peter Hoeher · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 60 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Isaac LamprechtNew Kent · SRFinish 15:56.215:56.216:02.6169.1
2Connor LinehanGrafton · JRFinish 16:15.716:15.716:22.3162.5
3A.J. KovalLafayette · JRFinish 16:40.816:40.816:47.5154.1
4Braden LeeLafayette · SRFinish 16:48.816:48.816:55.6151.4
5Michael BaptistTabb · SRFinish 16:54.616:54.617:01.4149.5
6Connor WickTabb · SOFinish 17:00.917:00.917:07.8147.3
7Andrew RutherfordLafayette · JRFinish 17:04.817:04.817:11.7146.0
8Keenai WhitingGrafton · JRFinish 17:04.917:04.917:11.8146.0
9DeMonte PetersonI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 17:10.717:10.717:17.7144.0
10Will AshleyNew Kent · SRFinish 17:16.217:16.217:23.2142.2
11Davin TietzTabb · SRFinish 17:22.017:22.017:29.1140.2
12Henry GemerekLafayette · SRFinish 17:27.717:27.717:34.8138.3
13Cole FrickeGrafton · SOFinish 17:34.117:34.117:41.2136.2
14Isaac JenksGrafton · FRFinish 17:43.517:43.517:50.7133.0
15Joshua BaumLafayette · SOFinish 17:44.417:44.417:51.6132.7
16Drew RyanTabb · SRFinish 17:45.217:45.217:52.4132.5
17Jackson GrayYork · SRFinish 17:45.917:45.917:53.1132.2
18Brody CoxLafayette · JRFinish 17:48.217:48.217:55.4131.5
19Walter AndersonColonial Heights · FRFinish 17:53.317:53.318:00.6129.7
20Coleman LeeLafayette · SOFinish 17:56.017:56.018:03.2128.9
21Anderson ChambersGrafton · JRFinish 18:09.818:09.818:17.2124.2
22Evan ArgabrightGrafton · FRFinish 18:11.318:11.318:18.7123.7
23Chandler AshleyNew Kent · FRFinish 18:17.218:17.218:24.6121.7
24Jordan MorrisI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 18:20.618:20.618:28.1120.6
25Kody LoweryTabb · SOFinish 18:22.918:22.918:30.4119.8
26Jeremiah GrantYork · SRFinish 18:33.218:33.218:40.7116.4
27Michael HerathYork · JRFinish 18:34.418:34.418:42.0115.9
28Davis MappGrafton · SOFinish 18:35.718:35.718:43.2115.5
29Gavin WestYork · SOFinish 18:47.818:47.818:55.4111.5
30Lucas SprinkleColonial Heights · JRFinish 18:49.018:49.018:56.6111.1
31Tobey DavisNew Kent · FRFinish 19:06.119:06.119:13.8105.3
32Brandon CroomsNew Kent · SOFinish 19:18.719:18.719:26.6101.1
33Phillip Jones JrI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 19:23.419:23.419:31.299.5
34Laon SungYork · JRFinish 19:25.819:25.819:33.698.7
35Brayden PowellColonial Heights · SOFinish 19:30.119:30.119:38.097.3
36Jonathan HoltonLakeland · JRFinish 19:31.919:31.919:39.896.7
37Marcos OrnelasTabb · FRFinish 19:44.419:44.419:52.492.5
38Luke HollowayNew Kent · JRFinish 19:49.219:49.219:57.390.8
39Drezdyn DavisNew Kent · SRFinish 19:50.119:50.119:58.290.5
40Dawson MoodyColonial Heights · SRFinish 19:53.519:53.520:01.689.4
41Jacob HillYork · SOFinish 20:02.320:02.320:10.586.4
42Jamir BuxtonI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 20:04.820:04.820:13.085.6
43Orlando DawsonTabb · JRFinish 20:05.020:05.020:13.185.6
44Davion FutrellI.C. Norcom · JRFinish 20:13.520:13.520:21.782.7
45Thomas ColemanLakeland · SOFinish 20:44.620:44.620:53.072.3
46Ramirsjae YoungLakeland · SRFinish 21:10.321:10.321:18.963.6
47Jordan FoxI.C. Norcom · SOFinish 21:20.621:20.621:29.260.2
48Buddha RileyPetersburg · JRFinish 21:30.521:30.521:39.256.9
49Tymon LeSaneI.C. Norcom · SOFinish 21:43.021:43.021:51.852.7
50Julian WalkerColonial Heights · SOFinish 22:03.522:03.522:12.445.8
Show all 60 results (10 more)Showing all 60 results · hide rows 51–60
Boys results, rows 51 to 60 of 60
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51De'Marion ArtisLakeland · SRFinish 22:07.922:07.922:16.844.3
52Julius WatsonPetersburg · SRFinish 22:33.522:33.522:42.635.7
53Peter HoeherYork · JRFinish 22:39.422:39.422:48.633.7
54Alan CharityPetersburg · SRFinish 22:39.922:39.922:49.133.6
55Noah MillerColonial Heights · SOFinish 23:17.823:17.823:27.220.9
56Blake UnderhillColonial Heights · SOFinish 23:44.123:44.123:53.712.0
57Ke’sean SpratleyPetersburg · Grade not recordedFinish 24:39.224:39.224:49.2—
58Malik GoodlowPetersburg · JRFinish 27:25.727:25.727:36.8—
59Jaymond SimsPetersburg · SRFinish 28:07.628:07.628:19.1—
60Amari LeePetersburg · JRFinish 33:01.033:01.033:14.4—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5k Run Finals

Copy link to Girls varsity
C

48 of 48 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −39.8 s course and conditions −17.5 s in-season fitness −22.3 sCourse constant 487.21 (487)Race constant 485.11 (485)

36 used anchors± 7.8 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 494.161Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 36 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 36, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Katelyn Campbell · Grafton: NXR Southeast Regional (Nov 19) · VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · and 4 more
  2. 2 Kendall Ackerman · Colonial Heights: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  3. 3 Grace Katzer · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Madison Johnson · New Kent: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Nadia Grant · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Isabella Ornelas · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  7. 7 Catherine Alderson · Colonial Heights: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  8. 8 Abigail Loe · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Sophia Byrne · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Evelyn Rice · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Brooke Riddle · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Anna Larsen · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Olivia Simone · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Lindsey Glass · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Moana Jackson · Grafton: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Valentina Martiniello · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  17. 17 Madlin Adams-Brady · Tabb: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Nora Moser · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Wendy Ouedraogo · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Meredith Reid · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  21. 21 Ava Backes · York: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  22. 22 Abby Crookston · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11)
  23. 23 Lorelai Mooradian · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Megan McAllister · Grafton: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  25. 26 Alex Parkes · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  26. 27 Hailey Lindsay · Tabb: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25)
  27. 28 Elizabeth (Liz) Ball · York: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 2 more
  28. 29 Mariana Scott · Tabb: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  29. 30 Julia Good · Tabb: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25)
  30. 31 Joie Cooke · Lafayette: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 11) · Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · and 1 more
  31. 32 Andrea Dallaire · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  32. 33 Jaime Calhoon · Tabb: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  33. 35 Laila Ortiz · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25)
  34. 39 Michelle Li · Tabb: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14)
  35. 43 Peyton Knowles · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 14) · and 1 more
  36. 45 Hannah Shin · New Kent: Bay River District Championship (Oct 25)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 48 of 48 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Katelyn CampbellGrafton · SRFinish 19:31.819:31.819:54.396.1
2Kendall AckermanColonial Heights · SRFinish 19:37.619:37.620:00.294.1
3Grace KatzerYork · SRFinish 20:23.220:23.220:46.778.6
4Madison JohnsonNew Kent · JRFinish 20:26.220:26.220:49.877.5
5Nadia GrantYork · FRFinish 20:27.220:27.220:50.877.2
6Isabella OrnelasTabb · SRFinish 20:29.620:29.620:53.376.4
7Catherine AldersonColonial Heights · SRFinish 20:32.520:32.520:56.375.4
8Abigail LoeGrafton · JRFinish 21:12.021:12.021:36.562.0
9Sophia ByrneGrafton · SOFinish 21:32.321:32.321:57.155.1
10Evelyn RiceYork · JRFinish 21:47.121:47.122:12.350.1
11Brooke RiddleGrafton · SOFinish 21:51.721:51.722:17.048.5
12Anna LarsenLafayette · SOFinish 22:04.822:04.822:30.344.1
13Olivia SimoneLafayette · FRFinish 22:20.722:20.722:46.538.7
14Lindsey GlassGrafton · SRFinish 22:37.822:37.823:04.032.8
15Moana JacksonGrafton · SRFinish 22:39.022:39.023:05.132.5
16Valentina MartinielloLafayette · JRFinish 22:40.422:40.423:06.632.0
17Madlin Adams-BradyTabb · SOFinish 22:45.322:45.323:11.630.3
18Nora MoserYork · SOFinish 22:48.922:48.923:15.329.1
19Wendy OuedraogoLafayette · JRFinish 22:51.922:51.923:18.328.1
20Meredith ReidYork · JRFinish 22:59.122:59.123:25.725.6
21Ava BackesYork · SRFinish 23:05.923:05.923:32.623.3
22Abby CrookstonLafayette · SOFinish 23:06.623:06.623:33.323.1
23Lorelai MooradianNew Kent · FRFinish 23:08.323:08.323:35.022.5
24Megan McAllisterGrafton · SOFinish 23:27.123:27.123:54.216.1
25Gabrielle DavisLakeland · Grade not recordedFinish 23:31.623:31.623:58.814.6
26Alex ParkesLafayette · SOFinish 23:36.923:36.924:04.212.8
27Hailey LindsayTabb · SRFinish 23:39.423:39.424:06.711.9
28Elizabeth (Liz) BallYork · SOFinish 23:49.023:49.024:16.58.7
29Mariana ScottTabb · FRFinish 24:01.724:01.724:29.54.3
30Julia GoodTabb · SRFinish 24:14.824:14.824:42.8—
31Joie CookeLafayette · SOFinish 24:30.424:30.424:58.7—
32Andrea DallaireNew Kent · FRFinish 24:39.124:39.125:07.6—
33Jaime CalhoonTabb · FRFinish 26:01.126:01.126:31.2—
34Amari SimmonsPetersburg · SRFinish 26:28.526:28.526:59.0—
35Laila OrtizNew Kent · SOFinish 27:23.527:23.527:55.2—
36Alima BryantColonial Heights · SRFinish 28:15.228:15.228:47.9—
37Addy YinColonial Heights · SRFinish 28:20.628:20.628:53.4—
38Lakeiya SandersB. T. Washington · JRFinish 28:27.328:27.329:00.2—
39Michelle LiTabb · FRFinish 28:29.828:29.829:02.8—
40India WrightPetersburg · JRFinish 28:49.328:49.329:22.6—
41Libby NollNew Kent · JRFinish 30:09.630:09.630:44.4—
42Jakiya MangumPetersburg · JRFinish 30:23.730:23.730:58.8—
43Peyton KnowlesNew Kent · JRFinish 30:39.730:39.731:15.2—
44Mila JagessarLakeland · Grade not recordedFinish 31:13.331:13.331:49.3—
45Hannah ShinNew Kent · 8Finish 31:25.831:25.832:02.2—
46Jenna AckermanColonial Heights · SOFinish 33:57.733:57.734:36.9—
47Quinota CannonPetersburg · JRFinish 37:43.537:43.538:27.1—
48Tatiana Walker-RawlingsPetersburg · JRFinish 37:49.137:49.138:32.8—

VHSL Region 3A Cross Country Championship, Nov 1, 2023

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.