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Sep 11, 2024 · Newport News, VA

Walsingham Invitational

York River State Park · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 153.5), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

2 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Women's 5000 Meters (Varsity)

Copy link to Girls varsity
B

68 of 68 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +21.7 s course and conditions −11.6 s in-season fitness +33.4 sCourse constant 489.79 (490)Race constant 496.29 (496)

61 used anchors± 4.6 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 61 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 61, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Remington Freeman · Walsingham Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  2. 2 Eve Frost · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Josie Nunziata · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  4. 4 Amelie Shepherd · Veritas School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 4 more
  5. 5 Eliana Carson · Nansemond-Suffolk Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  6. 6 Leila Mateo · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  7. 7 Sydney Layland · Veritas School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  8. 8 Meg Harrison · The Steward School: TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Alex Jones · Nansemond-Suffolk Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Olivia Melnitchouk · Hampton Roads Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Sara Ankley · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  12. 12 Sarah Busby · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Riya Campbell · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · VTCA Fall Classic 2 (Oct 5) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Helia Pei · Walsingham Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  15. 15 Louise Monga-Rochard · Walsingham Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  16. 16 Kate Blinn · Walsingham Academy: TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · Virginia Catholic State Championship (Oct 22) · and 4 more
  17. 17 Ellie Whitaker · Veritas School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 4 more
  18. 18 Sofia Ruffin · The Steward School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Teagan Ogden · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  20. 20 Avery Soca · Norfolk Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  21. 21 Karsen Creager · The Steward School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  22. 22 Autumn Smith · Norfolk Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  23. 23 Lily Haas · Hampton Roads Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Lilyana Melnitchouk · Hampton Roads Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Ruby Branham · Veritas School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Maggie Guild · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  27. 27 Sophia Grant · Nansemond-Suffolk Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Miona Klacar · Hampton Roads Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7)
  29. 29 Emma Braendeholm · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 4 more
  30. 30 Fiona Covill · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  31. 31 Emily Brady · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Kale McMullen · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  33. 33 Cece Lentz · The Steward School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  34. 34 Allie Rivera · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Greenbrier Christian XC Invite (Sep 19)
  35. 35 Paige Hoyman · Veritas School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  36. 36 Annalise Lagos · Veritas School: 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  37. 37 Corinne Morewitz · Hampton Roads Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  38. 38 Presley Letellier · The Steward School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  39. 39 Sophia Perez · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  40. 40 Khloe Pecos · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  41. 41 Delaney Phelps · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  42. 42 Hadley Trivas · The Steward School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30)
  43. 43 Katherine Conrod · Nansemond-Suffolk Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  44. 44 Ellie Cahill · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  45. 45 Melissa Pedroza · Catholic: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
  46. 46 Sabrina Baker · Catholic: Catholic High School Invitational (Sep 4)
  47. 47 Vera Duncan · Walsingham Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 5 more
  48. 48 Marcella Chee · Nansemond-Suffolk Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 2 more
  49. 49 Elizabeth Lynch · Catholic: Isle of Wight Academy Meet (Oct 3) · Greenbrier Christian XC Invite (Sep 19) · and 1 more
  50. 50 Charlotte Mazzio · Norfolk Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · TCIS XC Championships (Oct 30) · and 3 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 68 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Remington FreemanWalsingham Academy · FRFinish 19:40.219:40.219:30.7101.8
2Eve FrostStoneBridge School · JRFinish 19:56.419:56.419:46.896.5
3Josie NunziataStoneBridge School · SOFinish 20:54.120:54.120:44.077.4
4Amelie ShepherdVeritas School · SRFinish 21:35.221:35.221:24.863.8
5Eliana CarsonNansemond-Suffolk Academy · JRFinish 22:03.422:03.421:52.854.5
6Leila MateoCatholic · JRFinish 22:25.522:25.522:14.747.2
7Sydney LaylandVeritas School · SRFinish 22:48.822:48.822:37.839.5
8Meg HarrisonThe Steward School · SRFinish 22:54.022:54.022:43.037.7
9Alex JonesNansemond-Suffolk Academy · SOFinish 23:06.323:06.322:55.233.7
10Olivia MelnitchoukHampton Roads Academy · JRFinish 23:18.323:18.323:07.129.7
11Sara AnkleyCatholic · JRFinish 23:23.323:23.323:12.028.1
12Sarah BusbyStoneBridge School · SOFinish 23:29.523:29.523:18.226.0
13Riya CampbellStoneBridge School · JRFinish 23:30.623:30.623:19.325.6
14Helia PeiWalsingham Academy · SOFinish 23:35.023:35.023:23.624.2
15Louise Monga-RochardWalsingham Academy · SRFinish 23:41.623:41.623:30.222.0
16Kate BlinnWalsingham Academy · SOFinish 23:48.023:48.023:36.519.9
17Ellie WhitakerVeritas School · SRFinish 24:25.524:25.524:13.77.5
18Sofia RuffinThe Steward School · FRFinish 24:38.024:38.024:26.13.4
19Teagan OgdenCatholic · FRFinish 24:38.224:38.224:26.33.3
20Avery SocaNorfolk Christian School · SRFinish 24:41.224:41.224:29.32.3
21Karsen CreagerThe Steward School · SOFinish 24:43.224:43.224:31.31.6
22Autumn SmithNorfolk Christian School · SOFinish 25:01.625:01.624:49.5—
23Lily HaasHampton Roads Academy · SRFinish 25:10.225:10.224:58.1—
24Lilyana MelnitchoukHampton Roads Academy · FRFinish 25:17.325:17.325:05.1—
25Ruby BranhamVeritas School · SRFinish 25:25.225:25.225:12.9—
26Maggie GuildCatholic · JRFinish 25:31.125:31.125:18.8—
27Sophia GrantNansemond-Suffolk Academy · JRFinish 25:38.225:38.225:25.8—
28Miona KlacarHampton Roads Academy · SRFinish 25:42.425:42.425:30.0—
29Emma BraendeholmCatholic · JRFinish 25:48.325:48.325:35.9—
30Fiona CovillStoneBridge School · SRFinish 25:55.125:55.125:42.6—
31Emily BradyStoneBridge School · SOFinish 25:55.525:55.525:43.0—
32Kale McMullenCatholic · SRFinish 26:10.426:10.425:57.8—
33Cece LentzThe Steward School · FRFinish 26:17.126:17.126:04.4—
34Allie RiveraStoneBridge School · JRFinish 26:18.526:18.526:05.8—
35Paige HoymanVeritas School · SRFinish 26:22.326:22.326:09.6—
36Annalise LagosVeritas School · JRFinish 26:32.626:32.626:19.8—
37Corinne MorewitzHampton Roads Academy · 8Finish 26:33.626:33.626:20.8—
38Presley LetellierThe Steward School · FRFinish 26:36.526:36.526:23.7—
39Sophia PerezStoneBridge School · 8Finish 26:39.026:39.026:26.2—
40Khloe PecosCatholic · SOFinish 26:53.726:53.726:40.7—
41Delaney PhelpsCatholic · SRFinish 26:55.826:55.826:42.8—
42Hadley TrivasThe Steward School · JRFinish 26:58.226:58.226:45.2—
43Katherine ConrodNansemond-Suffolk Academy · SRFinish 27:06.927:06.926:53.8—
44Ellie CahillCatholic · SRFinish 27:12.727:12.726:59.6—
45Melissa PedrozaCatholic · SRFinish 27:27.027:27.027:13.8—
46Sabrina BakerCatholic · SRFinish 27:30.127:30.127:16.8—
47Vera DuncanWalsingham Academy · SRFinish 27:37.527:37.527:24.2—
48Marcella CheeNansemond-Suffolk Academy · FRFinish 27:48.427:48.427:35.0—
49Elizabeth LynchCatholic · JRFinish 27:55.927:55.927:42.4—
50Charlotte MazzioNorfolk Christian School · SOFinish 28:07.628:07.627:54.0—
Show all 68 results (18 more)Showing all 68 results · hide rows 51–68
Girls results, rows 51 to 68 of 68
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Anna SaveryNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 28:24.928:24.928:11.2—
52Kara SaveryNorfolk Christian School · JRFinish 28:28.928:28.928:15.2—
53Hanah McBrideCatholic · SRFinish 28:34.928:34.928:21.1—
54Carter PalmerStoneBridge School · JRFinish 29:09.529:09.528:55.4—
55Claire BruesekeStoneBridge School · FRFinish 29:33.629:33.629:19.4—
56Leah NoelNansemond-Suffolk Academy · SRFinish 29:46.029:46.029:31.7—
57Sophia RandallNorfolk Christian School · SRFinish 29:53.029:53.029:38.6—
58Olivia WalrondStoneBridge School · JRFinish 30:01.730:01.729:47.2—
59Olivia GusmanCatholic · SRFinish 30:08.030:08.029:53.5—
60Tatum BrooksCatholic · SOFinish 30:21.530:21.530:06.9—
61Abby CalkinsThe Steward School · JRFinish 30:50.030:50.030:35.1—
62Harper MerrellCatholic · JRFinish 31:10.931:10.930:55.9—
63Kate McCloskeyCatholic · JRFinish 31:51.331:51.331:35.9—
64Sara LockCatholic · SRFinish 31:53.431:53.431:38.0—
65Elaina MiyaresNorfolk Christian School · SOFinish 32:03.732:03.731:48.2—
66Audrey GundersonThe Steward School · JRFinish 36:53.336:53.336:35.5—
67Jessica ArreguinNorfolk Christian School · SOFinish 37:32.537:32.537:14.4—
68Linda NguyenNansemond-Suffolk Academy · JRFinish 43:23.143:23.143:02.2—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

Women's

Copy link to Girls JV
D

83 of 85 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +28.7 s course and conditions −4.9 s in-season fitness +33.6 sCourse constant 492.46 (492)Race constant 500.39 (500)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 85 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Nicoletti, JamesCatholic · FRFinish 21:05.921:05.920:48.675.9
2Sammy ReedNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 21:14.121:14.120:56.773.2
3Wiegert, MaxAtlantic Shores Christian School · FRFinish 21:23.521:23.521:06.070.1
4Root, TJNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 21:36.921:36.921:19.265.7
5Domark, TimCatholic · SOFinish 21:40.421:40.421:22.764.5
6Elder, NickCatholic · FRFinish 21:46.721:46.721:28.962.4
7Hetherington, SidneyThe Steward School · FRFinish 23:06.523:06.522:47.636.2
8Baker, GraysonCatholic · SOFinish 23:07.423:07.422:48.535.9
9Souders, BrendanIsle of Wight Academy · 8Finish 23:24.123:24.123:04.930.4
10Luca BucciWalsingham Academy · 6Finish 23:32.823:32.823:13.527.6
11Larsen, NoahAtlantic Shores Christian School · FRFinish 23:38.323:38.323:18.925.7
12Huffman, AllenNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 23:42.023:42.023:22.624.5
13Dougherty, BrendanCatholic · SOFinish 23:48.123:48.123:28.622.5
14Levelle, HunterIsle of Wight Academy · FRFinish 23:49.523:49.523:30.022.1
15Lower, ReidThe Steward School · SOFinish 24:09.724:09.723:49.915.4
16Anders LebelWalsingham Academy · FRFinish 24:17.724:17.723:57.812.8
17Lucy BooneNorfolk Collegiate · 7Finish 24:42.724:42.724:22.54.6
18Sarah ChaseStoneBridge School · 7Finish 24:52.324:52.324:31.91.4
19Mia StimsonStoneBridge School · 7Finish 24:54.224:54.224:33.80.8
20Whitfield, ColinCatholic · SOFinish 25:07.925:07.924:47.3—
21Kaylin HarrisWalsingham Academy · 7Finish 25:11.925:11.924:51.3—
22Colt FreemanWalsingham Academy · 6Finish 25:21.225:21.225:00.4—
23Kelly, HenryNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 25:40.725:40.725:19.7—
24Ryan StinsonIsle of Wight Academy · 8Finish 25:44.325:44.325:23.2—
25Conner DignanIsle of Wight Academy · SOFinish 26:02.526:02.525:41.2—
26Phillips, JosephIsle of Wight Academy · 8Finish 26:09.726:09.725:48.3—
27Pietratoni, HenryThe Steward School · FRFinish 26:11.926:11.925:50.4—
28Lucy CustanceWalsingham Academy · 7Finish 26:17.426:17.425:55.9—
29Kate KiggansCatholic · SOFinish 26:47.126:47.126:25.2—
30Guzman, BenCatholic · FRFinish 26:53.826:53.826:31.8—
31Callen TisingerWalsingham Academy · 7Finish 26:56.926:56.926:34.8—
32Drane, GideonNorfolk Christian School · 5Finish 27:30.627:30.627:08.1—
33Addie WirtzStoneBridge School · 8Finish 27:37.627:37.627:15.0—
34Koplin, MilesNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 6Finish 27:47.927:47.927:25.1—
35Rockwell, EliThe Steward School · SOFinish 28:05.628:05.627:42.6—
36Lemasters-Stover, LuIsle of Wight Academy · 8Finish 28:09.028:09.027:46.0—
37Warden, HudsonNorfolk Christian School · 6Finish 28:09.828:09.827:46.7—
38Clara GustafsonCatholic · SOFinish 28:10.928:10.927:47.8—
39Millie BecknerStoneBridge School · 8Finish 28:27.528:27.528:04.2—
40Landry, LucasStoneBridge School · SOFinish 28:29.728:29.728:06.4—
41Aubrey WalzNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 28:32.428:32.428:09.0—
42Connor AmbrosioNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 7Finish 28:36.528:36.528:13.1—
43Claire BatesThe Steward School · SOFinish 28:37.728:37.728:14.3—
44Lamb, GreysonNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 28:59.728:59.728:36.0—
45Ethan BraendeholmCatholic · FRFinish 29:02.029:02.028:38.2—
46Byrd, AlexanderIsle of Wight Academy · SOFinish 29:17.629:17.628:53.6—
47Leah JohnsonCatholic · SOFinish 29:53.129:53.129:28.6—
48Caroline HollowellNorfolk Christian School · 6Finish 30:07.830:07.829:43.1—
49John ConroyAtlantic Shores Christian School · 7Finish 30:08.530:08.529:43.8—
50Porter, LiamNorfolk Christian School · 8Finish 30:22.130:22.129:57.2—
Show all 85 results (35 more)Showing all 85 results · hide rows 51–85
Girls results, rows 51 to 85 of 85
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Trevor GoldbachNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 7Finish 30:29.230:29.230:04.2—
52Nathan NguyenNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 7Finish 30:31.130:31.130:06.1—
53Ella HuberIsle of Wight Academy · 7Finish 30:35.030:35.030:10.0—
54Charlotte PomeroyCatholic · FRFinish 30:36.930:36.930:11.8—
55Daniel ChapNorfolk Collegiate · FRFinish 30:49.130:49.130:23.9—
56Julia MurrayThe Steward School · FRFinish 31:26.831:26.831:01.1—
57Cassidee BoylesAtlantic Shores Christian School · FRFinish 31:31.931:31.931:06.1—
58Reese TaylorNorfolk Christian School · 5Finish 31:56.031:56.031:29.9—
59Keilani HealeyCatholic · FRFinish 32:06.232:06.231:39.9—
60Belinda WilsonCatholic · FRFinish 32:15.132:15.131:48.7—
61Berit LebelWalsingham Academy · 7Finish 32:15.232:15.231:48.8—
62Andy CoyThe Steward School · FRFinish 32:20.932:20.931:54.4—
63Llamas, JackCatholic · FRFinish 33:00.833:00.832:33.8—
64Ava McDonaldStoneBridge School · 8Finish 33:17.933:17.932:50.6—
65Mitchell, GraysonAtlantic Shores Christian School · 8Finish 34:19.634:19.633:51.5—
66Zoe CarterStoneBridge School · 8Finish 34:27.734:27.733:59.5—
67Lester, CamIsle of Wight Academy · 7Finish 34:34.634:34.634:06.3—
68Kellen ChapNorfolk Collegiate · 6Finish 34:53.534:53.534:24.9—
69James KreydatusWalsingham Academy · 7Finish 34:59.234:59.234:30.6—
70Duncan CreeNorfolk Collegiate · 8Finish 35:00.735:00.734:32.0—
71Mila ReneThe Steward School · FRFinish 35:02.535:02.534:33.8—
72Julia PhilputNorfolk Collegiate · 6Finish 35:04.635:04.634:35.9—
73Ethan SpiveyStoneBridge School · 6Finish 35:23.635:23.634:54.6—
74Shellock, JoeNorfolk Christian School · 6Finish 35:33.635:33.635:04.5—
75Gardner, OwenStoneBridge School · 6Finish 35:55.335:55.335:25.9—
76William ChapNorfolk Collegiate · 6Finish 36:13.936:13.935:44.2—
77Tannya WilsonNorfolk Collegiate · 7Finish 36:30.436:30.436:00.5—
78Westyn BurgessNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 6Finish 36:34.536:34.536:04.6—
79Evans, AydenStoneBridge School · JRFinish 38:35.338:35.338:03.7—
80Mary Ruth DillenderStoneBridge School · 6Finish 40:05.740:05.739:32.9—
81Brooklyn ShakallisAtlantic Shores Christian School · JRFinish 40:25.440:25.439:52.3—
82Elijah JenkinsNorfolk Collegiate · 6Finish 40:36.340:36.340:03.1—
83Encarguez, MatthewCatholic · SRFinish 40:59.240:59.240:25.6—
84Megowen, ColeNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 7Finish 47:34.947:34.9UnavailableUnavailable
85Magnus ThigpenNansemond-Suffolk Academy · 7Finish 47:39.747:39.7UnavailableUnavailable

2 rows: time outside the rated range.

Walsingham Invitational, Sep 11, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Not rated. The finish time is outside the range we rate (12:00–45:00 for a 5K), so it has no adjustment or rating.Not matched. Rated from its race’s adjustment, but not matched to an athlete, so it does not count toward a leaderboard or a team.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.