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Oct 5, 2024 · Earlysville, VA

vtca fall classic 2 2024

Panorama Farms · Historical 2024 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

4 of 4 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero. JV races are not calculated on their own. Each uses its meet’s varsity adjustment plus a JV adjustment.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Boys 5000 Meter Run

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B

79 of 79 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +22.8 s course and conditions +30.5 s in-season fitness −7.7 sCourse constant 500.03 (500)Race constant 499.24 (499)

76 used anchors± 4.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 76 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 76, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Joshua Taylor · Clover Hill: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Jon Nathan Lawrence · The Covenant School: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · and 4 more
  3. 3 Hayes Buppert · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Quinn Eliason · St. Anne's-Belfield School: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Miles Jolin · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Joshua Lawrence · The Covenant School: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Jack Blemker · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Owen McHugh · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  9. 9 Gabriel Hurst-Barb · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  10. 10 Price Lineweaver · The Covenant School: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · and 4 more
  11. 11 Gavin Myers · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  12. 12 Brayden Nemec · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  13. 13 Troy Cornett · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Nathaniel Wilson · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  15. 15 Kaleb Estes · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Ryan DeMaio · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Kaden Fenno · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Carson Shepard · Louisa County: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  19. 19 Sawyer Harris · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  20. 20 Miles Griffith · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Hudson Moore · The Covenant School: BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Preston Sutherland · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Carson Floyd · Western Albemarle: Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Casen Soriano · Louisa County: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  25. 25 Reade Lewis · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  26. 26 Lennon Fisher · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Ben Thalhimer · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  28. 28 Matthew Mueller · Greenbrier Christian Academy: Isle of Wight Academy Meet (Oct 3) · Greenbrier Christian XC Invite (Sep 19) · and 1 more
  29. 29 McKinley Pattie · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 3 more
  30. 30 Kieran Johnston · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Justinas Petkauskas · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Victor Reza · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  33. 33 Peter Wilberger · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  34. 34 Calvin Husby · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Liam White · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  36. 36 Jack Nachbar · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Benjamin Rapp · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  38. 38 Jack Johnson · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  39. 39 Chris Carter · Western Albemarle: East Coast Elite Virginia Tech (Sep 28) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  40. 40 Jake McLaughlin · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  41. 41 Micah Dummermuth · Immanuel Christian School: FHS Invitational (Oct 12)
  42. 42 Gabriel Simon · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  43. 43 Dominic Jackson · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1)
  44. 44 William Murdoch · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  45. 45 Benjamin Will · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1)
  46. 46 Vincent Le · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Kade Sigmon · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  48. 48 Joshua Washington · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  49. 49 Evan Smith · East Rockingham: Knights Crossing XC Invitational (Sep 7) · 11th Annual Central High School Cross Country Invitational (Aug 31)
  50. 52 Jonathan Call · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 79 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Joshua TaylorClover Hill · JRFinish 15:48.015:48.015:23.8180.8
2Jon Nathan LawrenceThe Covenant School · JRFinish 16:11.816:11.815:46.9173.0
3Hayes BuppertTandem Friends School · SOFinish 16:19.916:19.915:54.8170.4
4Quinn EliasonSt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 16:20.516:20.515:55.5170.2
5Miles JolinThe Covenant School · JRFinish 16:35.216:35.216:09.8165.4
6Joshua LawrenceThe Covenant School · FRFinish 17:11.817:11.816:45.5153.5
7Jack BlemkerTandem Friends School · JRFinish 17:20.217:20.216:53.6150.8
8Owen McHughLouisa County · JRFinish 17:25.417:25.416:58.7149.1
9Gabriel Hurst-BarbLouisa County · JRFinish 17:31.717:31.717:04.8147.1
10Price LineweaverThe Covenant School · JRFinish 17:39.517:39.517:12.4144.6
11Gavin MyersLouisa County · SRFinish 17:45.017:45.017:17.8142.8
12Brayden NemecLouisa County · SOFinish 17:46.817:46.817:19.6142.2
13Troy CornettLouisa County · SRFinish 18:04.518:04.517:36.8136.4
14Nathaniel WilsonLouisa County · JRFinish 18:05.718:05.717:38.0136.0
15Kaleb EstesThe Covenant School · SOFinish 18:09.718:09.717:41.8134.8
16Ryan DeMaioSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SRFinish 18:13.618:13.617:45.6133.5
17Kaden FennoSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SRFinish 18:22.818:22.817:54.6130.5
18Carson ShepardLouisa County · SOFinish 18:25.018:25.017:56.8129.8
19Sawyer HarrisLouisa County · JRFinish 18:27.418:27.417:59.1129.0
20Miles GriffithTandem Friends School · SOFinish 18:30.318:30.318:02.0128.0
21Hudson MooreThe Covenant School · JRFinish 18:33.718:33.718:05.2126.9
22Preston SutherlandCollegiate School · SOFinish 18:49.718:49.718:20.8121.7
23Carson FloydWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 18:56.318:56.318:27.3119.6
24Casen SorianoLouisa County · JRFinish 18:57.618:57.618:28.5119.2
25Reade LewisCollegiate School · SOFinish 19:07.619:07.618:38.3115.9
26Lennon FisherImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 19:17.819:17.818:48.2112.6
27Ben ThalhimerCollegiate School · FRFinish 19:17.919:17.918:48.4112.6
28Matthew MuellerGreenbrier Christian Academy · SOFinish 19:21.119:21.118:51.5111.5
29McKinley PattieThe Covenant School · FRFinish 19:54.819:54.819:24.2100.6
30Kieran JohnstonCollegiate School · FRFinish 20:03.320:03.319:32.697.8
31Justinas PetkauskasCollegiate School · JRFinish 20:04.220:04.219:33.597.5
32Victor RezaStoneBridge School · SRFinish 20:16.120:16.119:45.193.7
33Peter WilbergerTandem Friends School · SOFinish 20:17.720:17.719:46.693.2
34Calvin HusbyImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 20:18.020:18.019:46.993.1
35Liam WhiteImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 20:24.420:24.419:53.191.0
36Jack NachbarTandem Friends School · SRFinish 20:25.420:25.419:54.190.7
37Benjamin RappThe Covenant School · FRFinish 20:26.420:26.419:55.090.3
38Jack JohnsonTandem Friends School · SOFinish 20:28.620:28.619:57.289.6
39Chris CarterWestern Albemarle · SRFinish 20:37.220:37.220:05.686.8
40Jake McLaughlinSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 20:39.120:39.120:07.586.2
41Micah DummermuthImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 20:52.720:52.720:20.781.8
42Gabriel SimonTandem Friends School · JRFinish 20:55.520:55.520:23.580.9
43Dominic JacksonThe Covenant School · FRFinish 21:07.121:07.120:34.777.1
44William MurdochTandem Friends School · JRFinish 21:08.121:08.120:35.776.8
45Benjamin WillThe Covenant School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:09.821:09.820:37.476.2
46Vincent LeSt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 21:10.021:10.020:37.676.2
47Kade SigmonStoneBridge School · SOFinish 21:13.921:13.920:41.474.9
48Joshua WashingtonStoneBridge School · SOFinish 21:23.921:23.920:51.171.7
49Evan SmithEast Rockingham · FRFinish 21:36.821:36.821:03.767.5
50Edward GuardoImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 21:43.321:43.321:10.165.3
Show all 79 results (29 more)Showing all 79 results · hide rows 51–79
Boys results, rows 51 to 79 of 79
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Nathan KrumbeinCollegiate School · FRFinish 21:45.321:45.321:12.064.7
52Jonathan CallImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 21:51.721:51.721:18.262.6
53Levi GonzalezStoneBridge School · 8Finish 21:56.321:56.321:22.761.1
54Kellen CauldwellGreenbrier Christian Academy · SRFinish 21:58.321:58.321:24.660.5
55Clemente NorambuenaSt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 22:08.422:08.421:34.557.2
56Benjamin BlueyImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 22:10.222:10.221:36.356.6
57Colin McCallWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 22:14.222:14.221:40.155.3
58Michael DillenderStoneBridge School · FRFinish 22:19.322:19.321:45.153.7
59Grayson CurwoodCollegiate School · FRFinish 22:22.322:22.321:48.052.7
60Josh SmithGreenbrier Christian Academy · SRFinish 22:39.722:39.722:05.047.0
61Kai DaviesTandem Friends School · JRFinish 22:52.922:52.922:17.842.8
62Ronnie WallStoneBridge School · 8Finish 22:58.422:58.422:23.241.0
63Jaden CardinEast Rockingham · FRFinish 23:08.423:08.422:33.037.7
64Orro BowersTandem Friends School · SRFinish 23:22.123:22.122:46.333.3
65John BallengerTandem Friends School · JRFinish 23:26.223:26.222:50.331.9
66Jude GoldsteinTandem Friends School · SOFinish 23:33.023:33.022:56.929.7
67Sohan CampbellStoneBridge School · 8Finish 23:53.723:53.723:17.123.0
68Elijah FrenchakImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 24:04.524:04.523:27.619.5
69Reese DudleyCollegiate School · FRFinish 24:06.924:06.923:29.918.7
70Jonathan OrtizGreenbrier Christian Academy · SRFinish 24:14.424:14.423:37.216.3
71Alexander KokolaTandem Friends School · SOFinish 24:17.024:17.023:39.815.4
72Jude WoodStoneBridge School · 8Finish 24:23.424:23.423:46.113.3
73Lukas SannessGreenbrier Christian Academy · FRFinish 24:24.724:24.723:47.312.9
74Cohen CushmanEast Rockingham · FRFinish 24:38.724:38.724:00.98.4
75Eric LanningCollegiate School · JRFinish 24:42.724:42.724:04.97.1
76Brendan ShiraishiTandem Friends School · FRFinish 25:11.225:11.224:32.6—
77Aayan SamdaniCollegiate School · JRFinish 25:21.425:21.424:42.5—
78Logan CauldwellGreenbrier Christian Academy · FRFinish 28:18.128:18.127:34.7—
79Logan SteeleEast Rockingham · SRFinish 32:30.432:30.431:40.6—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Varsity Girls 5000 Meter Run

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B

67 of 67 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +24.3 s course and conditions +32.8 s in-season fitness −8.6 sCourse constant 507.40 (507)Race constant 504.73 (505)

64 used anchors± 4.9 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 64 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: the first 50 of 64, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Virginia Harris · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  2. 2 Isabella Curtis · Peninsula Catholic: Foot Locker South Regional (Nov 30) · Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · and 7 more
  3. 3 Bridget Blaszak · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Cadigan Perriello · St. Anne's-Belfield School: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · and 3 more
  5. 5 Rachel Prince · Greenbrier Christian Academy: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · and 5 more
  6. 6 Lillian Liles · Louisa County: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  7. 7 Savannah Wood · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Anne Lewis · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Zoey Downer · Western Albemarle: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  10. 10 Rosie Ferrell · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Amelia Haske · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  12. 12 Agnes Currey · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  13. 13 Josie Nunziata · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  14. 14 Grace Galie · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  15. 15 Kinsley Verbrugge · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  16. 16 Eve Frost · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Ellie Blackwood · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  18. 18 Juliet Kielbasa · Western Albemarle: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  19. 19 Grace Fortier · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Cameron Huynh · Western Albemarle: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Logan Juhl · Western Albemarle: VHSL Class 3 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 3C Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  22. 22 Nyah Straley · Louisa County: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  23. 23 Eleanor Carter · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  24. 24 Abigail Reutinger · Louisa County: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Orla Bradley · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  26. 26 Macy Boyer · Collegiate School: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  27. 27 Blair Fox · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  28. 28 Kate Reilly · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  29. 29 Bella Connally · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  30. 30 Abbie Apicella · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  31. 31 Ellie Womack · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  32. 32 Daisy McCown · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  33. 33 Olivia Goodwin · St. Anne's-Belfield School: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  34. 34 Anja Lehmensiek · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  35. 35 Maddie Mccomb · Collegiate School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7)
  36. 36 Lucy Lowe · Tandem Friends School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12) · and 1 more
  37. 37 Sarah Jane Broadbent · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23)
  38. 38 Hadley Cabell · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23)
  39. 39 Grace Taylor · Immanuel Christian School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Spire Invitational and Nviac Championships (Nov 2) · and 1 more
  40. 40 Riya Campbell · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · Walsingham Invitational (Sep 11) · and 1 more
  41. 41 Emilia Jones · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 1 more
  42. 42 Carissa Smith · Greenbrier Christian Academy: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · 8th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 12) · and 2 more
  43. 43 Maci Myers · Collegiate School: Fork Union Cross Country Invitational (Sep 14)
  44. 44 Lark Steinberg · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23)
  45. 45 Addy Anderson · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  46. 46 Abigail Aurand · Louisa County: VHSL Region 5C XC Championship Meet Manager (Nov 6) · Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23) · and 2 more
  47. 47 Emily Brady · StoneBridge School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  48. 48 Emmajane Moore · The Covenant School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · BRAC Cross Country Championships (Nov 1) · and 2 more
  49. 49 Ivy Lyman · St. Anne's-Belfield School: VISAA Cross Country State Championships (Nov 7) · The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  50. 50 Finleigh Broadbent · Western Albemarle: Jefferson District Cross Country Championship (Oct 23)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 67 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Virginia HarrisCollegiate School · SOFinish 19:18.119:18.118:46.7116.5
2Isabella CurtisPeninsula Catholic · SOFinish 19:20.919:20.918:49.4115.6
3Bridget BlaszakCollegiate School · SRFinish 19:27.419:27.418:55.8113.5
4Cadigan PerrielloSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SRFinish 20:00.620:00.619:28.1102.7
5Rachel PrinceGreenbrier Christian Academy · JRFinish 20:19.520:19.519:46.596.6
6Lillian LilesLouisa County · JRFinish 20:21.020:21.019:47.996.1
7Savannah WoodThe Covenant School · JRFinish 20:39.320:39.320:05.790.2
8Anne LewisCollegiate School · SOFinish 20:52.720:52.720:18.885.8
9Zoey DownerWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 20:53.120:53.120:19.285.7
10Rosie FerrellCollegiate School · SOFinish 20:59.320:59.320:25.183.7
11Amelia HaskeCollegiate School · 8Finish 21:02.221:02.220:28.082.7
12Agnes CurreyImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 21:37.321:37.321:02.171.3
13Josie NunziataStoneBridge School · SOFinish 21:51.821:51.821:16.366.6
14Grace GalieThe Covenant School · 8Finish 21:54.821:54.821:19.265.7
15Kinsley VerbruggeThe Covenant School · SRFinish 22:04.622:04.621:28.762.5
16Eve FrostStoneBridge School · JRFinish 22:16.522:16.521:40.258.7
17Ellie BlackwoodCollegiate School · SOFinish 22:19.922:19.921:43.657.5
18Juliet KielbasaWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 22:21.422:21.421:45.057.1
19Grace FortierImmanuel Christian School · JRFinish 22:22.222:22.221:45.856.8
20Cameron HuynhWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 22:29.822:29.821:53.354.3
21Logan JuhlWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 22:31.822:31.821:55.253.7
22Nyah StraleyLouisa County · SRFinish 22:44.222:44.222:07.249.7
23Eleanor CarterSt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 22:54.622:54.622:17.346.3
24Abigail ReutingerLouisa County · SOFinish 22:55.222:55.222:17.946.1
25Orla BradleyThe Covenant School · SOFinish 22:56.522:56.522:19.245.7
26Macy BoyerCollegiate School · JRFinish 22:58.322:58.322:20.945.1
27Blair FoxSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SRFinish 23:00.323:00.322:22.844.4
28Kate ReillySt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 23:02.923:02.922:25.443.6
29Bella ConnallyImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 23:09.523:09.522:31.841.5
30Abbie ApicellaWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 23:11.723:11.722:34.040.7
31Ellie WomackSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SOFinish 23:14.923:14.922:37.139.7
32Daisy McCownWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 23:19.723:19.722:41.738.2
33Olivia GoodwinSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 23:21.223:21.222:43.237.7
34Anja LehmensiekWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 23:21.723:21.722:43.737.5
35Maddie MccombCollegiate School · SRFinish 23:26.423:26.422:48.336.0
36Lucy LoweTandem Friends School · SOFinish 23:33.023:33.022:54.733.8
37Sarah Jane BroadbentWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 23:56.423:56.423:17.526.2
38Hadley CabellWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 24:01.524:01.523:22.524.6
39Grace TaylorImmanuel Christian School · SOFinish 24:10.924:10.923:31.621.5
40Riya CampbellStoneBridge School · JRFinish 24:24.024:24.023:44.317.3
41Emilia JonesThe Covenant School · JRFinish 24:31.624:31.623:51.714.8
42Carissa SmithGreenbrier Christian Academy · FRFinish 24:32.224:32.223:52.314.6
43Maci MyersCollegiate School · JRFinish 24:36.724:36.723:56.713.2
44Lark SteinbergWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 24:58.624:58.624:18.06.1
45Addy AndersonThe Covenant School · SOFinish 25:07.125:07.124:26.33.3
46Abigail AurandLouisa County · SOFinish 25:07.725:07.724:26.93.1
47Emily BradyStoneBridge School · JRFinish 25:21.625:21.624:40.4—
48Emmajane MooreThe Covenant School · FRFinish 25:21.725:21.724:40.5—
49Ivy LymanSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SRFinish 25:35.325:35.324:53.6—
50Finleigh BroadbentWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 25:36.025:36.024:54.3—
Show all 67 results (17 more)Showing all 67 results · hide rows 51–67
Girls results, rows 51 to 67 of 67
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Maria GranThe Covenant School · SOFinish 25:47.325:47.325:05.4—
52Lauren LunaWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 25:55.225:55.225:13.0—
53Adeline DouglasEast Rockingham · SRFinish 26:02.226:02.225:19.9—
54Shanna RobertsonEast Rockingham · SRFinish 26:02.526:02.525:20.1—
55Faith FortierImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 26:16.426:16.425:33.6—
56Julia GlassTandem Friends School · JRFinish 26:17.426:17.425:34.6—
57Sophia PerezStoneBridge School · 8Finish 26:33.026:33.025:49.8—
58Carter PalmerStoneBridge School · JRFinish 26:38.426:38.425:55.1—
59Claire GatewoodTandem Friends School · JRFinish 26:40.226:40.225:56.8—
60Arianna JonesLouisa County · SRFinish 27:06.927:06.926:22.8—
61Sarah PrinceGreenbrier Christian Academy · FRFinish 27:18.327:18.326:33.9—
62Sarah AndersonImmanuel Christian School · SRFinish 27:30.627:30.626:45.9—
63Chloe CajigasLouisa County · JRFinish 27:40.827:40.826:55.8—
64Reese FlemingCollegiate School · JRFinish 28:48.728:48.728:01.8—
65Emma HudginsGreenbrier Christian Academy · JRFinish 28:54.628:54.628:07.6—
66Sophia BuckleyGreenbrier Christian Academy · SOFinish 29:15.829:15.828:28.2—
67Natalynn ParkinsonImmanuel Christian School · FRFinish 30:49.730:49.729:59.6—

BOYS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Boys 5000 Meter Run

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D

30 of 30 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +29.8 s course and conditions +37.5 s in-season fitness −7.7 sCourse constant 504.40 (504)Race constant 503.66 (504)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.3 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 488.695Modeled distance 5,000 m

Boys results, places shown 1 to 30 of 30 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1George GeisWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 17:58.617:58.617:25.1140.3
2Ethan ApicellaWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 18:40.318:40.318:05.5126.8
3Christophe De WekkerWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 18:49.018:49.018:14.0124.0
4Xavier MasriSt. Anne's-Belfield School · 8Finish 19:46.819:46.819:09.9105.4
5Patterson Johnston FoxWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 20:01.820:01.819:24.5100.5
6Ethan WaggyLouisa County · FRFinish 20:03.520:03.519:26.1100.0
7Felix MasriSt. Anne's-Belfield School · 8Finish 20:06.320:06.319:28.899.1
8Ronan ShawLouisa County · JRFinish 20:12.520:12.519:34.897.1
9Asher DawsonWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 21:19.721:19.720:40.075.4
10Zach HamernickWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 23:11.723:11.722:28.439.2
11Howard RobertsonLouisa County · SOFinish 23:20.523:20.522:37.036.4
12Liam GulottaSt. Anne's-Belfield School · 8Finish 23:29.723:29.722:45.933.4
13Nico ZeislerSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 23:33.223:33.222:49.432.2
14Ansel GrimmSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 23:39.523:39.522:55.430.2
15William HobbsLouisa County · SOFinish 24:03.324:03.323:18.522.5
16Oscar JenningsTandem Friends School · FRFinish 24:08.224:08.223:23.320.9
17Agustin NorambuenaSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 24:10.124:10.123:25.020.4
18Wyatt SmythSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 24:11.124:11.123:26.020.0
19Asher PughWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 24:11.724:11.723:26.719.8
20Leo PeschWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 24:31.224:31.223:45.513.5
21Will KellySt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 24:44.024:44.023:58.09.4
22Dan MilletteWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 24:58.024:58.024:11.54.9
23Mateo AtegouSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SOFinish 25:08.925:08.924:22.01.3
24Nayan KrishnarajSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 25:27.125:27.124:39.7—
25Chase GattonLouisa County · FRFinish 26:07.126:07.125:18.4—
26Duc NguyenSt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 28:14.528:14.527:21.9—
27Nico SpeesTandem Friends School · 8Finish 29:52.729:52.728:57.0—
28Michael BrimacombeSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 30:50.330:50.329:52.9—
29Daniel BlemkerTandem Friends School · 8Finish 31:10.731:10.730:12.6—
30Tyler BroomallTandem Friends School · SOFinish 36:13.536:13.535:06.0—

GIRLS · JV · 5,000 M

JV Girls 5000 Meter Run

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D

31 of 31 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +31.2 s course and conditions +39.9 s in-season fitness −8.6 sCourse constant 513.85 (514)Race constant 511.24 (511)

Unavailable used anchors± 20.4 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Girls results, places shown 1 to 31 of 31 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Ruby CarlsonWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 24:20.924:20.923:33.321.0
2Emily LedgerSt. Anne's-Belfield School · SOFinish 25:09.525:09.524:20.25.3
3Eloise HendersonTandem Friends School · 8Finish 26:27.826:27.825:36.0—
4Sarina HeWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 26:38.826:38.825:46.7—
5Lily Cayce-LuckettWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 27:01.227:01.226:08.3—
6Anisten LuzaichWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 27:05.127:05.126:12.1—
7Hanna KimWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 27:10.027:10.026:16.9—
8Miriam WalcottWestern Albemarle · JRFinish 27:19.527:19.526:26.1—
9Mae DuenkeThe Covenant School · SOFinish 27:24.127:24.126:30.4—
10Teresa ChirichettiThe Covenant School · SRFinish 27:32.327:32.326:38.4—
11Dani TepeWestern Albemarle · SRFinish 27:35.527:35.526:41.5—
12Hannah GoldmannSt. Anne's-Belfield School · JRFinish 28:09.628:09.627:14.5—
13Lauren HockmanLouisa County · FRFinish 28:32.628:32.627:36.7—
14Sadie MurdochTandem Friends School · FRFinish 28:41.328:41.327:45.2—
15Charlotte LeeThe Covenant School · FRFinish 29:19.329:19.328:21.9—
16Adelaide SmithThe Covenant School · SOFinish 29:23.829:23.828:26.3—
17Lauren LunaWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 30:00.630:00.629:01.8—
18Peyton HaiumWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 30:12.230:12.229:13.1—
19Zoey DownerWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 30:23.430:23.429:24.0—
20Fletcher LevyTandem Friends School · SOFinish 30:27.430:27.429:27.8—
21Grace RudyWestern Albemarle · FRFinish 30:32.630:32.629:32.8—
22Pepper LovelaceWestern Albemarle · 8Finish 30:45.830:45.829:45.6—
23Amaya MegginsonSt. Anne's-Belfield School · FRFinish 30:47.430:47.429:47.2—
24Paige LaneWestern Albemarle · SOFinish 31:17.431:17.430:16.1—
25Dhruvi GodhwaniTandem Friends School · FRFinish 31:18.731:18.730:17.4—
26Malena BiasTandem Friends School · 8Finish 31:55.431:55.430:52.9—
27Laurel SechserTandem Friends School · FRFinish 32:04.532:04.531:01.7—
28Avery MeredithTandem Friends School · JRFinish 33:13.633:13.632:08.5—
29Annie RobertsonTandem Friends School · 8Finish 33:25.933:25.932:20.5—
30Maria GranThe Covenant School · SOFinish 34:49.434:49.433:41.2—
31Mia DiGirolamoThe Covenant School · JRFinish 35:06.235:06.233:57.5—

vtca fall classic 2 2024, Oct 5, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.