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Sep 7, 2024 · Frederick, MD

2024 Hood College HS Invitational

Utica Park · Historical 2024 results

Other years: 2023 · 2022

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Checked against TullyRunners at 9 held-out meets, 2024's ratings sit a median of 1.7 points (boys) and 4.4 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

Boys results are not shown: no boy at this meet rated above 170 (top 164.9), so its boys races are lower tier. They stay in the fit.

1 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000m Run

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B

77 of 77 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 −0.9 s course and conditions −40.4 s in-season fitness +39.5 sCourse constant 479.25 (479)Race constant 485.93 (486)

34 used anchors± 6.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.063Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 34 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Returning runners who ran only this race this season can also help a little; they are not listed or counted here. Listed here: all 34, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Lauren Stine · North Hagerstown: Nike Cross Nationals Southeast Regional (Nov 23) · 31st Annual Carlisle Invitational (Sep 28) · and 1 more
  2. 3 Fallon Fetterolf · Loudoun County: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 4C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  3. 4 Rian Johnson · North Hagerstown: 31st Annual Carlisle Invitational (Sep 28) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  4. 5 Megan Greenlund · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  5. 8 Jenna White · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  6. 11 Josephine Kemp · Our Lady Of Good Counsel: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  7. 14 Kelsie Humbert · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  8. 15 Campbell Dwight · Sidwell Friends School: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Trials of Miles Opening Night (Aug 30)
  9. 16 Jasmine Singh · Sidwell Friends School: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Trials of Miles Opening Night (Aug 30)
  10. 19 Alana Templeman · Sidwell Friends School: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Trials of Miles Opening Night (Aug 30)
  11. 22 Kalie Brown · Loudoun County: VHSL Class 4 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 4C XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 2 more
  12. 26 Elis Greenfield · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  13. 30 Maeve McMurray · Sidwell Friends School: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19) · Trials of Miles Opening Night (Aug 30)
  14. 31 Caroline McCurry · Millbrook: VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · Northwestern District Championships (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  15. 34 Hope Gaskill · Our Lady Of Good Counsel: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  16. 35 Anna Chamberlin · North Hagerstown: 31st Annual Carlisle Invitational (Sep 28) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  17. 36 Caydence Bayne · Millbrook: VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · Northwestern District Championships (Oct 29) · and 3 more
  18. 38 Fallon Murphy · Loudoun County: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  19. 40 Run Yuan · Centennial: Great American XC Festival Meet Manager (Oct 4)
  20. 41 Rianna D’Souza · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  21. 43 Tessa Williams · Centennial: Great American XC Festival Meet Manager (Oct 4)
  22. 44 Julia Mendez · Loudoun County: Region 4C XC Championship (Nov 6) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  23. 45 Ava Blackburn · Our Lady Of Good Counsel: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  24. 46 Charlotte Cassidy · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 4 more
  25. 47 Lexi Tribble · Centennial: Great American XC Festival Meet Manager (Oct 4)
  26. 52 Ella Hajel · North Hagerstown: 31st Annual Carlisle Invitational (Sep 28) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  27. 53 Anabelle Myers · North Hagerstown: 31st Annual Carlisle Invitational (Sep 28) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  28. 56 Anna Ritterbusch · Centennial: Great American XC Festival Meet Manager (Oct 4)
  29. 58 Chaselyn Sowards · Our Lady Of Good Counsel: The VA XC Showcase (Oct 19)
  30. 61 Mary Homa · Loudoun County: Region 4C XC Championship (Nov 6) · Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · and 1 more
  31. 62 Abigail Cunnington · Loudoun County: Third Battle Invitational (Oct 19) · Wolverine XC Invitational (Sep 14)
  32. 63 Victoria White · Briar Woods: VHSL Class 5 State XC Meet (Nov 16) · Region 5D XC Championship (Nov 6) · and 3 more
  33. 65 Cate Jorgenson · Centennial: Great American XC Festival Meet Manager (Oct 4)
  34. 67 Savannah Florek · Millbrook: VHSL Region 4D Championship (Nov 5) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 12)
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 77 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Lauren StineNorth Hagerstown · Grade not recordedFinish 18:41.418:41.418:56.6113.2
2Julia RobisonMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 19:05.819:05.819:21.4104.9
3Fallon FetterolfLoudoun County · Grade not recordedFinish 19:07.319:07.319:22.9104.4
4Rian JohnsonNorth Hagerstown · Grade not recordedFinish 19:29.519:29.519:45.496.9
5Megan GreenlundBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 19:31.019:31.019:46.996.4
6Kate MinerUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 19:33.719:33.719:49.795.5
7Anna RodriguesUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 19:37.419:37.419:53.494.3
8Jenna WhiteBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 19:42.619:42.619:58.792.5
9Taylor ColsonCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 19:58.319:58.320:14.687.2
10Emma BergfalkMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 20:06.920:06.920:23.384.3
11Josephine KempOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 20:08.020:08.020:24.483.9
12Caeley TrujilloWashington (WV) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:25.720:25.720:42.477.9
13Brooklyn BuschWashington (WV) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:26.020:26.020:42.777.8
14Kelsie HumbertBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 20:26.520:26.520:43.277.7
15Campbell DwightSidwell Friends School · Grade not recordedFinish 20:29.120:29.120:45.876.8
16Jasmine SinghSidwell Friends School · Grade not recordedFinish 20:30.420:30.420:47.176.4
17Emily MitrokaCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 20:31.020:31.020:47.776.2
18Brenna DaviesUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 20:34.520:34.520:51.375.0
19Alana TemplemanSidwell Friends School · Grade not recordedFinish 20:35.620:35.620:52.474.6
20Casey WillardUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 20:45.720:45.721:02.671.2
21Abigail ForsterUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 20:48.820:48.821:05.870.1
22Kalie BrownLoudoun County · Grade not recordedFinish 20:51.520:51.521:08.569.2
23Breanna TrujilloWashington (WV) · Grade not recordedFinish 20:56.020:56.021:13.167.7
24Elizabeth MitrokaCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 21:04.721:04.721:21.964.8
25Audrey BorleisUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 21:16.521:16.521:33.960.8
26Elis GreenfieldBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 21:20.021:20.021:37.459.6
27Paige DunsmoreOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 21:30.521:30.521:48.056.0
28Ella LustigCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 21:33.321:33.321:50.955.1
29Ava-Grace LeeUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 21:37.521:37.521:55.153.7
30Maeve McMurraySidwell Friends School · Grade not recordedFinish 21:42.721:42.722:00.451.9
31Caroline McCurryMillbrook · Grade not recordedFinish 21:48.521:48.522:06.350.0
32Marcela Mason-RodriguezMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 21:50.421:50.422:08.249.3
33Lucy HollandMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 21:53.221:53.222:11.048.4
34Hope GaskillOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 21:54.821:54.822:12.747.8
35Anna ChamberlinNorth Hagerstown · Grade not recordedFinish 21:57.721:57.722:15.646.9
36Caydence BayneMillbrook · Grade not recordedFinish 21:59.721:59.722:17.646.2
37Natalie BarberUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 22:09.922:09.922:28.042.7
38Fallon MurphyLoudoun County · Grade not recordedFinish 22:13.622:13.622:31.741.5
39Arushi PatelUrbana · Grade not recordedFinish 22:33.622:33.622:52.034.7
40Run YuanCentennial · Grade not recordedFinish 22:35.122:35.122:53.534.2
41Rianna D’SouzaBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 22:50.022:50.023:08.629.2
42Beatrix BergmannHammond · Grade not recordedFinish 22:53.822:53.823:12.527.9
43Tessa WilliamsCentennial · Grade not recordedFinish 23:03.323:03.323:22.124.7
44Julia MendezLoudoun County · Grade not recordedFinish 23:04.423:04.423:23.224.3
45Ava BlackburnOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 23:08.323:08.323:27.223.0
46Charlotte CassidyBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 23:13.523:13.523:32.421.2
47Lexi TribbleCentennial · Grade not recordedFinish 23:25.923:25.923:45.017.1
48Jocelyn GiffordCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 23:35.723:35.723:54.913.7
49Aurora Della-GiacomaMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 23:35.923:35.923:55.113.7
50Abigail RogersOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 23:36.223:36.223:55.413.6
Show all 77 results (27 more)Showing all 77 results · hide rows 51–77
Girls results, rows 51 to 77 of 77
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Kaya AshurstMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 23:36.623:36.623:55.913.4
52Ella HajelNorth Hagerstown · Grade not recordedFinish 23:40.523:40.523:59.812.1
53Anabelle MyersNorth Hagerstown · Grade not recordedFinish 23:52.823:52.824:12.38.0
54Josephine BreslinMontgomery Blair · Grade not recordedFinish 23:55.923:55.924:15.46.9
55Charlotte PrunklCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 24:00.824:00.824:20.45.3
56Anna RitterbuschCentennial · Grade not recordedFinish 24:11.524:11.524:31.21.7
57Sophia DenlingerGreencastle-Antrim · Grade not recordedFinish 24:16.224:16.224:36.00.1
58Chaselyn SowardsOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 24:27.024:27.024:46.9—
59Eve PimentalHammond · Grade not recordedFinish 24:41.424:41.425:01.5—
60Nnedi NwosuSidwell Friends Sch · Grade not recordedFinish 24:52.024:52.025:12.3—
61Mary HomaLoudoun County · Grade not recordedFinish 25:01.425:01.425:21.8—
62Abigail CunningtonLoudoun County · Grade not recordedFinish 25:02.425:02.425:22.8—
63Victoria WhiteBriar Woods · Grade not recordedFinish 25:06.025:06.025:26.5—
64Olivia JewettOur Lady Of Good Counsel · Grade not recordedFinish 25:12.725:12.725:33.3—
65Cate JorgensonCentennial · Grade not recordedFinish 25:16.825:16.825:37.4—
66Monica SchemelGreencastle-Antrim · Grade not recordedFinish 25:21.925:21.925:42.6—
67Savannah FlorekMillbrook · Grade not recordedFinish 25:27.925:27.925:48.7—
68Jill KrauseHammond · Grade not recordedFinish 25:43.025:43.026:04.0—
69Sophia SlimpWashington (WV) · Grade not recordedFinish 25:55.025:55.026:16.1—
70Eleanor CongletonCentury · Grade not recordedFinish 26:17.626:17.626:39.0—
71Kailani HartwellKIPP DC: College Prep · Grade not recordedFinish 26:24.526:24.526:46.0—
72Allie MurphyMillbrook · Grade not recordedFinish 26:31.026:31.026:52.6—
73Sydney VolkmanMillbrook · Grade not recordedFinish 27:39.327:39.328:01.9—
74Layne MendezMillbrook · Grade not recordedFinish 27:45.427:45.428:08.0—
75Shalini MaharajGreencastle-Antrim · Grade not recordedFinish 28:49.628:49.629:13.1—
76Nell FriendWashington (WV) · Grade not recordedFinish 29:27.129:27.129:51.1—
77Mariana MooreWashington (WV) · Grade not recordedFinish 31:54.931:54.932:20.9—

2024 Hood College HS Invitational, Sep 7, 2024

Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.