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Nov 5, 2022 · Chesapeake, VA

VHSL Class 6A Region XC Championship 2022 Hosted by Grassfield

Bells Mill Park · Historical 2022 results

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Checked against TullyRunners at 11 held-out meets, 2022's ratings sit a median of 5.0 points (boys) and 4.7 points (girls) from TullyRunners'.

2 of 2 archived races included · Every result row is listed; the first 50 of each race show by default.

Ratings are on the day: adjusted times remove course and conditions and half of the in-season fitness part, so an early-season run keeps half of its credit for low fitness. How on-the-day ratings work

AN = anchor runner (compared to set its race’s adjustment). The race title is as the results print it. Grade describes how precisely the race was adjusted, not a runner’s ability. Results include runners of every affiliation. The adjustment SE is not a prediction interval for a runner’s next race. Each runner’s SE is the header’s 20:00 value scaled to their adjusted time. A row the fit did not rate is still rated from its race’s adjustment: LN marks one linked to an athlete by name, NM one not matched to an athlete record; a row that stays unrated shows “Unavailable”, never zero.

BOYS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Boys 5000 Meter Run

C

75 of 75 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +13.4 s course and conditions +36.7 s in-season fitness −23.3 sCourse constant 503.09 (503)Race constant 499.33 (499)

69 used anchors± 7.7 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 489.973Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 69 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: the first 50 of 69, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Nathan Atchue · Franklin County: Champs National Cross Country Championships (Dec 10) · VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · and 3 more
  2. 2 Quinn Parrish · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  3. 3 Nick Pham · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Jackson Price · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  5. 5 Caiden Aurelio · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Cameron Putman · Landstown: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  7. 7 Aidan Carlisle · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  8. 8 Benjamin Giffing · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  9. 9 Solomon Lazo · Thomas Dale: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  10. 10 Eric Hegg · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  11. 11 Preston Haney · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Trevor Williams · Manchester: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Mason Cattie · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Andrew Scarff · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  15. 15 Jonah Bowman · Franklin County: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Kaleb Mejia · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  17. 17 Logan Hamilton · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  18. 18 Lambert Edigin · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Landon Weaver · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  20. 20 Alexander Temple · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  21. 21 Juan Murias · James River (Midlothian): MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  22. 22 Parker Chapman · Franklin County: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  23. 23 Dylan Evans · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  24. 24 Jacob Montgomery · Franklin County: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · and 2 more
  25. 25 Aiden Elstun · Cosby: Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · Pole Green XC Classic (Sep 10)
  26. 26 Brandon Dagostino · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  27. 27 Andrew Riddle · Franklin County: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · and 4 more
  28. 28 Matt Morgan · James River (Midlothian): MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  29. 29 Nathan Spruill · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  30. 30 Luke Thomas · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  31. 31 Evan Grabarczyk · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  32. 32 Roman Chapman · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  33. 33 Sam Grosch · Floyd Kellam: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Big Cat (Sep 24)
  34. 34 Sebastian Ellis · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  35. 35 Michael Fath · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8)
  36. 36 Zachary Stevens · James River (Midlothian): MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  37. 37 Kaleb Evans · Thomas Dale: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  38. 39 Wes DeJarnette · James River (Midlothian): MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  39. 40 Hayden Xuan-Nghiem · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  40. 41 Carson Pendleton · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8)
  41. 43 Benjamin Johnson · Floyd Kellam: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Big Cat (Sep 24)
  42. 44 Brayden Lewis · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  43. 46 Shuai Chan · James River (Midlothian): MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  44. 47 Lincoln Ambler · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Big Cat (Sep 24)
  45. 48 Michiah Hill · Western Branch: Big Cat (Sep 24)
  46. 49 Bowman Novey · James River (Midlothian): MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 2 more
  47. 50 Javon Jones · Oscar Smith: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  48. 51 John Grider · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  49. 52 Andrew Hotz · Thomas Dale: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  50. 53 Evan Bradshaw · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
Boys results, places shown 1 to 50 of 75 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Nathan AtchueFranklin County · SRFinish 15:25.215:25.215:02.4189.2
2Quinn ParrishJames River (Midlothian) · JRFinish 16:12.016:12.015:48.0174.0
3Nick PhamOcean Lakes · SRFinish 16:32.216:32.216:07.8167.4
4Jackson PriceFloyd Kellam · SRFinish 16:51.816:51.816:26.9161.0
5Caiden AurelioGrassfield · JRFinish 17:08.817:08.816:43.5155.5
6Cameron PutmanLandstown · SRFinish 17:11.717:11.716:46.3154.5
7Aidan CarlisleGrassfield · SRFinish 17:13.917:13.916:48.4153.8
8Benjamin GiffingGrassfield · FRFinish 17:18.017:18.016:52.5152.5
9Solomon LazoThomas Dale · SOFinish 17:19.517:19.516:53.9152.0
10Eric HeggGrassfield · SRFinish 17:23.917:23.916:58.2150.6
11Preston HaneyOcean Lakes · JRFinish 17:29.517:29.517:03.7148.8
12Trevor WilliamsManchester · JRFinish 17:31.517:31.517:05.6148.1
13Mason CattieCosby · SRFinish 17:34.217:34.217:08.2147.2
14Andrew ScarffGrassfield · SRFinish 17:34.417:34.417:08.4147.2
15Jonah BowmanFranklin County · FRFinish 17:37.917:37.917:11.9146.0
16Kaleb MejiaManchester · FRFinish 17:40.617:40.617:14.5145.2
17Logan HamiltonOcean Lakes · JRFinish 17:41.417:41.417:15.3144.9
18Lambert EdiginOcean Lakes · JRFinish 17:51.517:51.517:25.1141.6
19Landon WeaverCosby · JRFinish 17:53.617:53.617:27.2140.9
20Alexander TempleGrassfield · FRFinish 17:54.517:54.517:28.1140.6
21Juan MuriasJames River (Midlothian) · SOFinish 17:54.717:54.717:28.2140.6
22Parker ChapmanFranklin County · SRFinish 18:00.118:00.117:33.5138.8
23Dylan EvansOcean Lakes · SRFinish 18:02.018:02.017:35.3138.2
24Jacob MontgomeryFranklin County · SOFinish 18:11.218:11.217:44.4135.2
25Aiden ElstunCosby · SRFinish 18:15.618:15.617:48.7133.8
26Brandon DagostinoCosby · JRFinish 18:18.818:18.817:51.7132.7
27Andrew RiddleFranklin County · SRFinish 18:19.018:19.017:51.9132.7
28Matt MorganJames River (Midlothian) · JRFinish 18:19.818:19.817:52.7132.4
29Nathan SpruillCosby · JRFinish 18:20.518:20.517:53.4132.2
30Luke ThomasGrassfield · SRFinish 18:28.518:28.518:01.2129.6
31Evan GrabarczykOcean Lakes · SOFinish 18:30.418:30.418:03.0129.0
32Roman ChapmanOcean Lakes · SOFinish 18:35.918:35.918:08.4127.2
33Sam GroschFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 18:36.618:36.618:09.1126.9
34Sebastian EllisFranklin County · SRFinish 18:45.018:45.018:17.3124.2
35Michael FathCosby · SRFinish 18:50.918:50.918:23.1122.3
36Zachary StevensJames River (Midlothian) · SRFinish 18:53.918:53.918:26.0121.3
37Kaleb EvansThomas Dale · SOFinish 18:59.118:59.118:31.1119.6
38Omar LazoThomas Dale · JRFinish 19:00.319:00.318:32.2119.2
39Wes DeJarnetteJames River (Midlothian) · JRFinish 19:04.119:04.118:35.9118.0
40Hayden Xuan-NghiemManchester · SOFinish 19:04.719:04.718:36.5117.8
41Carson PendletonManchester · SOFinish 19:06.419:06.418:38.2117.2
42Aidan ConcepcionLandstown · JRFinish 19:16.219:16.218:47.7114.1
43Benjamin JohnsonFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 19:21.819:21.818:53.2112.2
44Brayden LewisManchester · SOFinish 19:31.519:31.519:02.6109.1
45Keon KoonceLandstown · SOFinish 19:35.819:35.819:06.8107.7
46Shuai ChanJames River (Midlothian) · FRFinish 19:36.519:36.519:07.5107.5
47Lincoln AmblerManchester · JRFinish 19:42.719:42.719:13.6105.4
48Michiah HillWestern Branch · JRFinish 19:48.719:48.719:19.5103.5
49Bowman NoveyJames River (Midlothian) · SRFinish 19:50.319:50.319:21.0103.0
50Javon JonesOscar Smith · FRFinish 19:52.719:52.719:23.3102.2
Show all 75 results (25 more)Showing all 75 results · hide rows 51–75
Boys results, rows 51 to 75 of 75
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51John GriderFranklin County · JRFinish 19:53.619:53.619:24.3101.9
52Andrew HotzThomas Dale · JRFinish 20:00.520:00.519:31.099.7
53Evan BradshawCosby · FRFinish 20:05.120:05.119:35.598.2
54Seth CarolinoLandstown · JRFinish 20:08.220:08.219:38.497.2
55Timothy BrownOscar Smith · SOFinish 20:14.320:14.319:44.495.2
56Logan TynchWestern Branch · FRFinish 20:21.420:21.419:51.392.9
57Joseph DelpFloyd Kellam · SRFinish 20:22.420:22.419:52.392.6
58Jason LampleyLandstown · SOFinish 20:27.920:27.919:57.690.8
59Christian HogansWestern Branch · FRFinish 20:29.820:29.819:59.590.1
60Ian TaylorThomas Dale · SRFinish 20:31.120:31.120:00.889.7
61Josiah WesternThomas Dale · FRFinish 20:33.520:33.520:03.188.9
62Aaron StangerThomas Dale · FRFinish 20:40.820:40.820:10.286.6
63Jacob AtayOscar Smith · FRFinish 21:05.121:05.120:34.078.7
64Benjamen HullWestern Branch · SOFinish 21:14.021:14.020:42.675.8
65Devin RoebuckFloyd Kellam · SOFinish 21:17.921:17.920:46.574.5
66Evan LillardOscar Smith · FRFinish 21:22.221:22.220:50.673.1
67Zachary ReyesLandstown · SOFinish 21:27.921:27.920:56.171.3
68Shane KrausseManchester · SRFinish 21:31.721:31.720:59.970.0
69Brandon JohnWestern Branch · SOFinish 22:25.422:25.421:52.352.5
70Jayden BookerWestern Branch · JRFinish 22:44.522:44.522:10.946.3
71Tristan DavisOscar Smith · SRFinish 23:00.923:00.922:26.941.0
72Kellen CauldwellWestern Branch · SOFinish 23:14.823:14.822:40.436.5
73August WalskiOscar Smith · JRFinish 23:36.223:36.223:01.329.5
74Vedant DixitOscar Smith · SOFinish 23:36.723:36.723:01.829.4
75Cole BuchananFloyd Kellam · SOFinish 25:37.825:37.824:59.9—

GIRLS · VARSITY · 5,000 M

Girls 5000 Meter Run

C

62 of 62 rows rated

How this race was adjusted

Race effect at 20:00 +26.1 s course and conditions +50.4 s in-season fitness −24.4 sCourse constant 511.45 (511)Race constant 508.69 (509)

48 used anchors± 7.0 s adjustment SE at 20:00Statistical Rating K 492.465Modeled distance 5,000 m

Adjusted from 48 anchor runners

Anchor runners ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing their times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment. The most unusual tenth at each end is left out of the average, so one great or bad day can’t move it much. Listed here: all 48, in place order, each with up to two of their most recent other races; every anchor is marked AN in the results.

  1. 1 Lily Hoffman · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  2. 2 Lily Grace Hester · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  3. 3 Jenna Nolen · Manchester: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 1 more
  4. 4 Jane Phillips · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  5. 5 Khadija Sissoko · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  6. 6 Madison Henderson · Western Branch: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  7. 7 Grace Thompson · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  8. 8 Lauren Rakov · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  9. 9 Kirsten Morley · Cosby: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  10. 10 Sophia Pommerenk · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  11. 11 Antoinette Nett Haine · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  12. 12 Sophia Richardson · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  13. 13 Caroline Kuhn · Cosby: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  14. 14 Noelle Braun · Grassfield: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  15. 15 Avery Knight · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  16. 16 Riley Gomez · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  17. 17 Brooke Nolen · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  18. 18 Isabella Haynie · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  19. 19 Grace Cosby · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  20. 21 Julianne Bowman · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  21. 22 Arianna Haynie · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8)
  22. 23 Lindsay Meadows · Ocean Lakes: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 2 more
  23. 24 Emily Acuto · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  24. 25 Berkleigh Light · Manchester: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Runnin' with the Wolves (Oct 8)
  25. 26 Alyssa Arboneaux · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  26. 27 Baylee Thien · Grassfield: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  27. 28 Maddie Sawyer · Thomas Dale: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  28. 30 Hannah Stevens · Grassfield: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  29. 31 Kailey Garofalo · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12)
  30. 32 Nina Roach · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  31. 33 Ava Dominguez-Moss · James River (Midlothian): VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · and 3 more
  32. 34 Natalie Blizzard · Floyd Kellam: 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · Big Cat (Sep 24)
  33. 35 Natalia Castrellon · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  34. 36 Alisha Thomas · Western Branch: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Big Cat (Sep 24)
  35. 37 Kinley Davis · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  36. 38 Whitney Holland · Franklin County: Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · 9th Annual Bengal Clash at the River (Aug 31)
  37. 39 Julia Brownie · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  38. 40 Katelyn Smith · Floyd Kellam: VHSL Class 6 State XC Meet (Nov 12) · 6th Atlantic Coast XC Invitational (Oct 8)
  39. 41 Reagan Fields · Grassfield: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  40. 43 Autumn Rudick · Grassfield: Albemarle Invitational (Oct 8)
  41. 44 Kayla Morley · Cosby: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15) · Patrick Henry Invitational (Oct 8) · and 1 more
  42. 45 Kaylee Atay · Oscar Smith: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  43. 46 Natalie Davis · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  44. 47 Addison Winslow · Western Branch: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  45. 48 Jessica Blackmon · Thomas Dale: MileStat.com XC Invitational (Oct 15)
  46. 51 Samantha Simms · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  47. 55 Jaidyn Vukelich · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 2 more
  48. 58 Grace Campbell · Franklin County: Blue Ridge District Championship (Oct 26) · Metro XC Championships (Oct 19) · and 1 more
Girls results, places shown 1 to 50 of 62 result rows
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
1Lily HoffmanFloyd Kellam · SRFinish 19:54.419:54.419:12.0108.5
2Lily Grace HesterJames River (Midlothian) · SRFinish 20:19.020:19.019:35.7100.6
3Jenna NolenManchester · JRFinish 20:21.020:21.019:37.799.9
4Jane PhillipsFloyd Kellam · JRFinish 20:29.520:29.519:45.897.2
5Khadija SissokoOcean Lakes · SOFinish 20:43.120:43.119:58.992.8
6Madison HendersonWestern Branch · SRFinish 20:53.820:53.820:09.289.4
7Grace ThompsonOcean Lakes · SOFinish 21:04.021:04.020:19.186.1
8Lauren RakovOcean Lakes · SOFinish 21:09.021:09.020:24.084.5
9Kirsten MorleyCosby · JRFinish 21:11.521:11.520:26.383.7
10Sophia PommerenkOcean Lakes · SRFinish 21:15.421:15.420:30.082.5
11Antoinette Nett HaineJames River (Midlothian) · FRFinish 21:17.821:17.820:32.481.7
12Sophia RichardsonOcean Lakes · SRFinish 21:20.221:20.220:34.780.9
13Caroline KuhnCosby · FRFinish 21:26.121:26.120:40.479.0
14Noelle BraunGrassfield · JRFinish 21:29.421:29.420:43.677.9
15Avery KnightJames River (Midlothian) · SRFinish 21:32.421:32.420:46.577.0
16Riley GomezOcean Lakes · SOFinish 21:39.721:39.720:53.674.6
17Brooke NolenManchester · JRFinish 21:40.921:40.920:54.774.2
18Isabella HaynieCosby · FRFinish 21:43.021:43.020:56.773.6
19Grace CosbyJames River (Midlothian) · JRFinish 21:49.721:49.721:03.171.4
20Caroline HicksWestern Branch · JRFinish 21:51.921:51.921:05.370.7
21Julianne BowmanFranklin County · JRFinish 21:53.421:53.421:06.770.2
22Arianna HaynieCosby · SRFinish 21:55.821:55.821:09.069.5
23Lindsay MeadowsOcean Lakes · SOFinish 22:18.322:18.321:30.862.2
24Emily AcutoJames River (Midlothian) · SOFinish 22:21.022:21.021:33.461.3
25Berkleigh LightManchester · FRFinish 22:23.822:23.821:36.060.5
26Alyssa ArboneauxFloyd Kellam · SRFinish 22:27.622:27.621:39.759.2
27Baylee ThienGrassfield · SRFinish 22:31.822:31.821:43.857.9
28Maddie SawyerThomas Dale · FRFinish 22:38.222:38.221:50.055.8
29Susanna SheddGrassfield · SRFinish 22:40.622:40.621:52.355.0
30Hannah StevensGrassfield · SOFinish 22:48.922:48.922:00.352.4
31Kailey GarofaloFloyd Kellam · SRFinish 22:49.522:49.522:00.852.2
32Nina RoachJames River (Midlothian) · SOFinish 22:50.222:50.222:01.552.0
33Ava Dominguez-MossJames River (Midlothian) · JRFinish 22:59.922:59.922:10.948.8
34Natalie BlizzardFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 23:08.223:08.222:18.946.2
35Natalia CastrellonFloyd Kellam · SOFinish 23:17.323:17.322:27.743.2
36Alisha ThomasWestern Branch · SRFinish 23:27.923:27.922:37.939.8
37Kinley DavisCosby · FRFinish 23:37.923:37.922:47.536.6
38Whitney HollandFranklin County · JRFinish 23:52.823:52.823:01.931.8
39Julia BrownieCosby · JRFinish 23:55.023:55.023:04.031.1
40Katelyn SmithFloyd Kellam · FRFinish 23:58.823:58.823:07.729.9
41Reagan FieldsGrassfield · SRFinish 24:32.624:32.623:40.319.0
42Liana MoriarityGrassfield · FRFinish 24:33.224:33.223:40.818.9
43Autumn RudickGrassfield · SRFinish 25:14.825:14.824:21.05.5
44Kayla MorleyCosby · FRFinish 25:26.225:26.224:32.01.8
45Kaylee AtayOscar Smith · JRFinish 25:31.225:31.224:36.80.2
46Natalie DavisFranklin County · SRFinish 25:42.925:42.924:48.1—
47Addison WinslowWestern Branch · FRFinish 25:47.425:47.424:52.4—
48Jessica BlackmonThomas Dale · SOFinish 25:51.825:51.824:56.7—
49Marina FaulkenberryLandstown · SRFinish 26:08.726:08.725:13.0—
50Lily CannuliLandstown · FRFinish 26:22.226:22.225:26.0—
Show all 62 results (12 more)Showing all 62 results · hide rows 51–62
Girls results, rows 51 to 62 of 62
PlaceRunner / school · gradeFinish timeAdjustedStatistical Rating
51Samantha SimmsFranklin County · SOFinish 26:52.026:52.025:54.7—
52Alyssa JonesLandstown · SRFinish 27:10.827:10.826:12.9—
53Shakyia JohnsonLandstown · SRFinish 27:54.727:54.726:55.2—
54Anna LaneManchester · SOFinish 28:04.428:04.427:04.6—
55Jaidyn VukelichFranklin County · SOFinish 28:39.828:39.827:38.7—
56Carrie BrownOscar Smith · SRFinish 29:46.529:46.528:43.0—
57Trinity HarperOscar Smith · JRFinish 30:10.830:10.829:06.5—
58Grace CampbellFranklin County · FRFinish 30:58.930:58.929:52.9—
59Maddison OutlandWestern Branch · SRFinish 32:50.332:50.331:40.3—
60Zanejah MylesWestern Branch · SOFinish 34:35.034:35.033:21.3—
61Hailey LabordeWestern Branch · SOFinish 35:14.935:14.933:59.8—
62Tina PanOscar Smith · SOFinish 36:36.936:36.935:18.8—
Statistical Rating. Higher is faster: points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, so 1 point = 3 s; shown to 0.1 point, with a dash below 0. K is set for each sex and season so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale at meets both systems rated.Adjusted time. The finish time with the race adjustment taken out, then moved by half of a typical runner’s fitness gain or shortfall for its date, counted from late September. Lower is faster; it puts every course on one yardstick and is not a predicted time.Place. Finish place as recorded in the source results; a row without one shows its status instead.Runner / school · grade. The runner, with school and school grade. Results list every runner, not only those eligible for the leaderboards.Finish time. The finish time in the source results, before any adjustment.Used anchors. Runners here with at least two races this season, whose times, compared with their other races, set this race’s adjustment; a race needs at least 8 to be rated. From 2023, returning runners with one race this season also help but are not counted here.Anchor runner. AN marks an anchor runner, who ran at least one other varsity race we cover this season. Comparing anchors’ times here with their other races sets this race’s adjustment, leaving out the most unusual tenth at each end.Adjustment SE at 20:00. How far this race’s adjustment is typically off, for a 20:00 run; the race’s grade is based on it. It is not a range for a runner’s next race, and it scales with each runner’s time: smaller for faster runners, larger for slower ones.Race effect at 20:00. How much slower (+) or faster (−) this race ran than a typical race that season, in seconds for a 20:00 run. Ratings take out its course-and-conditions part and half of its in-season fitness part, counted from late September.Course and conditions at 20:00. The race effect with the shared in-season fitness curve taken out: our estimate of what the course and the day did. It is not a clean split, because early-season heat and fitness both follow the calendar.In-season fitness at 20:00. The part of the race effect put down to runners being less fit (+) or fitter (−) than on the season’s average race day, an estimate that also picks up anything tied to the date, such as early-season heat. Ratings keep half of it, counted from late September, so early-season runs keep half of their credit for low fitness.Course constant. The course and the day’s conditions as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, using a K fitted to all of the season’s matched meets; whole points in parentheses. It is not the number behind this race’s ratings: that is the race constant.Rows rated. Result rows with an adjusted time, including rows rated only from their race’s adjustment (LN: linked to an athlete by name; NM: not matched to an athlete record). Unrated rows show ratings as unavailable, never zero.Race constant. The race as one number on TullyRunners’ points scale, from its finishers’ median adjustment; whole points in parentheses. The constant minus finish seconds ÷ 3 equals a shown rating only at that median adjustment, because the adjustment is a share of the time.Statistical Rating K. The season’s scale number for this sex in points = K − adjusted seconds ÷ 3, set so that our ratings sit on TullyRunners’ scale. It only sets where the scale sits and never enters the model.Modeled distance. The distance in the race title, unless the course was verified at another distance. Finish times are never rescaled: the race effect absorbs a course’s length along with its terrain.